議題一02:引言簡報 蘇漢邦所長
TRANSCRIPT
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2016
TAIWAN RESEARCH INSTITUTE
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IT
ITGDP
.
.
.
.
.
5.0
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-
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200
2011 2016
20111020%
201631049%
10
(ExxonMobil)
(Apple)
(PetroChina)
10
(Apple) (Alphabet)
(Microsoft)
VS (ICBC) (ExxonMobil) (Petrobras-Petrleo Brasil) (Berkshire Hathaway)
(BHP Billiton) (Johnson & Johnson)
(China Construction Bank) (General Electric)
(General Electric) (Wells Fargo)
(Microsoft) (China Mobile)
(Royal Dutch Shell) (Nestle)
(Apple) (Alphabet)
(Microsoft)
(Apple) (Alphabet)
(Microsoft)
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KPMGs 2015 Global Innovation Survey, https://softwarestrategiesblog.com/2015/11/14/5-insights-predictions-on-disruptive-tech-from-kpmgs-2015-global-innovation-survey/
ASPAC() EMEA()
Technologies ASPAC EMEA
CloudSaaS/PaaS/IaaS 11% 14% 15% 13% 11% 6% 11%
APP Mobileplatforms & apps 9% 9% 3% 10% 8% 11% 9%
Internet of Things/M2M
9% 8% 9% 3% 9% 9% 9%
Data & analytics 9% 14% 3% 10% 7% 8% 7%
IT Biotech/digital health/healthcare IT
8% 15% 3% 3% 7% 7% 7%
3D 3D Printing 7% 2% 4% 3% 6% 12% 10%
Cyber security 6% 5% 8% 10% 7% 7% 7%
Robotics 6% 5% 6% 3% 6% 8% 8%
Artificial intelligence 5% 4% 15% 10% 8% 2% 5%
Digital currency platforms (e.g., bitcoin)
4% 2% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4%
5
~
5
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Analog Modem
9.6-56 kbps
ISDN
128K-2Mbps ADSL
7-24 Mbps
FTTH
> 1Gbps
2G (GSM )
FTTx(G.fast/VDSL)
100Mbps-500Mbps
1G
2.5G (GSM+GPRS )
115kbps GSM 10 3G (CDMA2000WCDMA
TD-SCDMA )
Kbps
4G (LTE)
4G 3G 10
2013-2014 81.9% 41.6%970.6
37.3%870
2013-2014 Ookla1020
84.8% 20146725.4298.241%
16.1 Mbps
40.7 Mbps
7
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5.0 -
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-4.0
9
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5.0
5.0(Society 5.0)2016IoTAI
10
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(%) (%)
~ITIT
12
0
20
40
60
80
IT IT
0
5
10
15
20
25
IT IT
% %
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59% 41%
Asia-Pacific Europe and America
74%
26% 41%
59%
IT IT
Taiwan
IT()()
:WITSA: Digital Planet
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IT
14
IT
IT
ITGDPITGDPITGDP
2003~2013
GDP() 53,608 38,948 36,509 34,551 20,798 17,659 7,130 1,014
2003~2013
IT /GDP(%) 3.21% 1.57% 1.87% 2.00% 1.01% 0.90% 0.87% 0.65%
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NICI
NICI38 105-05-17
105-05-20
(101~105)
NICI
106
16
NICI
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IT
17
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(NICI)
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:
18
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19
/ (HetNet) (2025)
()()()4.0
Europe 2020
2020
2025
????
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()
20
2009 2010 2011
-0.07 0.066 0.034
-0.06 0.112 0.047
0.113 0.084 0.011
GDP
1000
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ITGDP
IT
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IT GDP
1
2
GDP
Yong Jin Kim et al. (2008) 1GDP0.067GDP1GDP0.274
Theo and Thomas(2008)19912004
3 (2007)
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t-1t-2
GDP
:i(64)t() GDPCpSw_pr Sw_pu Lb_Sw Lb_Cp Edu_puFSwEdu_puFCpu
titititi SwLbbpuSwbprSwbcCpba ,4,3,2,10ti, ____GDP
tititi uFEdubCpLbb ,,6,5 __
()
23
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GDP
(Cp_C) L1. 0.019 (0.013)
L2. 0.027 (0.018)
(Sw_pr)
--. -0.066 (0.036)**
L1. 0.051 (0.042)
L2. 0.171 (0.055)***
(Sw_pu)
--. 0.079 (0.039)**
L1. -0.043 (0.041)
L2. 0.042 (0.06)
(Lb_Sw)
L1. 0.076 (0.039)**
(Lb_Cp)
--. -0.003 (0.019)
L1. -0.080 (0.05)
L2. 0.073 (0.012)***
(Edu_F)
--. 3.756 (1.158)***
_cons -66.435 (23.744)***
24
1,,2,1, _05.0_06.0_02.0_01.04.66GDP LiLiLiLi prSwprSwcCpcCp
2,2,,2,, _04.0_04.0_07.0_17.0_07.0 LiLiLiLiLi puSwpuSwpuSwprSwSwLb
LiLiLiLi FEduCpLbCpLbCpLb ,2,1,, _75.3_07.0_08.0_003.0
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:
()
25
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1.
2.
3.
2015.12.29
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(Smart Taiwan)ICT
ICT44.0
(Smart Taiwan)
28
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1041229
2./
1.
4.
3.
6.
5.
7.
29
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()
(OPEN DATA)
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