*

*10GDPGDP20018-25%Asian Demographics2005

200420092014(M)GDP US$bnGDP(M)GDP US$bnGDP(M)GDP US$bn GDP20.1605.930,14421.1677.832,12322758.234,4641299.81600.71,2311336.72527.31,8911374.63990.22,903223.8257.11,149239.9456.81,904257.1811.63,157127.34663.936,637127.45367.642,132127.46177.548,48925.5115.24,51827.8160.55,77330.4223.67,3554.195.723,3414.3109.725,5124.5125.827,95686.286.41,00294.3134.31,424103.1208.62,0234.2103.424,6194.4138.631,5004.5185.641,24448.2665.413,80549.41100.822,28350.61821.235,99222.7306.413,49823.2450.519,41823.8662.427,83282.644.353688.363.672094.491.3967

*GDP

*2015Key issues/

*196019851995-19972001-2003Flying-Geese patternBamboo CapitalismLily-Pad patternSamsung Economic Research Institute (2006).(decomposition)

*Actual or Potential Lily Pad type Clusters in East AsiaSamsung Economic Research Institute (2006).

*UN Population Statistics. Andrew Sheng (2006) The Asian Network Economy in the 21st Century.

*OECD2005PPP1,13220061,3631,3002005R&D/GDP1.4%2001-0490% OECDGERD(million current PPP$)

200020012002200320042005200698804.1104112.0108248.1112935.4118026.3123391.4129000.4267767.5277820.2276260.2292437.4312535.4324975.2337910.2EU-15175885.1187531.3197755.2202538.9212323.1222579.9233332.344777.152417.665154.276890.893992.0113170.2136261.551543.253279.255673.557455.459115.061176.863310.52001-20045.44.04.34.54.54.53.8-0.65.96.94.03.9EU-156.65.52.44.84.817.124.318.022.220.420.43.44.53.22.93.53.5

*UNCTADUNEIU(2005-2009) UN12(non-equity R&D collaboration)132006R&D

*TD-SCDMAWAPIEVD

*1.2./3./4.5.6.7.8.

*BOPanchorenclavecorporate mandates

*

*1998 5.5 2006 9.5 20105

Economist Intelligence Unit2005

19941999200420092014GDP (US$ bn)244.3286.5306.4450.5662.4542.5991.41600.72527.33990.2/2.22 3.46 5.22 5.61 6.02 Personal disposable income (US$ bn)162177.2226.2323.5462.6268.3528.4857.61356.52145.7/1.66 2.98 3.79 4.19 4.64 Personal disposable income (PPP) (US$ bn)214.6282.8402.3562.77871339.32188.53868.76642.511404.9/6.24 7.74 9.62 11.80 14.49 Number of households earning more than US$10,000 p.a. (1,000)5160.158316732.77747.38527.9315.91252.84037.31176534283.9/0.06 0.21 0.60 1.52 4.02

*

1980s1990s1990sPCNB//ICICTFT LCD

*

%GDPTaiwan Statistical Data Book, 2007

GDP2001-2.17-4.630.410.07-4.71-0.402.46-4.14-6.6020024.642.501.620.290.210.392.135.353.2120033.501.710.900.080.320.401.795.523.7320046.157.082.66-0.073.580.91-0.938.179.1020054.071.331.620.120.03-0.442.744.651.9220064.681.050.84-0.030.200.043.636.542.91

*20

*BOPlead market de-linked

*BOP

*198090

*1990

* Lily-Pad pattern

*

HK

*(GDP)(/)Lily-Pad pattern()Decoupling of R&D and manufacturing in terms of location(adaptive R&D)vs./technology recipient late-adopter(early stage)

(-) //*

*

200520062007(1~10)200520062007(1~11)0.670.540.470.960.740.660.220.180.180.270.240.254.294.444.545.105.035.865.825.395.567.427.107.740.380.350.340.480.420.400.130.130.100.150.130.115.214.313.775.975.264.810.310.210.180.270.230.190.500.490.430.630.620.598.458.218.1710.3110.7211.4722.3022.9922.9825.7128.0426.855.184.674.586.756.376.315.425.735.224.764.865.7719.5720.6321.605.534.413.720.290.320.270.290.290.272.682.853.013.683.293.276.106.907.917.238.207.880.610.530.500.650.580.551.020.890.720.920.790.7510.8510.249.476.426.837.35

20012004*

GDPGNPGNI*GNIGDP+

GDP (%) GNP GNP(%) GNI GNI (%) 2000 5.77 102,205 -502101,703 4.05 2001 -2.17 100,542 -1.63 0100,542 -1.14 2002 4.64 105,624 5.05 88105,713 5.14 2003 3.50 110,109 4.25 -1,322 108,787 2.91 2004 6.15 117,060 6.31 -4,405 112,655 3.56 2005 4.07 120,812 3.21 -6,390 114,422 1.57 2006 4.68 126,649 4.83 -8,924 117,725 2.89

*EUROPEASIAN. AMERICAS. AMERICAOCEANIAAFRICASpringboard to EU gateway for EUSpringboard to EU EU as a HinterlandHub in Northeast Asialeapfrog the regiona First World oasis in a Third World regiongateway for ChinaHK

* CEPA

//

*()()()(LCD)(IC LCD )()(IC)

*()brain diversionVC

*ICICICIC ICIC

*once-and-for-allcentral lab.

*()200672438.2%32%31%16%

*vs.vs.12+3(4)3Testbed()B2B2C:() totoG--B2B2C:() toto

*(2005)200555(2004)BP2004

*www.minebea.co.jp/ICSFiles/afieldfile/2006/02/27/a1999_10_11.pdf(2008/2/23)

ITGDPGDPGDP*

(CoPS)*Ren and Yeo (2006)

*

*20052007

*Source: The Economist Intelligence Unzit survey, 2004. UNCTAD20052005-2009

Chart6

0.39

0.29

0.28

0.24

0.19

0.11

0.1

0.09

0.09

0.08

In which country will your company spend the most on R&D over the next 3 years?

Acr41

In which country will your company spend the most on R&D over the next 3 years?

% Respondents

1China39%

2U.S.29%

3India28%

4UK24%

5Germany19%

6Brazil11%

7Japan10%

8France9%

9Italy9%

10Czech Republic8%

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit survey, 2004.

Acr41

In which country will your company spend the most on R&D over the next 3 years?

Acr3B

Source of R&D Funds

CountryIndustryGovernmentAcademia OtherFunds from abroad

Austria42%37%0%22%100.00%

UK47%27%6%21%100.00%

Belgium64%21%3%12%100.00%

Malaysia52%32%5%12%100.00%

Netherlands52%36%1%11%100.00%

Hungary30%59%1%10%100.00%

Russia31%60%1%9%100.00%

France52%38%2%8%100.00%

Canada46%25%21%8%100.50%

Denmark62%28%3%8%38.40%

Singapore50%42%1%7%100.00%

Norway52%40%1%7%100.00%

South Africa50%33%10%7%99.90%

Spain49%39%5%7%100.00%

Italy43%51%6%100.00%

Ireland67%25%2%6%100.00%

Portugal32%61%2%5%100.00%

Poland31%61%3%5%100.00%

Switzerland69%23%3%4%100.00%

Sweden72%21%4%3%100.00%

Australia46%46%5%3%100.10%

Finland70%26%1%3%100.00%

Israel70%25%3%3%100.00%

China (Mainland)58%33%6%3%100.00%

Germany65%32%0%2%100.00%

Turkey41%51%7%1%100.00%

Mexico31%61%7%1%100.00%

Japan74%18%8%0%100.00%

Korea (S)74%24%2%0%100.00%

Brazil38%60%2%100.00%

India23%75%2%100.00%

U.S.61%31%7%99.80%

Source: R&D Magazine, Battelle, UNESCO

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit survey, 2004.

Acr3B

Source: R&D Magazine, Battelle, UNESCO

Industry

Government

Academia Other

Funds from abroad

Source of R&D Funds

selctAcr3B

Source of R&D Funds

CountryIndustryGovernmentAcademia OtherFunds from abroad

UK47%27%6%20.50%100.00%

1Malaysia52%32%5%11.50%100.00%

1Singapore50%42%1%7.20%100.00%

1Australia46%46%5%3.30%100.10%

1China (Mainland)58%33%6%2.70%100.00%

1Japan74%18%8%0.40%100.00%

1Korea (S)74%24%2%0.40%100.00%

2Netherlands52%36%1%11.00%100.00%

2Ireland67%25%2%6.00%100.00%

2Sweden72%21%4%3.40%100.00%

2Finland70%26%1%3.10%100.00%

2Israel70%25%3%2.80%100.00%

3Hungary30%59%1%10.40%100.00%

3Russia31%60%1%9.00%100.00%

3Poland31%61%3%4.80%100.00%

Source: R&D Magazine, Battelle, UNESCO

selctAcr3B

Source: R&D Magazine, Battelle, UNESCO

Industry

Government

Academia Other

Funds from abroad

Source of R&D Funds, 2005

*2006R&DTo explore new products for the Chinese market, To modify products for the Chinese marketTo explore new products for world marketR&D

*2006()R&DApplied R., Exploration of new products, techniquesFundamental researchTechnology service and support (products testing)Improvement of products, equipments or techniques

*2006~20202006-102011-202021-50

*2120%lead market?20032004

5610156637766499281991522612042339

*

*()Ex: ASMLIBMEx: Tier 1Ex: 18Ex: WiMax

*1980

()198023121637480047711990791858931323412034200014519108882531923019200616030183732767929474(%)19801.25.23.83.519901.72.41.31.8200034.14.93.120063.93.54.82.7

****