1

/1862

1736(372)1867(?)1848(1,030)

1862(>500)1792(614)1845(381)1839(117)1815(113)1624168316611600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1895166116041736(703)1862(>1,700)1867(>580)(1983)(1983) Tsai(1985) (1989, 2004)1900()818481,0301792(614)(, 2012, 2013)30-401862(1,700)19001862 (186267)(1983)1//:()2/:() 3//()4// ()56/?7//:8//9/10///11P.Fr.Jose M.Alvarez/FormosaTsai(1986)1728(1953)//200(172)9/10///(161162)11P.Fr.Jose M.Alvarez/Formosa()( PFernando Sainz)186268(67)()

>3001,000>500

Lee et al.(1976)25.3oN, 120.3oE, MS=6.5(1983)623.4oN,120.4oE,MH=6.5Tsai(1986)196423.2oN,120.2oE, M=7.0(1989) Tsai(1986)

172>500>1,000>500Tsai(1986)1851-1872185191853319186267(511)18647191869(/)

1862-1865()186243186241518624181862418626186267(511)1863102918641300018643-61864121186511518651818655

1.2.3.4. (, 2013)

//http://tec.earth.sinica.edu.tw/TEM/historic1.php?p=4010203//04//05/()06//07//08//09/10//21211//12(220)13/14P.Fr.Jose M.Alvarez/Formosa15//()16(5+1)17/18(1916)/()19//(1872)20//(1867)21//(1903)22/(1903)23(1997)/24(1977)/25(2006)/1.22.813.152110626,2728293031 ,32()3334 35, 363738/3940,41424344()454647 4849()5051()524.2718131.

(25261863711)(131251875112)

186267(01). (13)(25261863711) ()

1,3271861,5132,4226,3138,735() 13186267(02).(131251875112)

/322.

(03).//()(04).//()(05)./()/()(06).// ()(07).//()(08).//(09)./(,1987)(10).//212 (02).3.(11).//((02))(12)./(220)()(13)./()(14). P.Fr.Jose M.Alvarez/Formosa()( PFernando Sainz)186268() (67)(15).(1953)//(16).//(17).//(18).(1916)/(): ()()(19).//()........(20).//() ...(21).//() .........(22)./()......()(23).(1997)/(24).//(25).(2006)///()//()//()/1862() /()

4.1813(26).// ()(27).// (28).//(29).//:(30).//(31).//(32).//(33).//(1862)(34).//(35).//(36).//(37).//(38).//(39).//(40).//(41).//(42).//(43).//()(44).//(45).//(1862)(46).//6(47).//(48).//18635111875(1862)(49).//(50).//:(1862)35(1946)(51).//(52).//

(21)()()(01) (13) (14) (16)(17)(26) (18) ()(18) (27)(28)()(19)(20)(21)(22)()(1723) 11(1733)53(1788)

()61904

()()()

6200(172)

/172) (1997)/()(1862)511()(1962)(, 1953;, 1997;)(2009.5.10) ()()()

()

()(2006)6

511161718181868193670( 20067)2009

()

()

18635111875(1862)/()

(1916)/()

43(1704)(1723)51(1786)(1878)(02) (10)(11)(04) (13) 5()

(1862)5113(1864)

13(1875)(1875)()()()()()()()

()()/

()4

1862()1,3271861,5138,735(2,4226,313)1721,7008,7351862

(2006)

(2010)72112

(2005) /()305.5~6.3mm/yr11.0~12.7mm/yrGPS1999~200513 mm/yr2003~20051999~2006Wells and Coppersmith(1994)Mw = 5.00 + 1.22 log(SRL) 0.28 ()Log(SRL)= -2.86 + 0.63 Mw (1)Mw = 4.49 + 1.49 log(RLD) 0.26 ()Log(RLD)= -2.42 + 0.58 Mw (2)(, 2012) ML = 5.115 ln(MW) 3.131 0.379 (3)LengthSurface rupture(SRL)Subsurface rupture(RLD)MWMLMWML7 km5,85.95.75.812 km6.36.36.16.121 km6.66.56.56.430 km+6.86.76.76.650 km+7.16.97.06.860 km 7.27.07.16.930 km6.86.76.76.6

Jean et al.(2006)Y(g)=0.00284e1.73306M[R+0.09994exp(0.77185M)]-2.06392 (4)MR(Shin, 1998)PGA = 12.44 x exp(1.31 x ML) x R-1.837 (5)Mag7(0.4g)6(0.25g)5(0.08g)4(0.025g)3(0.008g)Remark(7 km)5.9(Jean)9.712.522.942.578.15.9()3.46.718.639.976.35.8(Jean)7.610.520.739.372.6Dep=55.8()-3.516.336.370.05.8(Jean)-5.918.838.472.1Dep=105.8()--13.835.269.4(12 km)6.3(Jean)12.816.530.256.2103.26.3()5.19.726.456.2107.26.1(Jean)10.013.425.848.689.6Dep=56.1()-6.321.647.190.36.1(Jean)-10.324.347.989.2Dep=106.1()--19.846.389.92730

Mag7(0.4g)6(0.25g)5(0.08g)4(0.025g)3(0.008g)Remark(21 km)6.5(Jean)14.718.934.864.7118.76.5()6.311.731.566.717.06.4(Jean)12.816.931.060.1110.6Dep=56.4()2.79.428.461.0116.56.4(Jean)9.414.630.859.5110.3Dep=106.4()-3.727.160.4116.2+(30km)(30km)6.7(Jean)17.021.840.074.4136.56.7()7.614.137.579.1150.46.6(Jean)15.019.737.069.2127.2Dep=56.6()4.811.834.072.5138.16.6(Jean)12.217.735.968.6126.9Dep=106.6()-8.132.872.0137.8+(50km)6.9(Jean)19.525.046.085.5157.06.9()9.317.044.693.9178.26.8(Jean)17.522.842.679.6146.3Dep=56.8()6.814.640.686.1163.76.8(Jean)15.221.141.779.1146.1Dep=106.8()-11.839.685.6163.4++(60km)7.0(Jean)20.926.949.391.7168.47.0()10.318.648.7102.3194.06.9(Jean)18.824.545.785.4156.9Dep=56.9()7.916.244.393.8178.26.9(Jean)16.723.044.984.9156.7Dep=106.9()-13.743.593.4177.9

(7 km)5 kmMw=5.7, ML=5.8, 10 km(12 km)5 kmMw=6.1, ML=6.1, 10 km

(21 km)10 kmMw=6.5, ML=6.4, 15 km+(30 km)0 kmMw=6.8, ML=6.7, 5 km

(30km)10 kmMw=6.7, ML=6.6, 23.19oN, 120.42oE,15 km 183918624()()19061910-1920()

(1826-1887) 1842(17)1843(18)1846(21)1852(27)1855(30)1860(35)1862(37)1865(40)1868(43)1872(47)

()()

()1980 1981 1992, 1. 186218621,7008,735 19002. //http://tec.earth.sinica.edu.tw/TEM/historic1.php?p=43. 23.19oN, 120.42oE15 kmMw=6.7, ML=6.64. 1862150