chuong 5 - hop tac trong kinh doanh
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Noi dung ly thuyetTRANSCRIPT
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HP TC TRONG KINH DOANH(L THUYT TR CHI)
CHNG 5
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Cc k hoch ca chng ta tht bi vchng khng c mc ch. Khi conngi khng bit ti bn no, chngc lung gi no thun bum.
SENECA
T DUY CHIN LC
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CHNG 5. HP TC TRONG KINH DOANH
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcHp tc da trn quan h lu di
5.2 Nhng iu kin c bn c s hp tcTh trng linh kin cng ngh thng tin ti Vit nam Cnh tranh phi gi c gia cc cng ty hng khng M
5.3 S trng pht c cnh bo trcG khng Eddie V n Dupont
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tc
Mu thun gia vic lm ci bnh chung to ln vi vic ly c phn ln hn t ci bnh.
HP TC CNH TRANH
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tc
Ch quan tm n li ch ca mnh kt cc ticho tt c
HP TC em li li ch ln hn cho cc bn Lm sao iu c th tr thnh hin thc?
Mt trong nhng cch l da vo nhng thathun hp ng vi s trng pht nghim ngtca php lut i vi nhng hnh ng bi c.
Vn cn nhiu mt hn ch? V sao?
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tc
Vn cn nhiu mt hn ch: (1) Khng phi bt c tha thun no cng c
ng h bi php lut. Vic lp cartel phi hp gic quyn cng b cm nhiu nc v iu lm hi n li ch ca ngi tiu dng. Hp tc phi c hiu mt cch thn trng.
(2) Gii hn v thng tin hn ch kh nng dngtha thun hp ng cng ch s hp tc.
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcHp tc da trn quan h lu di
Mt cch thc khc t n s hp tc l datrn quan h lp i lp li.
Cuc chi by gi c lch s v tng lai.
Nhng ngi chi c th la chn hnh ng tythuc vo ci iu m i tc ca h lmtrong qu kh. H c th trng pht hoc khenthng hnh vi trong qu kh ca i tc.
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcHp tc da trn quan h lu di
Nu cuc chi ch din ra c mt ln ktcc ti.
Cuc chi lp i lp li Mt bn ph thathun Hai bn s mt tn nhim nhau Cn bng ngn hn
V d v lp cartel du m gia Iran v Iraq.
HA GII NGHCH CNH NGI T TDCL (Trang 121-154)
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KHI NIM: Tr chi s c ti hin nhiu ln (T) trong
tng lai. T c th l hu hn hoc v hn (khngbit c khi no kt thc)
Tr chi lp li i khi cn gi l Siu tr chi dng c bit ca tr chi tun t.
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
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Do s lp li, nn ngi chi c gng hp tc( c tng li ch ln nht) hn l bt hp tc, vnu mt ngi bt hp tc dn n ln sau ngicn li s khng tin tng v khng hp tc, cuicng c hai u c thu hoch thp trong di hn.
S la chn chin lc ca u th A trong lnchi k s ph thuc vo chin lc la chn cau th B ln ny. Trong di hn bi ton nan giica ngi t, li gii s l (hp tc, hp tc).
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
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i ca Bu
Chn Chn Xanh
i
c
a
B
Chn -5, -5 10, -10
Chn Xanh-10, 10 5, 5
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li 5 ln (2 i, 1 i 3 ngi)
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Suy lun ngc khi T hu hn: Khi cc u th bit T l ln chi cui cng, h xem ln chi th
T nh tr chi mt ln kt thc (one-shot-games). H chn chinlc li ch nht cho ring h ln ny v suy lun tm chinlc ngc li cho ln chi k trc (T-1) v tng t cho nln chi u tin (T=1)
Trong dng bi ton nan gii ca ngi t, li gii s l (bt hptc, bt hp tc)
V d:
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
A
11
s
c B
03
s
c A
22
s
c A
999999
s
c B
9981001
s
c 10001000
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
1
10
DA 2
02
1
31
24
43
12
DA
DA
DA
DA 3
5
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
A
11
s
c B
03
s
c A
22
s
c A
999999
s
c B
9981001
s
c 10001000
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Khi T l v hn: Khi tr chi c lp n v hn, gi tr hin
ti ca thu hoch s c tnh n (Gi tr hinti c dng mt tng nhng s hng ca mtcp s nhn)
Lp li n v hn mt tr chi thng kotheo s xut hin ca nhng li gii mi vhon ton khc vi trng hp tr chi huhn.
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
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Khi T l v hn: V d:
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
(5 ; 5) (0 ; 6) (6; 0) (3 ; 3) Khng HT
Hp tc
Hp tc Khng hp tc
A
B
CU HI(1) Tm NE(2)Vi sut chit
khu bao nhiu thA v B s hp tctrong di hn?
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Khi T l v hn: V d:
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcTr chi lp li (Repeated Games)
(3 ; 5) (0 ; 16) (8; 2) (2 ; 4) Khng HT
Hp tc
Hp tc Khng hp tc
A
B
CU HI(1) Tm NE(2)Vi sut chit
khu bao nhiu thA v B s hp tctrong di hn?
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcThi gian l tin bc
ng tin ngy hm nay c gi tr hn rtnhiu so vi ng tin nhn c vo ngymai.
Nu cc bn ch ngh ti ci t c ngayby gi, v chng quan tm g ti ngy mai;th s trng pht trong tng lai s chng c ngha g lm Hp tc c th khng tc.
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcThi gian l tin bc
V d 1: Lm pht phi m xy ra VN vo nhng nm86-88, t 300%-800% do mc gi thay i qu nhanhchng trong khong thi k mt nm, ngi gi tin chdng giao dch hng ngy
V d 2: Cn siu lm pht tiu biu nht l ti c nm1923, v cng khng khip: ngi ta cn dng tin t l si, hay mt xe tin ch c th mua c mt lcgiy v sinh, ng tin lin tc mt gi tr...
V d 3: T7/2008, Zimbabwe pht hnh ng 100 tla. Lm pht ca nc ny ln ti 2.200.000%
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(46 ; 42) (26 ; 44) (52 ; 22) (32 ; 24) 4 Tr. thng
2 Tr. thng
2 Tr. thng 4 Tr. thng
IRAN
IRAQ
Iran ph tho thun,Iraq vn chi tht lng
Ch cn mt mi lo s nh l s tin cy ln nhau c thb sp cng l duy tr s hp tc.
Nim tin ny c hp l khng?
Kt cc?
5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcCartel du m gia Iran v Iraq
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcThi gian l tin bc
SUT CHIT KHU (Discount rate)1$ (1+r) vi r l li sut.? 1$
r+= 11
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5.1 Lm sao t n s hp tcThi gian l tin bc
Hin ti0 1 2 3 4 5
HP TC 46 46 46 46 46 46 BI C 52 32 32 32 32 32
6 14 14 14 14 14
Li ch trc mt
6 =< D/(1-D)*14
D >= 3/10 r = (1-D)/D0.30 2.33 (li sut/ngy)
Mt mt di hn
IRAN - IRAQTng lai -->
Tnh NPV
Long-term LossShort-term
Gain
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c s hp tc, li ch trongtng lai khng th b tr honqu lu; hoc li sut thtrng khng th qu cao.
T tng chp dt, bi c. c th trng pht, cn phi
pht hin c cc hnh vibi c. Xem TDCL, trang 128
5.2 Nhng iu kin c bn c s hp tc
r+= 11
r
r
Hp tc
Bt Hp tc
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Tm li, khng c mt gii php no t c shp tc qua li ln nhau trong tr chi mt ln.
Ch c trong mi quan h ang tip din mi c thc c hi cho s trng pht v do vy mi c chicgy to ng c cho hp tc.
S v trong hp tc t ng mang theo n mt chiph di hnh thc l nh mt li nhun trong tng lai.Nu chi ph ny ln th k mun gian ln s nn lngv hp tc s c duy tr.
5.2 Nhng iu kin c bn c s hp tc
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(4 ; 3) (2 ; 4) (3 ; 2) (1 ; 1) T CAO
T THP
T THP T CAO
CTY BU
CTY BV D
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Trn thc t, cnh tranh c th cn din raphc tp hn nhiu. Thng thng cc doanhnghip khng ch cnh tranh qua gi; m cnc v cht lng sn phm, dch v hu bnhng, v nhiu yu t khc.
kh quan st v nh gi, o lng
Mt cartel thnh cng trong vic kim sotv phi hp gi cao, th cnh tranh li n ra nhng lnh vc kh quan st hn
5.2 Nhng iu kin c bn c s hp tcCnh tranh phi gi c gia cc cng ty hng khng M
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Non-price competition = Cnh tranh phi gic: L vic p dng bt k chnh sch nongoi tr chnh sch gim gi, nhm mc chli ko nhng khch hng mi t cc i thca mnh.
v d: qung co, bao b, nhn mc, khuynmi, tng sn phm min ph, T chc hotng tiu th sn phm (m rng knh phnphi)
5.2 Nhng iu kin c bn c s hp tcCnh tranh phi gi c gia cc cng ty hng khng M
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Vic hnh thnh cartel phi hp gicao l khng d dng v:
Lut php ngn cn vic cng khai lpcartel phi hp gi.
Vic pht hin s ph tha thun l rtkh khn.
5.3 S trng pht c cnh bo trcG khng Eddie
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Do vy, ng sau nhng t chc thnhcng trong vic thc y hp tc l nhngc ch trng pht s bi c rt c hiu lc. S trng pht c cnh bo trc S trng pht l tc thi th cng hiu qu
Eddie v New mark & Levis
5.3 S trng pht c cnh bo trcG khng Eddie
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Mt v n chng c quyn ni ting khcc a ra cng lun khi Federal TradeCommission (Ban chuyn trch thngmi lin bang) cm Dupont v mt s nhsn xut khc thi hnh iu khon khchhng a chung nht l mt hnh vichng cnh tranh lnh mnh.
5.3 S trng pht c cnh bo trcG khng Eddie
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CHUN B CHO BUI HC TI
c li chng 5 v t c chng 6 c trc nh Chng 7 m phn
(dnh cho bui hc tun 10) Tip tc thc hin bi tp nhm (20%)