1.

2. 3. . , , () , . , . , . , . , , , 4. . . , , . . , , , , , . . .2012 10 5. 5 171 551 552 613 621. 622. 642 691 692 751. 752. 803. 843 861. 862. 913. 122 6. 6 4 (20072011) 1611. 1612. 1793. 1914. 2033 2111 2112 2133 2214 2304 2371 2372 2391. 2392. 2543. 2614. 2685. (, ) 2713 2781. 278 7. 72. 2823. 2844. (, , ) 2874 2981. 2982. 3023. 3034. 3055. 3065 3085 3171 3172 3263 3414 3456 3531 3532 356 363 8. 8 -1 (20022011) 56 -2 (20022011) 58 -1 76 -2 77 -3 78 -4 82 -5 83 -6 (20012002 ) 87 -7 , , (20032011 ) 89 -8 : 92 -9 : () 95 -10 : () 96 -11 : 99 -12 : () 102 -13 : () 103 -14 : 106 -15 : (, ) 107 -16 : 109 -17 : () 112 -18 : () 113 -19 : 115 -20 : (, ) 116 9. 9 -21 : 118 -22 : () 120 -23 : () 121 -24 : , 123 -25 124 -26 : 126 -27 : () 129 -28 : () 130 -29 : 133 -30 : () 136 -31 : () 138 -32 : , 140 -33 : 141 -34 : 144 -35 : 146 -36 : (, ) 149 -37 : , 151 -38 : , 152 -39 : 155 -40 : 157 -41 : (, ) 160 -42 162 -43 163 -44 : 165 -45 : 166 10. 10 -46 : 168 -47 : 169 -48 : 171 -49 : 172 -50 : 174 -51 : 175 -52 : 177 -53 : 178 -54 180 -55 181 -56 : 183 -57 : 184 -58 : 186 -59 : 187 -60 : 189 -61 : 190 -62 192 -63 193 -64 : 195 -65 : 196 -66 : 198 -67 : 199 -68 : 201 -69 : 202 -70 () 204 11. 11 -1 214 -2 EU (20 1 ) 215 -3 216 -4 222 -5 223 -6 () 225 -7 232 -1 (2012 8 ) 240 -2 241 -3 : 245 -4 246 -5 2010 251 -6 255 -7 255 -8 VicHealth (1987~1997) 257 -9 Healthway 259 -10 262 -11 262 -12 ThaiHealth 264 -13 265 -14 (2012) 268 -15 270 -16 (2007) 270 -17 273 -18 274 12. 12 -19 275 -20 (2007) 276 -21 (2012 8 ) 279 -22 (state tax)(2012 8 ) 280 -23 283 -24 286 -25 288 -26 (excise duty) 289 -27 293 -28 296 -29 () 299 -30 ( ) 300 -31 303 -1 () 322 -2 (2007 2 ) 327 -3 329 -4 333 -5 335 -6 339 -7 , (), () 343 -8 346 -9 350 13. 13 [ -1] 63[ -1] : 79[ -1] ThaiHealth (2010 ) 266 14. 15. 17 1. (11.8%) (11%) , . , 54 9,594(50) . , , . , , . , 65% ( 6%) . 16. 18 , . , , 2011 . . . , . , , , , 5 . , 17. 19 . , . , , , , , . . , , (relative risk) (population attributable risk) , 5(07~11) . , 18. 20 . , , , , , , , , , . , , .[ 1] 19. 21 , . 2001 2002 7,693,999 , (prospective cohort) . (, , ), ( , , ), , (population attributable risk) (relative risk) . (Coxs proportional hazards model) , 2010 (rawdata) . (07~11) . 2 . 20. 22 2. ( 2001, 2002 ) (01~02), (01~02) (00~11) , , , , , , , 7,693,999 ( 2).[ 2] : 21. 23 1 , (: )( ) , 30 , 40, 50, 60 (, : ) , , , ~,~, (non drinking) (low risk drinking) (medium risk drinking) (high risk drinking) (BMI23)(23BMI25)(25BMI) , , (populationattributable risk, PAR) . (relative risk, RR) 22. 24 , (survival analysis) (Coxsproportional hazards model) . (P) 2010 (raw data) . ( 37, 37, 23) (07~11) . (60.1%) (30 41.9%, 4027.6%, 50 16.5%, 60 14.1%) , 34,523. ( 57.5%, 32.8%, 9.7%) ~(~ 54.1%, 26%, ~ 18.9%, 1.1%) . ( 49.2%, 47.3%, 2.5%, 1.0%) ( 44.9%, 30.3%, 24.9%) . (37) (43.16%), 23. 25(18.85%), (8.60%), (5.42%), (3.78%) . (37) (55.55%), (19.75%), (3.68%), (3.61%), (2.74%) . (23) (32.71%), (30.78%), (12.71%), (12.02%), (2.62%) . (RR=2.579), (RR=2.576), (RR=2.206) , (RR=3.622), (RR=2.736), (RR=2.63) . ~, ~, (RR=1.79, RR=2.822, RR=4.369) , , . (RR=5.259), (RR=3.423), (RR=2.713), (RR=2.574), (RR=2.554) . 24. 26 ( RR=2.797, RR=4.669) , . ( RR=1.811,RR=2.638) , . (PAR=0.2351), (PAR=0.2348), (PAR=0.1901) , (PAR=0.3519), (PAR=0.2644), (PAR=0.2524) . ~, ~, (PAR=0.2138, PAR=0.4105, PAR=0.1414) , , . (PAR=0.7819), (PAR=0.6710), 25. 27(PAR=0.5905), (PAR=0.5699), (PAR=0.5668) . ( PAR=0.2807, PAR=0.5334) , . ( PAR=0.1451,PAR=0.3188) , . (2007~2011) ( 2) 2007 1 512 2011 1 5,633 48.7% * 3.38%(11), 14.02%(11) (24.12%), (22.20%), (12.72%) (11). 19.11%(11) ~ 1,513(07) 2,195(11) 45.06% ~ 3,767(07) 5,458(11) 26. 28 44.88% 855(07) 1,245(11) 45.70% * (4.9%) , . 2 () (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 6,789 6,458 6,698 7,618 8,049 ( 0.51) 756 757 734 800 907 ( 0.06) 11,156 13,326 13,730 15,937 16,203 ( 1.04) 81,295 89,419 96,073 103,061 104,868 ( 6.71) 38,158 43,949 50,118 54,817 58,097 ( 3.72) 7,661 8,594 9,685 10,448 10,758 ( 0.69) 6,814 7,977 8,811 9,918 10,649 ( 0.68) 10,515 11,818 12,563 14,784 16,848 ( 1.08) 7,077 7,278 8,806 9,606 9,732 ( 0.62) 129,676 152,196 164,731 186,860 198,797 (12.72) 22,386 26,012 30,337 34,567 41,660 ( 2.66) 5,317 6,539 7,458 8,396 9,328 ( 0.60) 10,332 12,302 13,586 14,878 16,431 ( 1.05) 6,257 9,054 9,815 11,027 11,854 ( 0.76) 6,481 7,240 8,272 9,138 9,984 ( 0.64) 29,623 33,854 38,918 43,366 47,439 ( 3.03) 20,223 27,351 32,770 42,374 50,084 ( 3.20) 896 876 906 951 888 ( 0.06) 255,196 288,987 316,055 338,405 347,047 (22.20) 105,435 112,724 121,972 130,961 136,855 ( 8.75) 3,075 4,141 5,033 6,199 7,137 ( 0.46) 5,769 6,331 7,343 8,154 9,352 ( 0.60) 233,129 276,135 304,688 344,968 377,116 (24.12) 12,351 14,671 17,009 19,028 21,360 ( 1.37) 4,380 4,723 7,014 6,441 7,560 ( 0.48) 2,948 3,387 3,658 3,770 4,060 ( 0.26) 2,354 2,484 2,574 2,558 2,505 ( 0.16) 12,861 13,440 13,888 13,802 13,053 ( 0.84) 12,318 13,124 12,769 13,391 14,622 ( 0.94) 6 9 14 19 15 ( 0.00) 1,051,232 1,205,155 1,326,028 1,466,242 1,563,260 (100.0): 7 . 27. 29 ( 3) 2007 1 7,057 2011 2 4,336 42.68% * 5.26%(11), 23.89%(11) (33.78%), (15.95%), (15.02%) (11). 26.38%(11). 1,626(07) 2,317(11) 42.51% 3,905(07) 5,600(11) 43.4% 2007 1 8,971 2011 2 6,919 41.89% * 5.82%(11), 22.31%(11) (36.17%), (20.07%), (12.03%) (11). 26.94%(11). 28. 30 3 (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 13,077 15,621 16,095 18,682 18,994 ( 0.78) 10,245 11,994 13,249 14,914 16,013 ( 0.66) 8,079 8,309 10,054 10,966 11,110 ( 0.46) 278,155 310,406 340,989 367,163 388,190 (15.95) 67,631 77,238 88,759 98,890 108,274 ( 4.45) 124 123 159 142 200 ( 0.01) 6,443 6,998 7,626 8,263 8,569 ( 0.35) 186 179 190 255 256 ( 0.01) 604,538 684,588 748,708 801,653 822,126 (33.78) 184,371 197,117 213,290 229,009 239,315 ( 9.83) 146 150 173 188 219 ( 0.01) 11,291 12,391 14,373 15,959 18,305 ( 0.75) 17,265 19,809 21,218 24,650 27,263 ( 1.12) 107,683 123,821 133,890 152,605 158,496 ( 6.51) 248,369 286,861 306,994 340,554 365,433 (15.02) 56,087 75,593 93,624 111,089 133,918 ( 5.50) 4,986 5,089 5,439 5,685 4,421 ( 0.18)- - 935 999 1,023 1,070 1,185 ( 0.05) 443 427 397 345 326 ( 0.01) 35,628 37,551 39,782 40,441 44,055 ( 1.81) 22,358 23,820 23,176 24,304 26,538 ( 1.09) 16,158 17,496 19,535 21,859 23,316 ( 0.96) 9,167 10,541 11,736 13,045 13,870 ( 0.57) 864 886 1,002 1,046 1,192 ( 0.05) 1,347 1,504 1,621 1,672 1,837 ( 0.08) 117 159 194 207 193 ( 0.01) 14 13 16 20 26 ( 0.00) 1,705,709 1,929,682 2,113,310 2,304,677 2,433,640 (100.0): 10 . ( 4) 2007 1 5,060 2011 2 1,284 41.33% * 4.6%(11), 17.64%(11) 29. 31 (38.26%), (21.25%), (11.24%) (11). 27.16%(11). 4 (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 12,518 14,277 16,367 17,901 19,029 ( 0.89) 2,486 2,794 2,970 3,495 3,983 ( 0.19) 1,955 2,414 2,829 3,056 3,304 ( 0.16) 5,931 6,892 8,037 9,158 11,038 ( 0.52) 6,563 8,061 9,280 10,351 11,446 ( 0.54) 324,059 361,633 397,262 427,756 452,253 (21.25) 30,928 36,558 45,031 51,626 59,087 ( 2.78) 598,744 678,027 741,533 793,971 814,247 (38.26) 146,097 156,197 169,012 181,468 189,635 ( 8.91) 1,485 1,894 2,224 2,630 2,957 ( 0.14) 7,136 8,287 8,645 9,885 674 ( 0.03) 147,881 175,161 193,274 218,824 239,217 (11.24) 10,022 10,584 10,969 10,873 10,512 ( 0.49) 18,049 19,842 22,555 25,250 27,518 ( 1.29) 109,642 121,886 137,167 150,133 158,444 ( 7.44) 82,481 93,562 106,227 117,299 125,080 ( 5.88) 1,505,977 1,698,068 1,873,380 2,033,678 2,128,423 (100.0): 7 . 1 5,633(11), 2 4,336, 2 6,919( 2 1,284) . 6 6,888 2011 30. 32 (46 2,379) 14.47%, GDP 0.54% .* , 16 4,948, 31 3,998, 4 233( 3 2,734),* 51 9,179( 51 1,680) .3. , , , , 2,500 1 62%(1,550) . 1988 . EU 68%(), 77%, 94%() . , , , . , 31. 33 . , . , . , , , , , 72% . , , 30%, 5% , 70% 10%, 70% 30% , , , . . EU OECD , , , . 32. 34 , 10% . . , . .4. 87 57.4%( ) 5 , 28.7%( ) , , ,2.3% . Commonwealth Care , 33. 35 . 2009 ( $0.62) Medicaid (State Children's Health InsuranceProgram, SCHIP) . VicHealth Healthway . 1997 (High Court) .* 5% 2%() (ThaiHealth) . 2011 100 , 1/3 , 2/3 . 3% , , , , . 34. 36 6.39% () , () 0.5% . 2012 10 6% , 2 . ' ' , . , , . 2010 12 (TobaccoHazard Prevention Act) . , , 35. 37 . , 9.2% 2%(17) , . 25 1/10 0.13 , () 0.7% . 32% , 2007 26.4% . 28 , , , (16 ), (12 ) , 16 , 36. 38 , . 2010 2.3% ( ) . , , , . 5.5% ,, 20.6% . 2011 8 2012 11 28 . . 2010 17.5% , 17.5% . , , , , . ( ) 20% 37. 39 . , , , , ( 200 , 7 ) . , , , . , . (, ), (), (, ), . , . 38. 40 (), Medicaid , , , (), () , . , , , , , , , , , .5. . , , . , , . (, 39. 41, , ), (, ). , , (sugar) . , , , , , ,, , , , ,, , , , , , . , , . , . 2011 1 5,633 . 2010 40. 42 1 5,848, 67.1%( 53.8%) 1631 . , . , . 2010 (1 631) (1 5,633) 5,000 , (variation) 7%(175)~8%(200) . 7% 7,488~7,684, 8% 8,508~8,765 . , 65% 7% 4,867~4,995, 8% 5,530~5,697 41. 43 .* 16 5 2.5( -0.19 ) . (2012) , 10~50% . , , . , , , , , , , 50% . , ( 30%, 40%, 50% ) 8,697 , (65%) 5,653 . 42. 44 , ( 30%, 40%, 50% ) 8,268 , (65%) 5,374 . ( 30%, 40%, 50% ) 7,795 , (65%) 5,067 . 2011 2 4,336 , . . , 10%, 20%, 30% , 4,101~4,353, (65%) 2,666~2,830 . 43. 45 , . . . . , , . , . 44. 46 . WHO . 108 , , 65 . . . , , . 45. 47 , , ( 6). 6 - - - - - - ( , )- ( , )- / - - - - -/ ( )- / ( , )- (, , , )- (, )- - ( , )- ( , )- - - , - - - ( ) - - , - / (, , )-(, ) - - - ( ) 46. 48 6. 2011 15,633(07 48.7% ), 2 4,336(42.68% ), 2011 2 6,919(41.89% ), 2011 3.38%, 5.26%, 5.82% . , , 2011 14.5% , . 2.7% , 3.5% (The GlobeMagazine, 2000) . , . , . , , 47. 49 . , . , . , , , . , , . , , (sugar) . , , , , , ,, , , , ,, , , , 48. 50 , , . , , . 2010 (1 631) (1 5,633) 5,000 (variation) 7%(175)~8%(200) . ( 30%, 40%, 50% ) 7,795~8,697 , (65%) 5,067~5,653 . 2011 24,336 . . 49. 51 , 10%, 20%, 30% , 4,101~4,353, (65%) 2,666~2,830 . . (general budget) , . , , . , . 50. 52 . . , , . , , , , , . 51. 1 52. 1 551 1 . 2002 2011 9 11.8%, 11% . 2005 2006 , 2008 , 2009 , 2011 6 (, 2012)( -1). , , , 2015 1 572, 2020 72,168, 2030 28 6,242, 2040 48 922 2050 54 9,594 ( , 2012) . () 53. 56 , . -1 (20022011) 2002 138,903 106,466 30,139 2,298 146,510 138,993 6,568 949 -7,607 -25,7162003 168,231 131,807 34,238 2,186 157,437 149,522 7,085 830 10,794 -14,9222004 185,722 148,745 34,830 2,147 170,043 161,311 7,901 831 15,679 7572005 203,325 163,864 36,948 2,513 191,537 182,622 8,535 380 11,788 12,5452006 223,876 182,567 38,362 2,947 224,623 214,893 8,966 764 -747 11,7982007 252,697 212,530 36,718 3,449 255,544 245,614 9,734 196 -2,847 8,9512008 289,079 244,384 40,779 3,916 275,412 264,948 9,841 623 13,667 22,6182009 311,817 259,352 48,100 4,365 311,849 301,461 9,724 664 -32 22,5862010 335,605 281,650 49,753 4,202 348,599 336,835 11,077 687 -12,994 9,5922011 379,774 323,995 51,697 4,082 373,766 361,890 11,040 836 6,008 15,600: . . 2012 (2011) 2011 65 11.4% 2026(20.8%) () , 2050 OECD ( 39.6%, 38.2%) . 2010 1.23 , 2060 101.1% 54. 1 57 . 2010 28.1%(1,376), 34.9%(15 2,382) . , , . . 85% , , . 11 6 (, 2012). 2011 5.8% 9.5%, 13.95%, 14% . 2% 20309.56%, 2040 11.62%, 2050 13.02% 55. 58 , (, 2011) . 6% , 65% ( -2). , . -2 (20022011)2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 () 30,139 34,238 34,830 36,948 38,362 36,718 40,779 48,100 49,753 51,697 (%) 28.3 26.0 23.4 22.5 21.0 17.3 16.7 18.5 17.7 16.0 (%) 21.7 20.4 18.8 18.2 17.1 14.5 14.1 15.4 14.8 13.6() 25,747 27,792 28,567 27,695 28,698 27,042 30,540 37,838 39,123 42,129 (%) 24.2 21.1 19.2 16.9 15.7 12.7 12.5 14.6 13.9 13.0 (%) 18.5 16.5 15.4 13.6 12.8 10.7 10.6 12.1 11.7 11.1() 4,392 6,446 6,263 9,253 9,664 9,676 10,239 10,262 10,630 9,568 (%) 4.1 4.9 4.2 5.6 5.3 4.6 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.0 (%) 3.2 3.8 3.4 4.6 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.5: . . 2012 56. 1 59 ( , 2001; , 2006; , 2008; , 2008), ( , 2008; , 2010; ,2010), ( , 2002; , 2008) . 1995 1997 , , , (, 1996.11; , 2001.10; , 2002; ,2002.10; , 2005.2). (2011) , , , 2011 . , , . (taxation) . 57. 60 , . . . , () . 58. 1 612 , . ., , , , 5 (2007~2011) ., ., . , , , , . 59. 62 3 1. , , . , . ., 2 , , , (population attributable risk, PAR) . 5 (2007~2011) ., 3 , , , . 60. 1 63, 4 , , , , , . 5 , , , , .[ -1] 61. 64 2. . , . (cohort) . (prospective cohort study) 2 2001 ( ) 2002( ) ( 1 ) 1 (2001~2002) (2000~2011) . 37, 37, 23 , , 7,693,999 . 62. 1 65 , , , 37 , , , , , , , , , , , , , 37 , , , , , , , , , , , , , . 23 , , , , , , , , , , . , , , , . , , , , . ,, (proxy variable) , 2001 2002 . , , 63. 66 , 2001 2002 . , , , , ~, ~, . WHO (non drinking), (low riskdrinking), (medium risk drinking), (highrisk drinking), (BMI23), (23BMI25), (25BMI) . , , (population attributable risk, PAR) . , 2010 (raw data) . , (survival analysis) (Coxs proportionalhazards model) . , , 2007~2011 5 . 2 2 . 64. 2 65. 2 692 1 2030 8 ( , 2008) 21 . 4,000 , (BoyleMaisonneuve, 1995; Yun et al, 2006;Bae et al, 2007; Odongua et al, 2007; Sung et al, 2007; , 2005; , 2007; , 2007), (Kim et al, 2005) (Jee et al, 2007; Khang et al, 2008) , . , ( , 2008). . 66. 70 ( ,2008). , , (cost of illness) . . , .WHO 2008 92,000 US$, 81,000 US$ . 7,000 US$ , 1,000 US$ ( , 2008). , , , 5,057 ( , 1989) 8 9,443 ( , 2006) , . , 2005 52.3%. WHO 132 13 ( , 2008), OECD (OECD, 2006). 67. 2 71, , (Tuner et al., 1981; Razay et al., 1992; Sacco et al., 1999). , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 60 (WHO, 1990; WHO, 2004). GDP 0.5~2.7% ( , 2006). 2000 14 9,352 2004 20 990, 2006 23 4,431 (GDP 2.8%) ( , 2006; , 2008; , 2009)., 2000 1,456 2006 3,393 2.5 , 1.6 ( , 2006; , 2009). 68. 72 . 2.7% , 3.5% (The Globe Magazine, 2000), (low mortality developing countries) (disability adjusted life years, DALYs) (WHO, 2002). WHO , , (Nakamura et al., 1993; Single et al., 1998; Varney and Guest, 2002;Fenoglio et al., 2003). 1995 (1997) (2006), (2008), (2009) . , . WHO 21 globesity' . 1970 , , (, 2012).WHO 15, , ,, , . 69. 2 73 20 (Fletcher et al, 2010) . . 10% (Finkelstein et al, 2009), 2~5 1 460~2,500 (USA Today, 2005). 3 4 10% (, 2011; ,2012). , . (BodyMass Index, BMI). BMI () () BMI 25 (overweight), 30 (obese) . BMI23 , 25 . 2010 30 BMI WHO BMI 25.6 (192 95 ). , . BMI 25 , ( ) 32.1% . BMI30 BMI 25 70. 74 (, 2012). 2 , , , , . 2001~2002 2000~2011 (prospective cohort) , , . 5 (2007~2011) . . 71. 2 752 1. (prospective cohort study) 2 2001 ( ) 2002( ) ( 1 ) 1 (2001~2002) (2000~2011) . -1~3 ,, , , 7,693,999 ( -1). 72. 76 -1 ICD-10 1 Respiratory tuberculosis A15, A16, A19 2, 42 Mouth and oropharyngeal cancer C00-C14 1, 2, 3, 4, 53 Oesophageal cancer C15 1, 2, 3, 4, 54 Stomach cancer C16 1, 3, 4, 55 Colon cancers C18 16 Rectal cancers C20 17 Liver cancer C22 18 Pancreas cancer C25 1, 2, 3, 4, 59 Laryngeal cancer C32 1, 2, 3, 4, 510 Trachea, bronchus and lung cancers C33-C34 1, 2, 3, 4, 511 Cervical cancer C53 2, 3, 4, 512 Endometrial cancer C54 513 Prostate cancer C61 1, 414 Kidney cancer C64-C66, C68 1, 2, 3, 4, 515 Bladder cancer C67 1, 2, 3, 4, 516 Leukaemia cancer C91-C94 1, 3, 4, 517 Other neoplasma D00-D48 318Mental and behavioural disorders due touse of psychoactive substances F10-F12, F14-F17,F19319 Parkinsons disease G20 520 Rheumatic heart disease I00-I09 221 Hypertensive disease I10-I15 1, 2, 422 Ischaemic heart disease I20-I25 1, 2, 3, 4, 523 Pulmonary heart disease I26-I28 2, 3, 4, 524 Cardiac arrhythmias I47-I49 1, 2, 3, 4, 525 Cerebrovascular disease I60-I69 1, 2, 3, 4, 526 Atherosclerosis I70-I79 2, 3, 4, 527 Pneumonia and influenza J10-J18 1, 2, 3, 4, 528 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease J40-J44 1, 2, 3, 4, 529 Asthma J45-J46 1, 2, 430 Ulcers K25-K28 1, 3, 531 Cirrhosis of the liver K74 132Low birth weight and short gestation;neonatal conditions P02.0-P02.2, P04.8,P05-P07, P96.12, 333Fetus and newborn affected by maternaluse of drugs and tobacco P04.2, P04.4 334 Respiratory distress syndrome P22 235 Other respiratory conditions in newborns P23-P28 236 Sudden infant death syndrome R95 2, 337 Toxic effect of tobacco and nicotine T65.2 3: 1. (1999); 2. Neubauer et al(2006); 3. Rehm et al(2006); 4. Groenewald et al(2007); 73. 2 775. Callum et al(2010) ICD-10 1 Mouth and oropharynx cancer C00-C14 1, 2, 3, 4, 52 Oesophageal cancer C15 1, 2, 3, 4, 53 Colon and rectal cancer C18-C21 54 Liver cancer C22 1, 2, 3, 4, 55 Laryngeal cancer C32 1, 3, 46 Breast cancer C50 2, 3, 4, 57 Other neoplasma D00-D48 4, 58 Diabetes mellitus E10-E14 4, 59 Alcohol use disorders F10 1, 2, 3, 4, 510 Unipolar depressive disorders F32-F33 4, 511 Degeneration of nervous system due to alcohol G31.2 412 Epilepsy G40, G41 2, 3, 4, 513 Alcoholic polyneuropathy G62.1 1, 2, 3, 4,14 Hypertensive disease I10-I15 1, 2, 3, 4, 515 Ischaemic heart disease I20-I25 2, 4, 516 Alcoholic cardiomyopathy I42.6 1, 2, 3, 417 Cardiac arrhythmias I47-I49 2, 3, 418 Heart failure I50, I51 319 Haemorrhagic stroke I60-I62 1, 2, 3, 4, 520 Ischaemic stroke I63-I66 1, 2, 3, 4, 521 Other cerebrovascular disease I67-I69 1, 2, 3, 422 Oesophageal varices I85 2, 3, 423 Gastro-oesophageal haemorrhage - - K22.6 1, 2, 324 Alcoholic gastritis K29.2 1, 2, 3, 425 Alcoholic liver disease K70 1, 2, 3, 426 Cirrhosis of the liver K74 1, 2, 3, 4, 527 Cholelithiasis K80 2, 428 Acute and chronic pancreatitis K85, K86.1 1, 2, 3, 429 Chronic pancreatitis (alcohol induced) K86.0 430 Psoriasis L40 2, 431 Spontaneous abortion O03 2, 332Conditions arising during the perinatalperiod: Low birthweight : P05-P07 2, 4, 533 Fetal alcohol syndrome Q86.0 434 Alcohol poisoning X45, Y15, T51.0, T51.1,T51.91, 2, 3, 4, 535Accidental poisoning and exposure toalcohol, illegal drugs T40.0-T40.5, T40.7, T41.3 436 Road traffic accidents* V01-V04, V06, V09-V80,V87, V89, V991, 2, 3, 4, 537 Other unintentional injuries Rest of V, W20-W64,W75-W99, X10-X39,X50-X59, Y40-Y86, Y88,Y891, 2, 3, 4, 5 -2 : * If four-digit ICD-10 data are available, use: V01.1-V01.9, V02.1-V02.9, V03.1-V03.9, V04.1-V04.9, V06.1-V06.9, 74. 78 V09.2, V09.3, V10.4-V10.9, V11.4-V11.9, V12.3-V12.9, V13.3-V13.9, V14.3-V14.9, V15.4-V15.9, V16.4-V16.9,V17.4-V17.9, V18.4-V18.9, V19.4-V19.6, V20.3-V20.9, V21.3-V21.9, V22.3-V22.9, V23.3-V23.9, V24.3-V24.9,V25.3-V25.9, V26.3-V26.9, V27.3-V27.9, V28.3-V28.9, V29.4-V29.9, V30.4.V30.9, V31.4-V31.9, V32.4-V32.9,V33.4-V33.9, V34.4-V34.9, V35.4-V35.9, V36.4-V36.9, V37.4-V37.9, V38.4-V38.9, V39.4-V39.9, V40.4-V40.9,V41.4-V41.9, V42.4-V42.9, V43.4-V43.9, V44.4-V44.9, V45.4-V45.9, V46.4-V46.9, V47.4-V47.9, V48.4-V48.9,V49.4-V49.9, V50.4-V50.9, V51.4-V51.9, V52.4-V52.9, V53.4-V53.9, V54.4-V54.9, V55.4-V55.9, V56.4-V56.9,V57.4-V57.9, V58.4-V58.9, V59.4-V59.9, V60.4-V60.9, V61.4-V61.9, V62.4-V62.9, V63.4-V63.9, V64.4-V64.9,V65.4-V65.9, V66.4-V66.9, V67.4-V67.9, V68.4-V68.9, V69.4-V69.9, V70.4-V70.9, V71.4-V71.9, V72.4-V72.9,V73.4-V73.9, V74.4-V74.9, V75.4-V75.9, V76.4-V76.9, V77.4-V77.9, V78.4-V78.9, V79.4-V79.9, V80.3-V80.5, V81.1,V82.1, V83.0-V83.3, V84.0-V84.3, V85.0-V85.3, V86.0-V86.3, V87.0-V87.8, V89.2, V89.9, V99, Y850: 1. Schulz et al(1991); 2. English et al(1995); 3. Single et al(1998); 4. Rehm et al(2006); 5.Rehm et al(2007) -3 ICD-10 1 Oesophageal cancer C15 42 Colon and rectal cancers C18-C21 43 Pancreatic cancer C25 44 Breast cancer C50 2, 45 Endometrial cancer C54-C55 2, 46 Ovarian cancer C56 47 Prostate cancer C61 48 Kidney cancer C64-C65 2, 49 Diabetes mellitus E10-E14 2, 3, 410 Dyslipidaemia E78 311 Hypertension I10-I15 3, 412 Ischemic heart disease I20-I25 1, 2, 3, 413 Pulmonary embolism I26.0, I26.9 1, 414 Congestive heart failure I50.0 2, 415 Stroke I60-I69 2, 3, 416 Asthma J45 417 Gallbladder disease K80-K82 2, 3, 418 Osteoarthritis M15-M19 2, 3, 419 Chronic back pain M40-M54 420 Pre-eclampsia O10-O14 221 Maternal hemorrhage O44-O46,O67,O72 222 Obstructed labor O64-O66 223 Birth asphyxia and birth trauma P03,P10-P15,P20-P29 2: 1. Asia Pacific Cohort Studies Collaboration(2006); 2. Park et al(2006); 3. Ko(2008); 4. Anis et al(2011) 75. 2 79[ -1] : 76. 80 2. , , , , . 2001 2002 2003 2011 -1 , -2 , -3 . 2003 2011 2001 2002 , . , , (proxy variable) , 2001 2002 . , , , 2001 2002 . 2001 2002 ? () , , , ? , ~, ~, . () , , , 77. 2 81 . , ~, ~, . () ? () , 2~3 , 1~2 , 3~4 , , 1 ? 2 1 , , 1, 2 . 1 . 1 , 1 (WHO, 2000). ,WHO 1 -4 (acute problems) (low risk drinking), (medium risk drinking), (high risk drinking), (very high risk drinking) . .1 (g)= 1 (ml) 1 360ml, 22% : 1 ml ethanol = 0.79 g: WHO(2000); (2004) 78. 82 -4 (low risk drinking) 1 - 40 g 1 - 20 g (medium risk drinking) 41 - 60 g 21 - 40 g (high risk drinking) 61 - 100 g 41 - 60 g (very high risk drinking) 101+ g 61+ g: WHO(2000); (2004) (body mass index, BMI) . BMI 22.9 , BMI 23 24.9 , BMI 25 . -5 . 79. 2 83 -5 1), (: ) ( ) , 30 , 40, 50, 60 (, : ) , , , ~, ~, 2)(non drinking) (low risk drinking) (medium risk drinking) (high risk drinking)(BMI) (BMI23)(23BMI25)(25BMI): 1) -1~3 , , .: 2) -4 WHO . 80. 84 3. , , ( -1~3) , (population attributable risk, PAR) . , . : : : 2010 (raw data) (, , ), (, 81. 2 85~, ~, ), (, , , ), ( (BMI23), (23BMI25), (25BMI)) . , (survival analysis) (Coxs proportional hazards model) . (event, : ) (: ) , . ,, ( -1~3) 2007~2011 5 . 82. 86 3 1. . -6 . , 60.1% 39.9% 1.5 . 30 41.9% , 40 27.6%, 50 16.5%, 60 14.1% . 34,523 . 57.5% , 32.8%, 9.7% , ~ 54.1% , 26%, ~ 18.9%, 1.1% . 52.7% 47.3% . 49.2% , (47.3%), 2.5%, 1.0% . 44.9% , 30.3%, 24.9% . 83. 2 87 -6 (20012002 ) () (%) 4,621,775 60.07 3,072,224 39.93 7,693,999 100.00 30 3,221,404 41.8740 2,120,799 27.5650 1,269,593 16.5060 1,082,203 14.07 7,693,999 100.00 () 34,52325,598 4,092,858 57.54 688,772 9.68 2,330,858 32.77 7,112,488 100.00 698,930 26.00~ 1,454,229 54.09~ 506,691 18.85 28,548 1.06 2,688,398 100.00 3,431,916 47.30 3,568,292 49.18 183,749 2.53 70,986 0.98 7,254,943 100.00(BMI) 3,450,471 44.85 1,913,603 24.87 2,329,925 30.28 7,693,999 100.00 84. 88 . 2001~2002 2003~2011 , -7 . 37 43.16%, 18.85%, 8.60%, 5.42%, 3.78%, 3.73%, 3.64%, 2.64%, 2.22%, 1.20% , , , , , . 37 55.55%, 19.75%, 3.68%, 3.61%, 2.74%, 2.52%, 2.30%, 1.51%, 1.31%, 1.05% , , , , , . 23 32.71%, 30.78%, 12.71%, 12.02%, 2.62%, 2.48%, 2.29%, 2.23%, 0.90%, 0.38% . 85. 2 89 -7 , , (20032011 ) ()(%)()(%)()(%) 282,760 0.590 - - 1,062,623 2.219 1,749,147 2.742 - 61,500 0.128 80,281 0.126 125,771 0.050 576,827 1.204 - - 191,204 0.399963,537 1.510 2,242,351 0.899 184,485 0.385 349,207 0.729 476,931 0.748 - 53,471 0.112 - 148,220 0.059 46,420 0.097 49,248 0.077 - 404,218 0.844 - - - 216,652 0.340 955,977 0.383 7,643 0.016 - - 1,614 0.003 - 64,402 0.026 - - 115,928 0.046 143,758 0.300 - 445,364 0.178 58,568 0.122 - 138,381 0.055 95,105 0.199 - - 36,262 0.076 - - 1,262,989 2.637 2,347,640 3.680 - - 12,598,060 19.747 29,995,161 12.019 - - 5,560,012 2.228 214,431 0.448 234,309 0.367 -( ) - 1,469,804 2.304 - 96,194 0.201 - - - 1,113 0.002 - - 354,042 0.555 - - 3,435 0.005 - 68,759 0.144 - - 20,668,507 43.157 35,442,295 55.555 81,625,171 32.708 1,741,765 3.637 2,304,726 3.613 5,706,111 2.286 ( ) 12,364 0.026 - 35,140 0.014 - 1,049 0.002 - 356,800 0.745 617,488 0.968 -( ) - 264,846 0.415 490,046 0.1961,811,270 3.782 2462635 3.860 6,530,793 2.617( ) 347,968 0.727 - - - 10,379 0.016 - 9,025,806 18.846 - - 2,593,925 5.416 - - 1,787,512 3.732 - 6,182,182 2.477- - - 8,592 0.013 - 86. 90 ()(%)()(%)()(%) 4,116,426 8.595 - - - 49,987 0.078 - - 833,674 1.307 - 230,062 0.480 281,303 0.441 -( ) - 205,627 0.322 629,217 0.252 - 68,713 0.108 - - 6,442 0.010 - - 667,471 1.046 - - - 31,707,519 12.705 - - 76,821,168 30.783 - 16,262 0.025 - - - 14,745 0.006 - - 17,777 0.007 - - 6,380 0.003 14 0.000 47 0.000 - - - 564 0.000 - - - - - - 52 0.000 - - - 5 0.000 - 2 0.000 - - 981 0.002 - - - 2,998 0.005 - - 20 0.000 - - 2,404 0.004 - - 5,644 0.009 - 47,891,492 100 63,796,806 100 249,558,380 100 -7 : - . 87. 2 912. . 1) , , (RR=2.579), (RR=3.622) . (RR=2.576), (RR=2.206), (RR=2.014), (RR=1.976), (RR=1.95), (RR=1.847), (RR=1.8), (RR=1.785), (RR=1.689), (RR=1.564), (RR=1.533), (RR=1.532), (RR=1.517), (RR=1.471) . (RR=2.736), (RR=2.63), (RR=2.146), (RR=1.92), (RR=1.762), (RR=1.656), (RR=1.616), (RR=1.569), (RR=1.514), (RR=1.496), (RR=1.431), (RR=1.355),(RR=1.323), (RR=1.251) ( -8). 88. 92 -8 : RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value 1.221 .0001 1.218 .0001 1.076 .0001 - 1.976 .0001 1.92 .0001 1.785 .0001 1.616 .0001 1.8 .0001 1.355 .0001 1.313 .0001 - 1.139 .0001 - 1.533 .0001 1.496 .0001 2.576 .0001 2.736 .0001 2.206 .0001 2.63 .0001 - - - - 2.579 .0001 1.569 .0001 1.517 .0001 1.241 0.003 1.95 .0001 1.762 .0001 1.279 0.0753 - 1.075 .0001 - 1.288 .0001 2.146 .0001 2.014 .0001 1.431 .0001 1.149 0.0083 - 1.532 .0001 1.212 .0001 1.564 .0001 1.241 .0001 1.847 .0001 1.656 .0001 1.376 .0001 - 1.689 .0001 1.514 .0001 1.471 .0001 1.251 .0001 1.062 .0001 - 1.066 .0001 - 1.04 .0001 - 1.166 .0001 1.044 .0001 1.409 .0001 1.323 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - 3.622 0.0003: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 89. 2 93 , -9 (RR=2.12) . (RR=2.094), (RR=2.063), (RR=1.965), (RR=1.948), (RR=1.794), (RR=1.627), (RR=1.617), (RR=1.615), (RR=1.609), (RR=1.526), (RR=1.439), (RR=1.437), (RR=1.429), (RR=1.383) . (RR=2.826) , (RR=2.268), (RR=2.163), (RR=1.854), (RR=1.834), (RR=1.607), (RR=1.431), (RR=1.424), (RR=1.401), (RR=1.391), (RR=1.34), (RR=1.268), (RR=1.261), (RR=1.195), (RR=1.189) ( -9). -10 . (RR=5.088) , (RR=2.992), (RR=2.557), (RR=2.299), (RR=2.241), (RR=2.111), (RR=1.983), 90. 94 (RR=1.981), (RR=1.834), (RR=1.707), (RR=1.69), (RR=1.589), (RR=1.579), (RR=1.528), (RR=1.454) . (RR=8.317) , (RR=6.237), (RR=4.081), (RR=3.567), (RR=3.556), (RR=3.418), (RR=3.407), (RR=2.922), (RR=2.765), (RR=2.717), (RR=2.554), (RR=2.439),(RR=2.19), (RR=2.146), (RR=2.095) ( -10). 91. 2 95 -9 : () RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value 1.203 .0001 1.195 .0001 1.181 .0001 - 1.948 .0001 1.854 .0001 1.615 .0001 1.431 .0001 1.627 .0001 1.189 0.0002 1.345 .0001 - 1.187 .0001 - 1.429 0.0003 1.34 0.0007 2.094 .0001 2.163 .0001 1.965 .0001 2.268 .0001 - - - - 2.12 .0001 1.261 .0001 1.31 0.0018 - 1.617 .0001 1.424 .0001 - - 1.224 .0001 - 1.128 0.0036 1.834 .0001 2.063 .0001 1.391 .0001 1.221 0.001 - 1.439 .0001 1.106 .0001 1.437 .0001 1.108 .0001 1.794 0.0001 1.607 0.0006 1.383 .0001 - 1.609 .0001 1.401 .0001 1.526 .0001 1.268 .0001 1.074 .0001 - 1.119 .0001 1.045 .0001 1.122 .0001 - 1.144 .0001 1.017 0.0036 1.235 .0001 1.136 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - 2.826 0.0036: , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 92. 96 -10 : () RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value - 1.176 0.0032 1.274 .0001 1.295 .0001 - 2.19 0.0003 1.834 .0001 2.554 .0001 2.111 .0001 2.922 .0001 - 1.577 .0001 - 1.15 0.0074 1.69 0.082 3.556 .0001 - - 2.557 .0001 6.237 .0001 - 1.729 .0001 - - - - 1.983 0.0818 2.717 0.0004 5.088 0.0026 8.317 .0001 - 1.939 0.0435 1.107 .0001 - 1.454 0.0401 4.081 .0001 2.241 .0001 3.418 .0001 1.579 0.0001 1.499 .0001 1.707 .0001 2.439 .0001 1.981 .0001 2.765 .0001 2.992 0.0007 3.407 .0001 1.356 .0001 1.356 .0001 2.299 .0001 3.567 .0001 1.589 .0001 2.146 .0001 1.195 .0001 1.173 .0001 1.062 0.0015 1.305 .0001 1.179 .0001 1.496 .0001 1.261 .0001 1.381 .0001 1.528 0.0085 2.095 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - -: , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 93. 2 972) , -11 ~, ~, ( RR=1.79, RR=2.822, RR=4.369) . ~ (RR=1.489), (RR=1.424), (RR=1.224), (RR=1.136), (RR=1.118), (RR=1.11), ( RR=1.085), (RR=1.069), (RR=1.065), (RR=1.057), (RR=1.055), (RR=1.054), (RR=1.053) . ~ (RR=2.016), (RR=1.892), (RR=1.678), (RR=1.309), (RR=1.291), (RR=1.226), (RR=1.224), (RR=1.208), (RR=1.174), (RR=1.161), (RR=1.153), (RR=1.114), (RR=1.101), (RR=1.092) . (RR=2.986), (RR=2.487), (RR=2.158), (RR=1.381), (RR=1.377), (RR=1.365), (RR=1.314), (RR=1.313), (RR=1.262), (RR=1.168), 94. 98 (RR=1.154), (RR=1.15), (RR=1.138), (RR=1.107) . ( -11). 95. 2 99 -11 : ~~RelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-value 1.055 .0001 1.153 .0001 1.314 .0001 - - 1.064 0.0017 1.11 0.0036 1.291 .0001 1.365 0.0138 1.118 .0001 1.224 .0001 1.168 0.0015 - 1.07 0.0083 - - - - - - - 1.136 0.0003 1.309 .0001 - 1.489 .0001 2.016 .0001 2.986 .0001 1.424 .0001 1.892 .0001 2.487 .0001 - - - - - - 1.085 0.0008 - - 1.069 0.0628 - 1.262 0.0507 1.085 0.0113 1.226 .0001 - - - - 1.026 .0001 1.092 .0001 1.107 .0001 1.224 .0001 1.678 .0001 2.158 .0001 - - - - - - 1.053 .0001 1.101 .0001 1.15 .0001 1.065 .0001 1.208 .0001 1.377 .0001 - - - - - - 1.054 .0001 1.161 .0001 1.313 .0001 1.057 .0001 1.174 .0001 1.381 .0001 1.006 0.0067 1.011 .0001 1.016 0.0533 1.006 0.041 1.045 .0001 1.154 .0001 - - 1.095 .0001 1.047 .0001 1.114 .0001 1.138 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.79 .0001 2.822 .0001 4.369 .0001: , , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 96. 100 , -12~13 ~, ~, ( RR=1.729,RR=2.768, RR=4.344) . ~ (RR=1.47), (RR=1.442), (RR=1.224), (RR=1.159), (RR=1.125), (RR=1.115), (RR=1.092), (RR=1.085), (RR=1.068), (RR=1.067), (RR=1.064), (RR=1.062), (RR=1.059), (RR=1.055) . ~ (RR=2.007), (RR=1.929), (RR=1.682), (RR=1.34), (RR=1.3), (RR=1.24), (RR=1.232), (RR=1.213), (RR=1.184), (RR=1.173), (RR=1.156), (RR=1.117), (RR=1.104), (RR=1.088) . (RR=2.945), (RR=2.533), (RR=2.171), (RR=1.393), (RR=1.387), (RR=1.381), (RR=1.322), (RR=1.322), (RR=1.254), (RR=1.183),(RR=1.156), (RR=1.15), (RR=1.138), (RR=1.091) . 97. 2 101 , , , , ( -12). ( -13). ~ (RR=3.638) , . ~ (RR=2.969), (RR=1.487), (RR=1.303), (RR=1.119), (RR=1.095), (RR=1.086), (RR=1.075), (RR=1.07), (RR=1.057), (RR=1.049) . ~ (RR=2.009) , (RR=1.785), (RR=1.644), (RR=1.421), (RR=1.197), (RR=1.189), (RR=1.154), (RR=1.141), (RR=1.128), (RR=1.115), (RR=1.11), (RR=1.082) . (RR=7.482) , (RR=1.367), (RR=1.267), (RR=1.185), (RR=1.162) ( -13). 98. 102 -12 : () ~~RelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-value 1.059 .0001 1.156 .0001 1.322 .0001 - - 1.057 0.0064 1.115 0.003 1.3 .0001 1.393 0.0089 1.125 .0001 1.232 .0001 1.183 0.0006 - 1.067 0.013 - - - - - - - 1.159 .0001 1.34 .0001 - 1.47 .0001 2.007 .0001 2.945 .0001 1.442 .0001 1.929 .0001 2.533 .0001 - - - - - - 1.085 0.0008 - - 1.068 0.0708 - 1.254 0.0597 1.092 0.0071 1.24 .0001 - - - - 1.025 .0001 1.088 .0001 1.091 .0001 1.224 .0001 1.682 .0001 2.171 .0001 - - - - - - 1.055 .0001 1.104 .0001 1.156 .0001 1.067 .0001 1.213 .0001 1.387 .0001 - - - - - - 1.062 .0001 1.173 .0001 1.322 .0001 1.064 .0001 1.184 .0001 1.381 .0001 1.006 0.0043 1.013 .0001 1.02 0.0175 - 1.042 .0001 1.15 .0001 - - 1.083 .0001 1.049 .0001 1.117 .0001 1.138 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.729 0.0001 2.768 .0001 4.344 .0001: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 99. 2 103 -13 : () ~~RelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-value - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.421 0.0233 - - - - - - - - - - 2.969 0.0003 - 7.482 0.0497 1.303 .0001 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.07 .0001 1.115 .0001 - 1.487 .0001 2.009 .0001 - - - - - - - 1.049 0.0001 1.082 0.0008 - 1.119 .0001 1.197 .0001 - - 1.785 0.0263 - - - - - 1.11 0.0104 1.267 0.0635 1.057 0.0537 1.189 0.0009 1.367 0.0494 - - - 1.086 .0001 1.128 .0001 - 1.095 .0001 1.154 .0001 1.185 0.0563 1.075 .0001 1.141 .0001 1.162 0.0382 - 1.644 0.0005 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3.638 0.0144 - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 100. 104 . 1) , -14 (RR=5.259) . (RR=3.423), (RR=2.713), (RR=2.574), (RR=2.554), (RR=2.484), (RR=2.416), (RR=2.177), (RR=1.797), (RR=1.76), (RR=1.743), (RR=1.712), (RR=1.704), - - (RR=1.692), (RR=1.568) ( -14). . , -15 (RR=3.652) . (RR=2.75), (RR=2.087), (RR=2.086), (RR=2.052), (RR=1.976), (RR=1.923), (RR=1.797), (RR=1.655), (RR=1.645), (RR=1.598), - - 101. 2 105(RR=1.553), (RR=1.545), (RR=1.534), (RR=1.503) . (RR=2.788) , (RR=2.393), (RR=2.379), (RR=2.179), (RR=2.029), (RR=1.838), (RR=1.763), (RR=1.734), (RR=1.708), (RR=1.689), (RR=1.546), (RR=1.504), (RR=1.378), (RR=1.359), (RR=1.348) ( -15). 102. 106 -14 : Relative Risk P-value - 1.712 .0001 - 1.049 0.0017 2.574 .0001 - - 1.443 .0001 2.554 .0001 - 2.416 0.0027 1.079 0.0002 3.423 .0001 1.564 .0001 1.409 .0001 5.259 0.0044 1.183 .0001 1.455 .0001 1.797 .0001 1.743 .0001 1.568 .0001 2.177 .0001- - 1.692 .0001 1.76 .0001 2.484 .0001 1.391 .0001 1.18 .0001 1.558 .0001 2.713 .0001 1.073 .0001 - : - - 1.704 .0001 - - 1.252 0.0003: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 103. 2 107 -15 : (, ) RelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-value 1.039 .0001 1.12 .0001 1.797 .0001 - 1.069 .0001 1.105 .0001 1.11 .0001 1.076 0.0015 2.086 .0001 - - 1.076 0.0223 1.053 .0001 - 1.303 .0001 1.378 .0001 2.087 .0001 2.393 .0001 1.061 .0001 1.253 .0001 1.976 0.0342 2.029 0.3401 - 1.192 .0001 2.75 .0001 - 1.425 .0001 1.546 .0001 1.235 .0001 1.504 .0001 3.652 0.0262 - 1.159 .0001 1.195 .0001 1.404 .0001 1.708 .0001 1.645 .0001 1.838 .0001 1.598 .0001 1.763 .0001 1.469 .0001 1.734 .0001 1.655 .0001 2.379 0.0058- - 1.553 .0001 - 1.534 .0001 1.348 .0001 1.923 .0001 2.179 .0001 1.13 .0001 1.359 .0001 1.116 .0001 1.231 .0001 1.545 .0001 1.172 0.0014 2.052 .0001 2.788 0.0476 - - - - : - - - - 1.503 0.0002 1.689 0.0039 - - - - 1.389 .0001 -: , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 104. 108 2) -16~18 . ( RR=2.797, RR=4.669) . (RR=2.784), (RR=2.7), (RR=2.341), (RR=2.328), (RR=2.219), (RR=1.903), (RR=1.813), (RR=1.78), - - (RR=1.766), (RR=1.731), (RR=1.71), (RR=1.67), (RR=1.409), (RR=1.282) . (RR=4.18), (RR=4.041), (RR=3.779), (RR=3.461), (RR=3.368), (RR=2.953), (RR=2.477), (RR=2.446), - - (RR=2.42), (RR=2.343), (RR=2.257), (RR=2.246), (RR=1.706), (RR=1.516) ( -16). 105. 2 109 -16 : RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value - - 1.71 .0001 2.246 .0001 - - 1.107 .0001 1.327 .0001 1.409 .0001 1.706 .0001 - - - - 1.124 .0001 1.258 .0001 2.341 .0001 3.461 .0001 1.031 0.009 1.087 .0001 2.7 .0001 4.18 .0001 1.115 .0001 1.293 .0001 2.797 .0001 4.669 .0001 1.084 .0001 1.116 .0001 - - 1.813 0.0167 3.368 .0001 - 1.05 0.0219 1.079 .0001 1.092 0.0014 1.282 .0001 1.516 .0001 1.058 .0001 1.138 .0001 1.08 .0001 1.181 .0001 2.328 .0001 3.779 .0001- - 1.766 .0001 2.42 .0001 1.78 .0001 2.343 .0001 2.219 .0001 2.953 .0001 1.67 .0001 2.446 .0001 - 1.105 0.0001 1.731 .0001 2.257 .0001 2.784 .0001 4.041 .0001 - - - 1.23 0.0988 : - - - - 1.903 .0001 2.477 .0001 - - - - 1.211 0.0041 1.392 0.0008: , , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 106. 110 , -17 (RR=2.786), (RR=4.593) . (RR=2.737), (RR=2.724), (RR=2.339), (RR=2.321), (RR=2.206), (RR=1.932), (RR=1.899), (RR=1.776), (RR=1.751), - - (RR=1.739), (RR=1.738), (RR=1.676), (RR=1.516), (RR=1.407) . (RR=4.019), (RR=4.0), (RR=3.839), (RR=3.531), (RR=3.414), (RR=2.905), (RR=2.479), - - (RR=2.471), (RR=2.441), (RR=2.296), (RR=2.288), (RR=2.245), (RR=1.707), (RR=1.522) ( -17). -18 (RR=6.134), (RR=7.566) 107. 2 111 . (RR=4.05), (RR=2.455), (RR=2.427), (RR=2.329), (RR=2.063), - - (RR=1.87), (RR=1.782), (RR=1.633), (RR=1.259), (RR=1.213), (RR=1.073), (RR=1.038), (RR=1.026) . (RR=6.967), (RR=5.078), (RR=4.439), (RR=3.781), (RR=2.748), (RR=2.433), (RR=1.858), (RR=1.49), (RR=1.461), (RR=1.23), (RR=1.212), (RR=1.197), (RR=1.183), (RR=1.176) ( -18). 108. 112 -17 : () RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value - - 1.751 .0001 2.245 .0001 - - 1.119 .0001 1.323 .0001 1.407 .0001 1.707 .0001 1.516 0.0183 - - - 1.134 .0001 1.261 .0001 2.321 .0001 3.414 .0001 - 1.041 0.0571 2.786 .0001 4.019 .0001 1.115 .0001 1.316 .0001 2.724 .0001 4.593 .0001 1.098 .0001 1.116 .0001 - - 1.932 0.0084 3.531 .0001 - - 1.104 .0001 1.081 0.0088 1.294 .0001 1.522 .0001 1.072 .0001 1.144 .0001 1.093 .0001 1.177 .0001 2.339 .0001 3.839 .0001- - 1.739 .0001 2.471 .0001 1.738 .0001 2.288 .0001 2.206 .0001 2.905 .0001 1.676 .0001 2.479 .0001 - 1.09 0.0017 1.776 .0001 2.296 .0001 2.737 .0001 4.0 .0001 - - - - : - - - - 1.899 .0001 2.441 .0001 - - - - 1.222 0.0051 1.497 .0001: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 109. 2 113 -18 : () RelativeP-valueRiskRelativeRiskP-value - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1.038 0.0327 1.176 .0001 2.427 .0001 3.781 .0001 1.073 0.0014 1.176 .0001 - 7.566 0.0092 - - 6.134 0.0003 6.967 0.0129 1.026 0.0228 1.212 .0001 - 1.078 0.0869 - - - - - 1.197 0.0145 1.213 0.0008 1.461 0.0003 - - - 1.183 0.0053 2.329 0.0018 -- - 1.87 0.0012 - 2.063 .0001 2.748 .0001 2.455 .0001 4.439 .0001 1.633 .0001 1.858 .0001 - - 1.259 0.0067 1.49 0.008 4.05 .0001 5.078 0.0028 - - - 1.23 0.0988 : - - - - 1.782 0.0071 2.433 0.0069 - - - - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 110. 114 . 1) , -19~20 (RR=2.245) . (RR=2.228), (RR=1.912), (RR=1.731), (RR=1.691), (RR=1.59), (RR=1.491), (RR=1.49), (RR=1.456), (RR=1.391), (RR=1.372),(RR=1.366), (RR=1.196), (RR=1.132), (RR=1.126) (-19). , -20 (RR=1.869) . (RR=1.838), (RR=1.819), (RR=1.482), (RR=1.44), (RR=1.283), (RR=1.177), (RR=1.148), (RR=1.135), (RR=1.119), (RR=1.103), (RR=1.077), (RR=1.021) . (RR=3.04) , (RR=2.968), (RR=2.453), (RR=2.357), 111. 2 115(RR=2.313), (RR=2.279), (RR=2.242),(RR=2.09), (RR=1.88), (RR=1.861), (RR=1.671), (RR=1.599), (RR=1.593), (RR=1.398), (RR=1.357) ( -20). -19 : Relative Risk P-value - 1.126 .0001 1.132 .0001 - 1.366 .0001 - 1.372 .0001 1.691 .0001 2.228 .0001 1.912 .0001 2.245 .0001 1.731 .0001 1.59 .0001 1.49 .0001 1.456 .0001 1.09 .0001 1.391 .0001 1.491 .0001 1.196 .0001 - - - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 112. 116 -20 : (, ) RelativeRiskP-valueRelativeRiskP-value - 1.398 .0001 1.119 .0001 1.357 .0001 - 1.671 .0001 - 1.292 .0001 - 1.88 .0001 - 1.09 .0001 1.103 .0001 - 1.482 .0001 1.861 .0001 1.838 .0001 2.968 .0001 1.819 .0001 2.242 .0001 1.869 .0001 3.04 .0001 1.44 .0001 2.279 .0001 1.148 0.0007 2.453 .0001 1.021 0.0808 2.313 .0001 1.135 .0001 2.09 .0001 - 1.346 .0001 1.283 .0001 1.593 .0001 1.177 .0001 2.357 .0001 1.077 .0001 1.599 .0001 - - - - - - - -: , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 113. 2 1172) -21~23 , . (RR=1.811) , (RR=1.77), (RR=1.721), (RR=1.54), (RR=1.502), (RR=1.402), (RR=1.366), (RR=1.34),(RR=1.281), (RR=1.277), (RR=1.227), (RR=1.194), (RR=1.167), (RR=1.119),(RR=1.095) . (RR=2.638) , (RR=2.62),(RR=2.073), (RR=1.891), (RR=1.849),(RR=1.847), (RR=1.708), (RR=1.598), (RR=1.551), (RR=1.507), (RR=1.482), (RR=1.347), (RR=1.22), (RR=1.162), (RR=1.133) ( -21). 114. 118 -21 : Relative Risk P-value Relative Risk P-value - - 1.119 .0001 1.133 .0001 1.095 .0001 1.162 .0001 - - 1.194 .0001 1.507 .0001 - - 1.402 .0001 1.347 .0001 1.502 .0001 1.847 .0001 1.77 .0001 2.62 .0001 1.721 .0001 2.073 .0001 1.811 .0001 2.638 .0001 1.54 .0001 1.891 .0001 1.277 .0001 1.849 .0001 1.227 .0001 1.708 .0001 1.34 .0001 1.551 .0001 1.048 .0001 1.125 .0001 1.281 .0001 1.482 .0001 1.366 .0001 1.598 .0001 1.167 .0001 1.22 .0001 - - - - - - - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . , -22 (RR=1.619) , (RR=1.553),(RR=1.509), (RR=1.348), (RR=1.319), 115. 2 119(RR=1.206), (RR=1.142), (RR=1.139), (RR=1.117), (RR=1.102), (RR=1.073) . (RR=2.143) , (RR=2.112), (RR=1.984), (RR=1.591), (RR=1.539), (RR=1.345), (RR=1.228), (RR=1.206), (RR=1.162), (RR=1.121), (RR=1.08), (RR=1.079), (RR=1.074) ( -22). -23 (RR=2.315) , (RR=2.227), (RR=2.027), (RR=1.966), (RR=1.93), (RR=1.794), (RR=1.725), (RR=1.696), (RR=1.612), (RR=1.554),(RR=1.503), (RR=1.478), (RR=1.416), (RR=1.327), (RR=1.299) . (RR=3.761) , (RR=3.636), (RR=3.099), (RR=2.816), (RR=2.742), (RR=2.583), (RR=2.43),(RR=2.347), (RR=2.122), (RR=2.108), (RR=1.816), (RR=1.746), (RR=1.713), (RR=1.482),(RR=1.451) ( -23). 116. 120 -22 : () Relative Risk P-value Relative Risk P-value - - 1.117 .0001 1.121 .0001 - - - - - - - - 1.139 .0001 1.074 .0001 1.348 .0001 1.591 .0001 1.509 .0001 2.112 .0001 1.619 .0001 1.984 .0001 1.553 .0001 2.143 .0001 1.319 .0001 1.539 .0001 - 1.228 .0001 - 1.079 .0001 1.102 .0001 1.162 .0001 - - 1.206 .0001 1.345 .0001 1.142 .0001 1.206 .0001 1.073 .0001 1.08 .0001 - - - - - - - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 117. 2 121 -23 : () Relative Risk P-value Relative Risk P-value 1.299 .0001 1.482 .0001 1.327 .0001 1.381 .0001 1.503 .0001 1.816 .0001 1.283 .0001 1.299 .0001 1.612 .0001 2.108 .0001 1.104 0.0003 1.077 0.0047 - - 1.554 .0001 2.122 .0001 2.227 .0001 3.636 .0001 2.027 .0001 2.43 .0001 2.315 .0001 3.761 .0001 1.93 .0001 2.583 .0001 1.696 .0001 3.099 .0001 1.725 .0001 2.816 .0001 1.794 .0001 2.347 .0001 1.226 .0001 1.451 .0001 1.416 .0001 1.746 .0001 1.966 .0001 2.742 .0001 1.478 .0001 1.713 .0001 - - - - - - - -: , , , , ; - , RR 1 1 . 118. 122 3. . . 2010 (raw data) -24 . 40.7%, 37.1%, 22.1% , 89.1%, 5.7%, 5.2% . , -25 ~ 42.%, ~ 35.3%, 16.2%, 5.6% . 58.9%, ~ 29.2%, ~ 11.1%, 0.8% . 119. 2 123 -24 : , (: , %) 19 169 ( 89.9) 3 ( 1.6) 16 ( 8.5) 188 (100.0)20~24 47 ( 37.0) 20 ( 15.7) 60 ( 47.2) 127 (100.0)25~29 47 ( 26.7) 37 ( 21.0) 92 ( 52.3) 176 (100.0)30~34 34 ( 14.5) 51 ( 21.8) 149 ( 63.7) 234 (100.0)35~39 53 ( 16.6) 86 ( 26.9) 181 ( 56.6) 320 (100.0)40~44 56 ( 20.1) 76 ( 27.3) 146 ( 52.5) 278 (100.0)45~49 30 ( 13.2) 89 ( 39.0) 109 ( 47.8) 228 (100.0)50~54 32 ( 12.3) 115 ( 44.1) 114 ( 43.7) 261 (100.0)55~59 37 ( 16.6) 105 ( 47.1) 81 ( 36.3) 223 (100.0)60~64 36 ( 15.4) 125 ( 53.4) 73 ( 31.2) 234 (100.0)65~69 35 ( 14.8) 142 ( 59.9) 60 ( 25.3) 237 (100.0)70~74 33 ( 16.2) 120 ( 58.8) 51 ( 25.0) 204 (100.0)75~79 16 ( 17.2) 57 ( 61.3) 20 ( 21.5) 93 (100.0)80 6 ( 12.5) 33 ( 68.8) 9 ( 18.8) 48 (100.0) 631 ( 22.1) 1,059 ( 37.1) 1,161 ( 40.7) 2,851 (100.0) 19 181 ( 93.3) 6 ( 3.1) 7 ( 3.6) 194 (100.0)20~24 159 ( 83.2) 15 ( 7.9) 17 ( 8.9) 191 (100.0)25~29 195 ( 74.1) 42 ( 16.0) 26 ( 9.9) 263 (100.0)30~34 283 ( 82.7) 39 ( 11.4) 20 ( 5.8) 342 (100.0)35~39 354 ( 87.8) 24 ( 6.0) 25 ( 6.2) 403 (100.0)40~44 273 ( 90.4) 16 ( 5.3) 13 ( 4.3) 302 (100.0)45~49 287 ( 90.0) 10 ( 3.1) 22 ( 6.9) 319 (100.0)50~54 358 ( 94.5) 6 ( 1.6) 15 ( 4.0) 379 (100.0)55~59 279 ( 96.2) 6 ( 2.1) 5 ( 1.7) 290 (100.0)60~64 251 ( 90.6) 16 ( 5.8) 10 ( 3.6) 277 (100.0)65~69 261 ( 93.5) 9 ( 3.2) 9 ( 3.2) 279 (100.0)70~74 217 ( 93.9) 6 ( 2.6) 8 ( 3.5) 231 (100.0)75~79 113 ( 85.6) 10 ( 7.6) 9 ( 6.8) 132 (100.0)80 61 ( 85.9) 6 ( 8.5) 4 ( 5.6) 71 (100.0) 3,272 ( 89.1) 211 ( 5.7) 190 ( 5.2) 3,673 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 120. 124 -25 (: , %)~~ 19 5 ( 27.8) 10 ( 55.6) 2 ( 11.1) 1 ( 5.6) 18 (100.0)20~24 23 ( 29.9) 35 ( 45.5) 18 ( 23.4) 1 ( 1.3) 77 (100.0)25~29 33 ( 26.2) 62 ( 49.2) 30 ( 23.8) 1 ( 0.8) 126 (100.0)30~34 41 ( 20.9) 86 ( 43.9) 65 ( 33.2) 4 ( 2.0) 196 (100.0)35~39 35 ( 13.3) 123 ( 46.6) 100 ( 37.9) 6 ( 2.3) 264 (100.0)40~44 30 ( 13.6) 80 ( 36.2) 103 ( 46.6) 8 ( 3.6) 221 (100.0)45~49 19 ( 9.7) 66 ( 33.7) 97 ( 49.5) 14 ( 7.1) 196 (100.0)50~54 23 ( 10.1) 71 ( 31.3) 117 ( 51.5) 16 ( 7.0) 227 (100.0)55~59 21 ( 11.4) 55 ( 29.7) 98 ( 53.0) 11 ( 5.9) 185 (100.0)60~64 32 ( 16.2) 49 ( 24.9) 97 ( 49.2) 19 ( 9.6) 197 (100.0)65~69 38 ( 19.0) 56 ( 28.0) 89 ( 44.5) 17 ( 8.5) 200 (100.0)70~74 33 ( 19.3) 46 ( 26.9) 75 ( 43.9) 17 ( 9.9) 171 (100.0)75~79 9 ( 11.7) 29 ( 37.7) 33 ( 42.9) 6 ( 7.8) 77 (100.0)80 13 ( 31.0) 8 ( 19.0) 19 ( 45.2) 2 ( 4.8) 42 (100.0) 355 ( 16.2) 776 ( 35.3) 943 ( 42.9) 123 ( 5.6) 2,197 (100.0)19 9 ( 69.2) 3 ( 23.1) 1 ( 7.7) - ( 0.0) 13 (100.0)20~24 21 ( 70.0) 8 ( 26.7) 1 ( 3.3) - ( 0.0) 30 (100.0)25~29 41 ( 64.1) 17 ( 26.6) 6 ( 9.4) - ( 0.0) 64 (100.0)30~34 33 ( 60.0) 18 ( 32.7) 4 ( 7.3) - ( 0.0) 55 (100.0)35~39 28 ( 60.9) 17 ( 37.0) 1 ( 2.2) - ( 0.0) 46 (100.0)40~44 17 ( 63.0) 8 ( 29.6) 2 ( 7.4) - ( 0.0) 27 (100.0)45~49 15 ( 48.4) 10 ( 32.3) 6 ( 19.4) - ( 0.0) 31 (100.0)50~54 9 ( 45.0) 8 ( 40.0) 3 ( 15.0) - ( 0.0) 20 (100.0)55~59 8 ( 72.7) 1 ( 9.1) 2 ( 18.2) - ( 0.0) 11 (100.0)60~64 13 ( 52.0) 7 ( 28.0) 3 ( 12.0) 2 ( 8.0) 25 (100.0)65~69 10 ( 58.8) 3 ( 17.6) 3 ( 17.6) 1 ( 5.9) 17 (100.0)70~74 5 ( 35.7) 3 ( 21.4) 6 ( 42.9) - ( 0.0) 14 (100.0)75~79 9 ( 50.0) 5 ( 27.8) 4 ( 22.2) - ( 0.0) 18 (100.0)80 6 ( 66.7) 3 ( 33.3) 0 ( 0.0) 0 ( 0.0) 9 (100.0) 224 ( 58.9) 111 ( 29.2) 42 ( 11.1) 3 ( 0.8) 380 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 121. 2 1251) , , -26 (PAR=0.2351), (PAR=0.3519) . (PAR=0.2348), (PAR=0.1901), (PAR=0.1649), (PAR=0.1597), (PAR=0.1561), (PAR=0.1415), (PAR=0.1347), (PAR=0.1326), (PAR=0.1183), (PAR=0.0989),(PAR=0.0940), (PAR=0.0938), (PAR=0.0914), (PAR=0.0840) . (PAR=0.2644), (PAR=0.2524), (PAR=0.1918), (PAR=0.1600), (PAR=0.1363), (PAR=0.1196), (PAR=0.1131), (PAR=0.1054), (PAR=0.0962), (PAR=0.0931), (PAR=0.0819), (PAR=0.0685), (PAR=0.0627), (PAR=0.0494) ( -26). 122. 126 -26 : 0.0412 0.0432 0.0146 - 0.1597 0.1600 0.1326 0.1131 0.1347 0.0685 0.0574 - 0.0263 - 0.0940 0.0931 0.2348 0.2644 0.1901 0.2524 - - - - 0.2351 0.1054 0.0914 0.0475 0.1561 0.1363 0.0515 - 0.0144 - 0.0531 0.1918 0.1649 0.0819 0.0282 - 0.0938 0.0421 0.0989 0.0475 0.1415 0.1196 0.0682 - 0.1183 0.0962 0.0840 0.0494 0.0119 - 0.0127 - 0.0077 - 0.0313 0.0090 0.0737 0.0627 - - - - - - - - - - - 0.3519: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 123. 2 127 , -27 (PAR=0.2938) . (PAR=0.2889), (PAR=0.2831), (PAR=0.2639), (PAR=0.2604), (PAR=0.2278), (PAR=0.1889), (PAR=0.1865), (PAR=0.1860), (PAR=0.1845), (PAR=0.1634), (PAR=0.1402), (PAR=0.1397),(PAR=0.1374), (PAR=0.1245) . (PAR=0.4265) , (PAR=0.3405), (PAR=0.3214), (PAR=0.2580), (PAR=0.2535), (PAR=0.1982), (PAR=0.1493), (PAR=0.1472), (PAR=0.1404), (PAR=0.1374), (PAR=0.1216), (PAR=0.0984), (PAR=0.0961), (PAR=0.0736),(PAR=0.0715) ( -27). -28 . (PAR=0.1902) , (PAR=0.1027), (PAR=0.0821), (PAR=0.0694), (PAR=0.0665), (PAR=0.0600), 124. 128 (PAR=0.0535), (PAR=0.0533), (PAR=0.0457), (PAR=0.0390), (PAR=0.0381), (PAR=0.0327), (PAR=0.0322), (PAR=0.0294), (PAR=0.0254) . (PAR=0.2746) , (PAR=0.2132), (PAR=0.1375), (PAR=0.1172), (PAR=0.1168), (PAR=0.1112), (PAR=0.1107), (PAR=0.0904), (PAR=0.0837), (PAR=0.0816), (PAR=0.0744), (PAR=0.0693), (PAR=0.0580), (PAR=0.0560), (PAR=0.0536) ( -28). 125. 2 129 -27 : () 0.0701 0.0736 0.0630 - 0.2604 0.2580 0.1860 0.1493 0.1889 0.0715 0.1136 - 0.0649 - 0.1374 0.1216 0.2889 0.3214 0.2639 0.3405 - - - - 0.2938 0.0961 0.1033 - 0.1865 0.1472 - - 0.0768 - 0.0454 0.2535 0.2831 0.1374 0.0759 - 0.1402 0.0414 0.1397 0.0421 0.2278 0.1982 0.1245 - 0.1845 0.1404 0.1634 0.0984 0.0268 - 0.0423 0.0180 0.0434 - 0.0508 0.0069 0.0803 0.0525 - - - - - - - - - - - 0.4265: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 126. 130 -28 : () - 0.0090 0.0155 0.0150 - 0.0580 0.0457 0.0744 0.0600 0.0904 - 0.0290 - 0.0077 0.0381 0.1168 - - 0.0821 0.2132 - 0.0363 - - - - 0.0535 0.0816 0.1902 0.2746 - 0.0463 0.0061 - 0.0254 0.1375 0.0665 0.1112 0.0322 0.0252 0.0390 0.0693 0.0533 0.0837 0.1027 0.1107 0.0200 0.0181 0.0694 0.1172 0.0327 0.0560 0.0111 0.0089 0.0035 0.0155 0.0102 0.0250 0.0148 0.0193 0.0294 0.0536 - - - - - - - - - - - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 127. 2 1312) , -29 ~, ~, ( PAR=0.2138, PAR=0.4105, PAR=0.1414) . ~ (PAR=0.1441), (PAR=0.1274), (PAR=0.0716), (PAR=0.0447), (PAR=0.0390),(PAR=0.0365), (PAR=0.0284), (PAR=0.0284), (PAR=0.0232), (PAR=0.0219), (PAR=0.0192), (PAR=0.0186), (PAR=0.0182), (PAR=0.0179) . ~ (PAR=0.2797), (PAR=0.2543), (PAR=0.2058),(PAR=0.1056), (PAR=0.1001), (PAR=0.0795), (PAR=0.0789), (PAR=0.0736), (PAR=0.0624),(PAR=0.0580), (PAR=0.0552), (PAR=0.0418), (PAR=0.0372), (PAR=0.0340) . (PAR=0.0885), (PAR=0.0678), (PAR=0.0536), (PAR=0.0183), (PAR=0.0181), (PAR=0.0175), 128. 132 (PAR=0.0151), (PAR=0.0151), (PAR=0.0126),(PAR=0.0081), (PAR=0.0075), (PAR=0.0073),(PAR=0.0067), (PAR=0.0052) . ( -29). 129. 2 133 -29 : ~~ 0.0186 0.0552 0.0151 - - 0.0031 0.0365 0.1001 0.0175 0.0390 0.0789 0.0081 - 0.0261 - - - - - - - 0.0447 0.1056 - 0.1441 0.2797 0.0885 0.1274 0.2543 0.0678 - - - - - - 0.0284 - - 0.0232 - 0.0126 0.0284 0.0795 - - - - 0.0089 0.0340 0.0052 0.0716 0.2058 0.0536 - - - - - - 0.0179 0.0372 0.0073 0.0219 0.0736 0.0181 - - - - - - 0.0182 0.0580 0.0151 0.0192 0.0624 0.0183 0.0021 0.0042 0.0008 0.0021 0.0169 0.0075 - - 0.0046 0.0159 0.0418 0.0067 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.2138 0.4105 0.1414: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 130. 134 , -30~31 ~, ~, (PAR=0.2048, PAR=0.4315, PAR=0.1577) . ~ (PAR=0.1424), (PAR=0.1350), (PAR=0.0733), (PAR=0.0532), (PAR=0.0423), (PAR=0.0390),(PAR=0.0315), (PAR=0.0291), (PAR=0.0235), (PAR=0.0231), (PAR=0.0221), (PAR=0.0214), (PAR=0.0204), (PAR=0.0191) . ~ (PAR=0.3018), (PAR=0.2851), (PAR=0.2264),(PAR=0.1274), (PAR=0.1141), (PAR=0.0934), (PAR=0.0906), (PAR=0.0838), (PAR=0.0732),(PAR=0.0691), (PAR=0.0628), (PAR=0.0478), (PAR=0.0427), (PAR=0.0364) . (PAR=0.0982), (PAR=0.0790), (PAR=0.0615), (PAR=0.0215), (PAR=0.0212), (PAR=0.0209), (PAR=0.0177), (PAR=0.0177), (PAR=0.0140),(PAR=0.0101), (PAR=0.0087), (PAR=0.0083),(PAR=0.0077), (PAR=0.0051) 131. 2 135 . , , , , ( -30). 132. 136 -30 : () ~~ 0.0204 0.0628 0.0177 - - 0.0032 0.0390 0.1141 0.0215 0.0423 0.0906 0.0101 - 0.0280 - - - - - - - 0.0532 0.1274 - 0.1424 0.3018 0.0982 0.1350 0.2851 0.0790 - - - - - - 0.0291 - - 0.0235 - 0.0140 0.0315 0.0934 - - - - 0.0088 0.0364 0.0051 0.0733 0.2264 0.0615 - - - - - - 0.0191 0.0427 0.0087 0.0231 0.0838 0.0212 - - - - - - 0.0214 0.0691 0.0177 0.0221 0.0732 0.0209 0.0021 0.0055 0.0011 - 0.0177 0.0083 - - 0.0046 0.0170 0.0478 0.0077 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.2048 0.4315 0.1577: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 133. 2 137 ( -31). ~ (PAR=0.4352) , . ~ (PAR=0.3651), (PAR=0.1245), (PAR=0.0813), (PAR=0.0336), (PAR=0.0270), (PAR=0.0245), (PAR=0.0214), (PAR=0.0200),(PAR=0.0164), (PAR=0.0141) . ~ (PAR=0.1003), (PAR=0.0798), (PAR=0.0664),(PAR=0.0445), (PAR=0.0213), (PAR=0.0205), (PAR=0.0167), (PAR=0.0153), (PAR=0.0140), (PAR=0.0126), (PAR=0.0120), (PAR=0.0090) . (PAR=0.0487) , (PAR=0.0029), (PAR=0.0021), (PAR=0.0015), (PAR=0.0013) ( -31). 134. 138 -31 : () ~~ - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0445 - - - - - - - - - - 0.3651 - 0.0487 0.0813 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.0200 0.0126 - 0.1245 0.1003 - - - - - - - 0.0141 0.0090 - 0.0336 0.0213 - - 0.0798 - - - - - 0.0120 0.0021 0.0164 0.0205 0.0029 - - - 0.0245 0.0140 - 0.0270 0.0167 0.0015 0.0214 0.0153 0.0013 - 0.0664 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.4352 - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 135. 2 139. 2010 (-32) ( -33) . , 88.8%, 11.2% . 20~24 99.2% . 79.9% , 20.1% 20~24 89.9% . -4 WHO (low risk drinking), (medium risk drinking), (high risk drinking) , 41.9%, 39.3%, 18.7% . 55.2%, 24.8%, 20.1% . 25~29 . 136. 140 -32 : , (: , %) 19 16 ( 12.4) 113 ( 87.6) 129 (100.0)20~24 1 ( 0.8) 123 ( 99.2) 124 (100.0)25~29 5 ( 2.9) 166 ( 97.1) 171 (100.0)30~34 7 ( 3.1) 220 ( 96.9) 227 (100.0)35~39 12 ( 3.8) 301 ( 96.2) 313 (100.0)40~44 16 ( 6.0) 251 ( 94.0) 267 (100.0)45~49 19 ( 8.7) 199 ( 91.3) 218 (100.0)50~54 26 ( 10.3) 226 ( 89.7) 252 (100.0)55~59 26 ( 12.5) 182 ( 87.5) 208 (100.0)60~64 29 ( 13.4) 188 ( 86.6) 217 (100.0)65~69 44 ( 20.5) 171 ( 79.5) 215 (100.0)70~74 40 ( 23.4) 131 ( 76.6) 171 (100.0)75~79 34 ( 41.5) 48 ( 58.5) 82 (100.0)80 19 ( 45.2) 23 ( 54.8) 42 (100.0) 294 ( 11.2) 2,342 ( 88.8) 2,636 (100.0) 19 22 ( 15.9) 116 ( 84.1) 138 (100.0)20~24 18 ( 10.1) 161 ( 89.9) 179 (100.0)25~29 52 ( 21.3) 192 ( 78.7) 244 (100.0)30~34 76 ( 23.0) 255 ( 77.0) 331 (100.0)35~39 40 ( 10.8) 331 ( 89.2) 371 (100.0)40~44 37 ( 13.9) 230 ( 86.1) 267 (100.0)45~49 40 ( 15.0) 227 ( 85.0) 267 (100.0)50~54 55 ( 19.0) 235 ( 81.0) 290 (100.0)55~59 45 ( 21.5) 164 ( 78.5) 209 (100.0)60~64 52 ( 30.8) 117 ( 69.2) 169 (100.0)65~69 46 ( 26.9) 125 ( 73.1) 171 (100.0)70~74 42 ( 36.8) 72 ( 63.2) 114 (100.0)75~79 35 ( 51.5) 33 ( 48.5) 68 (100.0)80 14 ( 42.4) 19 ( 57.6) 33 (100.0) 574 ( 20.1) 2,277 ( 79.9) 2,851 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 137. 2 141 -33 : (low riskdrinking) (medium riskdrinking) (high riskdrinking)(: , %)19 31 ( 27.4) 23 ( 20.4) 59 ( 52.2) 113 (100.0)20~24 29 ( 23.6) 34 ( 27.6) 60 ( 48.8) 123 (100.0)25~29 39 ( 23.5) 27 ( 16.3) 100 ( 60.2) 166 (100.0)30~34 49 ( 22.3) 46 ( 20.9) 125 ( 56.8) 220 (100.0)35~39 88 ( 29.2) 53 ( 17.6) 160 ( 53.2) 301 (100.0)40~44 76 ( 30.3) 49 ( 19.5) 126 ( 50.2) 251 (100.0)45~49 75 ( 37.7) 42 ( 21.1) 82 ( 41.2) 199 (100.0)50~54 76 ( 33.6) 44 ( 19.5) 106 ( 46.9) 226 (100.0)55~59 88 ( 48.4) 41 ( 22.5) 53 ( 29.1) 182 (100.0)60~64 112 ( 59.6) 33 ( 17.6) 43 ( 22.9) 188 (100.0)65~69 107 ( 62.6) 26 ( 15.2) 38 ( 22.2) 171 (100.0)70~74 94 ( 71.8) 16 ( 12.2) 21 ( 16.0) 131 (100.0)75~79 38 ( 79.2) 3 ( 6.3) 7 ( 14.6) 48 (100.0)80 19 ( 82.6) 2 ( 8.7) 2 ( 8.7) 23 (100.0) 921 ( 39.3) 439 ( 18.7) 982 ( 41.9) 2,342 (100.0)19 29 ( 25.0) 33 ( 28.4) 54 ( 46.6) 116 (100.0)20~24 44 ( 27.3) 37 ( 23.0) 80 ( 49.7) 161 (100.0)25~29 81 ( 42.2) 36 ( 18.8) 75 ( 39.1) 192 (100.0)30~34 131 ( 51.4) 59 ( 23.1) 65 ( 25.5) 255 (100.0)35~39 194 ( 58.6) 79 ( 23.9) 58 ( 17.5) 331 (100.0)40~44 128 ( 55.7) 68 ( 29.6) 34 ( 14.8) 230 (100.0)45~49 115 ( 50.7) 80 ( 35.2) 32 ( 14.1) 227 (100.0)50~54 141 ( 60.0) 69 ( 29.4) 25 ( 10.6) 235 (100.0)55~59 110 ( 67.1) 34 ( 20.7) 20 ( 12.2) 164 (100.0)60~64 87 ( 74.4) 23 ( 19.7) 7 ( 6.0) 117 (100.0)65~69 93 ( 74.4) 27 ( 21.6) 5 ( 4.0) 125 (100.0)70~74 55 ( 76.4) 16 ( 22.2) 1 ( 1.4) 72 (100.0)75~79 29 ( 87.9) 3 ( 9.1) 1 ( 3.0) 33 (100.0)80 19 (100.0) - ( 0.0) - ( 0.0) 19 (100.0) 1,256 ( 55.2) 564 ( 24.8) 457 ( 20.1) 2,277 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 138. 142 1) , -34 (PAR=0.7819) . (PAR=0.6710), (PAR=0.5905), (PAR=0.5699), (PAR=0.5668), (PAR=0.5554), (PAR=0.5438), (PAR=0.4977), (PAR=0.4015), (PAR=0.3902), (PAR=0.3848), (PAR=0.3748), (PAR=0.3721), - - (PAR=0.3681), (PAR=0.3235) . . , (PAR=0.7020) . (PAR=0.6086), (PAR=0.4913), (PAR=0.4911), (PAR=0.4831), (PAR=0.4644), (PAR=0.4506), (PAR=0.4146), (PAR=0.3679), (PAR=0.3643), (PAR=0.3470), - - (PAR=0.3295), (PAR=0.3262), (PAR=0.3218), (PAR=0.3089) 139. 2 143 . (PAR=0.5881) , (PAR=0.5266),(PAR=0.5241), (PAR=0.4850), (PAR=0.4511), (PAR=0.4009), (PAR=0.3786), (PAR=0.3696), (PAR=0.3612), (PAR=0.3550), (PAR=0.3037), (PAR=0.2870),(PAR=0.2319), (PAR=0.2228), (PAR=0.2175) ( -34). 140. 144 -34 : - 0.0335 0.0875 0.3748 0.4146 - - 0.0578 0.0774 0.0396 0.0890 0.0572 0.5699 0.4911 - - - 0.0572 - 0.0450 - 0.2716 0.2121 0.2319 0.5668 0.4913 0.5266 - 0.0514 0.1681 0.5438 0.4644 0.4511 0.0624 - 0.1330 0.6710 0.6086 - 0.3219 0.2741 0.3037 0.2561 0.1727 0.2870 0.7819 0.7020 - 0.1335 0.1238 0.1348 0.2769 0.2641 0.3612 0.4015 0.3643 0.4009 0.3848 0.3470 0.3786 0.3235 0.2941 0.3696 0.4977 0.3679 0.5241- - 0.3681 0.3295 - 0.3902 0.3218 0.2175 0.5554 0.4506 0.4850 0.2476 0.1035 0.2228 0.1316 0.0934 0.1558 0.3196 0.3262 0.1208 0.5905 0.4831 0.5881 0.0579 - - - - - : - - - - - - 0.3721 0.3089 0.3550 - - - - - - 0.1750 0.2568 -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 141. 2 1452) -35 . ( PAR=0.2807, PAR=0.5334) . (PAR=0.2792), (PAR=0.2696), (PAR=0.2255), (PAR=0.2238), (PAR=0.2093), (PAR=0.1639), (PAR=0.1501), (PAR=0.1448), - - (PAR=0.1426), (PAR=0.1370), (PAR=0.1336), (PAR=0.1270),(PAR=0.0816), (PAR=0.0577) . (PAR=0.4977), (PAR=0.4865),(PAR=0.4640), (PAR=0.4340), (PAR=0.4245), (PAR=0.3783), (PAR=0.3151),(PAR=0.3106), - - (PAR=0.3067), (PAR=0.2950), (PAR=0.2814), (PAR=0.2796),(PAR=0.1803), (PAR=0.1385) ( -35). 142. 146 -35 : - - 0.1336 0.2796 - - 0.0227 0.0925 0.0816 0.1803 - - - - 0.0262 0.0744 0.2255 0.4340 0.0067 0.0264 0.2696 0.4977 0.0244 0.0836 0.2807 0.5334 0.0179 0.0349 - - 0.1501 0.4245 - 0.0153 0.0169 0.0279 0.0577 0.1385 0.0124 0.0412 0.0171 0.0534 0.2238 0.4640- - 0.1426 0.3067 0.1448 0.2950 0.2093 0.3783 0.1270 0.3106 - 0.0317 0.1370 0.2814 0.2792 0.4865 - - - 0.0669 : - - - - 0.1639 0.3151 - - - - 0.0438 0.1088: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 143. 2 147 , -36 (PAR=0.2508), (PAR=0.6010) . (PAR=0.2456), (PAR=0.2442), (PAR=0.2006), (PAR=0.1985), (PAR=0.1844), (PAR=0.1487), (PAR=0.1442), (PAR=0.1270), (PAR=0.1234), - - (PAR=0.1217), (PAR=0.1215), (PAR=0.1125), (PAR=0.0882), (PAR=0.0709) . (PAR=0.5587), (PAR=0.5571),(PAR=0.5435), (PAR=0.5149), (PAR=0.5030), (PAR=0.4441), (PAR=0.3828),- - (PAR=0.3815), (PAR=0.3766), (PAR=0.3521), (PAR=0.3507), (PAR=0.3430), (PAR=0.2287), (PAR=0.1796) ( -36). (PAR=0.5598), (PAR=0.5686) 144. 148 . (PAR=0.4304), (PAR=0.2649), (PAR=0.2612), (PAR=0.2477), (PAR=0.2084),- - (PAR=0.1773), (PAR=0.1623), (PAR=0.1355), (PAR=0.0603), (PAR=0.0501), (PAR=0.0178), (PAR=0.0093), (PAR=0.0064) . (PAR=0.5450), (PAR=0.4501), (PAR=0.4084), (PAR=0.3582), (PAR=0.2597), (PAR=0.2234), (PAR=0.1469), (PAR=0.0895), (PAR=0.0847), (PAR=0.0441), (PAR=0.0408), (PAR=0.0380), (PAR=0.0354), (PAR=0.0341) ( -36). 145. 2 149 -36 : (, ) - - - - 0.1234 0.3430 - - - - - - 0.0218 0.1193 - - 0.0709 0.2287 - - 0.0882 - - - - - - - 0.0245 0.0986 0.0093 0.0341 0.1985 0.5030 0.2612 0.3582 - 0.0169 0.0178 0.0341 0.2508 0.5587 - 0.5686 0.0211 0.1170 - - 0.2442 0.6010 0.5598 0.5450 0.0180 0.0464 0.0064 0.0408 - - - 0.0154 0.1487 0.5149 - - - - - - 0.0191 0.0328 - 0.0380 0.0522 0.1796 0.0501 0.0847 0.0133 0.0569 - - 0.0171 0.0691 - 0.0354 0.2006 0.5435 0.2477 -- - 0.1217 0.3815 0.1773 - 0.1215 0.3507 0.2084 0.2597 0.1844 0.4441 0.2649 0.4084 0.1125 0.3828 0.1355 0.1469 - 0.0364 - - 0.1270 0.3521 0.0603 0.0895 0.2456 0.5571 0.4304 0.4501 - - - - - - - 0.0441 : - - - - - - - - 0.1442 0.3766 0.1623 0.2234 - - - - - - - - 0.0400 0.1725 - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 146. 150 . 2010 (, ) -37~38 . 54.3% , 45.7% , 54.3%, 45.7% . 50~54, 65~69 . , 58.5%, 41.5%, 57%, 43% . 30~34, 60~64 . 147. 2 151 -37 : , (: , %) 19 134 ( 67.0) 66 ( 33.0) 200 (100.0)20~24 77 ( 56.6) 59 ( 43.4) 136 (100.0)25~29 99 ( 48.1) 107 ( 51.9) 206 (100.0)30~34 113 ( 43.0) 150 ( 57.0) 263 (100.0)35~39 143 ( 40.5) 210 ( 59.5) 353 (100.0)40~44 120 ( 37.7) 198 ( 62.3) 318 (100.0)45~49 99 ( 39.1) 154 ( 60.9) 253 (100.0)50~54 104 ( 37.5) 173 ( 62.5) 277 (100.0)55~59 107 ( 43.7) 138 ( 56.3) 245 (100.0)60~64 96 ( 39.2) 149 ( 60.8) 245 (100.0)65~69 120 ( 47.6) 132 ( 52.4) 252 (100.0)70~74 109 ( 52.7) 98 ( 47.3) 207 (100.0)75~79 64 ( 63.4) 37 ( 36.6) 101 (100.0)80 37 ( 63.8) 21 ( 36.2) 58 (100.0) 1,422 ( 45.7) 1,692 ( 54.3) 3,114 (100.0) 19 177 ( 83.5) 35 ( 16.5) 212 (100.0)20~24 169 ( 80.9) 40 ( 19.1) 209 (100.0)25~29 203 ( 72.2) 78 ( 27.8) 281 (100.0)30~34 254 ( 70.6) 106 ( 29.4) 360 (100.0)35~39 260 ( 62.8) 154 ( 37.2) 414 (100.0)40~44 184 ( 56.3) 143 ( 43.7) 327 (100.0)45~49 173 ( 50.9) 167 ( 49.1) 340 (100.0)50~54 166 ( 42.3) 226 ( 57.7) 392 (100.0)55~59 114 ( 36.5) 198 ( 63.5) 312 (100.0)60~64 106 ( 36.6) 184 ( 63.4) 290 (100.0)65~69 98 ( 33.2) 197 ( 66.8) 295 (100.0)70~74 103 ( 42.4) 140 ( 57.6) 243 (100.0)75~79 56 ( 39.4) 86 ( 60.6) 142 (100.0)80 65 ( 65.7) 34 ( 34.3) 99 (100.0) 2,128 ( 54.3) 1,788 ( 45.7) 3,916 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 148. 152 -38 : , (: , %) 19 29 ( 43.9) 37 ( 56.1) 66 (100.0)20~24 24 ( 40.7) 35 ( 59.3) 59 (100.0)25~29 47 ( 43.9) 60 ( 56.1) 107 (100.0)30~34 51 ( 34.0) 99 ( 66.0) 150 (100.0)35~39 77 ( 36.7) 133 ( 63.3) 210 (100.0)40~44 75 ( 37.9) 123 ( 62.1) 198 (100.0)45~49 62 ( 40.3) 92 ( 59.7) 154 (100.0)50~54 84 ( 48.6) 89 ( 51.4) 173 (100.0)55~59 63 ( 45.7) 75 ( 54.3) 138 (100.0)60~64 58 ( 38.9) 91 ( 61.1) 149 (100.0)65~69 58 ( 43.9) 74 ( 56.1) 132 (100.0)70~74 37 ( 37.8) 61 ( 62.2) 98 (100.0)75~79 23 ( 62.2) 14 ( 37.8) 37 (100.0)80 15 ( 71.4) 6 ( 28.6) 21 (100.0) 703 ( 41.5) 989 ( 58.5) 1,692 (100.0) 19 12 ( 34.3) 23 ( 65.7) 35 (100.0)20~24 14 ( 35.0) 26 ( 65.0) 40 (100.0)25~29 38 ( 48.7) 40 ( 51.3) 78 (100.0)30~34 43 ( 40.6) 63 ( 59.4) 106 (100.0)35~39 82 ( 53.2) 72 ( 46.8) 154 (100.0)40~44 65 ( 45.5) 78 ( 54.5) 143 (100.0)45~49 83 ( 49.7) 84 ( 50.3) 167 (100.0)50~54 103 ( 45.6) 123 ( 54.4) 226 (100.0)55~59 88 ( 44.4) 110 ( 55.6) 198 (100.0)60~64 60 ( 32.6) 124 ( 67.4) 184 (100.0)65~69 68 ( 34.5) 129 ( 65.5) 197 (100.0)70~74 61 ( 43.6) 79 ( 56.4) 140 (100.0)75~79 36 ( 41.9) 50 ( 58.1) 86 (100.0)80 15 ( 44.1) 19 ( 55.9) 34 (100.0) 768 ( 43.0) 1,020 ( 57.0) 1,788 (100.0): 2010 (raw) . 149. 2 1531) , -39 (PAR=0.3813) . (PAR=0.3781),(PAR=0.3110), (PAR=0.2657), (PAR=0.2549), (PAR=0.2260), (PAR=0.1955), (PAR=0.1952), (PAR=0.1842), (PAR=0.1622), (PAR=0.1555), (PAR=0.1534), (PAR=0.0884), (PAR=0.0613), (PAR=0.0587) . , (PAR=0.3207) . (PAR=0.3129), (PAR=0.3080), (PAR=0.2075), (PAR=0.1929), (PAR=0.1333), (PAR=0.0877), (PAR=0.0744), (PAR=0.0683), (PAR=0.0607), (PAR=0.0530), (PAR=0.0402), (PAR=0.0113) . (PAR=0.4823) , (PAR=0.4733), (PAR=0.3988), (PAR=0.3826), (PAR=0.3748), (PAR=0.3687), (PAR=0.3619), (PAR=0.3323), (PAR=0.2866), 150. 154 (PAR=0.2822), (PAR=0.2345), (PAR=0.2148), (PAR=0.2131), (PAR=0.1538), (PAR=0.1402) ( -39). 151. 2 155 -39 : - - 0.1538 0.0587 0.0607 0.1402 0.0613 - 0.2345 - - 0.1176 0.1534 - 0.2866 - - 0.0395 0.1555 0.0530 - 0.2549 0.2075 0.2822 0.3781 0.3129 0.4733 0.3110 0.3080 0.3619 0.3813 0.3207 0.4823 0.2657 0.1929 0.3687 0.2260 0.0744 0.3988 0.1952 0.0113 0.3748 0.1842 0.0683 0.3323 0.0427 - 0.1364 0.1622 0.1333 0.2131 0.1955 0.0877 0.3826 0.0884 0.0402 0.2148 - - - - - - - - - - - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 152. 156 2) -40~41 , . (PAR=0.1451) , (PAR=0.1388), (PAR=0.1311), (PAR=0.1015),(PAR=0.0951), (PAR=0.0776), (PAR=0.0711), (PAR=0.0664), (PAR=0.0555), (PAR=0.0548), (PAR=0.0453), (PAR=0.0390), (PAR=0.0338), (PAR=0.0243), (PAR=0.0195) . (PAR=0.3188) , (PAR=0.3165),(PAR=0.2347), (PAR=0.2029), (PAR=0.1953), (PAR=0.1949), (PAR=0.1683), (PAR=0.1460), (PAR=0.1360), (PAR=0.1266), (PAR=0.1211), (PAR=0.0902), (PAR=0.0592), (PAR=0.0442), (PAR=0.0366) ( -40). 153. 2 157 -40 : - - 0.0243 0.0366 0.0195 0.0442 - - 0.0390 0.1266 - - 0.0776 0.0902 0.0951 0.1949 0.1388 0.3165 0.1311 0.2347 0.1451 0.3188 0.1015 0.2029 0.0548 0.1953 0.0453 0.1683 0.0664 0.1360 0.0099 0.0345 0.0555 0.1211 0.0711 0.1460 0.0338 0.0592 - - - - - - - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 154. 158 , -41 (PAR=0.1226) , (PAR=0.1110), (PAR=0.1031), (PAR=0.0728), (PAR=0.0672), (PAR=0.0444), (PAR=0.0311), (PAR=0.0304), (PAR=0.0257), (PAR=0.0225), (PAR=0.0162) . (PAR=0.2663) , (PAR=0.2610), (PAR=0.2381), (PAR=0.1580), (PAR=0.1462), (PAR=0.0988), (PAR=0.0675), (PAR=0.0614), (PAR=0.0489), (PAR=0.0370), (PAR=0.0248), (PAR=0.0245), (PAR=0.0230) . -41 (PAR=0.2050) , (PAR=0.1940), (PAR=0.1676), (PAR=0.1593), (PAR=0.1543), (PAR=0.1347), (PAR=0.1245), (PAR=0.1201), (PAR=0.1072),(PAR=0.0980), (PAR=0.0898), (PAR=0.0857), (PAR=0.0754), (PAR=0.0603), (PAR=0.0554) . (PAR=0.4183) , (PAR=0.4071), (PAR=0.3535), (PAR=0.3211), (PAR=0.3121), (PAR=0.2919), (PAR=0.2714), (PAR=0.2597), 155. 2 159(PAR=0.2262), (PAR=0.2240), (PAR=0.1753), (PAR=0.1627), (PAR=0.1566), (PAR=0.1115), (PAR=0.1051) . 156. 160 -41 : (, ) - - 0.0554 0.1115 0.0257 0.0370 0.0603 0.0903 - - 0.0898 0.1753 - - 0.0526 0.0723 - - 0.1072 0.2240 - - 0.0200 0.0197 0.0304 0.0230 - - 0.0728 0.1580 0.0980 0.2262 0.1031 0.2610 0.1940 0.4071 0.1226 0.2381 0.1676 0.2714 0.1110 0.2663 0.2050 0.4183 0.0672 0.1462 0.1543 0.2919 - 0.0675 0.1201 0.3535 - 0.0245 0.1245 0.3211 0.0225 0.0489 0.1347 0.2597 - - 0.0424 0.1051 0.0444 0.0988 0.0754 0.1627 0.0311 0.0614 0.1593 0.3121 0.0162 0.0248 0.0857 0.1566 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -: - , (relative risk) 1 1 . 157. 2 1614 (20072011)1. . 37 2007 2011 , -42 2007 7 7,032 2011 11 1,522 44.77% . 2011 37 22.9% , 15.77%, 8.38%, 6.22%, 5.68% . -43 37 2007 1 7,528 2011 2 3,218 32.46% , . 2011 37 31.99% , 18.54%, 8.08%, 7.18%, 6.02% . 158. 162 -42 (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 80,396,956 76,480,714 79,320,097 90,213,086 95,322,386 ( 0.85) 51,852,797 51,913,228 50,319,203 54,882,567 62,240,003 ( 0.56) 34,896,070 41,683,563 42,947,833 49,851,088 50,683,530 ( 0.45) 330,887,515 363,953,063 391,039,000 419,479,217 426,835,164 ( 3.83) 187,758,059 216,254,742 246,609,322 269,731,709 285,869,633 ( 2.56) 133,388,485 149,645,719 168,639,373 181,922,125 187,318,259 ( 1.68) 258,624,869 302,768,017 334,445,461 376,466,277 404,221,530 ( 3.62) 56,187,843 63,146,629 67,126,234 78,995,345 90,026,260 ( 0.81) 14,176,246 14,579,051 17,641,115 19,242,800 19,495,099 ( 0.17) 293,059,494 343,952,835 372,280,337 422,289,993 449,268,562 ( 4.03) 54,244,017 60,641,632 64,008,829 70,124,173 72,044,185 ( 0.65) 14,229,876 17,702,279 20,558,775 21,933,888 23,506,755 ( 0.21) 65,739,420 76,389,348 89,089,037 101,512,286 122,343,453 ( 1.10) 38,258,419 47,051,975 53,664,433 60,417,185 67,122,844 ( 0.60) 35,339,954 42,076,981 46,469,572 50,890,931 56,200,492 ( 0.50) 121,456,252 175,750,004 190,531,226 214,060,963 230,118,061 ( 2.06) 450,411,308 503,145,211 574,819,910 635,021,336 693,811,019 ( 6.22) 120,968,012 138,243,693 158,921,961 177,085,893 193,716,945 ( 1.74) 81,944,999 110,827,918 132,783,416 171,698,658 202,941,493 ( 1.82) 31,780,789 31,094,952 32,154,457 33,728,278 31,513,124 ( 0.28) 1,877,838,858 2,126,493,524 2,325,666,637 2,490,126,925 2,553,719,773 (22.90) 719,867,228 769,632,295 832,777,983 894,152,151 934,392,903 ( 8.38) 11,774,542 15,858,475 19,272,474 23,739,337 27,330,168 ( 0.25) 84,587,218 92,823,214 107,669,743 119,557,512 137,126,496 ( 1.23) 1,087,035,150 1,287,562,328 1,420,702,905 1,608,519,213 1,758,418,657 (15.77) 92,589,112 109,982,802 127,506,678 142,646,034 160,128,077 ( 1.44) 367,283,805 396,031,642 588,160,080 540,079,425 633,946,457 ( 5.68) 232,377,243 267,008,864 288,392,766 297,217,260 320,068,640 ( 2.87) 304,632,139 321,450,481 333,164,331 331,131,904 324,170,613 ( 2.91) 318,864,113 333,233,193 344,349,605 342,219,439 323,642,460 ( 2.90) 90,283,800 96,188,278 93,588,020 98,143,169 107,165,640 ( 0.96) 40,846,734 53,684,078 57,543,413 66,243,946 71,281,631 ( 0.64) 577 1,946 4,278 917 96 ( 0.00) 14,716,859 18,765,519 22,132,747 26,295,136 27,840,642 ( 0.25) 4,903,226 6,667,912 7,250,855 8,505,488 8,135,015 ( 0.07) 19,631 41,532 43,951 46,164 176,024 ( 0.00) 18,216 24,996 39,301 53,940 41,818 ( 0.00) 7,703,239,831 8,722,752,633 9,701,635,358 10,488,225,758 11,152,183,907 (100.0) 159. 2 163 -43 (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 23,609,903 23,476,456 24,489,812 15,660,422 14,546,687 ( 0.63) 7,259,514 6,838,723 5,474,671 3,700,828 4,205,277 ( 0.18) 3,755,793 4,647,046 4,514,706 3,168,053 3,284,317 ( 0.14) 35,903,191 41,067,154 41,943,707 28,029,951 31,034,132 ( 1.34) 20,246,030 24,129,483 26,160,288 17,448,603 19,221,262 ( 0.83) 14,359,517 16,670,580 17,820,442 11,950,476 13,222,651 ( 0.57) 28,371,214 34,463,065 35,712,737 24,566,778 27,477,109 ( 1.18) 6,312,818 7,499,945 7,525,785 5,465,532 6,172,856 ( 0.27) 1,576,255 1,700,949 1,950,905 1,341,017 1,419,349 ( 0.06) 32,503,113 39,538,873 40,645,655 28,269,860 30,050,803 ( 1.29) 5,896,609 6,878,540 6,828,552 4,725,425 5,585,009 ( 0.24) 1,558,495 2,036,488 2,230,976 1,499,989 1,787,266 ( 0.08) 7,214,779 8,515,593 9,497,724 6,497,883 7,772,967 ( 0.33) 4,343,557 5,490,873 5,887,685 4,155,492 4,829,310 ( 0.21) 4,053,879 5,011,103 5,259,000 3,723,744 4,480,382 ( 0.19) 12,112,423 17,389,440 17,810,100 11,543,019 12,628,560 ( 0.54) 116,715,815 130,682,319 148,495,352 155,783,346 166,610,947 ( 7.18) 27,411,067 37,561,591 41,012,494 45,042,838 49,164,869 ( 2.12) 17,750,396 25,386,765 24,746,792 26,163,987 31,615,613 ( 1.36) 6,502,108 6,601,307 6,733,705 5,868,286 5,630,791 ( 0.24) 552,521,068 627,206,710 681,882,882 726,816,037 742,650,725 (31.99) 158,019,225 172,392,035 186,414,986 180,654,088 187,659,434 ( 8.08) 2,838,941 3,802,220 4,328,535 4,883,476 5,382,706 ( 0.23) 22,027,637 24,701,923 28,270,755 29,330,601 32,607,894 ( 1.40) 274,410,083 342,733,475 370,036,546 400,134,483 430,582,532 (18.54) 22,336,578 27,084,973 30,550,938 32,227,474 34,510,381 ( 1.49) 72,419,083 91,073,025 158,795,983 121,431,500 139,707,592 ( 6.02) 64,531,234 76,086,827 82,512,692 84,716,340 90,119,829 ( 3.88) 83,087,739 88,359,739 92,165,022 91,418,347 89,388,748 ( 3.85) 97,417,199 101,360,824 104,466,267 103,824,084 97,363,763 ( 4.19) 25,427,834 27,384,925 26,906,627 27,597,114 30,000,741 ( 1.29) 76,579 328,774 384,254 525,790 451,511 ( 0.02) 4 20 19 9 - ( 0.00) 110,039 241,289 297,905 377,283 414,390 ( 0.02) 132,726 211,330 185,425 193,205 223,435 ( 0.01) 1,183 5,518 5,499 5,923 18,824 ( 0.00) 5,683 8,135 14,385 23,092 16,271 ( 0.00) 1,752,819,311 2,028,568,035 2,241,959,808 2,208,764,375 2,321,838,933 (100.0) 160. 164 . 1) -42~43 -44 . 20076,332 2011 9,369 47.97% .2011 25.58% , 22.2%, 9.87%, 9.12%, 6.04% . -45 2007 1,384 2011 1,838 32.78% . 2011 37.91% , 27.7%, 10.1%, 3.11%, 2.84% . 161. 2 165 -44 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 3,316,107 3,154,575 3,271,690 3,720,990 3,931,731 ( 0.42) 755,958 756,839 733,599 800,128 907,392 ( 0.10) 5,571,490 6,655,178 6,857,031 7,959,202 8,092,109 ( 0.86) 43,861,255 48,244,305 51,834,719 55,604,652 56,579,729 ( 6.04) 25,300,025 29,139,896 33,230,115 36,345,811 38,520,364 ( 4.11) 7,660,649 8,594,320 9,685,146 10,447,990 10,757,895 ( 1.15) 6,813,647 7,976,628 8,811,192 9,918,259 10,649,490 ( 1.14) 5,281,848 5,935,998 6,310,094 7,425,831 8,462,774 ( 0.90) 3,328,130 3,422,696 4,141,571 4,517,595 4,576,827 ( 0.49) 55,719,582 65,395,965 70,781,890 80,290,257 85,419,709 ( 9.12) - - - - - - - - - - 15,455,989 17,959,893 20,945,715 23,866,544 28,764,158 ( 3.07) 3,498,333 4,302,412 4,907,052 5,524,521 6,137,683 ( 0.66) 5,515,511 6,566,959 7,252,511 7,942,553 8,771,217 ( 0.94) 6,256,692 9,053,578 9,815,017 11,027,127 11,854,292 ( 1.27) 6,481,350 7,240,183 8,271,571 9,137,860 9,983,835 ( 1.07) 6,421,887 7,339,009 8,436,767 9,401,044 10,283,945 ( 1.10) 13,508,718 18,270,097 21,889,483 28,304,701 33,455,115 ( 3.57) 895,825 876,493 906,358 950,720 888,280 ( 0.09) 176,223,123 199,557,767 218,248,886 233,682,428 239,650,209 (25.58) 71,216,375 76,139,627 82,386,622 88,458,361 92,439,374 ( 9.87) 1,666,615 2,244,671 2,727,902 3,360,159 3,868,419 ( 0.41) 5,769,046 6,330,760 7,343,328 8,154,101 9,352,347 ( 1.00) 128,555,820 152,270,725 168,016,303 190,227,985 207,955,513 (22.20) 7,776,286 9,237,130 10,708,909 11,980,419 13,448,684 ( 1.44) 4,379,989 4,722,817 7,014,016 6,440,637 7,560,035 ( 0.81) 2,947,698 3,386,999 3,658,254 3,770,192 4,060,061 ( 0.43) 2,353,731 2,483,678 2,574,184 2,558,481 2,504,695 ( 0.27) 9,981,400 10,431,195 10,779,172 10,712,492 10,130,977 ( 1.08) 6,658,136 7,093,572 6,901,811 7,237,739 7,903,117 ( 0.84) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 633,171,215 724,783,966 798,440,910 879,768,779 936,909,975 (100.0): - . 162. 166 -45 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 973,830 968,326 1,010,123 645,940 600,002 ( 0.33) 105,836 99,701 79,815 53,954 61,308 ( 0.03) 599,648 741,945 720,816 505,810 524,372 ( 0.29) 4,759,197 5,443,714 5,559,907 3,715,549 4,113,773 ( 2.24) 2,728,112 3,251,400 3,525,047 2,351,164 2,590,027 ( 1.41) 824,683 957,410 1,023,448 686,329 759,392 ( 0.41) 747,459 907,953 940,876 647,228 723,903 ( 0.39) 593,426 705,020 707,449 513,779 580,269 ( 0.32) 370,054 399,329 458,010 314,828 333,218 ( 0.18) 6,179,837 7,517,550 7,727,983 5,374,966 5,713,578 ( 3.11) - - - - - - - - - - 1,696,266 2,002,100 2,233,009 1,527,717 1,827,501 ( 0.99) 397,173 502,083 538,367 379,976 441,590 ( 0.24) 632,689 782,083 820,773 581,165 699,254 ( 0.38) 623,959 895,799 917,469 594,627 650,547 ( 0.35) 1,679,523 1,880,499 2,136,826 2,241,699 2,397,506 ( 1.30) 1,455,184 1,994,050 2,177,250 2,391,211 2,610,039 ( 1.42) 2,926,171 4,185,034 4,079,534 4,313,160 5,211,866 ( 2.84) 183,279 186,075 189,807 165,413 158,719 ( 0.09) 51,850,556 58,859,324 63,990,331 68,207,020 69,693,003 (37.91) 15,632,822 17,054,723 18,442,011 17,872,086 18,565,124 (10.10) 401,835 538,181 612,678 691,226 761,889 ( 0.41) 1,502,336 1,684,729 1,928,131 2,000,415 2,223,934 ( 1.21) 32,452,505 40,532,620 43,761,558 47,321,024 50,921,896 (27.70) 1,875,983 2,274,787 2,565,883 2,706,690 2,898,425 ( 1.58) 863,623 1,086,078 1,893,698 1,448,113 1,666,062 ( 0.91) 818,577 965,159 1,046,671 1,074,624 1,143,167 ( 0.62) 641,975 682,709 712,110 706,341 690,660 ( 0.38) 3,049,450 3,172,897 3,270,106 3,250,004 3,047,777 ( 1.66) 1,875,220 2,019,549 1,984,276 2,035,197 2,212,457 ( 1.20) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 138,441,209 162,290,827 175,053,964 174,317,258 183,821,260 (100.0): - . 163. 2 1672) , -46 2007 4,1812011 6,263 49.82% . 2011 27.01% , 18.1%, 17.15%, 7.71%, 7.09% . -47 2007 856 2011 1,149 34.25% . 2011 36.06% , 27.19%, 8.21%, 7.76%, 6.6% . 164. 168 -46 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 3,472,654 3,303,496 3,426,140 3,896,650 4,117,340 ( 0.66) - - - - - 5,584,327 6,670,512 6,872,830 7,977,540 8,110,753 ( 1.29) 37,433,632 41,174,370 44,238,629 47,456,099 48,288,285 ( 7.71) 12,857,622 14,809,067 16,887,740 18,471,155 19,576,276 ( 3.13) - - - - - - - - - - 5,233,632 5,881,810 6,252,491 7,358,043 8,385,520 ( 1.34) 3,748,653 3,855,167 4,664,875 5,088,411 5,155,127 ( 0.82) 73,956,623 86,800,089 93,948,829 106,569,288 113,377,612 (18.10) - - - - - - - - - - 6,929,534 8,052,133 9,390,796 10,700,319 12,896,114 ( 2.06) 1,818,590 2,236,586 2,550,905 2,871,893 3,190,642 ( 0.51) 4,816,485 5,734,675 6,333,342 6,935,929 7,659,570 ( 1.22) - - - - - - - - - - 23,201,503 26,514,956 30,481,020 33,964,838 37,154,651 ( 5.93) 6,714,485 9,081,120 10,880,130 14,068,803 16,628,807 ( 2.65) - - - - - 78,972,547 89,429,724 97,805,953 104,722,333 107,396,731 (17.15) 34,218,436 36,583,987 39,585,578 42,502,960 44,415,779 ( 7.09) 1,408,218 1,896,651 2,304,960 2,839,191 3,268,649 ( 0.52) - - - - - 104,573,169 123,863,955 136,672,126 154,740,122 169,160,502 (27.01) 4,574,763 5,434,173 6,300,015 7,048,040 7,911,816 ( 1.26) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2,879,125 3,008,868 3,109,242 3,090,008 2,922,270 ( 0.47) 5,660,244 6,030,419 5,867,399 6,152,979 6,718,633 ( 1.07) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6,410 8,796 13,830 18,981 14,716 ( 0.00) 418,060,652 480,370,554 527,586,829 586,473,583 626,349,794 (100.0): - . 165. 2 169 -47 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 1,019,802 1,014,038 1,057,809 676,434 628,327 ( 0.55) - - - - - 601,030 743,655 722,477 506,975 525,581 ( 0.46) 4,061,764 4,645,968 4,745,133 3,171,056 3,510,922 ( 3.06) 1,386,443 1,652,381 1,791,450 1,194,876 1,316,267 ( 1.15) - - - - - - - - - - 588,009 698,584 700,991 509,088 574,972 ( 0.50) 416,812 449,785 515,882 354,608 375,321 ( 0.33) 8,202,500 9,978,047 10,257,355 7,134,194 7,583,634 ( 6.60) - - - - - - - - - - 760,503 897,621 1,001,147 684,936 819,341 ( 0.71) 206,468 261,005 279,867 197,529 229,558 ( 0.20) 552,504 682,964 716,750 507,509 610,632 ( 0.53) - - - - - - - - - - 5,257,406 7,204,263 7,866,142 8,639,156 9,429,756 ( 8.21) 1,454,448 2,080,164 2,027,725 2,143,849 2,590,549 ( 2.25) - - - - - 23,236,284 26,377,190 28,676,597 30,566,262 31,232,190 (27.19) 7,511,344 8,194,547 8,861,119 8,587,278 8,920,273 ( 7.76) 339,533 454,740 517,687 584,057 643,764 ( 0.56) - - - - - 26,398,348 32,971,082 35,597,648 38,493,080 41,422,193 (36.06) 1,103,635 1,338,249 1,509,500 1,592,337 1,705,134 ( 1.48) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 879,611 915,219 943,259 937,461 879,128 ( 0.77) 1,594,170 1,716,868 1,686,882 1,730,171 1,880,864 ( 1.64) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2,000 2,863 5,062 8,126 5,726 ( 0.00) 85,572,614 102,279,234 109,480,481 108,218,982 114,884,132 (100.0): - . 166. 170 3) , -48 . 20071,513 2011 2,195 45.06% .2011 26.07% , 20.85%, 14.62%, 9.32%, 7.59% . -49 2007 307 2011 393 28.21% . 2011 33.83% , 19.98%, 10.44%, 9.73%, 8.95% . 167. 2 171 -48 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 1,493,712 1,420,951 1,473,704 1,676,087 1,771,014 ( 0.81) - - - - - 1,273,031 1,520,643 1,566,764 1,818,599 1,848,967 ( 0.84) 12,914,611 14,205,166 15,262,336 16,372,364 16,659,468 ( 7.59) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2,512,593 2,823,774 3,001,733 3,532,493 4,025,771 ( 1.83) 2,042,302 2,100,332 2,541,469 2,772,216 2,808,563 ( 1.28) 37,322,342 43,803,820 47,411,444 53,780,381 57,216,214 (26.07) - - - - - - - - - - 1,868,660 2,171,387 2,532,378 2,885,512 3,477,644 ( 1.58) 887,547 1,091,547 1,244,948 1,401,603 1,557,166 ( 0.71) 1,004,547 1,196,049 1,320,909 1,446,588 1,597,513 ( 0.73) - - - - - 3,995,053 4,462,792 5,098,531 5,632,505 6,153,957 ( 2.80) 8,659,076 9,895,695 11,375,877 12,676,080 13,866,556 ( 6.32) - - - - - - - - - - 33,642,802 38,097,625 41,665,951 44,612,373 45,751,683 (20.85) 15,753,085 16,842,110 18,223,948 19,567,018 20,447,619 ( 9.32) - - - - - - - - - - 19,835,746 23,494,879 25,924,370 29,351,561 32,086,861 (14.62) 1,781,582 2,116,269 2,453,460 2,744,768 3,081,155 ( 1.40) 756,948 816,196 1,212,160 1,113,069 1,306,523 ( 0.60) 478,915 550,288 594,359 612,546 659,641 ( 0.30) - - - - - 5,076,252 5,305,005 5,481,976 5,448,064 5,152,323 ( 2.35) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3,894 5,344 8,402 11,532 8,940 ( 0.00) 151,302,698 171,919,871 188,394,721 207,455,359 219,477,578 (100.0): - . 168. 172 -49 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 438,653 436,174 455,001 290,958 270,266 ( 0.69) - - - - - 137,014 169,527 164,699 115,573 119,814 ( 0.30) 1,401,309 1,602,860 1,637,072 1,094,015 1,211,269 ( 3.08) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 282,295 335,381 336,536 244,406 276,036 ( 0.70) 227,083 245,047 281,057 193,194 204,479 ( 0.52) 4,139,406 5,035,439 5,176,393 3,600,284 3,827,094 ( 9.73) - - - - - - - - - - 205,082 242,058 269,975 184,704 220,949 ( 0.56) 100,765 127,381 136,587 96,402 112,034 ( 0.28) 115,233 142,442 149,488 105,848 127,356 ( 0.32) - - - - - 1,035,245 1,159,125 1,317,122 1,381,765 1,477,804 ( 3.76) 1,962,126 2,688,716 2,935,737 3,224,235 3,519,297 ( 8.95) - - - - - - - - - - 9,898,803 11,236,849 12,216,411 13,021,420 13,305,109 (33.83) 3,457,985 3,772,510 4,079,379 3,953,311 4,106,612 (10.44) - - - - - - - - - - 5,007,316 6,254,052 6,752,266 7,301,480 7,857,083 (19.98) 429,796 521,164 587,855 620,115 664,042 ( 1.69) 149,251 187,696 327,268 250,263 287,928 ( 0.73) 132,995 156,810 170,053 174,595 185,731 ( 0.47) - - - - - 1,550,862 1,613,644 1,663,082 1,652,858 1,550,011 ( 3.94) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,215 1,739 3,075 4,937 3,478 ( 0.01) 30,672,435 35,928,614 38,659,059 37,510,364 39,326,393 (100.0): - . 169. 2 173 -50 . 2007 3,767 2011 5,458 44.88% , 2011 20.93% , 18.68%, 17.39%, 12.61%, 7.3% . -51 2007 793 2011 1,036 30.71% . 2011 26.64% , 24.09%, 13.34%, 9.76%, 7.37% . 170. 174 -50 : (: ) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (%) 4,441,911 4,225,540 4,382,415 4,984,250 5,266,537 ( 0.96) - - - - - 3,492,915 4,172,308 4,298,855 4,989,835 5,073,158 ( 0.93) 26,095,931 28,703,694 30,839,867 33,082,846 33,662,984 ( 6.17) 4,892,730 5,635,316 6,426,317 7,028,856 7,449,389 ( 1.36) - - - - - - - - - - 5,935,247 6,670,319 7,090,694 8,344,454 9,509,674 ( 1.