זיהוי סיכונים

by Liora Shapiro

August 2008

Liora Shapiro PMP 052-6194244

> Overview> Identify Risks by PreMortem> Summary

Agenda


Risk - An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on a project’s objectivesSource: PMBOK


Risk Management - identify potential problems before they occur, so that risk-handling activities may be planned and invoked as needed … to mitigate adverse impacts on achieving objectives Source: CMMI


While a PostMortem helps us learn why a patient

has died, a PreMortem explores why a project

might die in the future

The PreMortem technique helps anticipate a

plan's weaknesses


Preparation

Team members should already be familiar with the

plan, or else have the plan described to them so

they can understand what is supposed to be

happening.

Team members take out sheets of paper and get

relaxed in their chairs.


Imagine a fiasco

Imagine the project has totally

failed.

Then ask, “What could have

caused this?”


Generate reasons for failure

Spend the next three minutes writing

down all the reasons they think the

project failed.

Each person has a different set of

experiences, a different set of scars, and

a different mental model.

You get what the collective knowledge in

the room can produce.


Consolidate the lists

Ask each person to state one item from

the list.

Each item is recorded on a whiteboard.

This process continues until every

member of the group has revealed every

item on their list.


Revisit the plan

The team can address the two or three items of

greatest concern, and then schedule another

meeting to discuss ideas for avoiding or minimizing

other problems


Periodically review the list

Monitor preventive plan

re-sensitise the team to the

problems that may be emerging


Use your imagination to identify risks

Preparation

Imagine a fiasco

Generate reasons for failure

Consolidate the lists

Revisit the plan

Periodically review the list


Thank you


זיהוי סיכונים

Business