4th research seminar on railway policy - kit - econ stahlhut_the perspective of an... · railway...
TRANSCRIPT
Railway the solution -4th research seminar on railway policy
Michail Stahlhut, CEO SBB Cargo InternationalKarlsruhe, 11th March 2016
Interoperabilität ist die Fähigkeit zur Zusammenarbeit von verschiedenen
Systemen, Techniken oder Organisationen. Dazu ist in der Regel die Einhaltung gemeinsamer Standards notwendig.
Agenda
1. The “short story” of SBB Cargo INT
2. Sector situation
3. Europe infront of a change - GBT
4. The 3 “Ys” challenge
5. SUM of Facts
SBB Cargo International
3
In figures
Subsidiaries: SBB Cargo Deutschland GmbH
SBB Cargo Italia S.r.l.
Employees: ~ 700
Locomotives: ca. 120
Traffic capacity: 10 BIL. NTKM
Market share: 55 % in transalpine intermodal
Headquarters: Olten, Switzerland
Shareholders: SBB Cargo AG (75%)
Hupac AG (25%)
Share capital: CHF 25 Mio.
Year founded: 2010
Traffic capacity II: 13 MIO TrainKM (ca. 50% in D)
SBB Cargo International
4
The Future has a beginning
smoothly processes in all countries of the Corridor A garanteed.
Independent RU in Italy since 2003
Independent access to the market in NL, DE, CH, IT
Interoperable Locomotive Fleet (incl. ETCS (-CH))
ITA train driver can licensed also in CH (Brig, Bellinzona)
250 employees in ITA
Especially combined transport oriented (>70%)
700 Train / Week per
High partnership proportion
En
vir
on
me
nt
1
Interoperabilität ist
die Fähigkeit zur Zusammenarbeit von verschiedenen
Systemen, Techniken oder Organisationen.
Dazu ist in der Regel die Einhaltung
gemeinsamer Standards notwendig.
The world is linked
The people are linkedE
nvir
on
men
t 2
The Railway?
Interoperability is
The capacity to a collaboration between different
systems, technologies or organisation.
All we need is to respect commune standards.
Globally only ONE normed part in the railway:
THE BERNESE KEY
En
vir
on
men
t 3
Str
en
gh
t
• One dimension
• powerful
• Central controllable
• automation
• Pipeline/assembly to the UE big industry
consequence
• 1=22 Mass transport
• Min 300 Distance strong
• 0,001 5 x better cR = more energy efficient as road
• 95% punctual as the Railway?
Industrial conveyor belt: Railway
We
ak
ne
ss
es
• Analogue or old technology (s. GSM) Equipment change needs networks wide Change request…
Technical gap EAST/WEST in Germany
• Low interoperability
• Mixed operation
• Capacity limit on best routes? New construction nearby impossible
Nature and morbid borders
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Corridor A "Rotterdam and Genoa" (1300 km, 4900 km rail
network) is defined one of the six central traffic axes in UE
Performance: 28.5 billion tkm (2010) all transport modes.
Target 2020: 56 Mrd. tkm
The Management needs a stronger Market Presence!
1500 int. trains/week with at least one across border, 55%
combined traffic trains
Modal split (source: Implementation Plan KOR A)
Total: 232 million t
Inland waterways: 54% (calculated: 125 million t)
rail: 14% (calculated: 32 million t)
road: 32% (calculated: 74 million t)
8 mil t to be shifted
57 MT.
Remark:
• what was tested on the corridor could but must not be transfered to the network
• Hudge propotion of road trailers could be shifted to rail
First Mover the Corridor?Corridors are a blueprint for Europe thinking
Ch
an
ce
Ma
rkte
t
11. März 2016 Präsentationsname11
CHANCE GBT
© AlpTransit Gotthard AG.
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-25% signal headwayPlus stability
from 4 to 3 MinBecause of higher sig hwy higher network density
due to stability ETCS Level 2 needed
© AlpTransit Gotthard AG.
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+50% more marketMore shipments (400.000. trailer waiting for modal shift)
higher but lowerTief unter den Alpen werden die höchsten Profile bewegt
P400 als Standard © AlpTransit Gotthard AG.
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+ 29 % RU-capacitypart1: more tonnage (Ø 1.600 t)
heavier but lighterHeavier trains like in netherlands passing CH
Max. 2.000t up to 2020 possible
© AlpTransit Gotthard AG.
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+30 % RU-capacityPart 2: higher length (max. 740 m)
longer but shorterPlus 175 m train length
Minus 31 km distance© AlpTransit Gotthard AG.
11. März 2016 Präsentationsname16
3 Ys
challenges:
11. März 2016 Präsentationsname17
+60.000 h in 2015 Waste of:
7 man years of ressorces
20 MIO €
improve qualitYMUST HAVE: Punctual like railways?
Significant reduction of infra impacts needed
11. März 2016 Präsentationsname18
+30% ChanceNormal train length is 740 m
Use the capacity increase of GBT
improve capacitYespacially in the south of Germany
the network has to be prepared for normal train length
575 m
165 m
11. März 2016 Präsentationsname19
Along Cor A
4 languages Also B1 certificate for lorry drivers ?
easY firstExample 1: language must not hinder rail
Example 2: digital will move rail in the future
Easy first - Railway is not unique
Use other experiences - do not over discuss
Air Traffic Movements at Heathrow
*Source: Civil Aviation Authority Website &
Annual Reports. Calculated between 1980
(294,614 aircraft) and 2013 (471,936 aircraft)
resulting in 61% increase.
Task e
as
Y
moving annual average from 1965-2013
easY firstDigital leads to a capacity storm
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In UK : • 40% increase of capacity• 10% less delay minutes• 50% less signal maintenance
If you cannot rebuild or built new tracksThis is the solution for more capacity!
REMARK: More capacity on the same tracksIs an advantage for the IMsThis MUST lead to cost reductions for RUs T
as
k e
as
Y
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easY firstMore techinque less costs – «Digital» will change railway
Remark:
More central intelligence
Less onboard intelligence !
BUT:
1. >4G necassary
2. Not design oriented
3. Clear market focus
means: less costs!
Ta
sk
ea
sY
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easY firstMore techinque less costs – «Digital» will change railway
Remark:
Old fashioned system
Air braking
Not data available
¨BUT:
1. World is digital
2. Batteries with >7a lifetime needed
3. Sensor technique available
4. Option of predictive needed
means: less costs!
5. Locos are expensive assets
More Predictive intelligence
is needed
MORE FOR LESS COSTS!Ta
sk
ea
sY
Boogies
Buffers
restload
brake
&
Facts
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From the point of view of the client SBB Cargo International
Automatization and networking will change the railway. The digital world is a great lever
if it will be user induced (not Design first, cost first) pulled.
It will have capacity profit with small intervention (overhaul) if the train standards are
clear. 740m is a necessity
Railway as a mass transportation instrument , strong in distance, MUST run
transnational and seamless. More Internationality is necessary
Construction will challenge the sector over 10 years time.
The Railway will stand in front of an image challenge if there will not be a clear leap in
qualitative or a compensation of the necessary reserves.
Holy Wish :• DON’T SLOWDOWN. • Find easy and PAYABLE solutions which creates an advantage for the market. • Be user minded not designer minded!
