201607 junior產業報告-台灣肉品業
TRANSCRIPT
-
-
-
2
TPP
-
Agenda
3
(TPP)
-
01
4
-
5
-
6
-
-
-
-
-
99%
32% WTO
: 7
-
: : ()
117 117
126128 128761
842857
835806801
890913
894863
110
115
120
125
130
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
\
:IT IS 8
-
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1
2
3
4
5
: 9
-
74 ()
99 100 101 102 103
144600 158900 148500 159200 168600
70701 75158 66752 66463 76841
1591 1813 1989 2085 2194
951 948 1157 1143 1107
36692 41959 37458 38113 41588
15341 17235 19363 18990 21739
5345 5646 5225 6373 7590
1577 1734 1811 1604 1671
: 10
-
104 163,974,311
45.84%43.75%
31.19% 24.83%
22.96% 13.59%
11
-
2005 93.0 7.2 8.6 87.7
2006 94.5 6.2 11.0 86
2007 95.8 6.2 10.9 91.7
2008 93.7 6.3 8.7 88.2
2009 91.0 6.2 11.6 88.1
2010 92.0 5.4 8.8 84.1
2011 92.8 5.3 8.9 85.1
2012 93.9 5.9 9.2 81.7
2013 93.0 5.7 7.4 83.6 (%)
: 12
-
-
13
-
103
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
4,500,000
5,000,000
5,500,000
6,000,000
6,500,000
7,000,000
7,500,000
8,000,000
6
8
10
12
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
4
6
8
10
12
2
4
101 102 103 104 105
()
: 14
-
19~64 9 6~7 3
90
15
-
25,630,712 26670482 2674719831180097 32191634
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
100 101 102 103 104
: 16
-
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,0001
3
5
7
9
11
1
3
5
7
9
11
1
3
5
7
9
11
1
3
5
7
9
11
1
3
5
7
9
11
1
3
100 101 102 103 104 105
()
Linear ()
: 17
-
(:32%
43%)
(8
)
: 18
-
02
19
-
20
-
:1. 2.
:1.2.4.WTO
:https://read01.com/oEKLyK.html 21
99 100 101 102 103
814 815 846 808 793 33,343 33,264 34,637 34,700 33,253
571 556 560 554 550 103,842 108,435 108,982 110,195 110,082
-
:
:
:https://read01.com/oEKLyK.html 22
99 100 101 102 103
10,243 9,842 9,521 8,881 8,449
() 618.9 619.5 617.9 594.2 542.2
-
:
:
:https://read01.com/oEKLyK.html 23
99 100 101 102 103
147,342 132,567 111,765 107,749 105,435
57,512 57,873 55,338 53,101 52,343
-
:
:
:https://read01.com/oEKLyK.html 24
99 100 101 102 103
847 830 828 785 803
() 24,198 20,997 21,746 21,486 22,757
-
25
-
(TPP)03
26
-
( )
3~4%
:http://www.grains.org.tw/UserFiles/file/2015%E7%95%9C%E7%89%A7%E7%94%A2%E6%A5%AD%E5%9C%A8%E9%A3%9F%E5%93%81%E4%BE%9B%E6%87%89%E7%9A%84%E8%A7%92%E8%89%B2-5.pdf
27
-
28
( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( )
75%
-
Trans-Pacific Partnership,TPP
()2002
TPP()
29
-
TPP()
TPP23.16%12.86%
TPP
TPP
3839.8
(23.16%)12.86
348.4(2.1%) 6.23
211.9(1.28%) 3.7
10%
9.5%
5%
5%
30
-
TPP
0%~40% 12.58%
(35%32%30%20%)
35.00%
32.00%
32.00%
20.00%
02091503 20.00%
20.00%
31
-
TPP
TPP21.93%19.44%
9.72%11.73%
(12.5%)(15%)
(12.5%)(12.5%)
TTP
0.65(21.93%) 9.72
0.58(19.44%) 11.73
0.35(11.85%) 0.54
32
-
04
33
-
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
70,000,000
80,000,000
90,000,000
100,000,000
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
10
0
10
1
10
2
10
3
10
4
91WTO
23%
15%
11%
51%
104
-/
34
-
30,000,000
35,000,000
40,000,000
45,000,000
50,000,000
55,000,000
60,000,000
65,000,000
70,000,000
14%
27%
6%8%10%
6%
29%
104
35
-
36
-
20052007201212.1
2013H7N9
2014
37
-
TPP
201581721222201447808168
38:http://blog.udn.com/michalle77/54193970
-
1. 1.7~1.8
2. 68~72%82%81%
3.
4.
39
-
6.3%
20123
2012
40
-
41
05
-
42
TPP
-
43
-
44
-
45
-
http://www.naif.org.tw/industrialList.aspx?frontTitleMenuID=12&frontMenuID=13 46
3,6511103104120~160
1031,73337,992,09021,922
10380322,757,000