caucasus barometer 2011
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
Caucasus Barometer
Public Perceptions on Political, Social and Economic issues in South Caucasus Countries
Some findings from the CRRC 2011 data
12 September, 2012 .թYerevan
CRRC [email protected]
www.crrccenters.org
MethodologyAlmost 2,000 people in each South Caucasus countryRepresentative of total adult (18+) populationProportionate representation of demographic and
geographic groupsMulti-stage cluster samplingHousehold selection: Random walk methodRespondent selection: Kish tableFace-to-face interviews in local languages
Content
• Life satisfaction and factors acting upon it • Living standards and migration trends• Attitude towards policy and public institutions • Nagorno Karabagh issue and possible solutions• External world perceptions• Level of happiness
LIFE SATISFACTION AND FACTORS BEHIND
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
5.3
4.9
5.35.1 5.1
5.6
N6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole (1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely sat-
isfied”, average score)
2010 2011
Not satis-fied at all
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Completely satisfied
9
4
9 8
23
10
1411
67
13
7
10
3
30
9 8
11
3
6
14
8 87
35
58 8
2
6
ArmeniaN6. How satisfied are you with your own life as a whole
(1-10, where ‘1’ means “Not satisfied at all” and ‘10’ means “Completely satisfied” (% , by settlement type)
Capital Other Urban Rural
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
30
36
28
41
50
54
29
15
18
N1_1. Whether the following statement describes your feelings. There are many people I can trust completely, 2011 (%)
Describes More or less describes Does not describe
Unemployment
Poverty
Rising prices / Inflation
Corruption
Low wages
Low pensions
Unsolved territorial conflicts
Lack of peace in the country
Political instability in the country
Violation of human rights
Unaffordability of healthcare
44
16
7
6
5
4
4
2
1
1
1
28
11
4
8
4
4
31
1
2
3
55
10
5
1
4
12
2
1
1
4
P5. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment 2011, (% )
Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia
Unemployment
Poverty
Lack of peace in the country
Corruption
Rising prices / Inflation
Territorial integrity
Low wages
Low pensions
Violation of human rights
Unaffordability of healthcare
Low quality of education
Political instability in the country
45
10
9
6
6
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
17
9
2
9
3
53
2
2
1
52
9
4
2
12
3
1
7
1
2
P6. What is the most important issue facing country at the moment, 2010 (%)
Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia
Unemployment
Corruption
Poverty
Peace
Territorial integrity
Unemployment
Poverty
Peace
Corruption
Rising prices / Inflation
Unemployment
Poverty
Rising prices / Inflation
Corruption
Low wages
2009
2010
2011
32
19
12
5
4
45
10
9
6
6
44
16
7
6
5
P5. What do you think is the most important issue facing Armenia at the moment? 2009-2011(%, first five issues)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
3839
30
3839
38
J1. Share of Employed (%)
2010 2011
LIVING STANDARDS AND MIGRATION TRENDS
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
4.0
3.5 3.5
4.24.3
4.13.9
4.2 4.1
C14. On which rung of this ladder do you think your household currently stands? (1-10, 1 -lowest possible economic position in society, 10-highest possible position, average
score, weighted by HH weights)
2009 2010 2011
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
13
125
1
16
32
4
28
32
11
33
2326
15
3
49
2 1
7
2 1 1
C9. Household income last month 2011, (%, weighted by HH weights)
More than USD 1200 USD 801–1200 USD 401–800 USD 251–400 USD 101–250 USD 51–100 Up to USD 50 0
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
7
17
7
51
34 34
J12-J13. Do you currently have any personal …(% of "yes" answers)
Savings Debts
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
57
47
45
64
52
47
60
52
47
D20. If you had a chance, would you leave country for a certain period of time to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)
2011 2010 2009
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
25
16
11
29
17
7
25
20
6
D21. If you had a chance, would you leave country forever to live somewhere else? (% of "yes" answers)
2011 2010 2009
ATTITUDE TOWARDS POLICY AND PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
14
18
32
38
47
44
25
32
34
31
11
17
36
36
14
9
17
20
25
14
21
21
24
18
P1. Which direction your country’s domestic politics are going. (%)
Politics is going in the right direction Politics does not change at allPolitics is going in the wrong direction Don't know
Religious institutions to which you belong
Army
Healthcare system
Educational system
Banks
Ombudsman
European Union
President
United Nations
Police
Executive government
Court system
Media
Local government
Parliament
NGOs
44
33
15
13
12
11
10
10
10
8
6
6
5
5
5
5
31
31
33
33
35
23
26
24
26
21
20
16
28
28
17
18
11
12
20
23
22
24
26
21
26
25
23
23
34
34
25
30
5
9
13
13
10
8
7
15
7
18
18
19
14
14
18
11
6
13
16
13
12
13
11
24
10
22
26
23
15
15
28
14
3
2
1
4
9
22
20
5
21
6
7
13
3
3
6
22
Armenia P4. Trust Toward Institutions, 2011 (%)
Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
4.44.1 4.1
4.54.3 4.34.3
4.04.2
4.3 4.24.14.1
4.44.2
3.6
4.24.1
P4. Level of trust toward Army (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
2.9
4.3
3.5
3.1
4.5
2.9
3.2
4.4
3.53.3
4.4
3.5
2.8
4.4
3.7
2.8
4.4
3.7
P4. Level of trust toward President (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
2.0
3.2
2.8
2.4
3.4
2.52.5
3.3
3.0
2.7
3.4
3.0
2.4
3.3 3.3
2.4
3.33.2
P4. Level of trust toward Parliament (5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”, average score)
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
12
13
24
36
30
30
33
16
10
19
41
36
P15, P16. Paradox of TrustWould you say that the most recent election was conducted …,
2011 (%)Completely fairly To some extent fairly Not at all fairly Don't know
81
62
74
19
36
23
2
2
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Georgia
Did you vote in the last national election?, 2011 (%)Yes No Don't know
Yes No Don't know
63
31
5
4542
13
56
32
13
P8. Do you think or not that people like yourself have the right to openly say what they think?, 2011 (%)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
6
27
89
64
99
D22. Have you or any member of your household been in a situation during the last 12 months when you/they had to pay a bribe in order to get a service or to
obtain preferential treatment or consideration?, 2011 (%)
Yes No
NAGORNO KARABAGH ISSUE AND POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS
It has already been resolved
Within the next year
In 2-5 years In 6-10 years In more than 10 years
Never Don’t know
43
11
7
12
24
38
35
24
12 1210
34
NK2. When do you think the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will be resolved?, 2011(%)
Armenia Azerbaijan
Armenia
Azerbaijan
38
26
24
26
9
22
12
20
17
7
NK4.1. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by peaceful negotiation?, 2011 (%)
Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know
Armenia
Azerbaijan
11
19
10
23
19
28
36
19
23
10
NK4.2. How likely is it to find a solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict within the next 5 years by force?, 2011 (%)
Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country.
Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.
61
58
2
2
4
16
19
4
3
2
15
14
77
78
75
8
9
17
17
18
ArmeniaNK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)
Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as a formal part of Armenia.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh as an independent country.
Create a special administrative region that will be jointly governed by Azerbaijan and Armenia.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan.
Have Nagorno-Karabakh in Azerbaijan without autonomy.
0
8
6
29
4
96
83
85
40
1
3
8
8
8
4
1
1
23
91
AzerbaijanNK5. Various ideas have been proposed for settling the Nagorno Karabakh
conflict. Whether you would ...?, 2011 (%)
Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Don't know
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Azerbaijan
Russ
iaU
SA F
ranc
eTu
rkey
EU
73
51
36
36
50
15
8
87
43
40
10
21
22
32
18
29
8
5
22
28
6
18
26
21
17
41
70
2
16
17
11
10
16
11
16
15
14
6
18
15
NK1. In your opinion, should the following countries or organizations be involved in finding a solution for the Nagorno Karabakh conflict?, 2011 (%)
More involved Less involved Not involved at all Don't know
EXTERNAL WORLD PERCEPTIONS
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
10
13
8
5
12
14
26
23
13
19
30
30
26
28
24
23
25
25
7
8
18
16
6
6
10
9
16
16
5
4
21
19
20
22
22
20
P4_16. Trust toward United Nations (%)2010-2011
Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
10
12
8
5
13
13
27
23
14
17
32
31
26
27
26
25
23
25
7
9
18
17
6
6
11
9
13
15
5
4
20
19
21
21
21
21
P4_15. Trust toward European Union (%)2010-2011
Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust nor distrustSomewhat distrust Fully distrust Don’t know
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
16
14
22
20
38
35
21
23
21
25
29
35
24
26
25
22
15
13
9
9
9
8
3
4
12
12
6
6
5
4
18
16
16
19
11
9
P21. To what extent would you support your country’s membership in NATO? (%)2010-2011
Fully support Rather support Equally support and don’t supportRather not support Don’t support at all Don’t know
Azerbaijanis
Jews
Americans
Greeks
Russians
Turks
Georgians
Kurds, Yezidis
English
32
60
73
69
86
40
66
56
72
64
34
22
27
11
57
30
40
24
ArmeniaN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,
(%)
No Yes
Armenians
Jews
Americans
Greeks
Russians
Turks
Georgians
Kurds, Yezidis
English
99
55
56
48
27
12
41
70
42
39
39
44
71
87
57
24
53
AzerbaijanN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,
(%)
No Yes
Armenians
Jews
Americans
Azerbaijanis
Greeks
Russians
Turks
Kurds, Yezidis
English
70
72
75
73
75
76
66
95
59
24
19
17
20
18
18
28
30
32
GeorgiaN8. Whether you approve or disapprove of people of your ethnicity doing business with…,2011,
(%)
No Yes
Russia
France
Turkey
Don't know
USA
Don't know
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
81
7
90
5
44
25
P23. Which country is currently the biggest friend of your country, 2011 (%)
Azerbaijan
Turkey
Armenia
Russia
Russia
Don't know
Arm
enia
Aze
rbai
jan
Geo
rgia
60
34
94
3
51
34
P24. Which country is currently the biggest enemy of your country, 2011 (%)
LEVEL OF HAPPINESS
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
6.4
5.8
6.66.6
6.1
6.9
N2. How happy would you say you are?(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely
happy”, average score)
2010 2011
More than USD 1200
USD 801-1200 USD 401-800 USD 251-400 USD 101-250 USD 51-100 Up to USD 50 0
7.6
8.1
7.06.7
6.35.8
6.1
6.8
ArmeniaN2. How happy would you say you are? by household income last month (1 - 10, where
‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)
6.5 6.6
7.3 7.2 7.3
4.8
6.9
5.1
6.3
7.1
5.0
6.1 6.0
5.0
4.2
4.7
7.0 7.0
7.6 7.4
7.0
6.1
5.45.8
N2, A8. How happy would you say you are?, by marital status, 2011(1 - 10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)
Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia
18-35 36-55 56+ 18-35 36-55 56+Male Female
7.06.6
5.6
7.5
6.4
5.5
ArmeniaN2. How happy would you say you are?, by gender and age, 2011
(1 -10, where ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy” and ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”, average score)
Data open access and on-line analysis www.crrccenters.org/caucasusbarometer/online or
http://crrc.ge/oda
Thank You!
www.crrc.am
www.crrccenters.org