知の創発を目指した 学会活動の確立に向けて

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知の創発を目指した 学会活動の確立に向けて. 情報コミュニケーション学会 第 1 回全国大会基調講演 2004 年 2 月 28 日 園田学園女子大学 30 周年記念館 明治大学法学部 阪井 和男 [email protected]. Contents. 進化はヒトに何をもたらしたか? ヒトの進化 → 社会の構成 個人が社会を変えられるか? Yes !  → どんなときに? ブレークスルーはいかにもたらされるか? 問題解決 って? →  スキーマ の役割 組織文化はいかに創発されるか? 組織のスキーマ → 新文化の 創発 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • 1200422830 [email protected]

  • ContentsYes!

  • 1. 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5

  • 1.1 15046403512http://spaceboy.nasda.go.jp/note/shikumi/j/shi04_j.html

  • 653000600547000 e.g.4

  • 37000320cm2001pp. 20-21, pp. 57-59

  • 5102001pp. 59-52

  • 2480095150km^3220001kg30g102500012001pp. 63-66

  • 2001pp. 73-7465002001p. 75

  • 70002001pp. 20-21650010km55002001p. 7740002001pp. 77-78

  • 150060020011005024702301414DNAhttp://www.kahaku.go.jp/special/past/japanese/ipix/1/1-07.html1.2

  • 1.2

  • (1)1352001pp. 124-12712(2)

  • (2)5http://www.kahaku.go.jp/special/past/japanese/ipix/1/1-12.htmlhttp://www.kahaku.go.jp/special/past/japanese/ipix/1/1-14.html

  • 180002001p. 127

  • 350031018155002001p. 23augustushttp://www.augustus.to/

  • 1516http://www.geocities.jp/timeway/kougi-54.html14921498

  • 1819191.3

  • 1.3 1996p. 117!?

  • CDMD

  • CDDVDOK1.4

  • 1.4 (emotion)1996p. vR1996p. 20=19921996pp. 20-21

  • 19921996pp. 25-28 2001p. 123

  • 1996pp. 24, 31-351.5

  • 1.5 2001pp. 106-107

  • 2/3 40 351450g 1300g12001p. 127

  • Graph1

    58.21302

    62.91412

    66.61460

    761442

    66.61444

    67.71307

    65.61148

    67.91057

    58835

    61.8890

    (kg)

    (g)

    (kg)

    (g)

    (kg)(g)

    158.21302

    12100062.91412

    210003500066.61460

    3600075000761442

    966.61444

    101567.71307

    203065.61148

    405567.91057

    6011558835

    12018061.8890

    J. M.133p.120 (2001)(Christopher Ruff)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    (g)

    (kg)

    (g)

    (2)

    (kg)(g)log1log2ave

    11158.21302100000

    21,00010,00014,49162.9141214,4916,5094,4919.95227771679.2103403729.5813090443

    35,00021,00027,11166.6146027,1117,8896,11110.46310334059.952277716710.2076905286

    75,00036,00051,96276144251,96223,03815,96211.225243392510.491274217410.858258805

    90,00090,00090,00066.6144490,0000011.407564949311.407564949311.4075649493

    150,000100,000122,47467.71307122,47427,52622,47411.918390573111.51292546511.715658019

    300,000200,000244,94965.61148244,94955,05144,94912.611537753612.206072645512.4088051996

    550,000400,000469,04267.91057469,04280,95869,04213.217673557212.899219826113.0584466916

    1,150,000600,000830,66258835830,662319,338230,66213.955272500313.304684934213.6299787173

    1,800,0001,200,0001,469,69461.88901,469,694330,306269,69414.403297222913.997832114814.2005646688

    J. M.

    133p.120 (2001)

    (Christopher Ruff)

    (2)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    (kg)

    (g)

    (kg)

    (g)

    Sheet2

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    Sheet3

  • **106500

    Graph2

    1302

    1412

    1460

    1442

    1444

    1307

    1148

    1057

    835

    890

    (g)

    (kg)J. M.133p.120 (2001)(Christopher Ruff)

    (g)

    (kg)(g)

    158.21302

    12100062.91412

    210003500066.61460

    3600075000761442

    966.61444

    101567.71307

    203065.61148

    405567.91057

    6011558835

    12018061.8890

    J. M.133p.120 (2001)(Christopher Ruff)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    (g)

    (kg)

    (g)

    (2)

    (kg)(g)log1log2ave

    11158.21302100000

    21,00010,00014,49162.9141214,4916,5094,4919.95227771679.2103403729.5813090443

    35,00021,00027,11166.6146027,1117,8896,11110.46310334059.952277716710.2076905286

    75,00036,00051,96276144251,96223,03815,96211.225243392510.491274217410.858258805

    90,00090,00090,00066.6144490,0000011.407564949311.407564949311.4075649493

    150,000100,000122,47467.71307122,47427,52622,47411.918390573111.51292546511.715658019

    300,000200,000244,94965.61148244,94955,05144,94912.611537753612.206072645512.4088051996

    550,000400,000469,04267.91057469,04280,95869,04213.217673557212.899219826113.0584466916

    1,150,000600,000830,66258835830,662319,338230,66213.955272500313.304684934213.6299787173

    1,800,0001,200,0001,469,69461.88901,469,694330,306269,69414.403297222913.997832114814.2005646688

    J. M.

    133p.120 (2001)

    (Christopher Ruff)

    (2)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    (kg)

    (g)

    (kg)

    (g)

    Sheet2

    000000

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    000000

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    0080958.424017656969041.575982343180958.424017656969041.5759823431

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    (kg)

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    (kg)

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    Sheet3

  • 200150240%1065003510%100352.

  • 2. 2.1

  • 2.1

    NoYes

  • 3%

    Graph1

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    0.32544094960.3291718048

    0.32929370690.3312265916

    0.33128904220.3322733049

    x(n+1)=F(x(n))a =0.4

    F(x)=Ax(1-x)b =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.36

    F(a) + F(b) =0.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.5A =1.5

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

    00.10.1000000010.00000000100.10.13333333330.0333333333

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    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    x(n+1)=G(x(n))a =0.4

    G(x)=Axb =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.6478650974

    F(a) + F(b) =0.6478650974

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.0797751623A =1.0797751623

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

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    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    x(n+1)=H(x(n))a =0.4

    H(x)=Ax(1-x)b =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.96

    F(a) + F(b) =1.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =4A =4

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

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  • 3%

    Graph2

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    x(n+1)=F(x(n))a =0.4

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    F(a) + F(b) =0.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.5A =1.5

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

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    1.E+083

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    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

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    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.0797751623A =1.0797751623

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    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

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    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    x(n+1)=H(x(n))a =0.4

    H(x)=Ax(1-x)b =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.96

    F(a) + F(b) =1.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =4A =4

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

    00.10.1000000010.00000000100.10.13333333330.0333333333

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    30.289013760.2890137479-0.000000012130.289013760.0227042135-0.2663095465

    40.82193922610.8219392057-0.000000020440.82193922610.0887549289-0.7331842973

    50.58542053870.58542059130.000000052550.58542053870.3235099659-0.2619105729

    60.97081332620.9708132903-0.000000035960.97081332620.8754050714-0.0954082548

    70.11333924730.11333938260.000000135370.11333924730.43628412940.3229448821

    80.40197384930.40197426770.000000418480.40197384930.98376115130.5817873021

    90.96156349510.96156382320.000000328190.96156349510.0639005938-0.8976629013

    100.14783655990.1478353484-0.0000012115100.14783655990.23926923160.0914326717

    110.50392364590.5039202326-0.0000034132

    120.999938420.99993852710.0000001071

    130.00024630480.0002458765-0.0000004283

    140.00098497650.000983264-0.0000017124

    150.00393602510.003929189-0.0000068362

    160.01568213140.0156550017-0.0000271296

    170.06174480850.0616396906-0.0001051179

    180.23172954840.2313609566-0.0003685919

    190.71212385920.7113322574-0.0007916019

    200.82001387340.8213547080.0013408346

    210.59036448330.5869246066-0.0034398767

    220.96733704060.96977645110.0024394105

    230.12638436190.1172403441-0.0091440178

    240.441645420.4139801833-0.0276652367

    250.9863789720.9704023646-0.0159766074

    260.05374198250.11488646160.0611444792

    270.20341512720.40675025030.2033351231

    280.64814965280.96521793670.3170682839

    290.91220672140.1342890855-0.777917636

    300.32034247520.4650221080.1446796328

    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

  • 3%

    Graph3

    0.10.1333333333

    0.360.4622222222

    0.92160.994291358

    0.289013760.0227042135

    0.82193922610.0887549289

    0.58542053870.3235099659

    0.97081332620.8754050714

    0.11333924730.4362841294

    0.40197384930.9837611513

    0.96156349510.0639005938

    0.14783655990.2392692316

    x(n+1)=F(x(n))a =0.4

    F(x)=Ax(1-x)b =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.36

    F(a) + F(b) =0.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.5A =1.5

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

    00.10.1000000010.00000000100.10.13333333330.0333333333

    10.1350.13500000120.000000001210.1350.17333333330.0383333333

    20.17516250.17516250130.000000001320.17516250.21493333330.0397708333

    30.21672089790.21672089920.000000001330.21672089790.25310549330.0363845954

    40.25462942550.25462942660.000000001140.25462942550.28356465390.0289352284

    50.28468992170.28468992250.000000000850.28468992170.30473361140.0200436897

    60.30546235530.30546235580.000000000560.30546235530.31780655620.0123442009

    70.31823265720.31823265750.000000000370.31823265720.32520832360.0069756664

    80.32544094960.32544094980.000000000280.32544094960.32917180480.0037308551

    90.32929370690.3292937070.000000000190.32929370690.33122659160.0019328847

    100.33128904220.33128904230100.33128904220.33227330490.0009842627

    110.33230491910.33230491910

    120.33281753980.33281753980

    130.33307503750.33307503750

    140.33320408530.33320408530

    150.33326868430.33326868430

    160.33330100250.33330100250

    170.33331716640.33331716640

    180.33332524950.33332524950

    190.33332929130.33332929130

    200.33333131230.33333131230

    210.33333232280.33333232280

    220.33333282810.33333282810

    230.33333308070.33333308070

    240.3333332070.3333332070

    250.33333327020.33333327020

    260.33333330180.33333330180

    270.33333331750.33333331750

    280.33333332540.33333332540

    290.33333332940.33333332940

    300.33333333140.33333333140

    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    x(n+1)=G(x(n))a =0.4

    G(x)=Axb =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.6478650974

    F(a) + F(b) =0.6478650974

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =1.0797751623A =1.0797751623

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

    00.10.1000000010.00000000100.10.13333333330.0333333333

    10.10797751620.10797751730.000000001110.10797751620.14397002160.0359925054

    20.11659144010.11659144130.000000001220.11659144010.15545525350.0388638134

    30.12589254120.12589254240.000000001330.12589254120.16785672160.0419641804

    40.13593563910.13593564040.000000001440.13593563910.18124751880.0453118797

    50.14677992680.14677992820.000000001550.14677992680.1957065690.0489266423

    60.15848931920.15848932080.000000001660.15848931920.21131909230.0528297731

    70.17113283040.17113283210.000000001770.17113283040.22817710720.0570442768

    80.18478497970.18478498160.000000001880.18478497970.2463799730.0615949932

    90.19952623150.19952623350.00000000290.19952623150.26603497530.0665087438

    100.2154434690.21544347120.0000000022100.2154434690.28725795870.0718144897

    110.23263050670.2326305090.0000000023

    120.25118864320.25118864570.0000000025

    130.27122725790.27122726060.0000000027

    140.29286445650.29286445940.0000000029

    150.3162277660.31622776920.0000000032

    160.34145488740.34145489080.0000000034

    170.36869450650.36869451010.0000000037

    180.39810717060.39810717450.000000004

    190.42986623470.4298662390.0000000043

    200.46415888340.4641588880.0000000046

    210.50118723360.50118723860.000000005

    220.54116952650.5411695320.0000000054

    230.58434141340.58434141920.0000000058

    240.63095734450.63095735080.0000000063

    250.68129206910.68129207590.0000000068

    260.73564225450.73564226180.0000000074

    270.79432823470.79432824270.0000000079

    280.85769589860.85769590720.0000000086

    290.92611872810.92611873740.0000000093

    3011.000000010.00000001

    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    x(n+1)=H(x(n))a =0.4

    H(x)=Ax(1-x)b =0.2

    F( a + b ) =0.96

    F(a) + F(b) =1.6

    F( a + b )F(a) + F(b)

    A =4A =4

    x(0) =0.1x(0) =0.1

    =0.000000001=0.0333333333

    1.E+083

    nx(n)n

    00.10.1000000010.00000000100.10.13333333330.0333333333

    10.360.36000000320.000000003210.360.46222222220.1022222222

    20.92160.92160000360.000000003620.92160.9942913580.072691358

    30.289013760.2890137479-0.000000012130.289013760.0227042135-0.2663095465

    40.82193922610.8219392057-0.000000020440.82193922610.0887549289-0.7331842973

    50.58542053870.58542059130.000000052550.58542053870.3235099659-0.2619105729

    60.97081332620.9708132903-0.000000035960.97081332620.8754050714-0.0954082548

    70.11333924730.11333938260.000000135370.11333924730.43628412940.3229448821

    80.40197384930.40197426770.000000418480.40197384930.98376115130.5817873021

    90.96156349510.96156382320.000000328190.96156349510.0639005938-0.8976629013

    100.14783655990.1478353484-0.0000012115100.14783655990.23926923160.0914326717

    110.50392364590.5039202326-0.0000034132

    120.999938420.99993852710.0000001071

    130.00024630480.0002458765-0.0000004283

    140.00098497650.000983264-0.0000017124

    150.00393602510.003929189-0.0000068362

    160.01568213140.0156550017-0.0000271296

    170.06174480850.0616396906-0.0001051179

    180.23172954840.2313609566-0.0003685919

    190.71212385920.7113322574-0.0007916019

    200.82001387340.8213547080.0013408346

    210.59036448330.5869246066-0.0034398767

    220.96733704060.96977645110.0024394105

    230.12638436190.1172403441-0.0091440178

    240.441645420.4139801833-0.0276652367

    250.9863789720.9704023646-0.0159766074

    260.05374198250.11488646160.0611444792

    270.20341512720.40675025030.2033351231

    280.64814965280.96521793670.3170682839

    290.91220672140.1342890855-0.777917636

    300.32034247520.4650221080.1446796328

    &L&D&C&F&RP. &P/&N

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

  • 3.

  • 3. 3.1 [F] [A] [B]

  • a

    a

    b

    b

    b

    b

    F

  • F53.451790319911999 2000p. 22AB

  • A

  • 200211p. 302

    3.2

  • A

    B

  • 3.2 !?!

  • Bransford & Johnson, 1973 20023pp. 97-98

  • ?

  • ?20023p. 100

  • ?

  • 1997pp. 138-139

  • 1997pp. 138-139

  • Necker(1832)

  • ?

    20023pp. 96-97

  • 200211p. 302

  • A

    B

  • *

    *

  • 200211p. 302Yes!Yes!4.

  • 4. AB

  • (1988)(2002)(1985)(2002)

  • (1988)PDPA

  • AA1988 6

  • G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-Y-YesN-No1988A

  • A

  • A

  • 13

    A

  • A131

    Graph13

    3

    1

    1

    2

    2

    2

    2

    3

    2

    3

    2

    1

    3

    3

    2

    2

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    Sheet1

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    Sheet1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    Sheet2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Sheet3

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    bb

    1010100212

    2000000020

    3000000030

    4001010242

    5000000050

    6000000060

    7000000070

    8011000282

    9000000090

    101110014104

    110000101111

    120110114124

    131111116136

    141101115145

    151011115155

    161000102162

    171111116176

    181111116186

    191111116196

    201101115205

    211111116216

    Sheet3

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    b

    B

    Theory

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNA-BABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    Theory

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    B

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    A-B

    -

    b =0.07

    N =12tX(t)biasbias(t)Z(t)

    10.70.10.10.0294117647

    A =3.420.71458823530.10.170.05

    bias =0.130.69195642350.10.240.0705882353

    Z =0.029411764740.728061510.10.310.0911764706

    w(A,A) =0.250.66628348330.10.380.1117647059

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666760.77103690130.10.450.1323529412

    70.57091304680.10.520.1529411765

    X(1) =0.780.90308659450.10.590.1735294118

    90.18122156850.10.660.1941176471

    100.85076917720.10.730.2147058824

    110.3258999650.10.80.2352941176

    121.05092911490.10.870.2558823529

    13-0.48216850780.10.940.2764705882

    14-0.63862791440.11.010.2970588235

    15-0.71673284170.11.080.3176470588

    16-0.7020099040.11.150.3382352941

    17-0.70679947930.11.220.3588235294

    18-0.70571441040.11.290.3794117647

    19-0.70590073070.11.360.4

    20-0.70588161670.11.430.4205882353

    21-0.70588233090.11.50.4411764706

    0.11.570.4617647059

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias= 0.1, b=0.07, X(1) = 0.7

    X(t)

  • 13 A (1988)

  • AABB10.5

  • A

  • A

  • 2ABG + CR + CH AEL + O B

    A

  • A

  • A

  • 1262A

  • A

  • Graph4

    0.3333333333

    1

    1

    0.3333333333

    1

    1

    1

    0.3333333333

    0.9166666667

    -0.5

    0.9166666667

    -0.0833333333

    -1

    -0.6666666667

    -0.6666666667

    0.3333333333

    -1

    -1

    -1

    -0.6666666667

    -1

    A-B

    -

    Sheet1

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    Sheet1

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    bb

    1010100212

    2000000020

    3000000030

    4001010242

    5000000050

    6000000060

    7000000070

    8011000282

    9000000090

    101110014104

    110000101111

    120110114124

    131111116136

    141101115145

    151011115155

    161000102162

    171111116176

    181111116186

    191111116196

    201101115205

    211111116216

    Sheet3

    b

    B

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    B

    A-B

    -

  • A

  • A

  • AAABBBBA

  • (1) 2(A,B)612 (A6B6) ai(t) i=112

  • ABABABABABABAB

  • (2)

  • Aa1(t)Ba7(t)Aa2(t)Ba8(t)w12w78w17w28w18w27

  • AB

  • Rummelhart (1986)

  • net>0net0net
  • >0

  • Graph2

    0.1

    0.104

    0.10784

    0.1115264

    0.115065344

    0.1184627302

    0.121724221

    0.1248552522

    0.1278610421

    0.1307466004

    0.1335167364

    0.1361760669

    0.1387290243

    0.1411798633

    0.1435326688

    0.145791362

    0.1479597075

    0.1500413192

    0.1520396665

    0.1539580798

    0.1557997566

    b(t)

    t

    b(t)

    b(t+1)=(1-)*b(t)+net

    Activation

    Activation Rule

    |net| =0.2

    a(0) =0.1

    a(t+1)=(net)+a(t)*(1-|net|)

    ta(t)net

    00.10.2

    10.280.2

    20.4240.2

    30.53920.2

    40.631360.2

    50.7050880.2

    60.76407040.2

    70.811256320.2

    80.8490050560.2

    90.87920404480.2

    100.7033632358-0.2

    110.5626905887-0.2

    120.4501524709-0.2

    130.3601219768-0.2

    140.2880975814-0.2

    150.2304780651-0.2

    160.1843824521-0.2

    170.1475059617-0.2

    180.1180047693-0.2

    190.0944038155-0.2

    200.0755230524-0.2

    net>0net

  • 1

    1A

  • Graph2

    0.4

    0.8465882353

    0.4198554353

    0.905255837

    0.2264875773

    0.8112575893

    0.4699651918

    0.9863326831

    -0.1378050311

    0.1325156812

    0.8324546618

    0.3744442203

    1.0951716256

    -0.7251229835

    -0.6988765523

    -0.7084989759

    -0.7045707518

    -0.7066486653

    -0.7053557863

    -0.7062924705

    -0.705522284

    X(t)

    tN=12, w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    B

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    -

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    b

    10101002

    20000000

    30000000

    40010102

    50000000

    60000000

    70000000

    80110002

    90000000

    101110014

    110000101

    120110114

    131111116

    141101115

    151011115

    161000102

    171111116

    181111116

    191111116

    201101115

    211111116

    b

    12

    20

    30

    42

    50

    60

    70

    82

    90

    104

    111

    124

    136

    145

    155

    162

    176

    186

    196

    205

    216

    -

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    b

    B

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNA-BABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    B

    Theory

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    A-B

    -

    Theory(2)

    A-B(t)A-B(t+1)

    10.33333333331

    211

    310.3333333333

    40.33333333331

    511

    611

    710.3333333333

    80.33333333330.9166666667

    90.9166666667-0.5

    10-0.50.9166666667

    110.9166666667-0.0833333333

    12-0.0833333333-1

    13-1-0.6666666667

    14-0.6666666667-0.6666666667

    15-0.66666666670.3333333333

    160.3333333333-1

    17-1-1

    18-1-1

    19-1-0.6666666667

    20-0.6666666667-1

    21-1

    N =12w =0.2=0.04

    bias =0.1X(1) =0.4

    tX(t)X(t+1)

    10.40.8465882353

    20.84658823530.4198554353

    30.41985543530.905255837

    40.9052558370.2264875773

    50.22648757730.8112575893

    60.81125758930.4699651918

    70.46996519180.9863326831

    80.9863326831-0.1378050311

    9-0.13780503110.1325156812

    100.13251568120.8324546618

    110.83245466180.3744442203

    120.37444422031.0951716256

    131.0951716256-0.7251229835

    14-0.7251229835-0.6988765523

    15-0.6988765523-0.7084989759

    16-0.7084989759-0.7045707518

    17-0.7045707518-0.7066486653

    18-0.7066486653-0.7053557863

    19-0.7053557863-0.7062924705

    20-0.7062924705-0.705522284

    21-0.705522284

    Theory(2)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    A-B(t+1)

    a(t)

    a(t+1)

    0.7545882353

    0.6217770353

    0.8260838159

    0.435349309

    1.0009492985

    -0.2095742022

    -0.0347657204

    0.5152009829

    1.0119912654

    -0.3347442277

    -0.3065681915

    -0.2513018264

    -0.0790541781

    0.4816486648

    1.0656858243

    -0.6212794398

    -0.6914751379

    -0.7086934051

    -0.7047727822

    -0.7064659434

    X(t+1)

    X(t)

    X(t+1)

    b =0.07

    N =12tX(t)biasbias(t)Z(t)

    10.70.10.10.0294117647

    A =3.420.71458823530.10.170.05

    bias =0.130.69195642350.10.240.0705882353

    Z =0.029411764740.728061510.10.310.0911764706

    w(A,A) =0.250.66628348330.10.380.1117647059

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666760.77103690130.10.450.1323529412

    70.57091304680.10.520.1529411765

    X(1) =0.780.90308659450.10.590.1735294118

    90.18122156850.10.660.1941176471

    100.85076917720.10.730.2147058824

    110.3258999650.10.80.2352941176

    121.05092911490.10.870.2558823529

    13-0.48216850780.10.940.2764705882

    14-0.63862791440.11.010.2970588235

    15-0.71673284170.11.080.3176470588

    16-0.7020099040.11.150.3382352941

    17-0.70679947930.11.220.3588235294

    18-0.70571441040.11.290.3794117647

    19-0.70590073070.11.360.4

    20-0.70588161670.11.430.4205882353

    21-0.70588233090.11.50.4411764706

    0.11.570.4617647059

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias= 0.1, b=0.07, X(1) = 0.7

    X(t)

    N =12tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    w(A,A) =0.230.41985543530.0792752941

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666740.9052558370.0960695115

    A =3.450.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    epsilon =0.0470.46996519180.1737895517

    bias =0.180.98633268310.1925881593

    Z =0.02941176479-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    X(1) =0.4131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    0.0974771742

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-

    --

    --

    L-BE-C-O-

    ABAB

    GEL

    CROAa(1,t)Ba(7,t)

    CHAa(2,t)Ba(8,t)

    Aa(3,t)Ba(9,t)

    Aa(4,t)Ba(10,t)

    Aa(5,t)Ba(11,t)

    Aa(6,t)Ba(12,t)

    LC

    BEO

    YN

  • Graph3

    0.33333333330.4

    10.8465882353

    10.4198554353

    0.33333333330.905255837

    10.2264875773

    10.8112575893

    10.4699651918

    0.33333333330.9863326831

    0.9166666667-0.1378050311

    -0.50.1325156812

    0.91666666670.8324546618

    -0.08333333330.3744442203

    -11.0951716256

    -0.6666666667-0.7251229835

    -0.6666666667-0.6988765523

    0.3333333333-0.7084989759

    -1-0.7045707518

    -1-0.7066486653

    -1-0.7053557863

    -0.6666666667-0.7062924705

    -1-0.705522284

    t

    X(t)

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    B

    -

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    b

    10101002

    20000000

    30000000

    40010102

    50000000

    60000000

    70000000

    80110002

    90000000

    101110014

    110000101

    120110114

    131111116

    141101115

    151011115

    161000102

    171111116

    181111116

    191111116

    201101115

    211111116

    b

    12

    20

    30

    42

    50

    60

    70

    82

    90

    104

    111

    124

    136

    145

    155

    162

    176

    186

    196

    205

    216

    -

    b

    B

    (1)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    (1)

    B

    (2)

    A-B

    -

    (3)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYN

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    A

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    Theory

    A

    -

    10.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    2101

    3101

    40.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    5101

    6101

    7101

    80.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    90.916666666700.9166666667

    100.08333333330.5833333333-0.5

    1110.08333333330.9166666667

    120.50.5833333333-0.0833333333

    1301-1

    140.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    150.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    160.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    1701-1

    1801-1

    1901-1

    200.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    2101-1

    Theory(2)

    10.33333333331

    211

    310.3333333333

    40.33333333331

    511

    611

    710.3333333333

    80.33333333330.9166666667

    90.9166666667-0.5

    10-0.50.9166666667

    110.9166666667-0.0833333333

    12-0.0833333333-1

    13-1-0.6666666667

    14-0.6666666667-0.6666666667

    15-0.66666666670.3333333333

    160.3333333333-1

    17-1-1

    18-1-1

    19-1-0.6666666667

    20-0.6666666667-1

    21-1

    N =12w =0.2=0.04

    bias =0.1X(1) =0.4

    tX(t)X(t+1)

    10.40.8465882353

    20.84658823530.4198554353

    30.41985543530.905255837

    40.9052558370.2264875773

    50.22648757730.8112575893

    60.81125758930.4699651918

    70.46996519180.9863326831

    80.9863326831-0.1378050311

    9-0.13780503110.1325156812

    100.13251568120.8324546618

    110.83245466180.3744442203

    120.37444422031.0951716256

    131.0951716256-0.7251229835

    14-0.7251229835-0.6988765523

    15-0.6988765523-0.7084989759

    16-0.7084989759-0.7045707518

    17-0.7045707518-0.7066486653

    18-0.7066486653-0.7053557863

    19-0.7053557863-0.7062924705

    20-0.7062924705-0.705522284

    21-0.705522284

    Theory(2)

    A-B(t+1)

    a(t)

    a(t+1)

    X(t+1)

    X(t)

    X(t+1)

    b =0.07

    N =12tX(t)biasbias(t)Z(t)

    10.70.10.10.0294117647

    A =3.420.71458823530.10.170.05

    bias =0.130.69195642350.10.240.0705882353

    Z =0.029411764740.728061510.10.310.0911764706

    w(A,A) =0.250.66628348330.10.380.1117647059

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666760.77103690130.10.450.1323529412

    70.57091304680.10.520.1529411765

    X(1) =0.780.90308659450.10.590.1735294118

    90.18122156850.10.660.1941176471

    100.85076917720.10.730.2147058824

    110.3258999650.10.80.2352941176

    121.05092911490.10.870.2558823529

    13-0.48216850780.10.940.2764705882

    14-0.63862791440.11.010.2970588235

    15-0.71673284170.11.080.3176470588

    16-0.7020099040.11.150.3382352941

    17-0.70679947930.11.220.3588235294

    18-0.70571441040.11.290.3794117647

    19-0.70590073070.11.360.4

    20-0.70588161670.11.430.4205882353

    21-0.70588233090.11.50.4411764706

    0.11.570.4617647059

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias= 0.1, b=0.07, X(1) = 0.7

    X(t)

    N =12tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    w(A,A) =0.230.41985543530.0792752941

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666740.9052558370.0960695115

    A =3.450.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    epsilon =0.0470.46996519180.1737895517

    bias =0.180.98633268310.1925881593

    Z =0.02941176479-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    X(1) =0.4131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    Good Parameters0.0974771742

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    X(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    30.41985543530.0792752941

    40.9052558370.0960695115

    50.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    70.46996519180.1737895517

    80.98633268310.1925881593

    9-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    22-0.70623212470.0974771742

    23-0.70550817870.0692278892

    24-0.70631764970.0410075621

    25-0.70533298480.0127548561

    26-0.706626618-0.0154584633

    27-0.7047993808-0.043723528

    28-0.707555521-0.0719155033

    29-0.7031212886-0.1002177241

    30-0.710662729-0.1283425756

    31-0.697026142-0.1567690848

    32-0.7227348702-0.1846501305

    33-0.6707430176-0.2135595253

    34-0.7763939499-0.240389246

    35-0.5326309264-0.271445004

    36-1.0062757532-0.292750241

    370.3204682872-0.3330012712

    380.2767332844-0.3201825397

    390.1315739645-0.3091132083

    40-0.3739426641-0.3038502497

    41-1.1388963184-0.3188079563

    421.0072051304-0.364363809

    430.3486158402-0.3240756038

    440.3784250162-0.3101309702

    450.45446053-0.2949939696

    460.5907779993-0.2768155484

    470.7136487122-0.2531844284

    480.7014898666-0.2246384799

    490.7086113815-0.1965788852

    500.7038603871-0.16823443

    510.7075426462-0.1400800145

    520.7043393213-0.1117783086

    530.7074480787-0.0836047358

    540.7041270689-0.0553068126

    550.7079992059-0.0271417299

    560.70309887030.0011782384

    570.70976403690.0293021932

    580.70001004370.0576927546

    590.71513822510.0856931564

    600.68993608920.1142986854

    610.73353952460.141896129

    620.65121847250.1712377099

    630.80407787030.1972864488

    640.46975761320.2294495637

    651.03109799630.2482398682

    66-0.38350833820.289483788

    67-0.48656598210.2741434545

    68-0.64496429070.2546808152

    69-0.72580035510.2288822436

    70-0.69214846070.1998502294

    71-0.71513644160.172164291

    72-0.69805241930.1435588333

    73-0.71281402240.1156367365

    74-0.69873994150.0871241756

    75-0.71359254040.059174578

    76-0.69643721080.0306308764

    77-0.71781857140.0027733879

    78-0.6887997907-0.0259393549

    79-0.7303123489-0.0534913466

    80-0.6652080571-0.0827038405

    81-0.7686387424-0.1093121628

    82-0.5813088441-0.1400577125

    83-0.8868435987-0.1633100663

    84-0.2407174061-0.1987838102

    85-0.9358153098-0.2084125065

    86-0.0412899804-0.2458451188

    87-0.6901044898-0.2474967181

    88-0.7404018579-0.2751008977

    89-0.6212160397-0.304716972

    90-0.8877601767-0.3295656136

    91-0.1349846537-0.3650760206

    92-1.1056285145-0.3704754068

    930.9005988657-0.4147005474

    940.5789166169-0.3786765927

    950.6653569319-0.355519928

    960.708048267-0.3289056508

    970.7052562199-0.3005837201

    980.7061177079-0.2723734713

    990.7057706228-0.244128763

    1000.7059459925-0.2158979381

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    t

    X(t)

    Good Parameters

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    tX(1)=0.4X(1)=0.41

    10.40.41

    20.84658823530.8520482353

    30.41985543530.4058441383

    40.9052558370.9013598392

    50.22648757730.2384063862

    60.81125758930.8274261108

    70.46996519180.4269284477

    80.98633268310.9976481208

    9-0.1378050311-0.182380263

    100.1325156812-0.0331334548

    110.83245466180.4477119633

    120.37444422031.0366050101

    131.0951716256-0.4001037976

    14-0.7251229835-0.5223179012

    15-0.6988765523-0.681949918

    16-0.7084989759-0.7174514809

    17-0.7045707518-0.6978203089

    18-0.7066486653-0.711748988

    19-0.7053557863-0.700778692

    20-0.7062924705-0.7106259288

    21-0.705522284-0.7008625479

    X(1)=0.4

    X(1)=0.41

    t

    X(t)

    Good Parameters

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    t

    10.33333333330.4

    210.8465882353

    310.4198554353

    40.33333333330.905255837

    510.2264875773

    610.8112575893

    710.4699651918

    80.33333333330.9863326831

    90.9166666667-0.1378050311

    10-0.50.1325156812

    110.91666666670.8324546618

    12-0.08333333330.3744442203

    13-11.0951716256

    14-0.6666666667-0.7251229835

    15-0.6666666667-0.6988765523

    160.3333333333-0.7084989759

    17-1-0.7045707518

    18-1-0.7066486653

    19-1-0.7053557863

    20-0.6666666667-0.7062924705

    21-1-0.705522284

    t

    X(t)

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-

    --

    --

    L-BE-C-O-

    ABAB

    GEL

    CROAa(1,t)Ba(7,t)

    CHAa(2,t)Ba(8,t)

    Aa(3,t)Ba(9,t)

    Aa(4,t)Ba(10,t)

    Aa(5,t)Ba(11,t)

    Aa(6,t)Ba(12,t)

    LC

    BEO

    YN

  • Graph1

    0.40.41

    0.84658823530.8520482353

    0.41985543530.4058441383

    0.9052558370.9013598392

    0.22648757730.2384063862

    0.81125758930.8274261108

    0.46996519180.4269284477

    0.98633268310.9976481208

    -0.1378050311-0.182380263

    0.1325156812-0.0331334548

    0.83245466180.4477119633

    0.37444422031.0366050101

    1.0951716256-0.4001037976

    -0.7251229835-0.5223179012

    -0.6988765523-0.681949918

    -0.7084989759-0.7174514809

    -0.7045707518-0.6978203089

    -0.7066486653-0.711748988

    -0.7053557863-0.700778692

    -0.7062924705-0.7106259288

    -0.705522284-0.7008625479

    X(1)=0.4

    X(1)=0.41

    t

    X(t)

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    B

    -

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    b

    10101002

    20000000

    30000000

    40010102

    50000000

    60000000

    70000000

    80110002

    90000000

    101110014

    110000101

    120110114

    131111116

    141101115

    151011115

    161000102

    171111116

    181111116

    191111116

    201101115

    211111116

    b

    12

    20

    30

    42

    50

    60

    70

    82

    90

    104

    111

    124

    136

    145

    155

    162

    176

    186

    196

    205

    216

    -

    b

    B

    (1)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    (1)

    B

    (2)

    A-B

    -

    (3)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYN

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    A

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    Theory

    A

    -

    10.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    2101

    3101

    40.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    5101

    6101

    7101

    80.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    90.916666666700.9166666667

    100.08333333330.5833333333-0.5

    1110.08333333330.9166666667

    120.50.5833333333-0.0833333333

    1301-1

    140.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    150.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    160.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    1701-1

    1801-1

    1901-1

    200.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    2101-1

    Theory(2)

    10.33333333331

    211

    310.3333333333

    40.33333333331

    511

    611

    710.3333333333

    80.33333333330.9166666667

    90.9166666667-0.5

    10-0.50.9166666667

    110.9166666667-0.0833333333

    12-0.0833333333-1

    13-1-0.6666666667

    14-0.6666666667-0.6666666667

    15-0.66666666670.3333333333

    160.3333333333-1

    17-1-1

    18-1-1

    19-1-0.6666666667

    20-0.6666666667-1

    21-1

    N =12w =0.2=0.04

    bias =0.1X(1) =0.4

    tX(t)X(t+1)

    10.40.8465882353

    20.84658823530.4198554353

    30.41985543530.905255837

    40.9052558370.2264875773

    50.22648757730.8112575893

    60.81125758930.4699651918

    70.46996519180.9863326831

    80.9863326831-0.1378050311

    9-0.13780503110.1325156812

    100.13251568120.8324546618

    110.83245466180.3744442203

    120.37444422031.0951716256

    131.0951716256-0.7251229835

    14-0.7251229835-0.6988765523

    15-0.6988765523-0.7084989759

    16-0.7084989759-0.7045707518

    17-0.7045707518-0.7066486653

    18-0.7066486653-0.7053557863

    19-0.7053557863-0.7062924705

    20-0.7062924705-0.705522284

    21-0.705522284

    Theory(2)

    A-B(t+1)

    a(t)

    a(t+1)

    0.8465882353

    0.4198554353

    0.905255837

    0.2264875773

    0.8112575893

    0.4699651918

    0.9863326831

    -0.1378050311

    0.1325156812

    0.8324546618

    0.3744442203

    1.0951716256

    -0.7251229835

    -0.6988765523

    -0.7084989759

    -0.7045707518

    -0.7066486653

    -0.7053557863

    -0.7062924705

    -0.705522284

    X(t+1)

    X(t)

    X(t+1)

    b =0.07

    N =12tX(t)biasbias(t)Z(t)

    10.70.10.10.0294117647

    A =3.420.71458823530.10.170.05

    bias =0.130.69195642350.10.240.0705882353

    Z =0.029411764740.728061510.10.310.0911764706

    w(A,A) =0.250.66628348330.10.380.1117647059

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666760.77103690130.10.450.1323529412

    70.57091304680.10.520.1529411765

    X(1) =0.780.90308659450.10.590.1735294118

    90.18122156850.10.660.1941176471

    100.85076917720.10.730.2147058824

    110.3258999650.10.80.2352941176

    121.05092911490.10.870.2558823529

    13-0.48216850780.10.940.2764705882

    14-0.63862791440.11.010.2970588235

    15-0.71673284170.11.080.3176470588

    16-0.7020099040.11.150.3382352941

    17-0.70679947930.11.220.3588235294

    18-0.70571441040.11.290.3794117647

    19-0.70590073070.11.360.4

    20-0.70588161670.11.430.4205882353

    21-0.70588233090.11.50.4411764706

    0.11.570.4617647059

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias= 0.1, b=0.07, X(1) = 0.7

    X(t)

    N =12tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    w(A,A) =0.230.41985543530.0792752941

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666740.9052558370.0960695115

    A =3.450.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    epsilon =0.0470.46996519180.1737895517

    bias =0.180.98633268310.1925881593

    Z =0.02941176479-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    X(1) =0.4131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    Good Parameters0.0974771742

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    X(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    Good Parameters

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    tX(1)=0.4X(1)=0.41

    10.40.41

    20.84658823530.8520482353

    30.41985543530.4058441383

    40.9052558370.9013598392

    50.22648757730.2384063862

    60.81125758930.8274261108

    70.46996519180.4269284477

    80.98633268310.9976481208

    9-0.1378050311-0.182380263

    100.1325156812-0.0331334548

    110.83245466180.4477119633

    120.37444422031.0366050101

    131.0951716256-0.4001037976

    14-0.7251229835-0.5223179012

    15-0.6988765523-0.681949918

    16-0.7084989759-0.7174514809

    17-0.7045707518-0.6978203089

    18-0.7066486653-0.711748988

    19-0.7053557863-0.700778692

    20-0.7062924705-0.7106259288

    21-0.705522284-0.7008625479

    X(1)=0.4

    X(1)=0.41

    t

    X(t)

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-

    --

    --

    L-BE-C-O-

    ABAB

    GEL

    CROAa(1,t)Ba(7,t)

    CHAa(2,t)Ba(8,t)

    Aa(3,t)Ba(9,t)

    Aa(4,t)Ba(10,t)

    Aa(5,t)Ba(11,t)

    Aa(6,t)Ba(12,t)

    LC

    BEO

    YN

  • Graph2

    0.40.0294117647

    0.84658823530.0454117647

    0.41985543530.0792752941

    0.9052558370.0960695115

    0.22648757730.132279745

    0.81125758930.1413392481

    0.46996519180.1737895517

    0.98633268310.1925881593

    -0.13780503110.2320414667

    0.13251568120.2265292654

    0.83245466180.2318298927

    0.37444422030.2651280792

    1.09517162560.280105848

    -0.72512298350.323912713

    -0.69887655230.2949077936

    -0.70849897590.2669527316

    -0.70457075180.2386127725

    -0.70664866530.2104299425

    -0.70535578630.1821639958

    -0.70629247050.1539497644

    -0.7055222840.1256980656

    -0.70623212470.0974771742

    -0.70550817870.0692278892

    -0.70631764970.0410075621

    -0.70533298480.0127548561

    -0.706626618-0.0154584633

    -0.7047993808-0.043723528

    -0.707555521-0.0719155033

    -0.7031212886-0.1002177241

    -0.710662729-0.1283425756

    -0.697026142-0.1567690848

    -0.7227348702-0.1846501305

    -0.6707430176-0.2135595253

    -0.7763939499-0.240389246

    -0.5326309264-0.271445004

    -1.0062757532-0.292750241

    0.3204682872-0.3330012712

    0.2767332844-0.3201825397

    0.1315739645-0.3091132083

    -0.3739426641-0.3038502497

    -1.1388963184-0.3188079563

    1.0072051304-0.364363809

    0.3486158402-0.3240756038

    0.3784250162-0.3101309702

    0.45446053-0.2949939696

    0.5907779993-0.2768155484

    0.7136487122-0.2531844284

    0.7014898666-0.2246384799

    0.7086113815-0.1965788852

    0.7038603871-0.16823443

    0.7075426462-0.1400800145

    0.7043393213-0.1117783086

    0.7074480787-0.0836047358

    0.7041270689-0.0553068126

    0.7079992059-0.0271417299

    0.70309887030.0011782384

    0.70976403690.0293021932

    0.70001004370.0576927546

    0.71513822510.0856931564

    0.68993608920.1142986854

    0.73353952460.141896129

    0.65121847250.1712377099

    0.80407787030.1972864488

    0.46975761320.2294495637

    1.03109799630.2482398682

    -0.38350833820.289483788

    -0.48656598210.2741434545

    -0.64496429070.2546808152

    -0.72580035510.2288822436

    -0.69214846070.1998502294

    -0.71513644160.172164291

    -0.69805241930.1435588333

    -0.71281402240.1156367365

    -0.69873994150.0871241756

    -0.71359254040.059174578

    -0.69643721080.0306308764

    -0.71781857140.0027733879

    -0.6887997907-0.0259393549

    -0.7303123489-0.0534913466

    -0.6652080571-0.0827038405

    -0.7686387424-0.1093121628

    -0.5813088441-0.1400577125

    -0.8868435987-0.1633100663

    -0.2407174061-0.1987838102

    -0.9358153098-0.2084125065

    -0.0412899804-0.2458451188

    -0.6901044898-0.2474967181

    -0.7404018579-0.2751008977

    -0.6212160397-0.304716972

    -0.8877601767-0.3295656136

    -0.1349846537-0.3650760206

    -1.1056285145-0.3704754068

    0.9005988657-0.4147005474

    0.5789166169-0.3786765927

    0.6653569319-0.355519928

    0.708048267-0.3289056508

    0.7052562199-0.3005837201

    0.7061177079-0.2723734713

    0.7057706228-0.244128763

    0.7059459925-0.2158979381

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    t

    X(t)

    , 1988,

    113

    221

    331

    412

    532

    612

    712

    813

    932

    1043

    1112

    1231

    1343

    1453

    1542

    1652

    1743

    1853

    1943

    2053

    2143

    1-2-3-1-2-3-4-5-

    B

    -

    , 1988,

    1sbsbss

    2ssssss

    3ssssss

    4ssbsbs

    5ssssss

    6ssssss

    7ssssss

    8sbbsss

    9ssssss

    10bbbssb

    11ssssbs

    12sbbsbb

    13bbbbbb

    14bbsbbb

    15bsbbbb

    16bsssbs

    17bbbbbb

    18bbbbbb

    19bbbbbb

    20bbsbbb

    21bbbbbb

    s

    s

    11010114

    21111116

    31111116

    41101014

    51111116

    61111116

    71111116

    81001114

    91111116

    100001102

    111111015

    121001002

    130000000

    140010001

    150100001

    160111014

    170000000

    180000000

    190000000

    200010001

    210000000

    b

    b

    10101002

    20000000

    30000000

    40010102

    50000000

    60000000

    70000000

    80110002

    90000000

    101110014

    110000101

    120110114

    131111116

    141101115

    151011115

    161000102

    171111116

    181111116

    191111116

    201101115

    211111116

    b

    12

    20

    30

    42

    50

    60

    70

    82

    90

    104

    111

    124

    136

    145

    155

    162

    176

    186

    196

    205

    216

    -

    b

    B

    (1)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYNABBA

    1ABABAA10.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    2AAAAAA211006

    3AAAAAA311006

    4AABABA40.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    5AAAAAA511006

    6AAAAAA611006

    7AAAAAA711006

    8ABBAAA80.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    9AAAaAA90.91666666670.9166666667005.5

    10BBbaB10-0.50.08333333330.58333333333.50.5

    11AAAAAbA110.916666666710.08333333330.56

    12AAbBABB12-0.08333333330.50.58333333333.53

    13BBBBBB13-10160

    14BBABBB14-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    15BABBBB15-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    16BAAABA160.33333333330.66666666670.333333333324

    17BBBBBB17-10160

    18BBBBBB18-10160

    19BBBBBB19-10160

    20BBABBB20-0.66666666670.16666666670.833333333351

    21BBBBBB21-10160

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-----L-BE-C-O-1988p. 49

    (1)

    B

    (2)

    A-B

    -

    (3)

    A

    GCRCHELOLBECOYN

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    A

    ABABABABABAB

    1111111

    2111111

    3111111

    4111111

    5111111

    6111111

    7111111

    8111111

    91110.511

    10110.50.51

    11111110.51

    12110.51111

    13111111

    14111111

    15111111

    16111111

    17111111

    18111111

    19111111

    20111111

    21111111

    Theory

    A

    -

    10.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    2101

    3101

    40.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    5101

    6101

    7101

    80.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    90.916666666700.9166666667

    100.08333333330.5833333333-0.5

    1110.08333333330.9166666667

    120.50.5833333333-0.0833333333

    1301-1

    140.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    150.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    160.66666666670.33333333330.3333333333

    1701-1

    1801-1

    1901-1

    200.16666666670.8333333333-0.6666666667

    2101-1

    Theory(2)

    10.33333333331

    211

    310.3333333333

    40.33333333331

    511

    611

    710.3333333333

    80.33333333330.9166666667

    90.9166666667-0.5

    10-0.50.9166666667

    110.9166666667-0.0833333333

    12-0.0833333333-1

    13-1-0.6666666667

    14-0.6666666667-0.6666666667

    15-0.66666666670.3333333333

    160.3333333333-1

    17-1-1

    18-1-1

    19-1-0.6666666667

    20-0.6666666667-1

    21-1

    N =12w =0.2=0.04

    bias =0.1X(1) =0.4

    tX(t)X(t+1)

    10.40.8465882353

    20.84658823530.4198554353

    30.41985543530.905255837

    40.9052558370.2264875773

    50.22648757730.8112575893

    60.81125758930.4699651918

    70.46996519180.9863326831

    80.9863326831-0.1378050311

    9-0.13780503110.1325156812

    100.13251568120.8324546618

    110.83245466180.3744442203

    120.37444422031.0951716256

    131.0951716256-0.7251229835

    14-0.7251229835-0.6988765523

    15-0.6988765523-0.7084989759

    16-0.7084989759-0.7045707518

    17-0.7045707518-0.7066486653

    18-0.7066486653-0.7053557863

    19-0.7053557863-0.7062924705

    20-0.7062924705-0.705522284

    21-0.705522284

    Theory(2)

    A-B(t+1)

    a(t)

    a(t+1)

    0.8465882353

    0.4198554353

    0.905255837

    0.2264875773

    0.8112575893

    0.4699651918

    0.9863326831

    -0.1378050311

    0.1325156812

    0.8324546618

    0.3744442203

    1.0951716256

    -0.7251229835

    -0.6988765523

    -0.7084989759

    -0.7045707518

    -0.7066486653

    -0.7053557863

    -0.7062924705

    -0.705522284

    X(t+1)

    X(t)

    X(t+1)

    b =0.07

    N =12tX(t)biasbias(t)Z(t)

    10.70.10.10.0294117647

    A =3.420.71458823530.10.170.05

    bias =0.130.69195642350.10.240.0705882353

    Z =0.029411764740.728061510.10.310.0911764706

    w(A,A) =0.250.66628348330.10.380.1117647059

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666760.77103690130.10.450.1323529412

    70.57091304680.10.520.1529411765

    X(1) =0.780.90308659450.10.590.1735294118

    90.18122156850.10.660.1941176471

    100.85076917720.10.730.2147058824

    110.3258999650.10.80.2352941176

    121.05092911490.10.870.2558823529

    13-0.48216850780.10.940.2764705882

    14-0.63862791440.11.010.2970588235

    15-0.71673284170.11.080.3176470588

    16-0.7020099040.11.150.3382352941

    17-0.70679947930.11.220.3588235294

    18-0.70571441040.11.290.3794117647

    19-0.70590073070.11.360.4

    20-0.70588161670.11.430.4205882353

    21-0.70588233090.11.50.4411764706

    0.11.570.4617647059

    X(t)

    tw=0.2, bias= 0.1, b=0.07, X(1) = 0.7

    X(t)

    N =12tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    w(A,A) =0.230.41985543530.0792752941

    w(A,B) =-0.166666666740.9052558370.0960695115

    A =3.450.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    epsilon =0.0470.46996519180.1737895517

    bias =0.180.98633268310.1925881593

    Z =0.02941176479-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    X(1) =0.4131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    Good Parameters0.0974771742

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    X(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    tN=12. w=0.2, b(1)= 0.1, =0.04, X(1) = 0.4

    X(t)

    tX(t)Z(t)

    10.40.0294117647

    20.84658823530.0454117647

    30.41985543530.0792752941

    40.9052558370.0960695115

    50.22648757730.132279745

    60.81125758930.1413392481

    70.46996519180.1737895517

    80.98633268310.1925881593

    9-0.13780503110.2320414667

    100.13251568120.2265292654

    110.83245466180.2318298927

    120.37444422030.2651280792

    131.09517162560.280105848

    14-0.72512298350.323912713

    15-0.69887655230.2949077936

    16-0.70849897590.2669527316

    17-0.70457075180.2386127725

    18-0.70664866530.2104299425

    19-0.70535578630.1821639958

    20-0.70629247050.1539497644

    21-0.7055222840.1256980656

    22-0.70623212470.0974771742

    23-0.70550817870.0692278892

    24-0.70631764970.0410075621

    25-0.70533298480.0127548561

    26-0.706626618-0.0154584633

    27-0.7047993808-0.043723528

    28-0.707555521-0.0719155033

    29-0.7031212886-0.1002177241

    30-0.710662729-0.1283425756

    31-0.697026142-0.1567690848

    32-0.7227348702-0.1846501305

    33-0.6707430176-0.2135595253

    34-0.7763939499-0.240389246

    35-0.5326309264-0.271445004

    36-1.0062757532-0.292750241

    370.3204682872-0.3330012712

    380.2767332844-0.3201825397

    390.1315739645-0.3091132083

    40-0.3739426641-0.3038502497

    41-1.1388963184-0.3188079563

    421.0072051304-0.364363809

    430.3486158402-0.3240756038

    440.3784250162-0.3101309702

    450.45446053-0.2949939696

    460.5907779993-0.2768155484

    470.7136487122-0.2531844284

    480.7014898666-0.2246384799

    490.7086113815-0.1965788852

    500.7038603871-0.16823443

    510.7075426462-0.1400800145

    520.7043393213-0.1117783086

    530.7074480787-0.0836047358

    540.7041270689-0.0553068126

    550.7079992059-0.0271417299

    560.70309887030.0011782384

    570.70976403690.0293021932

    580.70001004370.0576927546

    590.71513822510.0856931564

    600.68993608920.1142986854

    610.73353952460.141896129

    620.65121847250.1712377099

    630.80407787030.1972864488

    640.46975761320.2294495637

    651.03109799630.2482398682

    66-0.38350833820.289483788

    67-0.48656598210.2741434545

    68-0.64496429070.2546808152

    69-0.72580035510.2288822436

    70-0.69214846070.1998502294

    71-0.71513644160.172164291

    72-0.69805241930.1435588333

    73-0.71281402240.1156367365

    74-0.69873994150.0871241756

    75-0.71359254040.059174578

    76-0.69643721080.0306308764

    77-0.71781857140.0027733879

    78-0.6887997907-0.0259393549

    79-0.7303123489-0.0534913466

    80-0.6652080571-0.0827038405

    81-0.7686387424-0.1093121628

    82-0.5813088441-0.1400577125

    83-0.8868435987-0.1633100663

    84-0.2407174061-0.1987838102

    85-0.9358153098-0.2084125065

    86-0.0412899804-0.2458451188

    87-0.6901044898-0.2474967181

    88-0.7404018579-0.2751008977

    89-0.6212160397-0.304716972

    90-0.8877601767-0.3295656136

    91-0.1349846537-0.3650760206

    92-1.1056285145-0.3704754068

    930.9005988657-0.4147005474

    940.5789166169-0.3786765927

    950.6653569319-0.355519928

    960.708048267-0.3289056508

    970.7052562199-0.3005837201

    980.7061177079-0.2723734713

    990.7057706228-0.244128763

    1000.7059459925-0.2158979381

    X(t)

    Z(t)

    t

    X(t)

    Good Parameters

    N=12

    W=0.2

    b(1)=0.04

    =0.1

    X(1)=0.4

    tX(1)=0.4X(1)=0.41

    10.40.41

    20.84658823530.8520482353

    30.41985543530.4058441383

    40.9052558370.9013598392

    50.22648757730.2384063862

    60.81125758930.8274261108

    70.46996519180.4269284477

    80.98633268310.9976481208

    9-0.1378050311-0.182380263

    100.1325156812-0.0331334548

    110.83245466180.4477119633

    120.37444422031.0366050101

    131.0951716256-0.4001037976

    14-0.7251229835-0.5223179012

    15-0.6988765523-0.681949918

    16-0.7084989759-0.7174514809

    17-0.7045707518-0.6978203089

    18-0.7066486653-0.711748988

    19-0.7053557863-0.700778692

    20-0.7062924705-0.7106259288

    21-0.705522284-0.7008625479

    X(1)=0.4

    X(1)=0.41

    t

    X(t)

    G-CR-CH-EL-O-

    --

    --

    L-BE-C-O-

    ABAB

    GEL

    CROAa(1,t)Ba(7,t)

    CHAa(2,t)Ba(8,t)

    Aa(3,t)Ba(9,t)

    Aa(4,t)Ba(10,t)

    Aa(5,t)Ba(11,t)

    Aa(6,t)Ba(12,t)

    LC

    BEO

    YN

  • (1)32NwX(1)b(1)

  • (2)() Yamaguchi & Sakai (1983) `Transfer Crisis

  • 4p.161Peter Earl, 1984

  • If then If then If then 1988

  • (2002)PDP(Sakai et al., 1995)

  • 3orderPDP0.1order3.15108(3)

  • w5.

  • 5. (1) (2) (3) [M1] [M2] [M3]

  • 199015

  • C&NW 2519491973, p.173 1992 6.

  • 6. [M1] [M2] [M3]

  • 302004pp. 113-114

  • 2004pp. 113-114

  • 41 (1996)J. M.133 (2001)http://www.kahaku.go.jp/special/past/japanese/ipix/ X (2001) (1997) (2000)2002219855(1985)200211997(1997)214 pp. 43-54(1988)

  • Rummelhart, D.E., et. Al..: Parallel distributed Processing, Cambridge, The MIT Press, Vol. 2, (1986)Necker, L.A. : Observations on some remarkable phenomena seen in Switzerland; and an optical phenomenon which occurs on viewing of a crystal or geometrical solid, Phil. Mag., Vol. 3, pp. 329-337, (1832)(1988)Johnson-Laird, P. N. (1983) Metal Models: Towards a Cognitive Science of Laguage, Inference, and Consciousness, Cambridge MA, Cambridge. Univ. Press.Huff, A. S., ed. Mapping Strategic Thought (Somerset, NJ: Wiley, 1990).Barr, P. S., Stimpert, J. L., and Huff, A. S. "Cognitive Change, Strategic Action, and Organizational Renewal.", Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 13, pp. 15-36 (1992)(1999)Mintzberg, H., et. al.: Strategy Safari: A Guided Tour through The Wilds of Strategic Management, Simon & Schuster, (1998)

  • , T. (1971)The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, T. Kuhn, Univ. of Chicago Press (1962) 249pp. 67-104(1992)Sakai, K.., et. al. : "Chaos Causes Perspective Reversals for Ambiguous Patterns", in Advances in Intelligent Computing, Springer, pp. 463-472, (1995) 1pp. 12-23(2002)2003200361315pp. 5-8Earl, P. : The Corporate Imagination, M. E. Sharpe, (1984)20043 (2004) (2004)