choi nasa pmc_2012

마스터 제목 스타일 편집

2012-02-23 11

PM Challenge 2012

2012. 2. 22

Korea Aerospace Research Institute

KARI Space Project Manage-ment in a Changing Global

Environment

PM Challenge 2012

2

1. Major Factors to Change a Global Environment in Space Program

Economy

Iran, North Korea, …

Bankrupcy of Lehman Bros.(2008), Euro-pean Sovereign Debt Crisis(2009 - present), …

Global Warming, Natural Disaster, …

Mars Exploration, Asteroid Exploration, Space Defense, Green Energy, …

Alien, New Creature, Water in Moon,…

Diplo-macy

Nature

Initiative

New Dis-covery

PM Challenge 2012

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70

73

84

93

102

81

93

86

77

87

0.0300000000000001

0.0400000000000001

0.0400000000000001

0.0900000000000001

0.01

61

53

58

64

65

13

14

16

22

22

Commercial Space Products & ServicesCommercial Infrastructure & Support IndustriesCommercial Space Transportation Services

Keep increasing despite economycrises

2. Global Space Economy Size

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

225.4

232.4

244.1

256.8

276.5

단위 , B$

Average An-nual growth

rate : greater than 5%

(출처 : Space Foundation, The Space Report 2011)

Global Space Activity Revenues and Budgets

2020 년 :

$400B

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$102B(37%)

$87.39B(32%)

$64.63B(23%)

$22.49B(8%)

$0.01B(<1%)

Commercial SpaceTransportation ServicesNon-U.S. Government

Space Budgets

U.S. GovernmentSpace Budgets

Commercial Infrastructure & Support Industries

Commercial SpaceProducts & Services

Korean Government

Budget in 2010 : $271B

2010 Military Space Budget - U.S. $43.7B - Non U.S. $2.3B - Total $46.0B

Government Space Budget - Space Exploration - National Security Program - Scientific Research

Global Space Activity, 2010

Total

$276.52Billion

2. Global Space Economy Size

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Type 2010 2019(E)

Earth Observation 2.01 3.80

- Data Sales (0.89) (1.80)

- Value-Added Services (1.12) (2.00)

Direct-to-Home TV 79.22

Satellite Radio 2.84

Satellite Services 17.92

Total 102.00

Commercial Space Product & Service, 2010

Unit : B$

2. Global Space Economy Size

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Type Commercial Government Sum

Launch Industry 2.45 4.90 7.35

Satellite Manufacturing 3.41 7.14 10.55

Ground Station & Equipment 80.47

- Geolocation & Navigation Equipment (71.62)

- Others (Ground Control Station, Mobile Satellite Terminal, etc) (8.85)

Independent Research & Development 0.18

Insurance 0.88

Sum 87.39

Commercial Infrastructure & Support Indus-tries, 2010

Unit : B$

2. Global Space Economy Size

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3. Space Competitiveness Index

SCI in 2009 (From : Futron, 2009 Space Competitiveness Index(SCI))

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Global

KoreaAutomobile

In 2009

AutomobileIn 2009

Semi-ConductorIn 2010

Semi-ConductorIn 2010

AerospaceIn 2010

AerospaceIn 2010

Ship BuildingIn 2010

Ship BuildingIn 2010

$1.4Trill $47.7B (3.5%)

$300B

$39B (12.9%)

$71.7B

$30.6B(42.7%)

$570B

$2.5B(0.4%)

Korea Competitiveness in Market ShareKorea Competitiveness in Market Share

※Complete Car

Global

Korea

Global

Korea

Global

Korea

4. Korea Competitiveness

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Year 2006 2007 2008

2009

2010

Sales Total ($Mill) 733 955 784 676 699

Space Manufacturing 8.1% 14.3% 27.9%

21% 11.5%

Space Application 91.9% 85.7% 72.1%

79.0%

88.5%

Korea Space Industries Sales2007 2008 2009 2010

Space Manufacturing($Mill)

Satellite 45.4 40.9 17.0 40.2

Launcher 15.7 19.1 5.8 1.3

Ground Equip-ment

75.4 158.6 119.2 38.8

Space Applica-tion

($Mill) 818.4 565.4 534.0 618.7

Korea Space Activities (Sales+R&D+Research)

Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Activities Total ($Bill)

1.17 1.36 1.19 1.00 0.91

5. Korea Space Sales

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Success of

Government

Space

Projects

Expansion of

Space Cul-ture

Collaboration with Foreign

Countries

Achievement

of Core Tech-

nologies

KARI

CanSat, CubeSat for students Space Exploration,Space Science, Earth Sci-ence (w/ NASA, JAXA, etc.)

6. KARI Top Management Strategy

Collaboration with several government bodies

Evolution of technology

PM Challenge 2012

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7. KARI Project Management

Political Support

Ocean PayloadDevelopment

Meteorological PayloadDevelopment

Environment PayloadDevelopment

System/BusDevelopment2nd Korean

GeostationarySatellite

2nd KoreanGeostationary

Satellite

ME MEST

MLTMKMA

National Committee of Space Development

ME : Ministry of EnvironmentKMA : Korea Meteorological Administration

MEST : Ministry of Education, Science & TechnologyMLTM : Ministry of Land, Transport & Maritime Affairs

Collaborative Support from Government

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II. Satellite Development

Evolution of Technology

KOMPSAT-1

Sys-tem

Co-Op(w/ )

BusCo-Op(w/ )

Pay-load

Procure + OJT(w/ )

KOMPSAT-2

Led byConsult

with

Led by

Co-Op(w/ ELOP)

KOMPSAT-3

Indigenous

Indigenous

Led by Consult

1999 2006 2012

7. KARI Project Management

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7. KARI Project Management

Evolution of Technology

Optical Payload

COMSAREA

Korea leading de-velopment(Expert support for some in-sufficient Technology)

GEO-KOMPSAT2

Ka-band Payload

Ground/Operation

System

Satellite Bus

Co-Develop-ment

Self-Develop-ment

Co-Development

Self-development(Performance Enhancement)

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○ Space Science and Space Exploration are most suitable area

for international cooperation

○ Mutual use of infra and resources is the big advantage

KARI and NASA offered the following joint project topics- Space Exploration : 5 topics including lunar impactor- Space Science : 3 topics- Earth Science : 6 topics

7. KARI Project Management

KARI and JAXA are collaborating in the following areas;- ISS/JEM Utilization- Aviation Program- Environmental Test Technology- Sentinel Asia Program- Space Education, APRSAF Task Force, etc.

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7. KARI Project Management

• NASA will lead the mothership (or-biter) & cubesat design, analysis & manufacturing

• NASA will provide the launch service and DSN(Deep Space Network) for the lunar impactor mission

• KARI would possibly join the mothership (orbiter) design, analysis & manufacturing in the selected subsystem as well as mission design for the whole lunar mission

• Korean universities perform cubesat design & manufacturing as well as scientific analy-sis from the acquired scientific data

Lunar Swirl

Lunar Prospector Magnetic Field Map

Orbiting Mother ship < 200kg

Cubesat Probe

The Lunar Impactor mission is designed to investigate the lunar swirls which are one of the most enigmatic geologic features in the solar system.

Example

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8. Summary

○ Despite economy crises, global space economy size has increased

○ Korea space economy size has fluctuated during that period

○ In Korea, the major customer is the government so that, at present, the

domestic environment is much more important than the global envi-

ronment

○ KARI has 4 launches(4 satellites and 1 launcher) in 2012

so that KARI space project management will be evaluated

according to the results

KOMPSAT-32012. 5. 18

KOMPSAT-5Middle of 2012

NARO 3rd AttemptOctober of 2012

STSAT-3End of 2012

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○ Space exploration, space science and earth science may be the most

suitable areas to cooperate with global partners in any global environ-

ment changes

○ The space development strategy and program management approaches

developed in Korea could be a bench mark model to emerging coun-

tries in space development

8. Summary

Thank You