performance analysis - 馬會知多少 -...
Post on 27-Mar-2018
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Chairman’s Sprint Prize (Group 1) 4th Leg of the Global Sprint Challenge
Final Leg of the Hong Kong Speed SeriesHK$14 million (US$ 1.805 million)
1st HK$7,980,000, 2nd HK$3,080,000, 3rd HK$1,400,000, 4th HK$798,000, 5th HK$462,000, 6th HK$280,000
Performance Analysis
Horse Details Horse StatisticsProbable Jockey Trainer
Name Rep Age/Sex Wt. Int’l
Rtg Lifetime G1 Good Wet RH 1000-1200 Trk/Dist
Aerovelocity HK 8g 126 120 25 (12-4-3) 5 (4-0-0) 25 (12-4-3) 0 (0-0-0) 21 (9-4-3) 21 (11-2-3) 18 (9-2-3) Z Purton P O'Sullivan
Mr Stunning HK 4g 126 120 10 (7-1-1) 0 (0-0-0) 10 (7-1-1) 0 (0-0-0) 8 (5-1-1) 10 (7-1-1) 7 (4-1-1) J Moreira J Size
Lucky Bubbles HK 5g 126 119 18 (7-6-1) 2 (0-2-0) 16 (6-6-1) 2 (1-0-0) 17 (7-6-1) 16 (7-6-0) 13 (6-6-0) H Bowman K W Lui
Peniaphobia HK 6g 126 119 35 (12-7-8) 6 (1-2-2) 33 (11-6-8) 2 (1-1-0) 19 (6-3-5) 35 (12-7-8) 17 (5-3-4) N Callan A S Cruz
Amazing Kids HK 5g 126 118 21 (7-6-2) 3 (0-0-0) 19 (6-6-2) 2 (1-0-0) 16 (4-5-2) 17 (7-5-0) 12 (4-4-0) B Prebble J Size
Not Listenin'Tome HK 6g 126 118 32 (8-5-5) 8 (0-2-1) 29 (6-5-5) 2 (2-0-0) 14 (2-1-3) 30 (8-4-5) 12 (2-0-3) T Berry J Moore
Blizzard HK 5g 126 115 24 (8-3-5) 1 (0-0-0) 24 (8-3-5) 0 (0-0-0) 23 (7-3-5) 13 (5-2-2) 12 (4-2-2) D Lane P F Yiu
Sun Jewellery HK 5g 126 114 21 (9-2-1) 3 (0-0-0) 18 (9-1-1) 3 (0-1-0) 17 (7-1-1) 6 (3-1-0) 2 (1-0-0) K Teetan J Size
Thewizardofoz HK 5g 126 112 11 (5-1-2) 1 (0-0-0) 10 (4-1-2) 1 (1-0-0) 11 (5-1-2) 6 (3-0-1) 6 (3-0-1) C Schofield J Size
Strathmore HK 5g 126 111 22 (5-5-4) 3 (0-0-1) 21 (5-4-4) 1 (0-1-0) 20 (4-4-4) 20 (5-5-3) 18 (4-4-3) K C Leung A T Millard
Dundonnell HK 7g 126 110 44 (6-6-9) 7 (0-0-0) 39 (6-5-6) 1 (0-0-1) 33 (3-4-5) 15 (1-1-3) 10 (1-0-0) C Y Ho C Fownes
Dashing Fellow HK 5g 126 107 32 (7-5-5) 0 (0-0-0) 31 (6-5-5) 1 (1-0-0) 32 (7-5-5) 7 (0-1-2) 7 (0-1-2) S Clipperton J Moore
Limitless HK 4g 126 105 9 (4-0-2) 0 (0-0-0) 5 (2-0-1) 3 (2-0-0) 6 (2-0-1) 0 (0-0-0) 0 (0-0-0) – L Ho
International Ratings Chart Speed Chart
Name International Rating
Aerovelocity 120
Mr Stunning 120
Lucky Bubbles 119
Peniaphobia 119
Amazing Kids 118
Not Listenin'Tome 118
Blizzard 115
Sun Jewellery 114
Thewizardofoz 112
Strathmore 111
Dundonnell 110
Dashing Fellow 107
Limitless 105
Average performance rating of 5 most recent winners = 118.
The Sha Tin 1200m circuit is very speed centric, with a strong historical bias toward horses in forward positions. PENIAPHOBIA is a clear and likely leader, and won the 2015 HK Sprint after crossing from the outside barrier. The likelihood of horses winning from further back in the field will be directly related to the strength of the speed up front, i.e., the pressure that is brought to bear on the leader. Having said that, last year’s winner, the Australian champion CHAUTAUQUA, came from last at the 800m, where he was 9 lengths off the lead. Barriers are critical to properly mapping these races.(Full Speed Map at www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/formguide.asp)
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