· ©b-life21, 2008. all rights reserved. Ä[ #q£ ¾½#jyy$Ó¬2 .( _\ mß g2¹ /· d#hÞÝ 3 {...

$: · ©B-LIFE21, 2008. All rights reserved. Ä[ #Q£ ¾½#JyY$Ó¬2 .( _\ Mß g2¹ /· D#HÞÝ 3 { É / #¨o* g_Ù" w 46=8# o* a$
©B-LIFE21, 2008. All rights reserved.

http://www.zeroemission.co.jp/B-LIFE/

1

21 2008

2 2008.10.8

1 4

62

20

20

10 20



2

40 3

3

1,200

10

10

2 Point of No Return

Point of No Return CHEMISTRY

Point of No Return

10

2008 10

CO2 3,000t

CO2



3

50

CO2

IPCC 4 IPCC/AR4

2004

CO2 490 t 12 4,000

5,000 t 1

1 870t 870t CO2

1 2.4 100

490 t 1997



4

1990 182 t 5.2 2012

182 t 5.2

9 4,800 t

490 t 490 t 9

4,800 t

490 t 9 4,800 t

6

1990 6 8

100

6

8

1 1kg

1990

490 t 9 4,800 t



5

2050

CO2

1

IPCC

170

2,000 IPCC

170

IPCC 4



6

IPCC 1,000

1,000 1,000 80

CO2

Fred Singer

Alarmist

21

5 60

James Lovelock

NASA

James Hansen

21 5m

170

2007 9

1 50

10 20



7

50

IPCC 4

50

National Academy of Sciences. NAS

The Royal Society of London

IPCC

170

IT



8

NGO

20

CO2



9

50

IPCC

A B C C

Q A

Finger Print

IPCC 4



10

business as

usual

21

1.1

6.4

6.4

59cm

1990 1

2 3 4

1 4 17

3,000

2 2

10 20 20 30 2050

100 2

0.74



11

IPCC

2005 6

11

2004 2 18

1 4,842 52

400

CO2

2007 2 13

CO2

CO2

4 3 CO2

2003

1300

42



12

CO2

Milankovitch cycle

CO2

CO2

1000

CO2

IPCC 3

1000 CO2

2006 6

1100

1000 500

IPCC

1300



13

CO2

CO2

CO2

10 1.9ppm

ppm 100 1

5,282 t CO2

1ppm 100 1 80 t 1ppm

80 t 1.9ppm 80 1.9 152

t 1 CO2 152 t

1 152

t CO2

9 4,800 t 152

t CO2

CO2 IPCC CO2 379ppm

CO2 455ppm

375ppm

CO2

CO2

CO2 120 t

CO2 100 3 1 1000

5 1

CO2



14

20 1000

1000

CO2

CO2

1 10.6t 24t 5t

1

1



15

50 100

100

2

2 2

1996 EU

1.5 2

2005

100 0.6



16

100 10

0.6

50

100

50

50

62 112

CO2

2

CO2

CO2 2

CO2 550ppm

2

10

2015 CO2 400ppm

2ppm 2005 380ppm 2ppm 2010

400ppm 2 57

8 10 2015 2 8 57

2

2

0.5

1

1990 60 75



17

80

20

1.5

90m 2005

2003 3 5,000

2003 2040

2060 2003

2060

The Day after

Tomorrow

IPCC

2005

1 4 km2

2005 60

km2

1 38m

1,500 t 2,000 t



18

20 2030 60

5

1

9

2005 2006



19

IPCC 21

IPCC 30

Maslowsky

2013 2013

5 12 BBC

7 2005

2

452 km2

9 12 1

5 10

40 5

Timothy Lenton Hans Joachim Schellnhuber



20

10 15

300

4

5 2050 3

5

5 40

5 5

5

9

68

5m



21

3 2

0.3 0.5 320ppm

CO2

2 450ppm

2050 50 50

60 80

IEA

20

20

2 450ppm CO2 CCS

460 235 2

2 10 20

4 130

130 20



22

2050 4,800 4,800 4,800

2,000 4,800

40

GDP 1

GDP 5,000 50

2050 2000 IEA 4,800

50 2007

60-80

80 60

60-80

6

2050

60-80 80 30

6 9

60-80

10 10 20 40

10

G8

10 320

10 t 30

5



23

5 1.5tCO2

100 1990

60

300 13

1,400 5 10

CO2 2030

1,500

724

12 11-13 6 700

3 16 4,000



24

Point of No Return

2008

Greenhouse Gas

2



25

7

2

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