academie politique rcd 1-03-2003 distribution2

33
1 عععععع ع عععععع ع عععععععع ع ع ع ععع ع ع عع ع ة ي س ا ي س ل ا ة ي م ي كاد لأ ل ة س ساد ل ا الدورة2002 - 2003 ي" ز ك ر م ل ا( ك" ب ل ا, ظ" ف حا م ة ل" خ مدا ي س" ن و ت ل ا وم ي مارس رة" غ2003

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  • 2002-2003 2003

  • I -

  • 24 13 5 . 92% . 864 11,3 .I -

  • I - 90 1958 19 1958 12 .

  • . I -

  • . ( ...) .

    I -

  • I -

    Feuil1

    1 199430 301.5306.0

    2 199525 247.4249.0

    3 199515 165.4164.5

    4 199515 140.2147.0

    5 199615 132.2133.4

    6 199712,5 125.3122.0

    1 200050 617.4617.4

    2 200135 402.8415.7

    200120 225.3235.8

    200330 326.9324.3

    1996200 193.7196.0

    1996150 148.7147.6

    1 1997400 446.4452.5

    2002650 938.1952.4

    1999200 283.5281.0

    4694.84744.6

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • I -

  • 65 2001 10 2001. : .I -

  • . 89 1994 26 1994. . 4 1998 02/02/1998 : . I -

  • : 1999 . : 1998 . : 1989 ( ) . 25 1994 7 1994 (en portage). I -

  • II- ( )

    CONCOURS BCT

    (1995-2002)

    1995993

    19961113

    1997-145

    199853

    1999-33

    2000249

    2001800

    2002779

    CONCOURS BCT

    LIQANN

    EVOLUTION DES FACTEURS DE LA LIQUIDITE

    ( chiffres calculs en termes de moyennes )

    ( en MD )

    DESIGNATION19951996199719981999200020012002

    Billets et monnaies en circulation-1294-1441-1637-1721-1898-2170-2426-2579

    Solde du compte courant du Trsor-199-193-239-241-209-211-198-287

    Avoirs nets en devises+1423+1422+1872+1899+2099+2326+2302+2756

    Solde du compte courant ordinaire des banques tenu la BCT-193-210-126-139-160-185-219-193

    Autres facteurs-730-691+275+149+201-9-259-476

    TOTAL FACTEURS-993-1113145-5333-249-800-779

    TOTAL CONCOURS+993+1113-145+53-33+249+800+779

    Dont:

    Intervention de la BCT/le march mont.837997-242-40-126+157+800+779

    VARIATIONS D'UNE ANNEE A L'AUTRE

    DESIGNATION1996/19951997/19961998/19971999/19982000/19992001/20002002/2001

    Billets et monnaies en circulation-147-196-84-177-272-256-153

    Solde du compte courant du Trsor6-46-232-213-89

    Avoirs nets en devises-145027200227-24454

    Solde du compte courant ordinaire des banques tenu la BCT-1784-13-21-25-3426

    Autres facteurs39966-12652-210-250-217

    TOTAL FACTEURS-1201258-19886-282-55121

    TOTAL CONCOURS120-1258198-86282551-21

    Dont:

    Intervention de la BCT/le march mont.160-1239202-86283643-21

    &L&"7,Normal"&8BCT/DGE/DEM/SDEMService de la Politique Montaire et de la Programmation Financire&R&D

    Graph2

    993

    1113

    -145

    53

    -33

    249

    800

    779

    Feuil1

    1995993

    19961113

    1997-145

    199853

    1999-33

    2000249

    2001800

    2002779

    Feuil1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • II- 80% 2140 9216 22.168 2002 1.175 1.090 . 2002 5,9% 9,3% 2001 (6,2%) 2002 ( )

    Graph1

    13992101162270

    15203105692465

    16488121092480

    1780414089817

    1963715387857

    2078716738902

    1

    SECTEX98

    EVOLUTION DES CONCOURS A L'ECONOMIE DU SYSTEME FINANCIER

    DESIGNATIONDec-97Dec-98Dec-99Dec-00Dec-01Dec-02

    139921520316488178041963720787

    :

    101161056912109140891538716738

    227024652480817857902

    &L&"Times New Roman,Regular"BCT/DGE/DEM/SDEM/SSAM&R&"Times New Roman,Regular"&D&T

    &Lvolution des concours SF

    SECTEX98

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

  • II- 2,7 % 2002 : 74% 3%. 14% 3% 4%. 12% 4%. %

    Graph1

    11.07190909099.23311111118.6686666667

    10.22321428578.88228.75115

    10.22135714298.84852941188.7137444444

    9.36123076928.85930358.6017735

    9.25307692318.74005263168.63405

    8.41961258.64105263168.60762

    Feuil1

    2000 2000 2001 2001 2002 2002

    11.0710.2210.229.369.258.42

    9.238.888.858.868.748.64

    8.678.758.718.608.638.61

    Feuil1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • - 2002 ( ): 96% 50% . 51% 26% 23%. :: 58% 16% 14% 34% 8%. II- ( )

    Graph5

    70967885961048333131115081212979095

    69822425751168313428514506962395395

    65646314986302292645614628451884534

    61193434134290272138117121961549600

    57450703425633252917416572601297677

    52788502911018222370916208341213306

    Feuil1

    1995993

    19961113

    1997-145

    199853

    1999-33

    2000249

    2001800

    2002779

    Feuil1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Feuil2

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    1,508,1211,450,6961,462,8451,712,1961,657,2601,620,834

    5,278,8505,745,0706,119,3436,564,6316,982,2427,096,788

    2,223,7092,529,1742,721,3812,926,4563,134,2853,331,311

    1,213,3061,297,6771,549,6001,884,5342,395,3952,979,095

    2,911,0183,425,6334,134,2904,986,3025,751,1685,961,048

    13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    2,911,0183,425,6334,134,2904,986,3025,751,1685,961,048

    1,213,3061,297,6771,549,6001,884,5342,395,3952,979,095

    2,223,7092,529,1742,721,3812,926,4563,134,2853,331,311

    1,508,1211,450,6961,462,8451,712,1961,657,2601,620,834

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    2,911,0183,425,6334,134,2904,986,3025,751,1685,961,048

    2,223,7092,529,1742,721,3812,926,4563,134,2853,331,311

    1,213,3061,297,6771,549,6001,884,5342,395,3952,979,095

    1,508,1211,450,6961,462,8451,712,1961,657,2601,620,834

    Feuil2

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    Feuil3

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

  • II- : 49 % 51%.

    ( )

    Graph1

    75854815549523

    81087486339502

    88178777169582

    97689618305158

    103356229584728

    1023503010754046

    petite et moyenne

    ( 1997- 2002 )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    5004,591,6165,003,4485,877,8586,196,4176,659,9746,980,861

    500 20003,532,2894,023,4724,172,4574,543,5714,578,7675,392,221

    20008,308,0019,095,0759,942,52411,819,80412,805,04812,801,681

    16,431,90618,121,99519,992,83922,559,79224,043,78925,174,763

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    5003,670,3533,914,1804,376,8194,735,72910,832,3355,507,555

    500 20002,823,5693,203,3543,374,7883,737,2463,955,7774,731,786

    20006,641,0827,330,7168,235,8529,601,1445,132,23810,749,735

    13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

    entre publ-sans a et c

    ( 1997- 2002 )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    1,314,5521,448,1681,428,0582,069,5501,527,5861,477,886

    15,117,35416,673,82718,564,78120,490,24222,516,20323,696,877

    ( )16,431,90618,121,99519,992,83922,559,79224,043,78925,174,763

    ( 1997- 2002 )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    456,609502,261530,942925,443879,602790,723

    12,678,39513,945,98915,456,51717,148,67619,040,74820,198,353

    ( )13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

    groupe

    ( 1997- 2002 )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    6,469,1207,225,8128,158,4059,030,05310,109,58210,541,551

    7,972,3468,984,90310,717,49811,236,32112,266,12412,700,498

    SECT_TERME (3)

    ( 1997- 2002 )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    7,585,4818,108,7488,817,8779,768,96110,335,62210,235,030

    5,549,5236,339,5027,169,5828,305,1589,584,72810,754,046

    ( )13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

    3,296,9023,673,7454,005,3804,485,6734,123,4394,185,687

    16,431,90618,121,99519,992,83922,559,79224,043,78925,174,763

    SECT_TERME (3)

    PAR SECTEUR-AVEC ET SANS

    ( )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    1,982,1431,920,3331,755,3722,072,4601,865,1981,871,516

    6,961,2997,511,5577,966,1728,638,1958,961,0979,104,345

    2,316,6262,640,0902,828,1143,058,5973,279,1213,494,190

    1,235,6871,411,1511,741,1452,125,8812,461,9853,031,551

    3,936,1514,638,8645,702,0366,664,6597,476,3887,673,161

    16,431,90618,121,99519,992,83922,559,79224,043,78925,174,763

    ( )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    1,508,1211,450,6961,462,8451,712,1961,657,2601,620,834

    5,278,8505,745,0706,119,3436,564,6316,982,2427,096,788

    2,223,7092,529,1742,721,3812,926,4563,134,2853,331,311

    1,213,3061,297,6771,549,6001,884,5342,395,3952,979,095

    2,911,0183,425,6334,134,2904,986,3025,751,1685,961,048

    13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

    CAT BQ_ AVEC ET SANS

    ( )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    13,617,64214,886,12916,211,74020,040,38721,189,83122,168,418

    2,210,9742,497,9702,511,5701,026,5751,155,4561,174,957

    367293514175678078840,279986,3731,089,535

    235997223721591451652,551712,129741,853

    16,431,90618,121,99519,992,83922,559,79224,043,78925,174,763

    28,181,108

    ( )

    ( )

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    10,358,23311,251,38112,516,13415,858,96117,459,91418,361,317

    2,192,9982,471,2582,489,803983,0011,049,1761,072,267

    367,293513,594677,950832,347979,8131,079,555

    216,480212,017303,572399,810431,447475,937

    13,135,00414,448,25015,987,45918,074,11919,920,35020,989,076

  • II- : 88 % . 5% .

    2%. ( )

    Graph1

    216480367293219299810358233

    212017513594247125811251381

    303572677950248980312516134

    39981083234798300115858961

    431447979813104917617459914

    4759371079555107226718361317

    Feuil1

    19971998 1999 2000 2001 2002

    216,480212,017303,572399,810431,447475,937

    367,293513,594677,950832,347979,8131,079,555

    2,192,9982,471,2582,489,803983,0011,049,1761,072,267

    10,358,23311,251,38112,516,13415,858,96117,459,91418,361,317

    Feuil1

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • . III -

  • . %10,7 51,7 % . 2002 10,6 % 63,2 % . III - 2002 %( )

    Graph1

    1160.4791.3210.379.9

    1291.2825.9206.794.7

    1519874249.2110.8

    1922.2721.7283.5123.4

    1990.3666.1309.5146

    2071.7664288.7156.8

    Feuil1

    199719981999200020012002

    1160.41291.21519.01922.21990.32071.7

    791.3825.9874.0721.7666.1664.0

    210.3206.7249.2283.5309.5288.7

    79.994.7110.8123.4146.0156.8

    Feuil1

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    Feuil2

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    Feuil3

    MBD010328CC.xls

    Feuil1

    ( )

    19971998199920002001 2002

    :

    13617.614886.116211.720040.421191.422232.0

    2211.02498.02511.61026.61155.51167.7

    367.3514.2678.1840.3986.41080.5

    2002

    &L&8&D&T&R&8

    Feuil1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Feuil2

    19971998199920002001 2002

    :

    %

    23.019.518.821.619.222.8

    67.064.365.854.650.349.8

    %

    50.459.758.549.247.443.6

    40.643.743.356.756.357.1

    5001.64829.15061.94949.94750.75587.5

    3250.43017.93133.84243.54060.24884.4

    1751.21811.21928.1706.4690.5703.1

    Feuil2

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Feuil3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    (%)

    19971998199920002001*2002

    6.38.910.110.710.610.7

    33.336.339.174.663.865.7

    199719981999200020012002

    1160.41291.21519.01922.21990.32071.7

    791.3825.9874.0721.7666.1664.0

    210.3206.7249.2283.5309.5288.7

    79.994.7110.8123.4146.0156.8

    Graph1

    6.333.3

    11.736.3

    11.639.1

    13.374.6

    10.663.8

    10.663.2

    Feuil1

    19971998199920002001*2002

    6.311.711.613.310.610.6

    33.336.339.174.663.863.2

    Feuil1

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • . 35,9 % 2002 . 30,6 % 1997 2002 11,2 % 1997 2002 18,0 % 2002 21,2 %. 49,9 % 32,8 %.III - ) (

    Graph2

    12785.5

    14019.5

    15251.9

    17318.4

    18739

    19868

    Feuil1

    ( )

    19971998199920002001 2002

    :

    13617.614886.116211.720040.421191.422232.0

    2211.02498.02511.61026.61155.51167.7

    367.3514.2678.1840.3986.41080.5

    2002

    &L&8&D&T&R&8

    Feuil1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Feuil2

    19971998199920002001 2002

    :

    %

    23.019.518.821.619.222.8

    67.064.365.854.650.349.8

    %

    50.459.758.549.247.443.6

    40.643.743.356.756.357.1

    5001.64829.15061.94949.94750.75587.5

    3250.43017.93133.84243.54060.24884.4

    1751.21811.21928.1706.4690.5703.1

    19971998199920002001 2002

    *

    1160.41291.21519.01922.22011.72026.0

    791.3825.9874.0721.7667.2676.9

    210.3206.7249.2283.5309.5287.6

    80.294.7110.8123.4146.0156.8

    **

    12785.514019.515251.917318.418739.019868.0

    1270.01304.31275.9264.2262.8331.3

    Feuil2

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    00

    00

    00

    Feuil3

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    12785.51270

    14019.51304.3

    15251.91275.9

    17318.4264.2

    18739262.8

    19868331.3

  • III - - 1999 : : .

  • III - 2,7 % 2002 5,9 % 16,1 % 88% . ( )

    Graph1

    5001.63250.41751.2

    4829.13017.91811.2

    5061.93133.81928.1

    4949.94243.5706.4

    4753.74063.2690.5

    4880.24300.9579.3

    Feuil1

    199719981999200020012002

    5001.64829.15061.94949.94753.74880.2

    3250.43017.93133.84243.54063.24300.9

    1751.21811.21928.1706.4690.5579.3

    %

    2319.518.821.619.219.4

    6764.365.854.650.341.8

    %

    50.459.758.549.247.445.3

    40.643.743.356.756.358.8

    Feuil1

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

  • III - % % %

    Graph1

    2367

    19.564.3

    18.865.8

    21.654.6

    19.250.3

    19.441.8

    Feuil1

    199719981999200020012002

    5001.64829.15061.94063.24300.94300.9

    3250.43017.93133.84243.54060.2579.3

    1751.21811.21928.1706.4690.5703.1

    %

    23.019.518.821.619.219.4

    67.064.365.854.650.341.8

    %

    50.459.758.549.247.445.3

    40.643.743.356.756.358.8

    Feuil1

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Feuil2

    Feuil3

    Graph2

    50.440.6

    59.743.7

    58.543.3

    49.256.7

    47.456.3

    45.358.8

    Feuil1

    199719981999200020012002

    5001.64829.15061.94063.24300.94300.9

    3250.43017.93133.84243.54060.2579.3

    1751.21811.21928.1706.4690.5703.1

    %

    23.019.518.821.619.219.4

    67.064.365.854.650.341.8

    %

    50.459.758.549.247.445.3

    40.643.743.356.756.358.8

    Feuil1

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    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Feuil2

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    00

    Feuil3

  • III - * - - - . - .

  • - - - .

    III -

  • III - : 21 48 1999 28 2002 25 2002 2003 :

  • . 2003 20023 .

    III -

  • . 700 2002 2004 10.648 2002 20 2003 474 2002 805 2004 .III -

  • : 2001 2001 11 40% . .III -

  • : . .

    III -

  • IV- 5% . : :

  • IV- . .

  • IV- . . . .