應用 fuzzy ahp 評估紙容器製造業之經營策略cyc2012.dyu.edu.tw/pdf/a-10-應用fuzzy...

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2012 彰雲嘉大學校院聯盟學術研討會 101.12.07 應用 Fuzzy AHP 評估紙容器製造業之經營策略 林朝源 1* 林小嬿 2 1 大葉大學工業工程與科技管理學系副教授 2 大葉大學工業工程與科技管理學系研究生 * [email protected] 摘要 目前台灣紙容器製造業的市場競爭日趨激烈,生產規模以中小型為主,紙容器相關產業的榮枯相對於 國家的經濟成長動能具有正相關,更是經濟景氣的興衰指標之一。為協助紙容器企業建構合適之經營策 略,以達成版圖擴展與永續經營,本研究採用層級分析法(AHP)與模糊理論(Fuzzy Theory),建構層級架構 與評估要素,探討紙容器產業特性、經營方針及未來發展趨勢。 研究結果得知紙容器廠商首重產業發展,包含政府政策與、人員招募與訓練、自動化趨勢及產業聚 落;次重要構面為生產製造,包含標準作業流程、產品品質、倉儲管理與成本控制。相關廠商可依權重 分析合適的經營策略,減低決策風險。 關鍵字紙容器產業、經營策略、層級分析法、模糊理論、模糊層級分析法 1. 前言 目前台灣的環保意識與技術日漸成熟,對於生活中廣泛使用的容器製品也相對受到更多環保議題的 重視與關注。過去經常使用的塑膠容器不但不環保且有塑化劑溶出之疑慮,無論是回收處理或是隨意丟 棄皆會造成環境直接或間接的汙染與破壞。所以近年來較廣泛使用在生活中環保可回收的紙容器製品, 在產品推廣與行銷以及消費者對紙容器的接受度也相對比塑膠容器高。製作紙容器的材質、規格與產品 種類繁多,市面上的紙容器產品在盛裝食物方面有冷飲、熱飲、乾溼、烘烤等各種不同材質、尺寸及功 用之分,而紙容器為了防止液體滲漏,所以於製作過程中需使用淋膜技術。 目前紙容器製造業的市場競爭日趨激烈,生產規模以中小型為主,為協助企業建構合適之經營策略, 以達成版圖擴展與永續經營,本研究採用層級分析法(AHP)與模糊理論(Fuzzy Theory),建構層級架構與評 估要素,探討紙容器產業特性、經營方針及未來發展趨勢。 2. 文獻探討 2.1 台灣紙業發展與現況 造紙是人類文明的開端,使人類智慧得以永續傳遞,進而衍生出各種產品,所以紙在人類的生活中 佔有非常重要的地位,舉凡文化用紙、工業用紙、家庭用紙等,包含日常生活清潔用品、食用容器、物 品包裝、資訊存取與記載儼然已成為生活中不可或缺的重要資材。因此紙的銷售量也代表一國的經濟發 展與文化水平,造紙工業的榮枯相對於國家的經濟成長動能具有正相關,更是經濟景氣的興衰指標之一。 以下(1)顯示紙張製造與相對應用產業。

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2012 101.12.07

Fuzzy AHP

1* 2

1 2

*[email protected]

(AHP)(Fuzzy Theory)

1.

(AHP)(Fuzzy Theory)

2.

2.1

( 1)

2012 101.12.07

1.

()1907

19041909

2.2

(2010)

2012 101.12.07

()

2.3

(2003)

()

2.4

1950

(2003)

(cohesive whole)

(cost leadership)

(product differentiation)

(focus)

(2005)

1960 Strategy((2003)

(2010)) 1

2012 101.12.07

1.

Chandler

1962

Tiller1963

Ansoff1965

Newman

&

Logan1971

Glueck(1976)

Haner(1976)

Kotler1976

McNichols

1977

Hofer &

Schendel

(1979)

Glueck &

Jauch1980

Porter1980

(1981)

(1982)

(1985)

1998

1

2

3

4

2012 101.12.07

1. ()

2001

(2003)

2.5

2.

2.

(2003)

(2005)

(2006)

2012 101.12.07

(2010)

3. 3.1

3.

2012 101.12.07

2.

2.

(Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process, FAHP)

(Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP) Thomas

L. Saaty(1971)

(FAHP)Buckley(1985)

Saaty

4.

4. 5.

6. 7. 8. 9.

4.

1 0.3333 7.0000 2.3333

1 6.3333 3.0000

1 0.1429

1

C.I.=0.09R.I=0.90C.R.=0.08

2012 101.12.07

5.

1 0.3333 0.2000 2.5000 0.2000

1 1.0000 5.3333 0.4286

1 7.0000 1.0000

1 0.1250

1

C.I.=0.02R.I.=1.12C.R.=0.01

6.

1 0.1429 0.1429 1.6667 0.2500

1 4.0000 5.0000 4.3333

1 3.6667 3.8889

1 0.2857

1

C.I.=0.06R.I.=1.12C.R.=0.07

7.

1 0.1667 0.2500 0.1667 5.3333

1 2.0000 1.0000 5.5000

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1 2.6000 5.3333

1 6.0000

1

C.I.=0.04R.I.=1.12C.R.=0.04

8.

1 3.6667 6.0000 6.0000 1.0000

1 3.3333 3.2500 0.1667

1 0.2000 0.5714

1 0.2000

1

C.I.=0.05R.I.=1.12C.R.=0.04

9.

(P)

(0.2982)

(P1) (0.0914)

(P2) (0.2521)

(P3) (0.2923)

(P4) (0.0422)

(P5) (0.3219)

(R)

(0.1835)

(R1) (0.0645)

(R2) (0.4857)

(R3) (0.2597)

2012 101.12.07

9. ()

(R)

(0.1835)

(R4) (0.0551)

(R5) (0.1348)

(I)

(0.4719)

(I1) (0.0913)

(I2) (0.3388)

(I3) (0.2971)

(I4) (0.2226)

(I5) (0.0502)

(E)

(0.0465)

(E1) (0.4222)

(E2) (0.1378)

(E3) (0.0564)

(E)

(0.0465)

(E4) (0.0838)

(E5) (0.2998)

9.(0.4719)

(0.2982)(0.1835)(0.0465)(0.4857)(0.4222)

5.

(FAHP)

0.4719

0.2982

0.1835

0.0465

2012 101.12.07

1.

2.

3.

1. (1985)

2. (2001)

3. (1998)

4. (2005)-

5. (2003)-

6. (2006)

7. (2003)

8. (1981) 114-116

9. (2003)

10. (2010)

11. (2003)

12. (2005)

13. (2010):

14. (1982)

15. (2010)

1. Ansoff, H. I. (1965). Corporate Strategy . New York: McGraw-Hill.

2. Buckley, J. J. (1985). Fuzzy Hierarchical Analysis . Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 17(3),233-247.

2. Chandler, A. D. J. (1962). Strategy and Structure . Cambridge, Mass: M. I. T. Press.

2012 101.12.07

3. Glueck, W.F. (1976). Business Policy: Strategy Formulation and Management Action. 2nd ed. New York

McGraw-Hill.

4. Glueck, W.F., Jauch, L.R. (1980) . Business Policy and Strategic Management . McGraw-Hill, 1980

5. Haner, F.T. (1976). Business Policy, Planning and Strategy . Cambridge Mass: Winthrop Press.

6. Hofer C. W. and Schendel D. (1979). Strategy Formulation: Analytical Concepts . Minnesota: West

Publishing Co.

7. Kolter, P. (1976). Analysis Planning Implementation and Control . Marketing Management,lov.7,pp.107-113.

8. McNichols, T. J.(1977). Executive Policy and Planning . 1st edition, Mcgraw-Hill, New York.

9. Newman,W.H. and Logan J.P., (1971) . Strategy, policy, and central management . Cincinnati : South-western

Pub. Co.,

10. Porter, M. E. (1980). Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors. N. Y., The

Press.

11, Saaty, T. L. (1971). The Analytic Hierarchy Process. McGraw-Hill Company, New York.

11. Tiller, S. (1963). How to Evaluate Corporate Strategy . Harvard Business Review.

Fuzzy AHPbased Business Strategy Assessment of Paper Container Manufacturing Businesses

Chuay-Yuan Lin1* , Hsiao-Yan Lin1 1 Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management of Technology, Da-Yeh University

*[email protected]

ABSTRACT

In complex and volatile trade situation, the impact of trade liberalization and internationalization makes the

operators and administrators of current enterprises face more kinds of challenges. They should adjust their

policies in accordance with the variation of industry. Enterprises should have suitable strategies for achieving a

sustainable competitive advantage. They should relocate their employees, optimize instruments for the best

operation and modify performance measure methods. High quality running strategy is the kernel of enterprise

sustaining development. Thus to rank among top enterprises, an enterpriser should create correct and suitable

strategies.

The development of paper container manufacture has close relation with the development of industry, world

trade, and domestic economy. Over the last few years, because of global economic recession , over production,

and regulations from both WTO and EU, enterprises, most of which are in middle-small scale, competed sharply.

In order to help them create proper running policies, enlarge business, and run it sustainably, the study adopts the

AHP method, based on Fuzzy Theory. We build the hierarchy and criteria and explore the characteristics of paper

container industry, running policies, and the trend of development.

The study finds that enterprisers pay the most attention to industrial development which include government

http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/cgi-bin/gs32/gsweb.cgi/ccd=1w3DOE/search?q=aue=%22Lin%2CHSIAOYAN%22.&searchmode=basic

2012 101.12.07

policy and the status of policy, employee recruiting, automation trends and the status of business clusters. Then

they also focus on manufacturing which includes standard operating procedures, quality control, warehousing

management and cost control. And, by the weight analysis of suitable running policies, decision risk will be

reduced.

KeywordsPaper Container ManufacturingBusiness StrategyFuzzy AHP