我國電力需求 面 管理之探討

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我國電力需求 面 管理之探討. 許志義 中興大學資訊管理系所暨應用經濟系所合聘教授 中興大學產業發展研究中心主任  2012/7/20. 大綱. 頁次 一、 前言 --------------------------------------- 3 二、 電能需求面管理問題分析 ------------ 5 三、 當前問題之因應對策 ------------------- 16 四、 未來展望 ------------------------ - ------- 41. 一、前言. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 2012/7/20

  • --------------------------------------- 3 ------------ 5------------------- 16 -------------------------------- 41*

  • ()(Energy Conservation)(Load Management)

    ()DSM*

  • Web2.0Paradigm Shift

    (Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, FERC)201058GW7.6%(State of Florida)50%*

  • 1979

    20114,883MW2008201117MW*

  • (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC)Mckinsey2030

    *

  • ()

    07:30~22:30159

    (derived demand)

    *

  • ()

    58%

    *

  • ()

    *20121002012/07/101:29.94/

    1.822.961.933.201.954.602.394.762.495.222.535.432.545.912.566.40

  • ()

    *

  • *100

  • ()

    *A

    B 20121002012/07/101:29.94

    X(%)(AB)B100%5% < X 0510% < X 5%10X 10%20

  • ()

    610

    *

  • ()

    24

    *

  • ()

    *

  • ()(1)

    DSM254950

    *

  • *California Energy Commission (May 2008),Energy Efficiency: The First and Most Profitable Way to Delay Climate Change.

  • ()(1)

    PG&E

    PG&E

    1040

    *

  • PG&E*PG&Ehttp://www.pge.com2012/7/101:29.94/

    7.58 (/)4.42 (/)7.954.853.352.792.90101% - 130%8.455.363.863.303.40131% - 200%13.3310.238.738.168.28201% - 300%14.5211.429.939.369.47300%17.4512.8811.0311.5211.16

  • PG&E*PG&Ehttp://www.pge.com/

  • ()(2)

    50013.411001.1511.7

    2011112013121350670.6(18.1)118.4(3.2)93(2.5)

    *

  • *http://www.kepco.co.kr/eng2012/07/101:0.027/

    ()1~1007.81~1001.15101~20017.2101~2002.37201~30029.8201~3003.50301~40071.2301~4005.17401~500133.4401~5007.63501~244.6501~13.41

  • ()(3)

    EDF1965EDF

    tempoCritical-peak pricing, CPPDynamic PricingEDF1957199421.3

    tempo306002200300432257

    *

  • 20127*EDFhttp://particuliers.edf.com/energy-for-your-home/prices/electricity/tarif-bleu-56121.html#acc831982012/7/101:36.8/

    (KVA)94,0512.633.153.764.466.9918.34127,5632.633.153.764.466.9918.34157,7802.633.153.764.466.9918.34187,9972.633.153.764.466.9918.343016,9912.633.153.764.466.9918.343621,0742.633.153.764.466.9918.34

  • ()(4)

    18

    British Gas247108710

    *

  • *British Gas http://www.britishgas.co.uk/2012/7/101:46.89/

    0kwh-180kwh()11.52 180kwh()6.092.12

  • ()(5)

    1AMI50AMI

    *

  • ()(5)

    1350

    (1)(2)(3)(4)5KW10KW1010

    *

  • ()(1)(aggregator) (aggregator)

    Aggregator

    2006Comverge28MW

    Comverge15000100

    (95%)Comverge20102200060MW

    *

  • ()(1) Aggregator(Real-Time Pricing, RTP)DRRTPAggregator(virtual power plant)

    ()Aggregator(Retail Electric Providers, REPs)(Energy Information and Communication Technology, EICT)

    *

  • ()(2)(Energy Services Company, ESCO)

    (Energy Services Company, ESCO)Energy Saving Performance Contract, ESPC

    ESCOESCO

    *

  • ()(2)

    ESCOESCOESCO

    1000200ESCOESCO

    ISO500012011615ISOESCOISO50001ESCOESCOISO 50001

    *

  • ()(1)

    DSMmaster plan2009 (Public Utilities Commission, PUC)

    *

  • ()(1)

    (on-site research)

    (Priority Services)(Technology Acceptance Model, TAM)DSM

    *

  • ()(2)

    Web2.0(Distributed Energy Resource)

    987201292.56

    *

  • ()(2)

    RIMTRCUCT1

    30%35%(Feed-In Tariff, FIT)

    *

  • ()(2)2

    FIT38.98

    FIT(Net Energy Metering, NEM)

    2007NEM200913MWNEM*

  • FIT*/http://www.heco.com/2012/7/101:29.94

    123PV6.535.665.90CSP8.057.609.43Wind4.824.133.59In-line Hydro6.385.66X

  • ()(3)

    DTEDTEVIP

    AGLColesFlybuy(Happy Go)ColesFlybuyAGLFlybuyAGLFlybuyColes

    *

  • ()(3)

    Marks & Spencer (M&S)M&S Energy(a)M&S Energy20(b)10(c)10%30(d)M&S Energy10

    DSMDR

    *

  • (ICT)

    1980

    21Web 2.0(Internet of Things, IOT)e-Taiwanm-Taiwanu-Taiwani-Taiwan()

    *

  • (Green IT)EICT

    AMI

    () *

  • ()

    ()()

    AMI(data mining) *