我国电子商务的 最新发展
DESCRIPTION
我国电子商务的 最新发展. 信息产业部电子六所 龚炳铮 E-mail:bzgong@ vip .sina. Com 100083 北京 927 信箱. 我国电子商务的新发展. 1. 我国电子商务的发展现状 2. 我国电子商务模式的发展 3. 我国电子商务发展趋势分析预测. 1 电子商务环境改善 1.1 法律政策环境不断完善 1.2 网络基础设施及支付环境进一步改善。 1.3 物流配送基础条件逐步改善。 1.4 电子商务标准建设得到高度重视。 1.5 人文环境有了改善 2 电子商务市场规模 2.1 市场总规模 2.2 细分市场 ( 市场结构 ) - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
-
E-mail:bzgong@ vip .sina. Com100083 927
-
1.
2.
3.
-
11.11.21.31.41.522.12.2 ()33.13.23.3
-
4. 4.14.2 4.3 4.45.5.15.25.3.
-
1990-1993 EDI1993-1997 1998-2000 ,2001-2004 2005 - 1
1.1200320043242004828200541.
-
2004
200410,25
-
.,
1.22004338.43.124, 3.34,6.5200412309400416043.266860000M2500CN20%
-
2004128,25%,1000, ,100%,2200,7.8, 25%;50, 26.65346.751.7,,,20043219604PC,200350%884880060 1000 6022 %78 %50%24%75%1 %80%
-
CACACA200412157
1.3GPSEOSRFID,600200140%200360% EDI70
-
1.42004[2004]111PKI/PMI20cnXMLRosettaNetEAN.UCC2004UBLXML20052004EDIFACTXML schemaXMLEPC200510EPC
-
2004GB/T 19256.1-2003 XML 1XML ISO 15000.1-2004XML ISO 15000.2-2004XML ISO 15000.3-2004XML ISO 15000.4-2004XML ISO 15000.5-2004XMLebXMLUMMXML 12XMLEDIFACTXML schema GB/T 7635 XMLEPC
-
1.520047CNNIC,8700635.1,37.8 ,()58%,5000.200318168:;20045-8667333800036812001200420041120047-2004112541027835,,45.
-
2
2.112004448620031%1421200317%20049.120012004 ( 200502)
Chart1
33911326
38041533
44461719
44861421
()
()
Sheet1
()()
200133911326
2002380412.2%153315.6%
2003421310.8%16578.1%
200444866.5%1421-14.2%
()B2B()B2BB2C()B2C
2000771.6767.73.9771.6
20011088.241.0%1075.040.0%13.2237.2%1088.2
20021809.066.2%1784.066.0%25.090.1%1809.0
20032756.052.3%3464.094.2%92.0268.0%3556.0
20045785.067.0%300.0226.1%6085.0
20059313.061.0%650.0116.7%9963.0
2006
2007
2008
()()
200133911326
200238041533
200344461719
200444861421
0.0089968511-0.1733566027
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
2. 200420044800200373.7%
20002004,
Chart1
771.62000
1088.150.4102514256
18090.6624546248
27630.5273631841
48000.7372421281
()
Sheet1
()
2000771.6
20011088.241.0%
20021809.066.2%
20032763.052.7%
20044800.073.7%
Sheet1
771.62000
1088.150.4102514256
18090.6624546248
27630.5273631841
&A
Page &P
()
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
200210217RMB51%24%5%4.8%3.8%3.8%2.9%1.1%200225RMB4.089RMB0.0649002003637020048000.
2.2 ()1B2B(1) 2004B2B2004B2B1811200317056.2%90820038743.9%
-
2) 2004B2B2004B2B2004B2B4701.0200373.9%
Chart1
1129534
1345667
1527796
1705874
1811908
B2B()
()
Sheet1
B2B()()
20001129534
20011345667
20021527796
20031705874
20041811908
0.0621700880.0389016018
Sheet1
B2B()
()
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
9.4 20002004B2BB2B2001200220032004B2B
Chart1
767.72000
10750.4002865703
17840.6595348837
27040.5156950673
47010.738535503
B2B()
B2B
Sheet1
B2B()B2B
2000767.7
20011075.040.0%
20021784.066.0%
20032704.051.6%
20044701.073.9%
Sheet1
&A
Page &P
B2B()
B2B
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
2B2C(1) 2004B2C2004B2C22192003250811.5%432200378344.8%
9.5 2004B2C(2) 2004B2C2004B2C2003B2C52.02002108.0%2004B2C82.0,200357.6%
Chart1
2046659
2277737
2508783
2219432
B2C()
()
Sheet1
B2C()()
20012046659
20022277737
20032508783
20042219432
-0.11523126-0.4482758621
Sheet1
B2C()
()
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
9.6 20002004B2C
-
3C2C(1) 2004C2C2004C2C456200323395.7%8120036230.6%9.7 2004C2C
Chart1
3.92000
13.152.3717948718
250.9011406844
521.08
820.5769230769
B2C()
B2C
Sheet1
B2C()B2C
20003.9
200113.2237.2%
200225.090.1%
200352.0108.0%
200482.057.7%
Sheet1
&A
Page &P
B2C()
B2C
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
9.7 2004C2C
Chart1
23362
45681
C2C()
()
Sheet1
C2C()()
200323362
200445681
Sheet1
C2C()
()
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
(2) 2004C2C2004C2C2004C2C17.02003142.9%9.8 20032004C2C
1 200502
-
9.8 20032004C2CC2C600200319.2200475%33.7
Chart1
72003
171.4285714286
C2C()
C2C
Sheet1
C2C()C2C
20037.0
200417.0142.9%
Sheet1
&A
Page &P
C2C()
C2C
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
3(2004
3.11.200375521012352047000120040
APEC10+3CEPA
-
"(http://www.cecf.com.cn) ""(CIECC) """2004957600,22%,.8,800042320030
-
2
,
CA39130CECA,
-
ERPePSERPERPAdd-onCDMAGPRSCAWPKI APN
-
34,,GIS200453.18%46.1%7.1%,79100130086.66
-
4---BTOB 20041028CNTextileLLCCNTextileJV 200331.0465.652005 www.cntextile.com 200511615679748
-
5(1)2004(2)20041)ababc
-
2)EDIa)EDIEDIb)c)(3)2004(4)20046.2004(1)
-
5156SOPKPITCSS (2)EDI EDIEDI2004EDI100010(3) (4)(IRIS-2)411144500700Cargo200020032004e-bookinge-flowe-loadinge-drawinge-checkinge-accountinge-confirmingeXchangeERP
-
7. (1)[2004]20,434200600120
(2) 1)20049252)B2BB2C203)4)305)20041120
-
(3)1) 2)3)4)5)8. 2004ICP18320043026018002173185111852529CPCAAVONOAUPUEPM
-
92003DMS2004 20042004300,
-
10.1012392623, e-piccpa18 ,231.91,151,20042,. 2002EESB/SWin2000
-
3.21. (1)2002457,2003611200233.7%,2004666, 20039%660.9-99-9
-
660.1800 2002457,2003611200233.7%,2004666, 20039%BtoBCtoCBtoC(2)B2BBtoB98%BtoB140078%BtoB1952004BtoB2004BtoB127(3)B2CB2C2003200297%2004200378%20007,2004BtoC30002003115%BtoC100%20042200487500 4,10%,
-
5)37%50%5%BtoB,BtoB,BtoBBtoB70%9-10
-
2.(1) 2002253.86 2003504.4198 2004743.1947.34,200410% 20025.06 20039.08 200412GDP9.9 (2)B2B B2B ,90%: 200390.52200493.52. B2C, 20037.4420043.79. C2C, 20032.0420042.69. (3)B2B 2003 430.785.38 16.83.32 .COM56.911.302004 511.0268.76 6.530.88 .COM225.6430.36
-
3..1B2BB2CERP250 210020%199978005000800030%
-
(32000730040006030200430
4B-G2002812100012230200218.7812.8%2.4
-
3. 2004(1)B2B3789B2B---(2)http://www.xj100.com254636(3)WWW.CASPM.COM ECR2000,20018,,2.2 (4)http://www.xjly.net 2004 (5).,.
-
4 Insead20031192002-20038318IDCIDC2001-200255111215522003301999-20011012132720032004
2003PC 675% 200262%200161% 60% 2002525%2001487%10346410562% 265329PC 548% 475% / 135%50%
-
121199821,20015,20043, ,,46,,,,.2112345[21]19982003 68%(2000 50%) 60%(2000 36%) 50%(2000 18%) 55%(2000 52%)
48%(2000 37%) 50% 1000 70% , 60%
-
2 21www.esd.gov.hk724FAX, 200240140200350180www.esd>gov.hk180 [] [] 1400.319971242%199771----1999199741200047 200172002115300081800
-
20041, ,, 2000 1-3740821402003 26% 29% , 51%, 8050 ,/26%8%//9%7%8%42%2004/3IT200020032003
-
51
,200312,883,39%
-
(2) ,200312,883,39%
-
(3)2004
-
(4)2004
-
(5)2004
-
3.31. 500(NIEC)2004500,
9
0.04520.036520012001
0.05530.04580.22350.2548
0.07840.06860.4177215190.4978165939
Sheet1
815
1688
922
Total3425
Frequency
11537
2980
3586
4148
Total3251
FrequencyValid PercentFrequencyValid PercentFrequencyValid Percent
1153747.277760689117450.278372591103756.2975027144
298030.144570901366528.479657387645424.6471226927
358618.025223008335415.160599571722312.1064060803
41484.5524454014833.5546038544683.6916395223
Total3251100
47.28%50.28%56.30%
30.14%28.48%24.65%
18.03%15.16%12.11%
4.55%3.55%3.69%
23.07%26.11%32.30%
13.19%23.71%
177.9219.4214.77
23.28%-2.11%
87.16104.08106.3
19.42%2.13%
1847.3742525.1743104.5
36.69%22.94%
11.5614.3818.71
24.34%30.11%
52.74%57.05%68.40%
8.17%19.89%
4.52%5.53%7.84%
3.65%4.58%6.86%
22.35%41.77%
25.48%49.78%
Sheet1
0.47277760690.3014457090.18025223010.045524454
0.50278372590.28479657390.15160599570.0355460385
0.56297502710.24647122690.12106406080.0369163952
Sheet2
0.23072001
0.26110.1319
0.3230.237073918
&A
Page &P
CIO
Sheet3
177.92001
219.40.2328
214.77-0.0211030082
&A
Page &P
&A
Page &P
&A
Page &P
&A
Page &P
&A
Page &P
&A
Page &P
-
CECA(NIEC) 2005.01
-
2. 144.7% 1
-
2A90.3% B80.5%3POS2POS/4POS2495.5% 5POSMIS32 POS
1
0.135
0.5
0.365
Sheet1
113.5%
450.0%
2436.5%
Sheet1
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
3 CNET Research200503646.2%10%200512004200554.8%35.6%200536.7%105030%10042Internet/Intranet200555.3%/
-
3200536.8%/MIS3.9%,54 2005CNET Research200503
1
0.2
0.367
0.133
0.167
0.133
Sheet1
1020.0%
10-5036.70%
50-10013.30%
100-20016.70%
20013.30%
Sheet1
Sheet2
Sheet3
-
5 2005CNET Research200503
-
3.307,17757.76822.13210.4309.8
(1)27790.2227.2,20.7
4
0.902
0.072
0.02
0.007
307
Sheet1
43%
31.60%
24%
Sheet1
0
0
0
307
Sheet2
57.70%
22.10%
10.40%
9.80%
Sheet2
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet3
90.20%
7.20%
2%
0.70%
Sheet3
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet4
-
(2)l 96.1%l 89.9%l 75.2l 61.6%l 44.6%l 39.7%l 35.2%l 29%l 20.8%l 19.2%
-
1
0.899
0.752
0.616
0.446
0.397
0.352
0.29
0.208
0.192
307
Sheet1
43%
31.60%
24%
Sheet1
0
0
0
307
Sheet2
57.70%
22.10%
10.40%
9.80%
Sheet2
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet3
90.20%
7.20%
2%
0.70%
Sheet3
307
Sheet4
96.10%
89.90%
75.20%
61.60%
44.60%
39.70%
35.20%
29%
20.80%
19.20%
Sheet4
307
Sheet5
80.10%
19.90%
Sheet5
0
0
307
Sheet6
42.30%
36.20%
20.70%
10.60%
Sheet6
0
0
0
0
Sheet7
64.80%
60.90%
43.60%
42.30%
42.30%
32.20%
Sheet7
0
0
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet8
46.60%
46.30%
40.40%
35.50%
17.60%
13%
Sheet8
307
-
96.189.75.261.644.639.735.22920.8ERP19.2
(3)24680.110442.3ISP8936.2ISP5120.72610.614860.240IT20
-
(4)16754.4132438,
(5)38.134.22026.726.7
-
l 38.1% 64.8% l 34.2% 60.9%l 16.9% 43.6%l 15.6%42.3%l 15.6%42.3%l 5.5%32.2%
11
0.648
0.609
0.436
0.423
0.423
0.322
307
Sheet1
43%
31.60%
24%
Sheet1
0
0
0
307
Sheet2
57.70%
22.10%
10.40%
9.80%
Sheet2
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet3
90.20%
7.20%
2%
0.70%
Sheet3
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet4
96.10%
89.90%
75.20%
61.60%
44.60%
39.70%
35.20%
29%
20.80%
19.20%
Sheet4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
307
Sheet5
80.10%
19.90%
Sheet5
0
0
307
Sheet6
42.30%
36.20%
20.70%
10.60%
Sheet6
0
0
0
0
Sheet7
64.80%
60.90%
43.60%
42.30%
42.30%
32.20%
Sheet7
0
0
0
0
0
0
307
-
4.(1) B2B1--- 2---,
-
3)--- e20048136%203442004AA
(2)94-9896-9899-20002001-
-
20041) 2004290%80%2005401HTTPS
2) 2004110
-
3) 20044,PRCPRC(3) 200176,(www.energyahead.com)1) ,60I 2) 3) 2004,2004101.6
-
20021066.7%20031322004160398
(4) (WWW.sinopec-ec.com.cn),1.2.3.20008200412, 100055754, 2003236,2004516.15;8314, 2003174.92004196.24.
-
191620%20%3.012.66,IC1.3 (5) 2019849615100100200410162004,61613,30,858800,21%,34%14%117000
1)
-
19981998200320032008SBU2002402)SBU SBUSBUSBUSBUSBU3)a 1997KM10M10M2MIPTNG(AMO,SDO,AAO,RCO)b) ,()
-
2000B2BB2CB2B200020005015015402004250c) ,,,MES 4)
-
36+104373.8%60%67% Haier:HHaier and Higher;A@,IInternet and Intranet ;Ewww.ehaier.com;RHaier
-
4
4.11.1) BusinessBConsumerCGovernmentG 2) 9
3)3a b c33=93333=27
-
2,,,.,,. ,,Paul Timmers11: :(),()()77.,,,,, .
-
e-brigeIT
4.2 1..IT20042003165%20031745.IT2453.38.56.76.77.11.116.7
-
2. :,, ,8848,6688, E, , ,,, ,,,,. : , , , TOM,2633C: , 18900,,,,(1)200450%32%18%(2)200460%27%13%(3)
-
4.3 TOM2004 39.1 2003 46 %2007 88.9 TOM E TOM (2)1999 11 20052 19.5% 2004 13.67 4012.76 0.91 MMORPG 2004200324 6 2003 2%16.6%6 .6%
-
2.(1)+200461 76.919.83.3 (2) 20043.33840301.331161020031.731 1.35716402003581070085% 20042.76200380%. 200463002003210%.20041702003612004Packaged tour10501302003119%.200320043%.
-
3.(1)2004425040170020020032004217.8%200310.734eBay221011200465293(2)QQQQ.comAlexa.com2004QQ.comQQ.com20051GoogleGoogle
-
(2)
700SEHKQQTM RTX QQTM RTX
4.4
-
1
IT.
-
21 2000e-Bridge B2B2003101006000e-Bridge1.51.42800e-Bridge1500240e-Bridge2(23).ebridge2(4),1%5.2%8.3%e-Bridgee-Bridgee-Bridgee-bridgee-bridgeERPERPe-bridgeERPe-bridgeERPe-bridge
-
2B2B20041) 2002 2)20046092004368.680.5 3)20044)20045)200435211560
-
4.5 3721 TOM 120041.5% 2004 19 20042003 75.9%120045 2 17173 2004
-
Yahoo 2004 3721 22004 --Google . 60 4000 20045 12 2004 Hao1233721Yahoo 3 40 2004 Sogou CPC 3 2004 40 80 2003 171732004
-
MOP Blog 22004 5.5 2003 3.1 2002 5.1%2003 8.1%2004 13.2%2006 33%IT 51JOB 2004//// iResearch 2004 80 iResearch 10.97%8.25%46.6%2001 1%3-5%2003 4.7%2004 3.9% 2002 119 2004 410 2007 865
-
6.
6.1
1000,
,,
-
6.2
1,,,.
2,PKI.
3,20041294007.2%,,67%60%,49%.
-
20%,15000107020,20,60%80%90%
4,
5
6...
-
,,2000-202010-155-6212021-2035,20352026-20502050
-
6.3. .1.B2B,B2G,B2C,G2C,C2C,,,,,20102005.2..,, 27462000,,,,,()
-
a.
b.
c.ERP
-
3. .,2010
20058101520% 18-20%,2010162040-50%,
-
4 2005 2010
6000 1 % 30~40% 60~70% >1-1.2 > 2-2.4 60~70% 80~90% 20~30% 40~50% 40~50% 60~70% 8~10% 20~30% 30~40% 70~80% 8~10% 20~30%
GDP 5-8% 15-20% 810 1620 25-30% 40-50%
-
(1), (2) (3)
-
1 2ISP.ICP 3 1 2 3 4
-
1. 2004 20042.20043. 2000464 2004 5. 20016. 20022003 200220037. 9 2005
-
:,,, ,.