REGRESION 2Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresinCoeficiente de correlacin mltiple0.8841391259XLA RELACION ENTRE LAS VARIABLES Coeficiente de determinacin R^20.781701993978 % DE LOS FACTORES INFLUYEN EN LOS VALORES DE LA VENTA DE VEHICULOSXR^2 ajustado0.7271274924Error tpico190.5240756386RANGO DE PREDICCIONXMENOR ERRO TIPICO MEJORObservaciones31ANLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadradosFValor crtico de FRegresin63119625.19328846519937.53221474314.32357551560.0000006797EXIISTE 6.8 POR 10 A LAS -7 MILLONES DE QUE TODAS LAS VARIALBLES INDEPENDIENTES SEAN INNECESARIASResiduos24871186.16155025136299.4233979271XTotal303990811.35483871

CoeficientesError tpicoEstadstico tProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%Superior 95.0%Intercepcin3154.7002851581462.65309223736.81871652450.00000047212199.83123355694109.56933675942199.83123355694109.5693367594Q1156.833091021498.87110702891.58623783770.1257745212-47.2268445622360.893026605-47.2268445622360.893026605Q2379.783511622396.08921513693.95240517970.0005941965181.4651187133578.1019045313181.4651187133578.1019045313Q3203.03550103295.40891864162.12805578270.0438006266.1211710812399.94983098286.1211710812399.9498309828LagGNP0.17415690570.058422.98111786520.00649020090.05358395170.29472985970.05358395170.2947298597LagUnemp-93.832332135828.3232871591-3.31290402870.0029184874-152.2887237639-35.3759405077-152.2887237639-35.3759405077LagInt-73.916714698217.7885157306-4.15530535640.0003556221-110.630406728-37.2030226683-110.630406728-37.2030226683XXQ1,Q2,Q3VARIABLEAnlisis de los residualesGNO,UNENEP.LAGLNTDATOSIMPORTANTES

ObservacinPronstico SalesResiduos12728.588616368181.41138363222587.8486058679-25.8486058679NO SE CONSIDERA EL CUARTO PERIODO POR QUE CON LOS OTROS TRES SON CEROS ESO ME INDICA QUE YA ESTA LA VARIALBE 4 32336.034563243348.965436756742339.328280718180.67171928252447.2663429223-305.266342922362400.1189768659-270.118976865972199.7408001058-9.740800105882076.3832659477293.616734052392276.9474218901-68.9474218901102026.1856211269169.8143788731111848.7311911871-90.7311911871122138.3943352201-194.3943352201132212.2984563336-118.2984563336142014.2165964174-103.2165964174151969.394331590461.6056684096162166.6405442795-120.6405442795172440.632300597161.3676994029182290.3524027221-52.3524027221192131.3869785803262.6130214197202433.6811729017152.3188270983212739.0945167248158.9054832752222586.8776531936-138.8776531936232362.035445607397.9645543927242667.9944088465-21.9944088465252937.601377427450.3986225726262838.1748925683128.8251074317272713.0792178096-274.0792178095282887.5779920866-289.5779920866293004.570967736840.4290322632302921.2252512379291.7747487621312781.5974718761-96.5974718761

Data

Historical dataYearQuarterSalesGNPUnempIntQ1Q2Q3LagGNPLagUnempLagInt791Sales25415.99.4Q1Q2Q3LagGNPLagUnempLagInt2291026405.79.401025415.99.4793256225955.99.700126405.79.479423852701611.900025955.99.7801252027856.213.41002701611.9802214225097.39.601027856.213.4803213025707.79.200125097.39.6804219026677.413.600025707.79.2811237028787.414.410026677.413.6812220828357.415.301028787.414.4813219628977.415.100128357.415.3814175827448.311.800028977.415.1821194425828.812.810027448.311.8822209426139.412.401025828.812.882319112529109.300126139.412.48242031254410.77.90002529109.38312046263310.47.8100254410.77.98322502287810.18.4010263310.47.8833223830519.49.1001287810.18.4834239432748.58.800030519.49.1841258635947.99.210032748.58.8842289837747.59.801035947.99.2843244838617.510.300137747.59.8844246039197.28.800038617.510.3851264640407.48.210039197.28.8852298841337.37.501040407.48.2853296743037.17.100141337.37.58542439439377.200043037.17.1861259845607.18.9100439377.2862304545877.17.701045607.18.9863321347166.97.400145877.17.7864268547966.87.400047166.97.4