บทที่ 7...
TRANSCRIPT
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:
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(Macroeconomics)
()
-
economy)
(Microeconomics)
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-
-
economy)
: (Real Flow) - ()
(Money Flow) -
()
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(Complex Circular-flow diagram)
()
()
5
Everyones expenditures go somewhere.
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(Circular-flow diagram)
-
economy)
(S)
(I)
T
(G) M X
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(Circular-flow diagram)
-
economy)
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(Circular-flow diagram)
-
( = =
economy)
=
= () =
S+T+M = I+G+X
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? ?
-
/
//
economy)
/
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1. 2.
-
economy)(Economic Growth) (Full Employment)
3. 4. (Income Distribution)
(Economic Stability)
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economy)
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(
?
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500
= =
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3 1. (Product Approach)
.
Approach)
3. (Expenditure
Approach)
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. (Product Approach)
(Product
Approach)
(Gross Domestic Product: GDP)
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Domestic Product: GDP)
(Product
= + + +.+
Approach)
n n
n
i
iiQPGDP1
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GDP (Final Product)
()
(Product
Approach)
(Intermediate Product) Resale
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(Final Product)
(Product
Approach)
.
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Dou e Counting
(Product
Approach)
(Mark-up)
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10 10
18
5
2
= 62 () = 20
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..
2555
(Product
Approach)
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/
(Product
Approach)
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2009-2011 (: )
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(Gross National Product: GNP)
(Gross Domestic
(Product
Approach)
GNP)
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.. 2551
= 800
(Product = 200
Approach)
= 100 GDP = ? GNP = ?
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(
(Product
Approach)
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GDP (Real GDP)
GDP (Nominal GDP)
(Product
GDP (Nominal GDP)
Approach)
GDP (Real GDP)
Nominal GDP
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GDP (Real GDP) GDP (Nominal GDP)
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GDP (Real GDP)
GDP (Nominal GDP)
(Product
2550 120 120
Approach) 2551 160 100
2552 240 80
.. 2550 = * = 2550
= * = 2551 2550 60%
= * =
2552 2550 200%
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GDP (Real GDP) GDP (Nominal GDP)
1993-2009 1998
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(Economic Growth)
GDP GDP %
(ProductApproach)
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(Economic Growth)
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(Gross Provincial Products: GPP)
(GPP) (GPP)
() %1 2,190,226.4 28.0
() %
1 8,405.9 0.11 , . .
3 527,366.1 6.7
4 407,364.0 5.2
, . .
3 11,089.2 0.14
4 13,004.3 0.17
5 295,185.4 3.8
6 280,999.4 3.6
5 13,112.6 0.17
6 15,511.7 0.20
7 15,656.9 0.20 , . .
8 168,779.5 2.2
9 152,013.1 1.9
8 16,327.8 0.21
9 16,765.8 0.21
10 134,909.6 1.7
7,816,474.0 100
, . .
7,816,474.0 100
:
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GDP
4.75 5.32
7.146.34
4.605.23 4.93
6.00
8.00
10.00
-1.37
.
2.172.59
-2.00
0.00
2.00
.
%
-3.50
-8.00
-6.00
-4.00
-10.51
-12.00
-10.00
2552 7.1
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GDP
GDP (QoQ) (%)
QGDP Growth
65.3
3.94
6
0
2
-4.3-4
-21Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08
-6
2551 1 .
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(-0.2%) (-1.0%) - .6%
(-1.6%) - . (-3.4%)
(-8.4%)
; 6.8, 4.9 5.6
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(GDP Per Capita) (GDP Per Capita)
(Product GDP
Approach)
Example: 2008 GDP = 1,000 = 4 GDP per capita = 1,000/4 = 250
Country GDP Population GDP per capita
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Country GDP
(millions of US dollars)
Population GDP per capita
(US dollars)
U.S.A. 11,667,515 293,507,000 39,752.08
Ja an 4 623 398 127 764 000 36 187.02
Germany 2,714,418 82,631,000 32,849.87
China 1,649,329 1,296,500,000 1,272.14
Thailand 163,491 62,387,000 2,620.59
Malaysia 117,776 25,209,000 4,671.98
Singapore 106,818 4,335,000 24,640.83
Vietnam 45,210 82,162,000 550.25
2550 124,831
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World GDP and GDP per capita
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88
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Th il d GDP d GDP it
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Thailand GDP and GDP per capita
160
180
200 4000
120
140
on
US$)
3000
it
a(US$)
60
80
100
GDP
(Billi 2000
DP
perCa
20
40
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
GDP (Billion US$) GDP per capita (US$)
: .
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2.
Income Approach
(Income
Approach)
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GDP = r + w + i + Profit + +
(Rents: r) =
ages: w = +
n eres s: =
(Profits) =
(Income = ,
Approach)
(Depreciation)= = ( )/
2009-2011
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(: )
2009-2011
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(: )
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3.
(Expenditure
Approach) = + + +
(Desired Aggregate Expenditure: DAE)
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1) (C)
.
(Expenditure
(non-durable goods)
Approach)
(service)
(durable goods) 12
1) (C)
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1) (C)
C
(),
(Demonstration effect),
(Expenditure
,
Approach)
), ,
, , ,
2) (I)
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2) (I)
(Expenditure
Approach)
2) (I)
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2) (I)
(Unintended Investment Expenditure) (Inventory Investment)
(Expenditure
Approach)
2) (I)
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I
(Expenditure
Approach)
3) (G)
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(Expenditure
Approach)
3) (G)
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3) (G)
.
2. (government policy)
(Expenditure
Approach)
4) (Net ex ort: X M)
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4) (Net ex ort: X-M) (Export: X)
: ,
(Expenditure
(Im ort: M)
Approach)
, ,
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e expor : -
(Net Export)
(Expenditure
Approach)
2009-2011 (: )
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GDP and Its Components (1998)
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Net Ex ortsInvestment Government Purchases
6.6 %
. . (Expenditure
Approach)
Consumption
57.5 %
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(DAE)
Y = DAE = C + I + G + (X M)
(GDP)
(Leakage/ t rawa n ect on
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= =
= + + + -
A
YYe
Y > DAEY < DAE
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Y < DAE:
Y > DAE:
C, I, G, X, M
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DAE shift
DAE
= -
1
DAE0
= C+I+G+X-M
A Y0e
e
45
YYe Ye
0
e1
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Y
f
Ye > Yf
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In ationary gapPotential output < Total demand (Actual output)
ncome gap
DAEDAE = C+I+G+X-MA
Inflationary gap
B
Yf
Total demand
Income gap
45Y
YeYf
Ye < Yf
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Potential output > Total demand (Actual output)
DAE DAE = C+I+G+X-M
C
A
Deflationary gap
B
Yf
Total demand
Income gap
45Y
Ye Yf
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GDP GNP 3
GDP
GDP
GDP
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(Well-
GDP
B A
9550100100GDP
550
GDP
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GDP (Shadow
(Underground Economy)
(Informal sector)
freelance
ro uc on o ouse o s or own nause)
GDP
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GDP
Green GDP
Gross National Happiness (GNH)
Bhutan Model 4 (Four Pillars of Happiness)
GDP
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GDP
(Genuine Progress Indicator: