/

sfh1963@126.com

2008

CPIPPI;

CPIPPI

1978GDP

GDP500051751061015315202 2008130619

2000

200810.4%1.8118003.5%0.56741911.3%2.45140010.5%1.6 GDP8%200310%

1 2001200137213.492007137239200720013.69

2001200320032006

20086840226.3%5843626.8%996623.2% 1- 88492027.4%3484021.1%1843029.1%

2

2000200120042005

2003200516.5%

20087,308803.6,129707.39,157626.21.15.46%13.51%22.38%

7862923.3%590524.0%272421.8%8876823.2%601523.9%275321.8% 1-75967221.7% 160.36.2 1-86843921.9%

18.5%3.394.897.5

94.10.790.396.7

6.5806514.4%6.3%549013.7%5.7% 316.8252819.810.3%

200884.9%4.7%5.4%10.3%2.1%6.0%1.4%70.1%0.4%0.1%3.7% 4.14%

1992199419952000200120032005CPICPI

()

() :

()

() 20081-714821.126.4%8029.122.6%6792.031.1%72480.729.8%1366.826.9%1114.033.7%

2008

717%%2480.729.814821.126.4 1366.826.98029.122.6 1114.033.76792.031.1 252.83.81237.2-9.6

2008 %%11,095.7865.926.51,095.7865.926.52873.0821.36.31,968.71,687.316.731,089.0835.630.33,057.72,522.921.241,187.2974.721.84,245.03,497.621.451,205.5940.728.15,450.54,438.322.861,211.71,033.617.26,662.25,471.921.871,366.81,077.126.98,029.06,548.922.681,113.97,662.991,122.98,785.8101,076.99,862.7111,175.211,037.9121,143.312,181.2

2008 %%1902.0707.327.5902.0707.327.52789.3583.635.31,691.41,290.831.03956.2766.924.72,647.62,057.728.741,022.4807.626.63,670.02,865.328.151,005.5716.440.44,675.53,581.730.561,002.5764.731.15,678.04,346.430.671,114.0833.533.76,792.05,179.931.18862.26,042.19882.66,924.810805.57,730.211912.08,642.312917.29,559.5

()

20081-7 1-7%% 14,821.026.4100.00.012,431.427.916.40.221,891.113.212.8-1.531,549.219.110.5-0.641,382.925.89.30.051,159.99.47.8-1.261,112.627.57.50.17808.922.25.5-0.28335.263.82.30.59334.143.32.30.310323.329.02.20.0

20081-7 1-7%% 8,029.022.6100.00.011,650.427.120.60.721,403.99.917.5-2.031,083.89.213.5-1.64662.229.38.20.55654.615.98.2-0.56430.839.45.40.67185.349.02.30.48174.028.52.20.19155.818.41.9-0.110121.733.61.50.1

() 200572120087193.8%

() 20081-79452%

20081-7 SITC%% 8,029.022.66,792.031.1440.231.02,216.570.6 0 185.29.082.325.2 1 8.418.59.542.3 2 65.828.31,019.263.0 3 177.266.91,039.283.2 4 3.6108.266.393.97,588.822.14,575.517.9 5 488.247.3737.122.5 6 1,475.616.3651.49.4 7 3,811.925.82,567.715.7 8 1,803.915.0596.031.7 9 9.2-29.323.293.9

CPIPPI

1CPIPPI

19791984

CPIPPI345PPICPICPIPPICPI

PPIPPICPI

2

3

2005721

20057212008716 8.11-6.81286.8128100% = 19.0406% 20087162008917182.

200572110.0641200842311.1586 (10.0641-11.1586)11.1586=-9.8086%,2008424,,,,20084232008917,

:(11.1586-9,6907) 9.6907=15.1289%;2005721,2008917:(10.0641-9,6907) 9.6907=3.8532%;

20057212008917 (7.3664-6.4179)6.4179100%=14.779%

20057212008917 (1.0638-0.87756)0.87756100%=21.22248%

20057212008917,200572120071219,,200681114.8833,

20071219114.8468; 20071219,,2,2008719:(14.8468 12.2034)12.2034100%=21.6612%

,;,;,;21.22248%;2007,,, 20071219200891721.6612%.200681,:(14.8833- 12.2034) 12.2034=21.9603%

1 2200867

1200852016.5%

2508052016%16.5%0.5%2408042515.5%16%0.5%2308032515%15.5%0.5%2208012514.5%15%0.5%2107122513.5%14.5%1%2007112613%13.5%0.5%1907102512.5%13%0.5%1807092512%12.5%0.5%17 07081511.5%12%0.5%16 0706511%11.5%0.5%15 07051510.5%11%0.5%14 07041610%10.5%0.5%13 0702259.5%10%0.5%12 070115 9%9.5%0.5%11 061115 8.5%9%0.5%10 0608158%8.5%0.5%9 060705 7.5%8% 0.5%8 040425 7% 7.5% 0.5%7 0309216% 7%1%6 9911218% 6%-2%5 98032113% 8%-5%4 88912%13% 1%3 8710% 12%2%2 85 10% 18420%25%40%

200892512

2

3

4 20089160.27

1992199419952000200120032005CPICPI

PPICPI