creativity: thinking out of the box

(Creativity)1

2 (change)risksdilemma

1 2011 7 19 4 11 2 -

1

3OEMOriginal Equipment ManufacturerBrandoutsourcing think out of the box4

1969 7 21 2 56 Neil Alden ArmstrongThat's one small step for man, one giant leap for mankind World Future SocietyInter-disciplineSocietyTechnology(Economy)Environment

3 2001 4 Mike Vance and Diane Deacon, 1998

2

PoliticsSTEEP5 futurists6oracle CLA

(linear)(cycle)(pendulum)(spiral)

5 88 5000 6Delphi

3

(industrial revolution)capitalismmodernization theory7take off8

7 Rostow 1.2.3.4.5.6. 8 10

4

diffusion of innovations9S2.5%Innovators13.5 second curve10

DNA11

TAGCDNA 9 Everett M. Rogers, (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, 5th , Free Press. 10 Ian Morrison, (1996), The Second Curve: Managing the Velocity of Change, Ballantine Books. 11 5 6 6ACGT

5

Lehman Brothers Holdings IncFreddie MacFannie MaeButterfly effects12

12 (chaos)

6

7

Tony Buzan 1970 Mind Map 13

13 Tony Buzan and Barry Buzan1996The Mind Map Book: How to Use Radiant Thinking to Maximize Your Brain's Untapped Potential 8

9

14 A4 Computer Assisted Instruction, CAIFacebook)15 storytelling16

14 Leslie Kanes Weisman1997 15 Neil Postman Technopoly: the Surrender of Culture to Technology(1993), Chapter 7 The Ideology of Machines: Computer Technology, Vintage Books: A Division of Random House, Inc., NY. 16 2012storytelling 10

200817

uncertainM M 101 10118 101 101

172008 97 18 37

11

1943 1956 green revolution191964 50

1960 911 State Terrorism20 1989 1521221990 23 191945 10 4050 20To End terrorism, End State Terrorism, by Johan Galtung and Dietrich Fischer, September 20, 2002, http://www.wagingpeace.org/articles/2002/09/20_galtung_end-terrorism.htm 21 1989 4 15 73 22 Tiananmen Square protests 1989 6 3 6 4 23 1990 3 13 40 1986 9 3 16

12

alternatives 0 1 forgiveness(reconciliation)24

hints

24 Forgiveness and Reconciliation: Religion, Public Policy and Conflict Transformation2008Raymond G. Helmick and Rodney L. Petersen,

13

25

25 SlowCarl Honor2005

14

50 100

15

mapshome)26 spotlighting

26 -Home2009

16

2728 29

27 14-18Eric Garland, Future, Inc., Howe Businesses can anticipate and Profit from whats next. 2008

28 69-78 2000 292007Wealth 3.0

17

ICCP 2007 2008 30 31

302008P-346-353 311.2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9.10.11.12.13.

18

19

2008 97 2007Wealth 3.0 2008327-353

2012storytelling

2000 2001 Buzan Tony, and Barry Buzan, 1996, The Mind Map Book: How to Use Radiant

Thinking to Maximize Your Brain's Untapped Potential. Garland, Eric, 2008, Future, Inc., Howe Businesses can anticipate and

Profit from whats next. Honor Cal, 2005Slow Morrison, Ian 1996, The Second Curve: Managing the Velocity of Change, Ballantine Books. Postman, Neil 1993, Technopoly: the Surrender of Culture to Technology,

Vintage Books: A Division of Random House, Inc., NY. Rogers, Everett M., 2003, Diffusion of Innovations, 5th , Free Press. Raymond G.Helmick and Rodney L. Petersen, 2008, Forgiveness and

Reconciliation: Religion, Public Policy and Conflict Transformation, 2008

Rostow,W.W., 1960, The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1960), Chapter 2, "The Five Stages of Growth--A Summary," pp. 4-16

Toffler, Alvin and Heidi Toffler ()2007, Wealth 3.0

Vance, Mikee and Diane Deacon, 1998Think out of Box

Yann Arthus-Bertrand (-2009Home

Weisman, Leslie Kanes, 1997Discrimination by Design

Buzan Tony, and Barry Buzan, 1996, The Mind Map Book: How to Use Radiant Thinking to Maximize Your Brain's Untapped Potential.