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Semiconductor Industry Semiconductor Industry and Itand It’’s R&D s R&D
–– Growth and TransformationGrowth and Transformation--
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Dr.Katsuhiro ShimohigashiPresident and CEO
Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center(STARC)
STARC is a consortium on Design Technologies in Japan, supported by eleven major Japanese semiconductor companies.
・ Industry Dynamics
・ Competition and Cooperation
・ Consortium
OUTLINE
Semiconductor R&D Transformation
Survival of the Fittest
Semiconductor R&D Direction in the 21st century
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
・ An Age of Human Interface
・ Industry Dynamics
・ Competition and Cooperation
・ Consortium
OUTLINE
Semiconductor R&D Transformation
Survival of the Fittest
Semiconductor R&D Direction in the 21st century
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
・ An Age of Human Interface
Transformation of Semiconductor R&D
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Dr. Katsuhiro ShimohigashiGeneral Manager
Semiconductor Technology Development DivisionSemiconductor & Integrated Circuits
Hitachi,Ltd.STANFORD University 1999
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
1950
ULSIS
VLSIS
LSIS
ICS
Mar
ket S
ize
Ge discretes
Si discretes
Transistor radios
Transistor TVs
Consumer
Calculators
Personal PCs
Notebook PCs
Computer
Communication
Cordless Phones
PDAs
CCC MarketConvergence
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
The History
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985
STEE
L PR
OD
UC
TIO
N (M
t/Yea
r)
〔60〕 〔70〕 〔80〕 〔90〕 〔00〕YEAR FOR SEMICONDUCTOR
U.S.
JAPANCHINA
KOREA
SEMICONDUCTOR
Semiconductor Market Comparedto Steel Production
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
‘70 ‘80 ‘90 ‘0010B$ 40B$ 150B$
Infra-Structure
Market
Application
ASP($)
Business Style
R&D
Develop
Scarce
Mainframe
106~105
IDM
CRL
(Equipment)
Grow
Develop
PC
104~103
IDM
CRL CRL
Mega Competition
Grow Mega Competition
Oligopoly
~103 ~102
WirelessCommunication Digital Consumer
IDM,Fabless,Foundry
?To be discussed today!Government-University-Industry
Partnership
Semiconductor Industry Trend
1. Process Technology Commoditization● Pre-competitive
● NGL(Worldwide Cooperation)
2. Post Optical Lithography
3. Low Cost Manufacturing
R&D Direction Technology -Process and Device
(Cooperation)
● New Materials
● Phase-Shift,OPC
●Large Diameter Wafer (Worldwide Cooperation)
● Differentiation
/Infrastructure
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
4. Technology Maturity ●Acceleration of Miniaturization●Multi-Value Storage and Logic●Module Level Integration
5. Nanometer Processing(Oxide Thickness<3nm,Now!)
●Optoelectronics
●Atomic Layer Manipulation●Selective Growth
6. Invisible Defects
7. Wiring Material Limit (Cu)
●Molecular / Atomic LevelPhysics and Chemistry
→ Cooperation, Back To The Science
R&D Direction-Continued
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Trend of Semiconductor Market (WW)
0.1
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
YEAR
B$
Electronics
Semiconductors
Equipments
GDP
VLSI ResearchSNCC Ⅱ
Semiconductor Company Profit Trend
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Year
Profit(%)
Worldwide
Japan
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Turning Point of Semiconductor Industry (1995)
New Technologies and Products Time To Market
Business EfficiencyHigh-Cost Corporate Culture
Cancellation
Expenditure Expenditure
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Measures to Reconcile Together ?(STRJ WS: March 3, 2003)
AA BB CC
AA BB CC
Perf
orm
ance
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
(STRJ WS: March 3, 2003)
Futu
reConsortium As a Leverage
ConsortiumIndustry
-University Cooperation
Past
Perf
orm
ance
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Long RangeLong Range
StandardizationStandardization
AllianceAlliance
Core CompetenceCore Competence
University &Government
Consortium
Consortium
External
Internal
Pre-CompetitivePre-Competitive
R&DR&DInfrastructureInfrastructure
CompetitiveCompetitive
Transformation of Semiconductor R&D
STARC
STARC, Company Overview
Name: STARC,Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center
Head Office: 17-2, Shin-Yokohama 3-chome, Kohoku-ku, Yokohama 222-0033 Japan
Chairman: Toshio Nakajima, President and CEO,NEC electronics Corporation
President and CEO: Katsuhiro ShimohigashiCapital: JPY 440 million (~USD 4 million)Established: December 28,1995Shareholders: Fujitsu Limited
Matsushita Electric Industrial Co.Ltd.NEC Electronics CorporationOki Electric Industry Co.Ltd.Renesas Technology CorporationRohm Co.Ltd.Sanyo Semiconductor Co.Ltd.Seiko Epson Corporation Sharp CorporationSony CorporationToshiba Corporation
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
STARC, Bridge between Industry and Academia
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Companies
STARC
Universities
Technologies for improving design productivity
Design Asset Re-use /IP reuse etc.
Education of SoC design engineers
Technologies to increase added value of SoC Educational support for
researchers
Technology TransferPromotion
Joint Research/Contract Research
Educational support for SoC design courses
Development of SoC technology platform
R&D Joint Research
・ Industry Dynamics
・ Competition and Cooperation
・ Consortium
OUTLINE
Semiconductor R&D Transformation
Survival of the Fittest
Semiconductor R&D Direction in the 21st century
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
・ An Age of Human Interface
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Memory Density Reaches Giga-Bit
Letter(A4) 1page1K1K
1M1M
19701970 19801980 19901990
1K4K
16K
64K256K
1M4M
16M64M
Density Density (Bit)(Bit)
Newspaper 4pages
Dictionary
DICTIONARY
20002000
1G1G 256M1G
1010
1.01.0
0.10.1
Geometry Geometry (μμm)m)
CD(70Min. HiFirecording)
GeometryGeometry
DensityDensity
YearYear
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
1980 1985 1990 1995 20001975
1000
100
10
1
[MIPS]
SPARC
8bit 32 bit16bit4bit RISC
CISC
0.1
PowerPC
PentiumStrongARM
ARM6
UltraSPARCAlpha
68000
68020i80386
i4004 i8008i8086
i486
68040
6800
SH-1SH-2
SH-3
SH-4
PentiumProAlpha
New Generation RISC
Processor Performance Reaches GIPS
Year
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Frequency Reaches Giga-Herz in Mixed Signal LSI
1994 1996 1998 2000
[MHz]
1000
100
10
Ana
log
Sign
al F
requ
ency
A
nalo
g Si
gnal
Fre
quen
cy
Video Video Sig. Proc.Sig. Proc.
PRML 90Mbps
PRML 130Mbps
PRML 200Mbps
GSM 900MHz
PCN 1.9GHz
GSM RF Transceiver IC(0.6µ Bi-CMOS)
PRML Read Channel LSI(200Mbps 0.35µ CMOS)
PRML 320Mbps
Mobile Phone
HDD Read Channel
Year
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Mega Trends
Down Sizing
1980 1990 2000
Sub-note PCPC/ApplePC/IBM Lap Top PC
Notebook PC
EWS Digital Cellular
DVB Electronic Money
H/PC
MONDEX900000 0000010985
PDA
Portability NomadicMultimedia Network
Down Sizing
Nomadic
Year
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
MULTIMEDIAMULTIMEDIA
Future Look at Multimedia
Translation
Recognition
DigitalizationMachine
Translator
OCR
Nomadic Assistant
Automatic Tour Guide
Digital CameraSafety Car
IMAGEIMAGE
VOICEVOICECHARACTERCHARACTER
Navigation
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Processor Performance for Real Time Voice Processing
Processor Performance (MIPS)Processor Performance (MIPS)
Voc
abul
ary
(Wor
ds)
Voc
abul
ary
(Wor
ds)
100K
10K
1K
100
50 100 1000 10000
CarCarNavigaNaviga--
tiontion
DictationDictation
ControlledSentence
IsolatedWord
FreeConversation
TranslatorTranslator
SH5SH4
Speaker IndependentSpeaker Independent
TicketTicketReservaReserva--
tiontion
SH3
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
TrendTrendTrend
10100 1000
Controlled Sentence Speech Translation
CPU (MIPS)CPU (MIPS)
10
1000
1
Mem
ory(
RO
MM
emor
y(R
OM
) Siz
e (M
B)
) Siz
e (M
B)
0.1
100
ControlledSentence
Translation
Rule based MT1,000 words500sentences
E-to-J & J-to-E Dictionary(50,000 words x 2)
E-to-J Dictionary(50,000 words)
Rule based MT10,000 words500sentences
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
RAMRAM
ROMROMSH3SH3
ADCADC
inputinputoutputoutput
ControllerController
・・SH3(60MHz)SH3(60MHz)・・samplingsampling
11/12/16kHz11/12/16kHz・・responseresponse
around around 0.6sec0.6sec・・memory sizememory sizeSRSR
ROM 256kBROM 256kBRAM 500kBRAM 500kB
TTSTTSROM 1.5MBROM 1.5MBRAM 500kBRAM 500kB
specspec
An Example of Speech Translation System (Controlled Sentence,1999)
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Free Speech Translation
TrendTrendTrend
CPU (MIPS)CPU (MIPS)10 100 1000
10
1000
1
Mem
ory(
RO
MM
emor
y(R
OM
) Siz
e (
) Siz
e ( M
Byt
eM
Byt
e ))
0.1
100
Free ConversationSpeech Translation
E-to-J & J-to-E Dictionary(50,000 words x 2)
Rule based MT(10,000 words)
Rule based MT1,000 words
500sentences
E-to-J Dictionary(50,000 words)
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Normadic Language Assistance- ULSIs will make this happen! -
100MB
Recognition Section(Successive word sound recognition)
Learning Learning
Key Word Key Word Key Word
Time for the sound translation is within
3 seconds
Key Word Analysis
MediumLanguage Processing
SentenceFormation
SoundSynthesis D/A Speaker
SH4X3 (1000MIPS)SH4X3 (1000MIPS)
Key word
Dictionaryfor
Sentence
Dictionary Dictionary
for Sentence
DSP(2000MOPS)DSP(2000MOPS) SH4X3 (1000MIPS)SH4X3 (1000MIPS)
Grammar Dictionary
Dictionary for
Word
SoundDictionary
Translation Section
A/DMike Mike Mike Sentence Analysis
Sound Collating
(probability )
Section Detection
Sound Analysis
Noise Deletion
Large-Scale Sound DB
Sound Analysis
Model Learning
Sound Model
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Japanese Language Translation Challenges
Both Polite and Normal Expressions● 「行く」/Normal, 「行きます」/Polite=“ I will go.”
Same Expression, But Multiple Meanings● 「すみません」=“ I’m sorry/Excuse me/I see.”
No Articles, No Expressions for The Singular and The Plural
No Entries of Conversational/Colloquial Expressions in Dictionary● 「ね」「よ」「な」etc=A sosrt of “is it? / isn’t it?” at the last part of
the sentence
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Challenging Language Barrier
VoiceRecognition
I Loveyou
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
Semiconductor R&D Direction- An Age of Human Interface-
1. Giga-era has been coming in the semiconductorindustry; Gb memories,GIPS microprocessors, GHz ASICs,
2. I have shown that these massive performance increase would best be suited to improve man-machine interface by using multimedia processing,
3. Examples of multimedia processing have been shownwith a special emphasis placed on voice recognition andtranslation,
4. With the advent of portable language translator, I hopethat the 21st century will be known
as “ True Communication Age”.
・ Industry Dynamics
・ Competition and Cooperation
・ Consortium
OUTLINE
Semiconductor R&D Transformation
Survival of the Fittest
Semiconductor R&D Direction in the 21st century
Copyright © Semiconductor Technology Academic Research Center, 2007, All rights reserved.
October.23.2007 早稲田大学創立125周年記念シンポジウム 「半導体・ナノエレクトロニクス-技術立国日本のこれから-」
・ An Age of Human Interface
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