next generation data centers
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IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Next Generation
Anil Vasudeva Principal Analyst & President anil@imexresearch.com408-268-0800
Data Centers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
•• Markets Drivers/Industry DynamicsMarkets Drivers/Industry DynamicsBlades Blades –– An evolution from PC Servers to SupercomputersAn evolution from PC Servers to SupercomputersMajor Applications Major Applications –– Access, HPC, NIC, TP Access, HPC, NIC, TP 4 Tiered Computing & Telecom Markets by Environment4 Tiered Computing & Telecom Markets by EnvironmentIncumbents vs. StartupsIncumbents vs. Startups
•• Market Segments Market Segments –– Mkt.Fcst./Shares/ChannelsMkt.Fcst./Shares/ChannelsMarket Forecast, Migrations, Supply Chain, Channels, Price ErosiMarket Forecast, Migrations, Supply Chain, Channels, Price Erosionon
•• Industry Issues/Technology HurdlesIndustry Issues/Technology HurdlesStds./Midplane, Server Mgmt/DMTF, Fabric Choices Stds./Midplane, Server Mgmt/DMTF, Fabric Choices
Thermals, IP Acceleration Thermals, IP Acceleration
•• Futures OpportunitiesFutures Opportunities for Startupsfor StartupsComplexity Reduction, Data Center Mgmt , Complexity Reduction, Data Center Mgmt , From Next Gen PCs to Clustered SupercomputersFrom Next Gen PCs to Clustered SupercomputersInterested Venture CapitalInterested Venture Capital
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Chaos in the Enterprise . . .
Server/OS
Network
Application
Storage
Test
Backup
Disaster Recovery
Database
Financials
TM
D/R plan (MF only)
STK Silos Tape
TM
TM
TM
IBM3090-600JMVS/ESAIMS / ADABAS
BU by FDR Upstream
HPUX 10, 11.0, 11.2 MPE Sybase 11.9, 12
Fujitsu DS90UX P/M
8mm BackupLegato to DLT
IBM ADSM3490
HP OmniBack
SunSolaris 3.2, 3.4, 3.5Oracle 7.5, 8.0
IBM RS6000AIX 4.1, 4.2, 4.3DB2/6000
Compaq ProLiant 2500,5500NT 3.5, 4.0 SQL
Cheyenn e to 4mm
Batch
IBM AS/400OS/400
InventoryExchange
CAD/CAME-commerce
Lotus NotesOLTP
CICS
File transfers AIX to HP/UX via Platinum 9.9
FTP between Sun - NT
Database extracts MVS to SP2 via MQ Series 4.4
PeopleSoft
(1) Scales poorly (2) Difficult to manage (3) Reliability is questionable (4) Management costs out of control
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Data Center Automation Targets
Servers Utilization
ServersServers/Admin
StorageTerabytes/DBA
NetworksNtwk Ports/Admin
SystemAvailability
20-25%80+%
15-30500+
1TB100TB
50-100500+
HAL- 3 (99.9%)
HAL- 5 (99.999%)
Market Trends
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Scale Out (Clustered Blade Servers)
Large SMPParallel SysplexDynamic LPAR SW Provisioning/VMWareIBM: i890/p690/z990SUN: SunFire 4800,12K
Rack Clusters High Availability/Hi Perform.Clusters-Linux/AIX/Solaris Clusters- HPC ClustersDELL: PowerEdge 6650ORACLE: 9iRAC/PE6650
Blade Servers High Density Rack Mount-Highly Integrated Dense FF-Rapid Deployment, Flex Architect. -RLX: 300i, 800i, HP: 40b, p-FUJITSU: BX300, DELL:1655 IBM: HS20,40,JS20 Sun:100 s,x
Scal
e U
p (C
onso
lidat
ed S
MP
Serv
ers)
Server Market Segmentation - Platforms
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
3 Tier Computing Infrastructure
Uniform and ubiquitous physical Connectivity – “Wire Once”
Any user to any server via the Internet
Any server to any server via the LAN
Any sever to any storage via the SAN
Dynamic Logical Binding of…
…server network identify
…server OS version
…server application assignment
…application data volumes
Resulting in
Application Mobility across servers
Data mobility across storage
ApplicationEnd-Users
Network Services:Web Servers,
Firewalls,Load balancers
Application Services:Application Servers &
Database Servers
Storage
Internet
LAN
SAN
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Quadrics,Myrinet,InfiniBand,Ethernet IP,Ethernet IP w/TOE,Ethernet IP w/TOE+RDMA,Microsoft Chimney
SNMP,IETF/ CIM,
SMI-S,SMASH.
SCSI,Fiber Channel,iSCSI
Ethernet,Wi-Fi.Network Fabric
System FabricM
anag
emen
tFa
bric
ATA, SCSI, SATA, SAS
NexGen Architecture
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
End to End Internet
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Data CenterApplicationsEdge
Directory Security Policy Management
Software OS Platform
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
DBDB
DBDB
DBDB
IP Storage Network
FC SAN IP SAN NAS NAS
InternetCoreOptical
Edge
HA, Secure Data Center
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Market Segments by Applications
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms)
(RAID - 0, 3)
500100MB/sec101 505
1K
10 K
100
10
1
eCommerceeCommerceTransaction Transaction ProcessingProcessing
OLTPOLTPOLTP
Data Warehousing
Visual DB
DSS(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
IOPs
(L
aten
cy)
StreamingStreamingStreamingAudioAudio
VideoVideo
Scientific ComputingScientific Computing
ImagingImaging
HPCHPCHPC
TPC
HPCHPC
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
TPC’s priority - High Availability & Syst Cost
S/390MVSIBM Propl
S/390MVSIBM Propl
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
IBMIBM
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Prop.
AS400
WinUNIX
Cluster Win
DowntimeHrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.9% 99.0%
$10K
System Availability99.99%
0.1 101 100
Avg.Syst
Price
$100 K
$1 M
$10 M
z/390
z/390Sysplex
ClusteredUNIX
Clustered LinuxLinux
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Data rate & capacity
Throughput : : DSL/Cable
100+ Teraflops
Throughput = 100 GB/s
Rendering (Texture & Polygons)
Throughput = 1.2 GB/s
EntertainmentEntertainmentAudio/Video On DemandAudio/Video On Demand
High Performance High Performance ComputingComputing
Commercial Commercial VisualizationVisualization
BioInformaticsBioInformatics DecisionDecisionSupport SystSupport Syst
Dat
a: IM
EX R
esea
rch
& Pa
nasa
s
Data rate & capacity
Throughput : : DSL/Cable
100+ Teraflops
Throughput = 100 GB/s
Rendering (Texture & Polygons)
Throughput = 1.2 GB/s
EntertainmentEntertainmentAudio/Video On DemandAudio/Video On Demand
High Performance High Performance ComputingComputing
Commercial Commercial VisualizationVisualization
BioInformaticsBioInformatics DecisionDecisionSupport SystSupport Syst
Dat
a: IM
EX R
esea
rch
& Pa
nasa
s
Data rate & capacity
Throughput : : DSL/Cable
100+ Teraflops
Throughput = 100 GB/s
Rendering (Texture & Polygons)
Throughput = 1.2 GB/s
Data rate & capacity
Throughput : : DSL/Cable
100+ Teraflops
Throughput = 100 GB/s
Rendering (Texture & Polygons)
Throughput = 1.2 GB/s
EntertainmentEntertainmentAudio/Video On DemandAudio/Video On Demand
High Performance High Performance ComputingComputing
Commercial Commercial VisualizationVisualization
BioInformaticsBioInformatics DecisionDecisionSupport SystSupport Syst
EntertainmentEntertainmentAudio/Video On DemandAudio/Video On Demand
High Performance High Performance ComputingComputing
Commercial Commercial VisualizationVisualization
BioInformaticsBioInformatics DecisionDecisionSupport SystSupport Syst
Dat
a: IM
EX R
esea
rch
& Pa
nasa
s
High Performance Computing
Entertainment Audio/Video OnDemand
Decision-Support Systems
BioinformaticsCommercial Visualization
©2004--05 IMEX Research.com
HPC: Going from Academia to Wall St to Hollywood
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blades Servers - InfrastructureMidplane
W/ConnectorsTo Blades & Back
Modules
Storage: IP NAS or FC SAN Switch
Management Modules Remote Mgmt+KVM over IP
Cooling N+1Fans/Cooling ModulesPower: N+1Power Supplies
Networking: Gbit Ethernet Switches
BladeControlPanel
Processor Blades(6-24 typically)
MemoryDDR wECC
GbitEthernet
I/FSystemsMonitorModule
Micro-Processors
USB Ports, CD/Floppy I/F
© 2003 Source: IMEX Research
~ GbE Switch supportsTrunking/Port AggregationFlow ControlQoS Packet PrioritizationSNMP/RMONIGMP/BOOTP/TFTP……
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blades - TCO Savings & ROI
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1 2
% C
ontr
ibut
ion
OPEX
CAPEX33%
67%
46%
25%
Blade Servers Rack Servers
3 Year TCO Savings Rack vs. Blade Servers
OPEXStaff/
Support25%Maintenance/
Downtime54%
Facilities/Power21%
CAPEX
Servers46%
SWInfrastructure
22%
Storage Infrastructure
13%
Networking19%
TCO Savings in..
Data: IMEX Research 2004
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Management – Blade Servers
80%
2020%%
Ultra-dense HW• Density• Power Consumption• Cable Management
Management• Platforms integration:
Hardware Software Network Management
• Scalability• Security• Manageability• Lowest TCO
80 %
20 %
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Server Management Software
VirtualizationVirtualization
ProvisioningProvisioning
AutomationAutomation
Allocates, Monitors, and Meters the Usage of Pooled Resources
Provisions the Resources Required to Deliver a Business Service
Automatically Maintains Application Service Level Objectives
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Server Management Software
Rack Mgmt
Enterprise Mgmt SW(HPOV,IBM Tivoli, BMC Patrol,Sun MC..)
Chassis Mgmt
Blade Mgmt
Blades
Chassis
Rack
Backplane
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Shared ModulesShared Modules
MC MC MC MC MC
Com
pute
Blad
e
MC
Chas
sis M
gmt B
l.
Stor
age B
lade
Com
pute
Blad
e
Netw
ork B
lade
Com
pute
Blad
e
MC
Mgmt SrvrIP Bus
Mgmt Bus
Chassis
Blades Management Architecture
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
State of Interconnect Fabrics
Bandwidth/link
100 Mb/sec 1Gb/sec 10 Gb/sec
EHERNET - LAN/SAN/MAN/WAN
IB - CLUSTER
SMP/NUMA
SGI
Synfinity-1
MyrinetServernet
ATM
GbEFE
IBM/SP
T3E
10 us
100 us
1 ms
1us
MPP
Dolphin
Scali
Quadrics Mellanox
Latency/hop
FJ/Synfinity10GbEw/RDMA
GbEw/TOE
GbEw/RDMA
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Uni
ts (K
)
BladesRackmountsPedestals
Industry Standard Servers Market (x86 based)
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved Data: IMEX Research 2005
Blade Servers Market Opportunity
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Fact
ory
Rev
$B
WW Blade Servers Market Opportunity (cum 2004-2008)
Revenues ~ $24 BillionUnits ~ 9 Million
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
US Market - SBC & xTCA Revenues
0100200300400500600700800
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
US
Rev
enue
s $M cPCI SBC
w Blades Impact
cPCI SBC
xTCA Blades
iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendors
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
ATCA Server Blades Forecast
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Signaling
Core
Edge
Access
IP Telecom Server Blades
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Servers: Vendor Positioning Index(As of Jan.2005 - See IMEX Blade Servers Report 2005 for new data & indexing metrics)
Stra
tegy
(Pot
entia
l)
Delivery (Success)
IBM
HPDell
Tatung
NexcomIntel
Fujitsu Siemens
NEC
Sun
Egenera
©20
03-0
5 IM
EX
Res
earc
h
Rackable Sys
VerariLinux NetworxAppro
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Servers – Low Cost Suppliesr?
Tatungt
3Up Syst
Hitachi
TatungMitac
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Enterprise Data
Center
Departmental Small Medium Business
(SMB/SME)
Workgroup
Desktop SOHO and Mobile
Existing Deployed Storage Networks (Block and File) Scalability
“SAN in a Can” (Block & File) Simplified Use and Install
Low Cost Min. Features Easy to Use Self-Installable
Performance and capacity alone are no longer distinguishers attributes between enterprise and distributed storage
NASFile
(NFS & CIFS)
Convergence
Multi-Protocol
& Interface
Storage Market Requirements
IP SAN (Block or File)
(iSCSI)CO
ST
FUN
CTI
ON
S
FC SAN, IP SAN (Block) (FCP & FICON)
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendorsC
OS
T
SERVICE LEVEL
High EndHigh End FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier NAS & iSCSINAS & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
EntryEntry FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
SAN(Fibre
Channel)NAS
(IP)iSCSI
(IP)
•iSCSI delivers low-cost Networked Storage–Higher availability,Increased usage
–Centralized management,Storage functionality
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Enterprise Market is now cost conscious
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
SATA
P_SCSI
FC
SAS
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
The iSCSI SAN
To Other LANs,Servers or IP SANs
Ethernet Header CRCIP TCP DATA
Client requests data from App Server
Ethernet CRCHeader IP
TCP iSCSI SCSI DATA
iSCSI-equipped App Server (“initiator”) requests data from an iSCSI storage (“target”)
Storage Arrays(iSCSI Target)
Application & DB Servers
(iSCSI Initiator)
Client Workstations
SAN GigE
Switches
LANEthernet Switches
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Ethernet - TCP + iSCSI Offload Engines
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device DriverVolume Manager
File System
Typical 1GbE NIC
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device Driver
Volume ManagerFile System
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device DriverVolume Manager
File System
Hos
tSW
Ada
pter
Host CPU
HBA Hardware
HBA Firmware
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future: IP Storage Management on a chip
Host Services Integration StorageProvisioning Layer
IP SAN Management Layer
Appliance Service Layer
File system monitoring
IP SAN ManagementManagement
ConsoleManagement of
iSCSI HBAsMultiPath IO Supp
and FailoverSecurity
(iSNS, CHAP, SRP)
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target ManagementLVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API Interoperability
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec
Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Go-to-market: Channels of Distribution
Industry Structure
Channels of Distribution
Lg. SysIntegrator
VARS
Sml SI/VAR
Distributor
OEM
VADS
F1000&
Large
Sml
Med
Vertical Markets
Fina
nce
Man
ufac
turin
g
Telecom
Insu
ranc
e
Gov
t.
ISPs
Medical
Manufacturers
Com
pone
nts
-Chi
ps &
Boa
rds
...
HA
+ N
twk
+ Sy
stem
Mgm
t SW
Hubs
NICs
Switches
Routers
Servers
Clusters
SANs
Dis
k &
Tap
e D
rives
& H
ost B
us A
dapt
ers
RAID
VIA IPC
Contllrs
LANs
WANsInternet
Backbone
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Major Players in Infrastructure Convergence
StorageNetworks
Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Potential for Blades - Everywhere
InternetISP
CoreOptical
NetworkingEdge
Access ISP
ISPISP
ISP
ISP
Enterprise
IntrDet
IntrDet
IntrDet
IntrDet
xSP
DBServersApp.Servers
VPN
IntrDet
Supplier/Partner
IntrDet
Remote Office
Home Networks
56K DSLCable Modem
MP3 VOD
Wireless Cellular
WebServices
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Storage Sub Systems
Application & DB Servers
Clients
SAN
LAN Ntwk Mgmt WS
Storage Mgmt WS
Mgmt WS
Intelligent Uniform IP-based
Infrastructure
Present Data Center Infrastructue Future Infrastructue
Holy Grail - Future Intelligent IP Infrastructure
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Emerging IP Based Infrastructure
Networks
Storage
VirtualizationProvisioningAutomation
Servers
TelecomIP
Infrastructure
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Server Architectures: Competitive Technologies
Scalable Perf. vs. Availability
Scal
able
Per
form
ance
AvailabilityUniP
MPP
FTSMP
Clustering
N-way SMP
i
46
83216
Perf
orm
ance
-tp
c
Number of Processors
w/8 way
Multinode Clusters
w/4 way
2
Performance: SMP vs. Clustering
Clustering
SerialMF
SMP
MPP
Performance
Pric
e
Price/PerformanceSerial vs.Parallel Computing
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WebWeb
WebWeb
WebWeb
Web
Web
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
SANSAN
SANSAN
NASNAS
NASNAS
Storage N
etwork
Storage N
etwork
DBDB
DBDB
DBDB
Tier-3Data Center
Tier-2Applications
Tier-1Edge Computing
Caching, Proxy, FW Security, IDS, DNSLoad Balancing …
Servers
3 Tier Computing Architecture
InternetEdge Core
Optical
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WW IT Spending Levels Off …
Worldwide IT` Spending & Growth ($B)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
$ B
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12Average %
IT Spending IT Growth
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WW Server Management Costs Rise
WW Server Spending : Acquisition vs. Management
020406080
100120140160180200
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Spending ($B)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Installed Base (M Units)
New Server spending cost of mgmt. & admin. installed Base Server (M unit)
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Admin Cost % of Total Cost Increasing
$-
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
$K
TCO - Server Connections to FC SANs
Acq. Cost
$34K
Admin. Cost$6.5K
$6K
$13K
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
HA End to End Internet with Security Productswith Security Products
InternetISP
CoreOptical
NetworkingEdge
Access ISP
ISPISP
ISP
ISP
Enterprise
IntrDet
IntrDet
IntrDet
IntrDet
xSP
DBServersApp.Servers
VPN
IntrDet
Supplier/Partner
IntrDet
Remote Office
Home Networks
56K DSLCable Modem
MP3 VOD
Wireless Cellular
WebServices
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Corporate Data Usage
Nea
rline
Stor
age
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Next Generation
Anil Vasudeva Principal Analyst & President anil@imexresearch.com408-268-0800
Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Servers - Competitive Price/Performance
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
$- $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350
$/tpmC
tpm
C
Compaq Dell FujitsuHP IBM Sun
Competitive Analysis: tpmC vs. $/tpmC
Average
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Market Directions
Market bifurcation in the near term (2005-2006) – Business Computer Market continue to migrate to Windows Servers 2003 from UNIX & Mainframes (HE Computers >$250K ASP) – High Performance Computing (15% of market now to grow rapidly) initially the domain of Linux
HPC will embrace Business Computing (2006-08) – Over time some applications such as Wall Street Financial OLAP/DSS, Health/Bioinformatics will migrate towards Business Computing
Linux will take market share from Unix vs. Windows because of the similarities between between Linux & UNIX before it has any discernible impact on Windows 2003
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Targeted Price/Performance
Measure tpmC Price $ $/tpmC Best 5 ($/tpmC) 208,779 977,149 5 All Itanium 188,816 1,053,964 6 All Average 60,341 1,285,309$ 100$ Sun Solaris 18,821 1,748,527 112 All IBM AIX 61,180 1,613,784 179 All Non Intel CPU 44,850 1,798,298 186
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Positioning – HE Enterprise Servers
Delivery Strategy Index Product IA-32/x ItaniuRISC Others3.4 2.5 8.5 HP NonStop x2.2 4.3 9.5 Bull Escala x4.3 2.2 9.5 FSC BS2000 x x2.8 3.4 9.5 Bull GCOS x5.2 3.2 16.6 Unisys Clearpath x x6.1 3.3 20.1 NCR x5.4 5.2 28.1 IBM iSeries x7.4 5.3 39.2 SunFire x5.2 7.6 39.5 Unisys Orion ES7000 x x8.1 5.8 47.0 IBM zSeries x6.0 8.5 51.0 Fujitsu Primepower x7.8 7.6 59.3 HP9K/Integrity x x9.1 6.9 62.8 IBM pSeries x
Enterprise Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Positioning - Midrange Servers
Delivery Strategy Index Product IA-32/x ItaniuRISC Others1.7 2.8 4.8 Bull Escala x1.5 7.0 10.5 Egenera BladeFrame x1.5 8.2 12.3 Bull NovaScale x2.7 4.8 13.0 Bull Express x4.6 3.1 14.3 IBM iSeries x2.2 7.4 16.3 Stratus ftServer x5.3 4.1 21.7 IBM xSeries x3.6 6.3 22.7 NEC Express x x4.7 6.0 28.2 Fujitsu Primergy x x4.0 8.3 33.2 Fujitsu Primepower x5.9 6.2 36.6 Sunfire x6.8 5.5 37.4 IBM pSeries x4.6 8.2 37.7 Unisys Aries ES7000 x x5.7 7.9 45.0 HP9K/Integrity x x8.7 6.0 52.2 Dell PowerEdge x x8.2 7.2 59.0 HP ProLiant x7.7 7.9 60.8 IBM xSeries x x
Midrange Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Dual Core leveraging 4way/8way Servers
$29,980$26,808
$32,607
$24,816
$31,416
$19,770
$61,820
$37,244
$-
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
Street Pricing - 4way / 8way Systems((4 socket - Single/Dual Core Configs)
IBM
x36
6 4w
Cra
nfor
d3.
66/1
M S
ingl
e C
ore
IBM
x36
5 4w
Gal
latin
3.
0/4M
Sin
gle
Core
Dell
PE68
50 4
w P
otom
ac
3.33
/8M
Sin
gle
Core
Sun
Fire
V40
z 4w
Opt
eron
2.2G
Hz/2
M D
ual c
ore
HP rx
4640
4w
Itan
ium
21.
6/9M
Sin
gle
Core
HP D
L585
4w
Opt
eron
2.
2GHz
/2M
Dua
l cor
e
HP D
L585
4w
Opt
eron
2.6G
Hz/1
M S
ingl
e co
re
HP D
L580
G3
4w P
otom
ac
3.33
/8M
Sin
gle
Core
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Niche Opportunities
Niche Market Opportunity Gaps
• Address OLTP Market Gap - Performance DB market• Large Memory Needed to Address Performance DB &
Business Intelligence Markets• Leverage In-Memory DB (Oracle’s acquisition of Times Ten)• Integrated 3-Tier Solution vs. Standalone SMPs• Mix & Match IA-32 & IA-64
- Investment Protection- Address Value & Performance Markets Concurrently
• Geo Load Balancer: BC & DR Markets Covered
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Servers
CUSTOMER
In Memory DB Middleware
TECHNOLOGY
OPEX
DUAL/MULTICORE
32/64-BIT
Server Targets
PERFORMANCE
Total Solutions Support
HIGHAVAILABILITY
PRICE$/tpmC
99.999%
Servers/Storage/NetworkingProducts & Support
Power Management
INVESTMENTPROTECTION
32/64b Mix/Match+ Migration Tools
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Major markets in Cluster Volume Servers
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
High End ASP >$250K
MidrangeASP $25-250K
Volume Servers (Non-Bladed)ASP <$25K
Volume Servers (Bladed )<$25K ASP
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IT Infrastructure, Sys.Mgmt & Applications
ER
P
SCM
CR
M
CA
D/
CAM
HPC
Bro
adB
and
OS DataMgmt Security High
Availability
EAI
NtwkMgmt
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IT Spending by Vertical Markets
WW IT Spending by Vertical Industry
other9%
Retail Wholesale18%
Government12%
Financial11%
Manufacturing10%
Energy6%
Transportation6%
Mfg-Computer Related
6%
Health6%
Media2%
Metals/Mining1%
Construction1%
Misc1%
Services2%
Telecom1%
Education2%
Utilities2% Defence
1%14%
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Server Spending in Vertical Markets
WW Spending on Servers
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000
HospitalityMisc
ConstructionMetals/Mining
EducationGovernment
MediaServicesDefense
utilitiesTelecom
HealthMid-Computer Related
TransportationEnergy
ManufacturingFinancials
Retail Wholesale
OLTP DSS HPC Streaming
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Go-to-Market Startegies
SI/
Servers Market Size & Growth ‘04-’05 Server Budget > $1.5 M
Direct Sales to Large SI/EUCustom Solutions
Server Budget $50 K-$1.5 MVAD/VAR facilitated by ITGExpress Solutions & Packages
Server Budget $5K - $50KRetail, Volume Resell, VARSStandard SMB Products
$ 23.2 B2.8 %
$ 17.4 B9.5 %
$ 7.8 B12.8 %
$1B+ 10,229 FirmsLarge
Enterprise
$100 M to $1B Mid-Size Enterprise
67,873 Firms
$25M to $100 M Medium Business
185,794 Firms
$1M to $25 M Small Business
3,577,862 Firms
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Software transparent
with Parallel SCSI
Software transparent
with Parallel SCSI
Software transparent
with Parallel ATADriverDriver
ModelModel
Multi-initiatorMulti-initiatorSingle-hostAvailabilityAvailability
Dual-port HDDsDual-port HDDsSingle-port HDDs
Peer-to-peerPeer-to-peerNo peer-to-peer
127 devices>128 devices
(16,384 max)
One device(multiple devices with port
multiplier)
ConnectivityConnectivity
15m external cable> 8m external cable> 8m external cable
2.0Gb/s
4Gb/s in 2004/5
3.0Gb/s Introduction
6.0Gb/s in 2006/7
1.5 Gb/s Introduction
3.0Gb/s in 2004/5PerformancePerformance
Full DuplexFull-duplex with
Link Aggregation
Half-duplex
Fibre ChannelSASSATA
Technology Comparison
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms)
(RAID - 0, 3)
500100MB/sec101 505
1K
10 K
100
10
1
Market Segments by Applications
Data Warehousing
Visual DB
DSS(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
IOPs (Latency)
TP
HPCHPC
eCommerceeCommerceTransaction Transaction ProcessingProcessing
OLTPOLTP
Scientific ComputingScientific Computing
ImagingImagingNICNIC
AudioAudio
VideoVideoStreamingStreaming
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WW Server EU Revenues by OS
$-
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
EU R
ev. $
B
Other
OS390
OS400
UNIX
Window s
Linux
Netw are
UNIX
Windows
Linux
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WW High Availability Server Market
WW HA Servers Market
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
EU R
ev $
B
UNIX
WindowLinux
i-SerieszSeries
Other
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Open System Shipments dominateServer OS Shipments - New Licenses
Linux (Paid)
Win 2003W2K
ServerNT
UNIX Total
NetWareMF0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Uni
ts (0
00s)
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Interconnect Price/Performance Hierarchy
Microsoft Chimney Software
1 GbE
10 GbE w/ TOE
10 GbE w/ RDMA, TOE
InfiniBand
Myrinet
Quadrics
Market Size 2004-07
High MB/s, Low Latency, Price/Port
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendorsC
OS
T
SERVICE LEVEL
High EndHigh End FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier NAS & iSCSINAS & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
EntryEntry FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
SAN(Fibre
Channel)NAS
(IP)iSCSI
(IP)
•iSCSI delivers low-cost Networked Storage–Higher availability,Increased usage
–Centralized management,Storage functionality
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Management – Blade Servers
80%
2020%%
Ultra-dense HW• Density• Power Consumption• Cable Management
Management• Platforms integration:
Hardware Software Network Management
• Scalability• Security• Manageability• Lowest TCO
80 %
20 %
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Tiered Storage by Price/Performance
ServersMidline Storage
Mainstream NAS/SAN
Large Enterprise SAN & NAS
Desktop PCEntry NAS
Workstations
Source:Maxtor
Drive Interface
Drive Types
FC Drive
FC RAID
SATA Drive
PC Chipset
5400 RPM7200 RPM
SATA
SAS HBA/RAID
SASSAS
SAS Drive
10K RPM15K RPM
SAS HBA
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Unified Server & Storage Mgmt
Systems ManagementAuto
Discovery
Capacity Management
Security Policies
Matrix Integration
Controls Repository
Tools Definition
Exception Reporting
Event Notification
Distributed Tools
Inventory Mgmt
Server Storage
Topology Management
Provisioning Manager
Performance Management
Chargeback Management
Policy Manager
File System Manager
Oracle View Management
Custom Reports Mgr
Exchange Management
Auto Discovery
Performance Management
Workload Management
Blades Syst Management
VM Management
Cluster Conf Management
Patch Automation
Partition Management
3rd Party SW Management
Enterprise ManagementHP/OV IBM/Tivoli BMC/Patrol CA/Unicenter MS/MOM
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Unified Mgmt Stack
Application ManagementChange & Configuration Suite
Identity ManagerAutomation Manager
Service Level Manager
Infrastructure ManagementSystem Manager
Blade System Management SuiteVirtual Server Management
Server & Storage Unified Management
Elements ManagementStandards/Interoperability
SNMP/SMI-S/WBEM/WMI/SMASH/SOAP/XMLStorage / Disk Arrays / Tape Products & Vendors
HDS, IBM, Cisco, SunBrocade, EMC, McData, NetApp, qLogic, Servers / Blades Products & Vendors
IBM, HP, Sun, Fujitsu, NEC, Unisys, Intel
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Storage Mgmt Tools
• Console: Main console for open, heterogeneous SAN Mgmt• Provisioning Wizard: Wizard to provision Hetero Host to Storage Arrays• Charge Back Mgmt: Asset based Chargeback Mgmt• Data Base Monitor: Oracle DB Availability & Performance Views• EMail Monitor: Exchange Availability & Performance Views• Enterprise SW Monitor: SAP Elements Availability & Performance Views• Capacity Mgmt: Filesystem scanning for reclaiming wasted space• One View: Consolidated reporting of multiple storage/server instances• Report Template Designer: Custom Mgmt Console & Reports for infrastructure
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
99.9999%99.999%99.99%99.9%99.0%AvailabilityHAL- 6HAL- 5HAL- 4HAL- 3HAL- 2Availability Level30 sec~ 5 mts.~ 1 Hr.~ 8 Hrs~ 4 daysDowntime/yr.
~ 10 sec~ 1 mt.~ 5 mts.~ 30 mts.~ 4 HrsTime/Outage
35121624Outages/yr.
Office Sys• HR 1• Shipping
MessagingSystems2
Retailing 2
• POS
Manufacturing 3Utility Opns 3
Telecom 3• NumberPortability• Customer Srvcs
Internet 3• eCommerce
Health Systems 4• Emergency Syst• Computer Dispatch• Patient Monitoring
Navigation Syst 4• Shipping, Satellites.
Reservation Syst 4
• Air Travel • Auto Rentals
Banking Services 4• ATM Transactions• EFT
Financial Srvcs 4
• Securities Trading
Telecom 3• Call Location
Defense System• launch readiness
Time toRecover
from Failure
-
(Fail-overTime)
System Cost
toeliminateSPOFs
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Systems ManagementSingle Site Multi-site
Single Server Local Server/Cluster Remote Cluster
DiskFault-Tolerance• RAID (Disk
Fail Over)• Write Hole • Hot Swap - Disks• ECC Memory• Power Outage• SNMP Alerts
Host ConnectFault-Tolern• Controller FO• Hot Spare Disks• Redundant Power
Supplies & Fans• Redundant NICs• NIC Failover• Hot Swap Cards
ServerFault-Tolerance• Shared Storage• Shared
Resources• Server FO• AutoRecovery• Transaction
Recovery
IntranetCluster/ AppsFault-Toleran• Cluster SW• Oracle OPS• Databases
Replication• Auto Restart Boot• Dedicated Monitoring
Server•Load Balancing
Remote ReplicatedClusterFault-Tolerance• Continuous Replicated• Remote Copy -• Synchronized
Data Mirroring • Zonal Disaster
Tolerant• Router Path
Redundancy
Systems ManagementSingle Site Multi-site
Single Server Local Server/Cluster Remote Cluster
DiskFault-Tolerance• RAID (Disk
Fail Over)• Write Hole • Hot Swap - Disks• ECC Memory• Power Outage• SNMP Alerts
Host ConnectFault-Tolern• Controller FO• Hot Spare Disks• Redundant Power
Supplies & Fans• Redundant NICs• NIC Failover• Hot Swap Cards
ServerFault-Tolerance• Shared Storage• Shared
Resources• Server FO• AutoRecovery• Transaction
Recovery
IntranetCluster/ AppsFault-Toleran• Cluster SW• Oracle OPS• Databases
Replication• Auto Restart Boot• Dedicated Monitoring
Server•Load Balancing
Remote ReplicatedClusterFault-Tolerance• Continuous Replicated• Remote Copy -• Synchronized
Data Mirroring • Zonal Disaster
Tolerant• Router Path
Redundancy
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
System Cost vs. High Availability
S/390MVSIBM Propl
S/390MVSIBM Propl
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
IBMIBM
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Prop.
AS400
WinUNIX
Cluster Win
DowntimeHrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.9% 99.0%
$10K
System Availability99.99%
0.1 101 100
Avg.Syst
Price
$100 K
$1 M
$10 M
z/390
z/390Sysplex
ClusteredUNIX
Clustered LinuxLinux
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
2002
2003
2004
E
2005
E
2006
E
2007
E
CarrierClass Availability HAL-5Continuous Availabilty HAL4-5
High Aavailability HAL3-5Genaral Availability HAL 2-5
All Servers
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
HA Servers Market Rev $M by HA Level
HAL 2-5
HAL 3-5
HAL 4-5
HAL 5
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
WW High Availability EU Revenues
HAL- 5(99.999% Availability, Downtime <5 minutest / yr)
HAL- 4(99.99% Availability, Downtime < 1 Hours/yr)
HAL- 3(99.9% Availability, Downtime <9 Hours / year)
HAL - 2(99% Availability, Downtime <3.5 days/yr)
WW HA Servers Revenues $M by HA Level
$-
$5,000
$10,000
$15,000
$20,000
$25,000
$30,000
$35,000
2002 2003 2004E 2005E 2006E 2007E
EU R
ev $
M
HAL- 599.999%
HAL- 499.99%
HAL- 399.9%
HAL- 299%
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Price Erosion HA Servers
High Availability ServersPrice Erosion By HA Level
$-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250A
SP $
K
HAL-2HAL-3
HAL-4
HAL-5
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Real World – Availability Data
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18An
nual
Dow
ntim
e (H
rs)
IBM
RS/
6000
HP
UN
IX C
lust
er
SunC
lust
er
HP
Alp
ha64
HP
Alp
ha/V
MS
Clu
ster
IBM
Mai
nfra
me
IBM
MF/
Sysp
lex
Tand
em
Stra
tus
Real World Availability
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Time
PREDICTIVEStop an outage before
it happens
TIME-OF-FAILUREDetect an outage and attempt
to switch to alternate resourceswith minimal user disruption
REACTIVERecover the environment
as quickly as possible
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved Data: IMEX Research 2005
Blade Servers Market Opportunity
$-
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Fact
ory
Rev
$B
WW Blade Servers Market Opportunity (cum 2004-2008)
Revenues ~ $24 BillionUnits ~ 9 Million
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
$-
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
Fact
ory
Rev
$M
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
WW Blade Servers Market Revenues by Major Target Market
IP T eleco m Enterprises (Lg & SM B )H igh P erfo rmance C o mp. ISP sEmbedded C o mputing
Blade Servers by Market Segments
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Telecom Server Blades Forecast
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Signaling
Core
Edge
Access
IP Telecom Server Blades
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
High Performance Computing
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Grid Computing
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Grid Computing
• Grid is a Catch-all Marketing Term•• Means different things to different constituenciesMeans different things to different constituencies
•• Desktop CycleDesktop Cycle--StealingStealing
•• ManahedManahed HPC ClustersHPC Clusters
•• Virtualization of Data Center ResourcesVirtualization of Data Center Resources
•• Outsourcing to Outsourcing to ““Utility Data CentersUtility Data Centers””
• Multiple, opposing requirements•• ComputeCompute--intensive applications want to ship data intensive applications want to ship data tptp idle processor resourcesidle processor resources
•• DataData--Intensive applications want to ship computations to appropriate Intensive applications want to ship computations to appropriate large data large data repositoriesrepositories
• An evolving entity with many pulls & pushes•• Economics, Feasibilities, management of heteroEconomics, Feasibilities, management of hetero vsvs homogeneous HW homogeneous HW
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Grid Challenges: Hype vs. Reality
• Cost of Local Grids (LAGs) – ala Blades cheaper than Wide Area Grids (WAGs)
•• Computing Cost $1000 > 1 Computing Cost $1000 > 1 cpucpu day (10 day (10 TeropsTerops) =$1) =$1
•• 10 TB network transfer Cost = $110 TB network transfer Cost = $1
•• Internet BW cost $100/mbps/mo > 1GB network Internet BW cost $100/mbps/mo > 1GB network xfrxfr cost ~$1cost ~$1
•• Result: Local HPC Cluster is 10,000 cheaper than WAN CommunicatiResult: Local HPC Cluster is 10,000 cheaper than WAN Communicationon
• MPI Style Apps work well in LAN Clusters but uneconomical in WAN
•• Data analysis best done by moving programs to data not data to pData analysis best done by moving programs to data not data to programsrograms
•• Small data, high compute applications Small data, high compute applications woekwoek well across internetwell across internet
•• Internet is not the CPU back planeInternet is not the CPU back plane
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Grids – Homogeneous vs Heterogeneous
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Grid Services Architecture & Standards
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Grid Computing – Across 3 Tiers
Grid ControlStorage
DatabasesApplication Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
HA Telecom Infrastructure
HASystems
HP,Sun,IBM,
Motorola,Stratus,
…
TelecomEquipm
Mfrs
Cisco,Siemens,Fujitsu,Lucent,
Nortel, NTTEricsson,
Nokia,NEC, …
Service Provider
NationalAOL,
Pacific Bell, Mindspring,
AT&T …
RegionalNetCom, …
SpecializedNTT/Verio, …
End UserEnter-prises
Large(<1000)
Medium(100-1000)Small
(<100 emp)
PublicOffices(Govt,Educ.)
CarriersAT&TBell AtlanticBellSouthGTENynexSBC SW BellSprint U.S. West
..
HASW
CmpntsTrillium,
Lynx,MicrosoftWindRiverSteelEye
…
HAHW
CmpntsMotorola,
Texas Micro,Lucent,
…
HA VARs/SIWSB TechAcropolis
…
HA ISPNavisite …
HA Subsyst
EMC,MTI,STK, NetApp
…
BackboneUUNet,
MCI/World .
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Servers IBM, HP, Sun, Dell, NEC, Hitachi, SNI, SGI, Unisys.
Channel Companies
Storage Subsystems EMC, STK, LSI Logic, MTI, Network Appliances … (Independents)
Data Networking
Public Data Networking
Cisco, 3COM, Lucent, Nortel, …
Telecom Equipment Wireline
Nortel, Lucent, Toshiba, NEC, Siemens, Mitel …
Telecom Equipment Wireless
Motorola, Lucent, Nokia, Ericsson, Nortel, Siemens,
NEC, Qualcomm, Panasonic…
Cisco, 3COM, Lucent/Ascend, Nortel/Bay Networks, New
Bridge, Cabletron, Intel, HP, Dell, IBM …
Target: OEMs
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Target: HA VARS/Distributors
Channel Companies
Distributors Ingram Micro, Tech Data Corp., CHS Electronics, Merisel Inc., Inacom Corp., Pinacor, SYNNEX Information Tech., Access Graphics, KeyLink Systems, Gates/Arrow Distributing etc.
VARs Anixter Inc., Ameridata, Compucom Systems Inc., Lockheed Martin Federal, Future Now Inc., LMB, CIC Systems Inc. etc. (High Availability Telecom/Networks)
System Consultants Anderson Consulting, Cambridge Technology partners, Price Waterhouse Coopers, Bain, ATKearney, Mitchell Madison, Arthur Anderson etc.
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Target: Disty Channels
Channel Companies
System Consultants Anderson Consulting, Cambridge Technology partners, Price Waterhouse Coopers, Bain, ATKearney, Mitchell Madison, Arthur Anderson etc.
System IntegratorsElectronic Data Systems Corp., IBM / North America Services, Computer Sciences Corp., GTE Corp., Martin Marietta / Information Group, Digital Equipment. / Digital Consulting, Unisys Corp., Science Applications Int’l Corp., TRW Inc./ Systems Integration Group, Hewlett-Packard Co./ Professional Services Div., ENTEX / Information Services, SHL Systemhouse Inc. etc
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Vendor Affiliations
Middleware:BEA, Borland, Pramati,CORBA:Borland, IONAHigh Availability:SteelEye, StratusFileSystem:Sistina, IBIX, PolyserveManagement Software:Novadigm, Altiris, Opsware, Marimba, ON Technology,
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Vendor Affiliations
Database:Oracle, Jboss, Caucho, EAI:TIBCO, Sterling, Vitria, webMethods, Sonic, SAP, Axway, BEAWeb Enabled Application Delivery:F5, Radware, Netscaler, <Redline>, Inkra, Array Ntwks,Pivia, Fineground, NortelSW Distribution Management:<Novadigm>, Altiris, Opsware, Marimba, ON Technology,
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Storage Sub Systems
Application & DB Servers
Clients
SAN
LAN Ntwk Mgmt WS
Storage Mgmt WS
Mgmt WS
Intelligent Uniform IP-based
Infrastructure
Present Data Center Infrastructue Future Infrastructue
Future Intelligent IP Infrastructure
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future Computing: Processes Driven
HBAInitiator
Target
Old model New model
ApplicationApplicationApplication
Initiator Initiator Initiator
Processes are the initiatorsHardware is the initiator
Allows applications to move storage
wherever they are - storage no longer
cares where they are
ID
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future: Application-Driven Storage Virtualization
Moving from storage associated with
servers...
ApplicationApplicationApplication
...to storage associated with processes
Allows applications to move storage from the pool, wherever they are
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future - IP Based Infrastructure
Networks
Storage
VirtualizationProvisioningAutomation
Servers
TelecomIP
Infrastructure
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Architecting Next Generation
Anil Vasudeva Principal Analyst & President anil@imexresearch.com408-268-0800
Enterprise Network Storage
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Agenda
•• Strategic Storage PlanStrategic Storage Plan
Managing HurdlesManaging Hurdles (Knowledge, Budget, Management)(Knowledge, Budget, Management)
•• Data Protection Data Protection
IssuesIssues (Existing Techniques/Pains)(Existing Techniques/Pains)
Techniques Techniques (Mirroring, Snapshots, Replication, CDP)(Mirroring, Snapshots, Replication, CDP)
•• Lowering TCOLowering TCO
Tiered StorageTiered Storage (Aligning Cost of Stg. w Value of Data)(Aligning Cost of Stg. w Value of Data)
Standardization/InterchangeabilityStandardization/Interchangeability (Investment Protect,Virtualize)(Investment Protect,Virtualize)
AutonomicsAutonomics (Lights Out Management)(Lights Out Management)
•• FuturesFutures
Information Classification & Mgmt Information Classification & Mgmt (Reference Metadata Engines) (Reference Metadata Engines)
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Budget MandatesBudget Mandates
CEOs Mandate for CIOs: Do more for less
Migrate to Nex-Gen Infrastructure while protecting existing IT investments
Justify ROI/TCO (Acquisition + Operating Expenses)
Knowledge of Emerging TechnologiesKnowledge of Emerging Technologies
Keeping pace with new technologies, products, standards & management
Avoiding Pain Points - Backing up whole files, despite very little changed
Full restores when only a few bytes need to be put back
ManagementManagement• Managing Hodge-podgy growth and complexity
Standardizing on few configurations to reduce complexity
Establishing Data protection, Business Continuance/Disaster Recovery
ILM/Regulatory Compliance
Implementing Virtualization, Provisioning & Lights-out Storage Automation
Data Storage Hurdles
““Manage your data before it manages youManage your data before it manages you””
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Data Explosion > Storage Revenues
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Peta
byte
s of
Sto
rage
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Stor
age
Reve
nues
$B
Normal PBPB with Accelerators*
*Realtime Data, VoIP, HPC, Grids, WebServices/XML
Storage Revenues
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Storage Data -Types & Characteristics
• High $/GB • Low $/GB
• Milliseconds
• Moderate $/GB
• 1/10thsec to sec
Online Offline/VaultedMidline Nearline
• Med to Low $/GB
• Minutes to hours • Hours to days
Res
pons
e Ti
me
Current Business Critical Active data Hi-transaction data
Aged, Reference data - Images, records, BU emails Unalterable - regulatory
Centralized backup- Disk-to-Disk-to-Tape Staging to tape
% O
nD
isk
• 50% • 35% • 15% • Tape
Recoverable DataReference Data Buffered Data Dynamic DataArchived for BC/DR- Local, - Remote
Pric
e
Source:Maxtor
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Tiered Storage for Data Life Cycles
Age of Data/Freq. of Access
Migrate back to high performance if need be
Restored from tape if need be
Spee
d of
Acc
ess/
Freq
uenc
y of
Cha
nge
Backup & Restore SW
Volatile Data
Fixed Data
Tape Archive
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Corporate Data Usage
Nea
rline
Stor
age
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
•• GoalsGoals–– Operational ResilienceOperational Resilience
•• Designing HA systems to meet Designing HA systems to meet RTO RTO (a function of both type of failure & (a function of both type of failure & recovery technology deployed)recovery technology deployed)
–– Business ContinuanceBusiness Continuance•• Designing Reliable Data Copy Designing Reliable Data Copy
systems to meet RPO systems to meet RPO (point in time to (point in time to which data reverts to after an outage & which data reverts to after an outage & recovery)recovery)
–– Disaster Proof Processes Disaster Proof Processes (Including (Including planned outages)planned outages)
–– Understanding Business NeedsUnderstanding Business Needs•• Time to get back onlineTime to get back online
•• Critical Tier 1,Critical Tier 1,--2,2,--3 applications3 applications
•• Max sustainable downtime Max sustainable downtime
Data Protection
Recovery TimeObjective
RTOT-1 T0 T+1
Time at which Data Integrity last known
Time at which
Disruptive Event
Happens
Time at which
Recovery is Complete
Recovery Point Objective
RPO
Recovery Point
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Data Protection Technologies
•• Archiving Archiving
•• BackupBackup
•• MirroringMirroring–– Asynchronous, SynchronousAsynchronous, Synchronous
•• SnapshotsSnapshots–– Delta Snapshots, Full Snaps/Split Delta Snapshots, Full Snaps/Split
MirrorsMirrors
•• ReplicationReplication–– Offsite Tape Storage, HostOffsite Tape Storage, Host-- Host, Host,
ArrayArray--ArrayArray–– Network basedNetwork based
•• CDPCDP
Archiving
Continuous Data Protectn
Snapshots
Traditional Backup
Mirroring
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Disk Storage Systems Market
DAS: -10%0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Rev
$M
SAN
DAS
NAS
SAN: 13%
NAS: 15%
cagr
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
3 Tier Computing Infrastructure
Uniform and ubiquitous physical Connectivity – “Wire Once”
Any user to any server via Internet
Any server to any server via the LAN
Any sever to any storage via the SAN
Dynamic Logical Binding of…
server network identification
server OS version
server application assignment
application data volumes
Resulting in
Application Mobility across servers
Data mobility across storage
ApplicationEnd-Users
Tier –1 Network Services:
- Web Servers, - Firewalls,
- Load balancers
Tier-2 Application Services:
- Application Servers
Tier-3 Data Base Services
- Database Servers- Storage
Storage
Internet
LAN
SAN
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
The iSCSI SAN
To Other LANs,Servers or IP SANs
Ethernet Header CRCIP TCP DATA
Client requests data from App Server
Ethernet CRCHeader IP
TCP iSCSI SCSI DATA
iSCSI-equipped App Server (“initiator”) requests data from an iSCSI storage (“target”)
Storage Arrays(iSCSI Target)
Application & DB Servers
(iSCSI Initiator)
Client Workstations
SAN GigE
Switches
LANEthernet Switches
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
iSCSI SAN market on fast track
WW SAN Revenues
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
$4,000
$4,500
2001A 2002A 2003E 2004E 2005E 2006E
$M iSCSI
IB
Fibre Channel
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Tiered Storage Devices by Price/Performance
Drive Interface
Drive Types
FC Drive
FC RAIDSAS RAID
Dual-PortSAS
SATA Drive
PC Chipset
5400 RPM7200 RPM
SATA
SAS HBA/RAID
SASSAS
SAS Drive
10K RPM15K RPM
SAS HBA
SATA
Dual Mode SAS/SATAHBA & RAID
ServersMidline Storage
Mainstream NAS/SAN
Large Enterprise SAN & NAS
Desktop PCEntry NAS
Workstations
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future: IP Storage Management on a chip
Host Services Integration StorageProvisioning Layer
IP SAN Management Layer
Appliance Service Layer
File system monitoring
IP SAN ManagementManagement
ConsoleManagement of
iSCSI HBAsMultiPath IO Supp
and FailoverSecurity
(iSNS, CHAP, SRP)
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target ManagementLVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API Interoperability
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsec
Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
High Availability
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
System Cost vs. High Availability
S/390MVSIBM Propl
S/390MVSIBM Propl
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
IBMIBM
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Prop.
AS400
WinUNIX
Cluster Win
DowntimeHrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.9% 99.0%
$10K
System Availability99.99%
0.1 101 100
Avg.Syst
Price
$100 K
$1 M
$10 M
z/390
z/390Sysplex
ClusteredUNIX
Clustered LinuxLinux
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Application-Driven Storage Virtualization
Moving from storage associated with
servers...
ApplicationApplicationApplication
...to storage associated with application
processes
New Model Allows applications to move storage from the
virtualized pool, wherever they may be
Old Model Server Hardware is the
initiator. Storage Drives are the Target
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Blade Servers State of the Industry 2005Special Industry Keynote
Anil Vasudeva Principal Analyst & President anil@imexresearch.com408-268-0800
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
System Cost vs. High Availability
S/390MVSIBM Propl
S/390MVSIBM Propl
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
Bull Dell Fujitsu HP IBM NEC Siemens Stratus
IBMIBM
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Sun-SolarisHP-UXIBM-AIXNCR-SVR4
Prop.
AS400
WinUNIX
Cluster Win
DowntimeHrs./Syst/Yr
99.999% 99.9% 99.0%
$10K
System Availability99.99%
0.1 101 100
Avg.Syst
Price
$100 K
$1 M
$10 M
z/390
z/390Sysplex
ClusteredUNIX
Clustered LinuxLinux
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Audio/Video Audio/Video On DemandOn Demand
Data rate & capacity
Throughput : : market
High Performance High Performance ComputingComputing
100+ Teraflops
Throughput = 100 GB/s
Data:: IMEX Research &
Rendering & Post-Production
Throughput = 1.2 GB/s texture & polygons
Commercial Commercial VisualizationVisualization
BioInformaticsBioInformaticsWall Street, DSSWall Street, DSS
High Performance Computing
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
End to End Internet
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Web
Data CenterApplicationsEdge
Directory Security Policy Management
Software OS Platform
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
AppApp
DBDB
DBDB
DBDB
IP Storage Network
FC SAN IP SAN NAS NAS
InternetCoreOptical
Edge
HA, Secure Data Center
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved www.imexresearch.com/bladeservers.html
An Industry BriefModular Computing Brief Series 2004
the rise of
ComputingBlade
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Server Architectures: Competitive Technologies
Scalable Perf. vs. Availability
Scal
able
Per
form
ance
AvailabilityUniP
MPP
FTSMP
Clustering
N-way SMP
i
46
83216
Perf
orm
ance
-tp
c
Number of Processors
w/8 way
Multinode Clusters
w/4 way
2
Performance: SMP vs. Clustering
Clustering
SerialMF
SMP
MPP
Performance
Pric
e
Price/PerformanceSerial vs.Parallel Computing
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Server Market Segmentation - Platforms
Scale Out (Clustered Blade Servers)
Large SMPParallel Sysplex- Scalable Nodes, - Dynamic LPAR- SW Provisioning/VMWareIBM: i890/p690/z990SUN: SunFire 4800, 12K
Clusters High Availability/Hi Perform.Clusters- Linux/AIX/Solaris Clusters- HPC ClustersDELL: PowerEdge 6650ORACLE: 9iRAC/PE6650
Blade Servers High Density Rack Mount- Highly Integrated Dense Form Factor - Rapid Deployment, Flexible Architect. RLX: ServerBlade 300i, 800i, HP: 40b, pFUJITSU: BX300, DELL:1655 IBM: HS20, Sun:
Scal
e U
p (C
onso
lidat
ed S
MP
Serv
ers)
IMEX©2000-2003 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
VirtualApplication
SpecificClusters
PhysicalClustered
Blades
Cluster VirtualizationCluster Virtualization
Virtualization – Blade Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blades Servers - InfrastructureMidplane
W/ConnectorsTo Blades & Back
Modules
Storage: IP NAS or FC SAN Switch
Management Modules Remote Mgmt+KVM over IP
Cooling N+1Fans/Cooling ModulesPower: N+1Power Supplies
Networking: Gbit Ethernet Switches
BladeControlPanel
Processor Blades(6-24 typically)
MemoryDDR wECC
GbitEthernet
I/FSystemsMonitorModule
Micro-Processors
USB Ports, CD/Floppy I/F
© 2003 Source: IMEX Research
~ GbE Switch supportsTrunking/Port AggregationFlow ControlQoS Packet PrioritizationSNMP/RMONIGMP/BOOTP/TFTP……
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Shared ModulesShared Modules
MC MC MC MC MC
Com
pute
Blad
e
MC
Chas
sis M
gmt B
l.
Stor
age B
lade
Com
pute
Blad
e
Netw
ork B
lade
Com
pute
Blad
e
MC
Mgmt SrvrIP Bus
Mgmt Bus
Chassis
Blades Management Architecture
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
$-
$2,000
$4,000
$6,000
$8,000
$10,000
Fact
ory
Rev
$M
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
WW Blade Servers Market Revenues by Major Target Market
IP T eleco m Enterprises (Lg & SM B )H igh P erfo rmance C o mp. ISP sEmbedded C o mputing
Blade Servers by Market Segments
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Server Shipments by CPUs
-500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Uni
ts #
K
4-way+2-way1-way
Blade Server Shipments by CPUs
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Servers 2004ASP vs. Shipments
$-
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
Shipments #K
ASP
($)
RLXSun
Dell
FJ/FS
Others
HP
IBM
IBM
Blades – Market Leaders 2004
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Blade Servers: Vendor Positioning Index(As of Sep.2004 - See IMEX Blade Servers Report 2005 for new data)
Stra
tegy
(Pot
entia
l)
Delivery (Success)
IBM
3UP
HP
DellTatung
NexcomIntel
RLX
Fujitsu Siemens
Supermicro
NEC
Sun Egenera
©20
03-0
5 IM
EX
Res
earc
h
Rackable SysVerari
Linux Networx Appro
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Future Supply Chain – Blade Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Go-to-market: Channels of Distribution
Industry Structure
Channels of Distribution
Lg. SysIntegrator
VARS
Sml SI/VAR
Distributor
OEM
VADS
F1000&
Large
Sml
Med
Vertical Markets
Fina
nce
Man
ufac
turin
g
Telecom
Insu
ranc
e
Gov
t.
ISPs
Medical
Manufacturers
Com
pone
nts
-Chi
ps &
Boa
rds
...
HA
+ N
twk
+ Sy
stem
Mgm
t SW
Hubs
NICs
Switches
Routers
Servers
Clusters
SANs
Dis
k &
Tap
e D
rives
& H
ost B
us A
dapt
ers
RAID
VIA IPC
Contllrs
LANs
WANsInternet
Backbone
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Enclosure Blade Blade Blade Enclosure Blade Blade Blade Enclosure Blade Blade Blade BladeU 6 -- -- -- 6 -- -- -- 6 -- -- -- --GHz -- 0.7 0.8 0.9 -- 1.4 2.8 3.06 -- 1.5 2 2 2.8RAM -- 512 512 512 -- 512 512 512 -- 512 512 1,000 1,000Source LACC LACC LACC BestOptions ProVantage BestOptions BestOptions Advanced ProVantage TheNerds TheNerds TheNerds HPCost 2,499 785 895 895 2,233 950 2,200 2,235 2,233 5,270 6,019 11,884 15,498Price Erosion
Compaq BL10 Compaq BL20 Compaq BL40
N/A
IBM JS20Enclosure Blade Blade Blade Blade Blade Blade
U 7 -- -- -- -- -- --GHz -- 3.06 2 2.6 2.8 2.4 3.2RAM -- 512 512 512 512 512 512Source BestOptions TheNerds BestOptions Infinity Micro BestOptions BestOptions CDWCost 1,224 2,704 670 1,807 954 783 2,600Price Erosion
N/A
IBM HS20Blade Blade Blade Blade
U -- -- -- --GHz 0.65 0.65 1.53 1.53RAM 1000 2,000 1000 2,000Source CDW CDW CDW CDWCost 1,795 2,795 2,095 2,795Price Erosion
Sun Fire B100s Sun Fire B100x
Price Erosion – Blade Servers
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
iSCSI on roadmap of storage vendorsC
OS
T
SERVICE LEVEL
High EndHigh End FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier NAS & iSCSINAS & iSCSI
MidMid--TierTier FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
EntryEntry FC & iSCSIFC & iSCSI
SAN(Fibre
Channel)NAS
(IP)iSCSI
(IP)
•iSCSI delivers low-cost Networked Storage–Higher availability,Increased usage
–Centralized management,Storage functionality
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Enterprise Market is cost conscious
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
SATA
P_SCSI
FC
SAS
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
InfiniBand rears up its head
• Low Cost IB 10G Silicon & Adapters
–– Very Low Cost 10G Host AdaptersVery Low Cost 10G Host Adapters•• Host Channel Adapter ~ $69 in volumeHost Channel Adapter ~ $69 in volume•• Switch Switch SiSi at less than $30 a port in volumeat less than $30 a port in volume
• Compelling price/performance • InfiniBand vs. 10GE Advantages in
the Short Term–– 15X 15X –– 20X price advantage 20X price advantage vsvs 10GE10GE–– 3X 3X –– 10X latency advantage10X latency advantage–– 10X 10X –– 20X CPU utilization advantage20X CPU utilization advantage–– 3X3X--5X throughput advantage5X throughput advantage
• Adoption by most majors• Products
–– InfiniBand to IPInfiniBand to IP–– InfiniBand to FCInfiniBand to FC–– Advanced ManagementAdvanced Management
*
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
The iSCSI SAN
To Other LANs,Servers or IP SANs
Ethernet Header CRCIP TCP DATA
Client requests data from App Server
Ethernet CRCHeader IP
TCP iSCSI SCSI DATA
iSCSI-equipped App Server (“initiator”) requests data from an iSCSI storage (“target”)
Storage Arrays(iSCSI Target)
Application & DB Servers
(iSCSI Initiator)
Client Workstations
SAN GigE
Switches
LANEthernet Switches
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
TCP + iSCSI Offload Engines
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device DriverVolume Manager
File System
Typical 1GbE NIC
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device Driver
Volume ManagerFile System
EthernetIP
TCPiSCSI
SCSI Device DriverVolume Manager
File System
Hos
tSW
Ada
pter
Host CPU
HBA Hardware
HBA Firmware
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IP SAN Management
Host Services Integration StorageProvisioning
Value-add IP SAN Features
Appliance Service Layer
File system monitoring
IP SAN ManagementManagement
ConsoleManagement of
iSCSI HBAsMultiPath IO Supp
and FailoverSecurity
(iSNS, CHAP, SRP)
Virtualization Mirroring Snapshot Fail-Over
iSCSI Target ManagementLVM, Error Handling, SCSI Daemon, API SDK
HW Acceleration: TOE, iSCSI Offload, IPsecWeb
bas
ed G
UI
RA
ID
Storage provisioning Win, LINUX, Solaris
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Application-Driven Storage Virtualization
Moving from storage associated with
servers...
ApplicationApplicationApplication
...to storage associated with processes
Allows applications to move storage from the pool, wherever they are
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
New Initiator Model: Processes Driven
HBAInitiator
Target
Old model New model
ApplicationApplicationApplication
Initiator Initiator Initiator
Processes are the initiatorsHardware is the initiator
Allows applications to move storage
wherever they are - storage no longer
cares where they are
ID
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
• System Files• OLTP- Banking- Retail- Securities- Airlines ...
Scientific ComputingScientific Computing
ImagingImagingVideoVideo
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms)
• Medical Imaging• PrePress• CAD/CAM• Geo InfoSystems• Geophysical mapping• Oil/Gas Exploration• Satellite Telemetry...
• OLAP• Data Warehousing• Data Mining
• Numeric IntensiveComputing
• StatisticalModeling
• Chemicals/Fluid DynamicSimulations • Scientific Visualization
• Film/Video• Video Editing• Animation• VOD
IOPs(latency)
IntranetIntranet
(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
Data Data WarehousingWarehousing
(RAID - 0, 3)
500100MB/sec101 505
1K
10 K
100
10
1
• ElectronicCommerce
• Data Bases
• Email • Hits/day
Internets
Visual DBVisual DB• Object RDBMS• Visual Data Marts
Transaction Transaction ProcessingProcessing
Market Segments by Applications
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Business Processing
Collaborative
Syst Infrastructure
Web Infrastructure
Decision Support
Numeric Intensive Computing
SW/Applic Development
WindowsLinux
Other O/SUnix
$-
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000W
W R
even
ues
$M
Servers Market by Application & OS - 2002
Server Market by Application & OS
WW
Rev
enue
s $B
WW
Rev
enue
s $B
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Corporate Data Usage
Nea
rline
Stor
age
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Disk Storage Systems Market
DAS: -10%0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Rev
$M
SAN
DAS
NAS
SAN: 13%
NAS: 15%
cagr
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Industry Std. Blocks for Open System Platform
SATANVRAM
FC Target
I/O Adapters Midplane3U Chassis
Baseboard
CPU
CPU BMC
HDD Carriers
(16)
Integrated Dual GbE6 High-BW PCI-X Slots
To 12GB DIMM
Dual Xeon™/Opteron™ Processor-Capable Platform
Management
SATA
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Tiered Storage by Price/Performance
ServersMidline Storage
Mainstream NAS/SAN
Large Enterprise SAN & NAS
Desktop PCEntry NAS
Workstations
Source:Maxtor
Drive Interface
Drive Types
FC Drive
FC RAID
SATA Drive
PC Chipset
5400 RPM7200 RPM
SATA
SAS HBA/RAID
SASSAS
SAS Drive
10K RPM15K RPM
SAS HBA
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
Enterprise Market – HDD FF Transitions
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
3.5" 10K3.5" 15K2.5" 10K2.5" 15K
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
• System Files• OLTP- Banking- Retail- Securities- Airlines ...
Scientific ComputingScientific Computing
ImagingImagingVideoVideo
*IOs per sesond for a required response time ( ms)
• Medical Imaging• PrePress• CAD/CAM• Geo InfoSystems• Geophysical mapping• Oil/Gas Exploration• Satellite Telemetry...
• OLAP• Data Warehousing• Data Mining
• Numeric IntensiveComputing
• StatisticalModeling
• Chemicals/Fluid DynamicSimulations • Scientific Visualization
• Film/Video• Video Editing• Animation• VOD
IOPs(latency)
IntranetIntranet
(RAID - 1, 5, 6)
Data Data WarehousingWarehousing
(RAID - 0, 3)
500100MB/sec101 505
1K
10 K
100
10
1
• ElectronicCommerce
• Data Bases
• Email • Hits/day
Internets
Visual DBVisual DB• Object RDBMS• Visual Data Marts
Transaction Transaction ProcessingProcessing
Market Segments by Applications
IMEX©2000-2005 IMEX Research All rights Reserved
IMEXRESEARCH.COM
Next Generation
Anil Vasudeva Principal Analyst & President anil@imexresearch.com408-268-0800
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