baltijos šalių verslo apžvalgos pristatymas „baltic business outlook“, 2014
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Iš trijų Baltijos šalių Estijos mažos ir vidutinės įmonės šių metų verslo perspektyvas vertina optimistiškiausiai — čia kas ketvirtas verslininkas (25 proc.) tikisi didesnio negu 15 proc. apyvartos didėjimo. Lietuvos įmonės augimo galimybes vertina kiek nuosaikiau — tokio spartaus apyvartos didėjimo tikisi 19 proc. įmonių. Daugiau informacijos skaitykite www.seb.lt naujienų skiltyje https://www.seb.lt/naujienos/2014-01-29/seb-baltijos-saliu-optimistiskiausiai-nusiteikusios-estijos-pesimistiskiausiai?field_news_category_tid[0]=372&field_news_category_tid[1]=373TRANSCRIPT
29.01.2014.Baltic Business Outlook
January 2014
Estonia
Ēerika Vaikmäe-Koit, Member of the BoardRuta Arumäe, Expert on macroeconomics
Latvia
Ieva Tetere, Member of the BoardDainis Gašpuitis, Expert on macroeconomics
Lithuania
Virginijus Doveika, Member of the BoardGitanas Nauseda, Expert on macroeconomics
Widest SME survey throughout the BalticsSept-Oct 2013
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
SEB visited companies in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania
In total 4373 advisory meetings were held
In total 3680 survey respondents
Survey about upcoming business year in five areas:
turnover growth
export markets
employees numbers
investments
innovations
2
Turnover growth expected this year…
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
ESTONIA
LATVIA
LITHUANIA
13%
19%
25%
74%
69%
67%
13%
11%
8%
Optimistsover 15% growth
Moderate optimistsFrom 0-10% growth
PessimistsDecrease
3
Arrow shows a comparison with 2012
Companies are more cautious about their export development compared to 2012
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
ESTONIA
LATVIA
LITHUANIA
13%
13%
15%
14%
17%
16%
74%
69%
69%
Expand into new export markets
Expand in current export markets
Focused on domestic market
4
Arrow shows a comparison with 2012
Companies planning rapid growth in their turnover intend to recruit more
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
ESTONIA
LATVIA
LITHUANIA
14%
75%
HigherPlan to recruit more people
SameKeep the number of employees unchanged
LowerPlan to decrease the number of employees
5
Arrow shows a comparison with 2012
27% 69%
22%
83%
3%
3%
3%
Only 3-5 companies out of 10 are open to innovations and organisational developments
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
ESTONIA
LITHUANIA
Product / service
Business model
Employees
27%
4%
16%
Product / service
Business model
Employees
26%
3%
8%
Product / service
Business model
Employees
26%
2%
4%
LATVIA
6
Arrow shows a comparison with 2012
Turnover growth expectations are related to investment projects and higher competitiveness
2014-01-29 | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014
Investment projects above 30 000 euros
Investments below 30 000 euros
No investment plans
41%
20%
17%
27%
10%
31%
22%
12%
35%
LATVIA
ESTONIA
LITHUANIA
7
Investment projects above 30 000 euros
Investments below 30 000 euros
No investment plans
Investment projects above 30 000 euros
Investments below 30 000 euros
No investment plans
Arrow shows a comparison with 2012
Conclusions
2014-01-29 | | BALTIC BUSINESS OUTLOOK, JANUARY 2014 8
SME’s are cautious about their business activity in 2014.
SME’s mostly count on domestic markets growth.
Export is somewhat less under attention than a year ago.
There will be stability on the job market.
SME’s expect considerable investment activity, but more on small-scale.
Innovation is troublesome factor –half of the companies in Estonia and ¾ in Latvia and Lithuania are not planning to improve their business this year.
For long-term success more attention to innovation is needed.
Thank You!Baltic Business Outlook, January 2014
Estonia
Ēerika Vaikame-Koit, Member of the BoardRuta Arumae, Expert on macroeconomics
Latvia
Ieva Tetere, Member of the BoardDainis Gašpuitis, Expert on macroeconomics
Lithuania
Virginius Doveika, Member of the BoardGitanas Nauseda, Expert on macroeconomics