document

Download Document

If you can't read please download the document

Upload: putu-veri-swastika

Post on 17-Jan-2016

214 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

DESCRIPTION

....

TRANSCRIPT

ARIMA(1,0,0)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 0.8947 0.0399 22.44 0.000Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.00000000000000000828560 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.00000000000000000023673 DF = 35Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 69.3 102.0 * *DF 11 23 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(2,0,0)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 1.0494 0.1141 9.20 0.000AR 2 -0.1765 0.1149 -1.54 0.134Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.00000000000000000764048 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.00000000000000000022472 DF = 34Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 55.1 77.7 * *DF 10 22 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(3,0,0)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 1.0336 0.1188 8.70 0.000AR 2 -0.0804 0.1802 -0.45 0.659AR 3 -0.0859 0.1197 -0.72 0.478Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.00000000000000000758926 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.00000000000000000022998 DF = 33Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 44.4 62.7 * *DF 9 21 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(0,0,1)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PMA 1 -0.7979 0.1047 -7.62 0.000Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.0000000000000000520300 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.0000000000000000014866 DF = 35Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 79.2 98.9 * *DF 11 23 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(1,0,1)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 0.8589 0.0511 16.80 0.000MA 1 -0.1649 0.1321 -1.25 0.220Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.00000000000000000773136 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.00000000000000000022739 DF = 34Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 60.6 86.0 * *DF 10 22 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(2,0,1)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 0.0839 0.0942 0.89 0.379AR 2 0.6765 0.0942 7.18 0.000MA 1 -1.0924 0.0015 -712.81 0.000Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.0000000000000000133930 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.0000000000000000004058 DF = 33Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 46.2 59.2 * *DF 9 21 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *ARIMA(3,0,1)Final Estimates of ParametersType Coef SE Coef T PAR 1 1.9084 0.2111 9.04 0.000AR 2 -1.1717 0.2528 -4.63 0.000AR 3 0.2530 0.1151 2.20 0.035MA 1 0.8653 0.2024 4.28 0.000Number of observations: 36Residuals: SS = 0.00000000000000000698428 (backforecasts excluded) MS = 0.00000000000000000021826 DF = 32Modified Box-Pierce (Ljung-Box) Chi-Square statisticLag 12 24 36 48Chi-Square 52.5 71.9 * *DF 8 20 * *P-Value 0.000 0.000 * *