台灣汽車產業與大陸汽車產業 發展趨勢
DESCRIPTION
台灣汽車產業與大陸汽車產業 發展趨勢. 裕隆集團 韓正平副總經理. 大綱. 壹、台灣汽車產業發展特色與趨勢 貳、大陸汽車產業發展特色與趨勢 參、兩岸汽車產業合作綜效 肆、結語. 壹、台灣汽車產業發展特色與趨勢. 一、蓽路藍縷中起步的台灣汽車產業. 資料來源 : 主計處、裕隆集團. 壹、台灣汽車產業發展特色與趨勢. 一、蓽路藍縷中起步的台灣汽車產業. 壹、台灣汽車產業發展特色與趨勢. 二、台灣汽車產業發展現況 ( 一 ) 國產車具競爭優勢,市佔率高達八成. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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()8331,0671,4581,7702,028()2,7255,65314,76777,386205,105()125,376351,550()68300
19531960197019801990
1956 19601978 1979 1980 1981 19831986101
-
() 2002WTO30%201017.5%80%
%
-
() - 201036,9142009 282% 6410 BTO (Building to order)6.5 VES2005~2010 :1,0768,4207,6887,1959,65536,914
Chart1
6810620
15721611890
31358840690
92481822850
677020028830
2922251408571695
2005081,06261,076
200607,2161,189158,420
200703,5884,069317,688
200804,8182,285927,195
200902,0028836,7709,655
20101,6955,14085729,22236,914
&C&",Regula"&11&"Arial Narrow,"&10Statistics of Export Sales for Automobiles (1979~1998)
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
-
() - 1. (1981~1994)
1981201/3101
-
() - 2.~/(1995~2003)YNDC-Cefiro
-
() - 3.(2005)ITIA 4th C
-
() - 3.(2008)Tesla RoadsterBMW Mini-EACP(AC Propulsion) ACP(PEU)+
-
() 1981~2010 :()
Chart1
716.63013
801.76748
1926.84629
2857.50554
2967.28327
4137.88919
3247.4594
3136.69511
2527.94434
2636.50105
3461.57674
q2e5fk455t055i453qbdra55_1 (2)
(X)(C)(30)
(%)(%)(%)
1981()----2550949411--71663013--2.81%
1982()----25565157300.2270696104-1.352.77%
1983()----285717775811.76774035749.492.71%
1984()----324029310813.418858938414.452.73%
1985()----3219997739-0.6380176748-9.52.49%
1986()----355590735910.439693369720.92.73%
1987()----391533109310.1113541983739.73.46%
1988()----41540899496.115743379316.263.79%
1989()----44375821646.8219231341922.164.33%
1990()----44465908090.21926846290.194.33%
1991()----489265474510.0322830170918.484.67%
1992()----49643354611.4726172386114.645.27%
1993()----52097228284.94255927168-2.214.91%
1994()----57092161059.592778471528.564.87%
1995()----654329159314.612857505542.844.37%
1996()7292759666--66747934712.01276090179-3.384.14%
1997()76952478865.5270959445546.312866418863.824.04%
1998()79369400703.1472991241832.863061136956.794.19%
1999()81595226712.874928247722.65277470411-9.363.70%
2000()906807820611.13840252646912.142967283276.943.53%
2001()7992347661-11.867342309691-12.62237144296-20.083.23%
2002()86308779667.9979993831908.9528977206422.193.62%
2003()952203438910.33885897623510.7534285192818.323.87%
2004()1118895254517.511049810693118.539505147515.233.76%
2005()116861445414.44109520270794.324137889194.743.78%
2006()127203452848.85119158902278.8324745940-21.522.73%
2007()1404558369410.421320083949910.78313669511-3.412.38%
2008()13977706695-0.4813108266098-0.7252794434-19.411.93%
2009()11449634624-18.0910582351188-19.272636501054.292.49%
2010()1471599640528.531382891640330.6834615767431.292.50%
q2e5fk455t055i453qbdra55_1
(30)
(%)
198171663013--717
198580176748-9.5802
19901926846290.191927
19952857505542.842858
20002967283276.942967
20054137889194.744138
2006324745940-21.523247
2007313669511-3.413137
2008252794434-19.412528
20092636501054.292637
201034615767431.293462
1981717
1985802=(B18-B17)/B1715.61%
19901,9270.1929.97%
19952,8582.847.70%
20002,9676.943.63%
20054,1384.744.70%
20063,247-21.521.90%
20073,137-3.412.97%
20082,528-19.412.57%
20092,6374.294.13%
20103,46231.294.98%
q2e5fk455t055i453qbdra55_1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-
() 3-51999~2010
Chart1
358995
356694
287224
343909
368216
423284
447558
314878
284123
186005
239105
289444
1999358,995
2000356,694
2001287,224
2002343,909
2003368,216
2004423,284
2005447,558
2006314,878
2007284,123
2008186,005
2009239,105
2010289,444
&C&",Regula"&11&"Arial Narrow,"&10Statistics of Sales for Automobiles (1979~1998)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
-
() 6434(47%)64/2010303447%
Chart2
372613'000.5822078125
271704'010.4245375
333699'020.5214046875
386686'030.604196875
430814'040.673146875
446345'050.6974140625
303229'060.4737953125
283439'070.4428734375
182974'080.285896875
226356'090.35368125
303456'100.47415
TIV
200320042005200620072008(F)2009(F)
353,329416,861439,155302,076268,197(20,599)
53,41757,45765,60854,69550,937317,599
406,746474,318504,763356,771319,134297,000287,000
17%6%-29%-11%-7%-3%
200320042005200620072008(F)2009~
406,746474,318504,763356,771319,134260,000
16.61%6.42%-29.32%-10.55%-18.53%
200020012002200320042005200620072008(F)2009(F)
356,546291,307345,211357,285422,410444,470306,388271,665
-1.8%-18.3%18.5%3.5%18.2%5.2%-31.1%-11.3%
63,91856,11353,67156,62961,88270,15759,92855,116
5.7%-12.2%-4.4%5.5%9.3%13.4%-14.6%-8.0%
200020012002200320042005200620072008(F)2009(F)
356,546291,307345,211357,285422,410444,470306,388271,665260000
63,91856,11353,67156,62961,88270,15759,92855,116
-1.8%-18.3%18.5%3.5%18.2%5.2%-31.1%-11.3%
5.7%-12.2%-4.4%5.5%9.3%13.4%-14.6%-8.0%
-2
200020012002200320042005200620072008(F)2009(F)
356,546291,307345,211357,285422,410444,470306,388271,665
63,91856,11353,67156,62961,88270,15759,92855,116
420,464347,420398,882413,914484,292514,627366,316326,781260,000
-0.7%-17.4%14.8%3.8%17.0%6.3%-28.8%-10.8%-20.4%
'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)'09(F)'10(F)'11(F)'12(F)'13(F)
420,464347,420398,882413,914484,292514,627366,316326,781230,000230,000280,000300,000330,000330,000
-0.7%-17.4%14.8%3.8%17.0%6.3%-28.8%-10.8%-29.6%0.0%21.7%7.1%10.0%0.0%
TIV
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'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15'16'17'18'19'20
30.0%30.0%29.0%27.5%26.1%24.6%23.2%21.8%20.3%18.9%17.5%17.5%17.5%15.8%14.1%12.4%10.6%8.9%7.2%5.5%5.5%
14.5%14.5%13.6%11.3%8.9%8.9%8.7%8.7%8.7%8.7%8.7%8.7%8.7%8.1%7.4%6.8%6.1%5.5%4.8%4.2%4.2%
00
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'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)'09(F)'10(F)'11(F)'12(F)'13(F)
420,464347,420398,882413,914484,292514,627366,316326,781230,000230,000280,000300,000330,000330,000
'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)'09(F)'10(F)'11(F)'12(F)'13(F)
356,546291,307345,211357,285422,410444,470306,388271,665188,600186,300224,000240,000264,000254,100
63,91856,11353,67156,62961,88270,15759,92855,11641,40043,70056,00060,00066,00075,900
85%84%87%86%87%86%84%83%82%81%80%80%80%77%
15%16%13%14%13%14%16%17%
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Page &P
'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10
372,613271,704333,699386,686430,814446,345303,229283,439182,974226,356303,456
640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000640,000
58%42%52%60%67%70%47%44%29%35%47%
-27.1%22.8%15.9%11.4%3.6%-32.1%-6.5%-35.4%
00
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'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)'09(F)'10(F)'11(F)'12(F)'13(F)
372,872271,704333,699386,686430,814446,345303,229283,439188,600186,300224,000240,000264,000254,100
'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)'09(F)'10(F)'11(F)'12(F)'13(F)
1,7771,3001,6161,8922,1762,3061,6011,4511,1321,1181,3441,4401,5841,525
1,4041,2711,5501,6671,6741,7111,4981,5391,5391,5391,5391,5391,5391,539
79%98%96%88%77%74%94%106%
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'03'04'05'06'07'08(F)
1.161.21.31.41.61.7
9.99.59.29.29.19
4.395.075.767.218.839.5
2.32.52.93.13.33.5
1111
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413,190340,983391,434406,746474,318504,763356,771320,000360,000400,000
2,070,0002,340,0003,250,0004,390,0005,070,0005,760,0007,210,0008,830,0009,500,00025,000,000
11.59%13.04%38.89%35.08%15.49%13.61%25.17%22.47%64.93%-100.00%
11.59%13.04%38.89%35.08%15.49%13.61%25.17%22.47%7.59%36.00%
111
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4131900.0014639372
340983-0.1747549553
3914340.1479575228
4067460.0391177057
4743180.1661282471
5047630.0641868957
356771-0.2931910619
320000-0.1030661124
3600000.125
3800000.0555555556
320000-0.1578947368
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Sheet1
1.2.1.2.
Know-How
1.2.1.2.
1.2.
'00'01'02'03'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13
2,2641,9441,5761,5711,6021,611
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0
0
0
0
20082013
2633
82%68%
33%35%
1,2791,346
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Peter Drucker
EUNAFTACEPAAFTA
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30%
-
() (OEM/ODM)/(OEM) (ODM)
-
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-
() Luxgen IT
-
()
-
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33,000CO2= 830LUXGEN EV+1015,000CO2 21.780%
-
() Luxgen
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-
() 103,000 1. 202010 2. 12 3. 100 4. 100 5. 300 300
-
()
-
() 1980
-
()
11~15040906~1011~1509~11
'04'05'06'07'08'09'10'11'12'13'14'15 - -1.6L (11)
-
()
-
()
-
() ()100020121 2015100TIV4%2101000RMB
-
2009 2006 20091,37920101,806
2006~2010FOURIN
Chart1
72797181148423311260277
88824551159632710752310
9299180115756448672141
1379099479340575709431
1826466796289207737502
Chart2
7215525573950617048981
8791523535364816460315
9336326508223513493165
13644794460925610601368
18061936495613611772278
Sheet1
20067,215,5255,739,50617,048,981
20078,791,5235,353,64816,460,315
20089,336,3265,082,23513,493,165
200913,644,7944,609,25610,601,368
201018,061,9364,956,13611,772,278
Sheet1
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000
000
000
000
Sheet2
Sheet3
Sheet1 (2)
20067,279,71811,484,23311,260,277
20078,882,45511,596,32710,752,310
20089,299,18011,575,6448,672,141
200913,790,9947,934,0575,709,431
201018,264,6679,628,9207,737,502
Sheet1 (2)
000
000
000
000
000
-
2009 2008200920101,826
2006~2010FOURIN
Chart1
72797181148423311260277
88824551159632710752310
9299180115756448672141
1379099479340575709431
1826466796289207737502
Sheet1
20067,279,7187,215,525
20078,882,4558,791,523
20089,299,1809,336,326
200913,790,99413,644,794
201018,264,66718,061,936
Sheet1
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Sheet1 (2)
20067,279,71811,484,23311,260,277
20078,882,45511,596,32710,752,310
20089,299,18011,575,6448,672,141
200913,790,9947,934,0575,709,431
201018,264,6679,628,9207,737,502
Sheet1 (2)
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000
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-
() 2008 2011 10 87% 100 () 2009 2 3 200 4 5 100 90%14 10 ()
-
201010
()1355.842272.483255.824237.885148.99672.42768.21851.98950.141045.85101559.611806.1986.35%
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:2011/06/01:2011/06/01:: 110520QA