a risen china - nscs · the of distance tirnes are in parentheses. china 1,900 miles perth russia...
Post on 10-Jun-2020
0 Views
Preview:
TRANSCRIPT
A RISEN CHINA & GEOPOLITICS
IN EAST ASIA
Evelyn Goh
Australian National University
18 July 2017
OUTLINE
1. China has risen
2. The return of geopolitics
3. Geopolitical connectivity
4. China’s effect on East Asia’s geopolitics
1. CHINA HAS RISEN
‘Thucydides Trap’
OR
新型大国关系 (‘new model of major power relations’)
2. THE RETURN OF GEOPOLITICS
Location, location, location!
Priority for which connections?
East Asia’s 2 competing connectivity
projects:
a) The “Asia-Pacific”
East Asia’s two big competing
geopolitical projects:
b) The new silk routes (“Belt and Road”)
China’s ‘new silk roads’ c.2014 (Source: Xinhua)
3. GEOPOLITICAL CONNECTIVITY
Feedback loops & unintended consequences
西进
Proposed ‘Xinjiang corridors’
Source: YaleGlobal Online
4. CHINA’S EFFECTS ON GEOPOLITICS IN EAST ASIA
3 DRIVERS
DRIVER 1: RESPONSE OF GREAT POWERS
DRIVER 2: RESPONSE OF OTHER STATES
USN 7th Fleet
DRIVER 3: SUSTAINABILITY OF CHINA’S POWER
top related