aba ipsos polling 4.6.15

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American Bar AssociationApril 2015

April 2015

Methodology and Technical Details

This is the third wave of research for an ongoing Ipsos survey: Current fieldwork period: April 2-6, 2015

The first wave was conducted February 21-24, 2014 The second wave was conducted December 2-6, 2014

The current survey interviewed a national sample of 1,005 adults The first wave included 1,005 adults The second wave included 1,004 adults These slides also contain some data filtered on just those respondents reporting that they

know ‘A great deal’, ‘A fair amount’, or ‘ A little bit’ about the ICC at Q1 (cutting out those who say they know ‘Nothing at all’). This reduced the filtered base size to 408, and is referred to in the data as ‘Aware of ICC’ audience.

─ The first wave included 379 of these respondents─ The second wave included 338 of these respondents

Weighting then employed to balance demographics and ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the U.S. adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe.

Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls because they are based on samples drawn from opt-in online panels, not on random samples that mirror the population within a statistical probability ratio.

All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

2

Knowledge of International Criminal Court

3

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

2%

9%

30%

59%

Base: All Respondents (n=1,005)

Knowledge of International Criminal Court- TREND

4

1.How much, if anything, would you say you know about the International Criminal Court?

A great deal

A fair amount

A little bit

Nothing at all

4%

8%

28%

60%

7%

8%

21%

64%

2%

9%

30%

59%

Apr-15Dec-14Feb-14

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

5Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408)

31%49%

64%73%

20%30%

53%63%

20%27%

7%15%

9%14%

41%50%

14%19%

47%54%

62%37%

27%12%

39%20%

34%18%

34%19%

Agree Disagree Don't know

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC-TREND

6

28%35%

31%

60%60%64%

24%23%

20%

47%48%53%

21%20%20%

8%6%

7%

11%11%

9%

37%40%

41%

18%16%

14%

43%45%47%

64%59%

62%

29%29%27%

39%38%39%

34%36%34%

36%35%34%


All-Feb 2014All-Dec 2014

All-April 2015


All-April 2015


All-April 2015


All-April 2015

2. Please indicate whether you agree or disagree with each of the statements


All-April 2015

The United States is currently a member of the International Criminal Court

It is important for the United States to participate in international organizations that support human rights

and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

Joining international organizations concerned with human rights and holding individuals accountable for

mass atrocities is a risk to the US because it could hurt our autonomy

We should dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc) to international organizations that

support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass atrocities

It is not in our best interests to dedicate US resources (financial, military, intelligence, etc.) to supporting

international organizations that support human rights and that hold individuals accountable for mass

atrocities

Joining the International Criminal Court

7

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

37%

23%

40%

50%

26%

24%

Aware of ICCAll

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Base: All Respondents (n=1,005); All at least aware of ICC (n=408)

Joining the International Criminal Court - TREND

8

The US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC

The US should not join the ICC

Don't know

34%

24%

42%

37%

25%

38%

37%

23%

40%

All-April 2015All-Dec 2014All-Feb 2014

3. The International Criminal Court (ICC)is the world’s only permanent international tribunal created by a treaty for the purpose of investigating and prosecuting war crimes, genocide, and crimes against humanity (mass atrocities). Currently, 122 countries are members of the International Criminal Court. The United States formally announced in 2002 that it would not become a member of the International Criminal Court for a multitude of reasons, including questions about the court’s jurisdiction and structure.

Some people believe that the US should become more involved in or fully join the ICC so that we can use our considerable power, influence, and resources to support the important efforts of the Court to pursue individuals who have committed mass atrocities (when the perpetrator’s own country’s courts have failed to do so)

Some people believe that the US should not join the ICC because it compromises our sovereignty as a nation, and because our standing in the world means our military personnel and civilian officials might be prosecuted via the ICC for political reasons

Which of these statements comes closer to your personal opinion?

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC

9

43%

53%

26%

35%

32%

47%

24%

39%

20%

28%

31%

42%

26%

31%

29%

32%

37%

19%

43%

24%

42%

22%

46%

28%

Agree Disagree Don't knowThe US should continue to dedicate

moderate resources to supporting some actions of the ICC without formally

joining, such as by providing satellite photos if our satellites are passing an

area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.

4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

ALLAware of ICC


ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

ALLAware of ICC

Attitudes towards US participation in ICC- TREND

10

44%47%

43%

26%28%26%

28%31%32%

22%25%24%

19%18%

20%

31%30%

31%

29%27%26%

31%32%

29%

37%35%37%

43%41%43%

43%41%42%

47%43%

46%


4. For each of the statements below, please indicate whether you agree or disagree with the statement.

The US should continue to dedicate moderate resources to supporting

some actions of the ICC without formally joining, such as by providing

satellite photos if our satellites are passing an area of interest to the ICC

Joining the ICC would compromise America's sovereignty as a nation

The US should become more engaged and involved in the ICC without

becoming a member by making all forms of our vast governmental

resources available to support the work of the ICC

The US should become a full member of the International Criminal Court and

robustly support all of its work.


All-April 2015


All-April 2015


All-April 2015


All-April 2015

Palestinian Membership in the Courts

11

24%

28%

15%

34%

30%

36%

18%

16%

Aware of ICC

All

Advances

Neutral/No impact

Hinders

Don't know

5A. As you may have heard, on April 1st, 2015 Palestine officially became a member of the International Criminal Court (ICC). This membership makes it possible for both Israelis and Palestinians to be investigated by the ICC for alleged international atrocity crimes.

Do you personally think Palestine’s membership at the ICC hinders or advances international justice?



12

Good Neutral/No impact

Bad Don't know

19%24% 20%

36%

24%31% 28%

17%

All Aware of ICC

Short term impact on the peace process

5B. Now that Palestine is a member, the ICC Prosecutor could investigate the summer 2014 Gaza conflict involving rocket attacks against Israel by Hamas and the Israeli military action, could also investigate the Israeli settlements.

Do you personally think a criminal investigation into these incidents would be good or bad for the peace process in the short term? And the long term?


Good Neutral/No impact

Bad Don't know

26% 22%14%

38%35%27%

19% 19%

All Aware of ICC

Long term impact on the peace process


13

23%

24%

53%

30%

36%

34%

Aware of ICCAll

5C. Israel and the United States oppose Palestine’s ICC membership, arguing that Palestine’s membership will harm the peace process. Others argue that justice is needed for long-term peace to occur, and the ICC will help deter future violent conflicts.

Which of these comes closer to your own personal opinion?

Palestine’s ICC membership will harm the peace process

Palestine’s ICC membership will help the peace process

Don't know


14

Ipsos Contacts

Clifford YoungPresident, US Ipsos Public Affairs 2020 K Street, NW, Suite 410Washington, DC 20006Phone: +1 202.420.2016eMail: [email protected]

Julia ClarkSenior Vice President222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4919eMail: [email protected]

Elizabeth BrasharesResearch Manager222 S Riverside Plaza, Fifth FloorChicago, IL 60606Phone: +1 312.526.4744eMail: [email protected]

aba ipsos polling 4.6.15

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