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Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 Comparative Economic Development 比較経済発展

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Page 1: Comparative Economic Developmentsetsu/Links/PDF/TodaroSmith...•5. Greater Social Fractionalization 大きな社会極細性 •6. larger Rural Populations but Rapid Rural-to-Urban

Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.

Chapter 2

Comparative Economic Development比較経済発展

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Common Characteristics of developing countries 途上国の共通特徴

• Lower levels of living and productivity 低い水準の生活水準と生産性

• Lower levels of human capital 低い人水準の人的資本

• Higher levels of inequality and absolute poverty 高い水準の不平等と絶対貧困

• Higher population growth rates 高い人口成長率

• Greater social fractionalization 比較的大きな社会分割(分断)性

• Larger rural population- rapid migration to cities 大規模な農村人口と都市への快速的労働移動

• Lower levels of industrialization and manufactured exports低いレベルの工業化と工業製品の輸出

• Adverse geography 不利的地理条件

• Underdeveloped financial and other markets 未発達的金融および市場

• Colonial legacies- poor institutions etc. 植民地の遺産:貧弱なインフラ

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Defining the Developing World途上国を定義する

• World Bank Scheme- ranks countries on GNP/capita• 世界銀行の基準 -1人当たりGNPでランキング

– LIC 低所得、LMC 低中所得、 UMC 中高所得, OECD(see Table 2.1 and figure 2.1) 表の1、図の2を参照

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Table 2.1 Classification of Economies by Region and Income, 2007表の2 地域・所得別の経済分類

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Table 2.1 Classification of Economies by Region and Income, 2007 (continued)表の2 地域・所得別の経済分類(つづく)

(Latin America and the Caribbean)

(Sub-Saharan Africa)

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Table 2.1 Classification of Economies by Region and Income, 2007 (continued)表の2 地域・所得別の経済分類(つづく)

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Figure 2.1 Nations of the World, Classified by GNI Per Capita図の2.11人当たりGNIで分類した世界各国

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Measuring Development for Quantitative Comparison across Countries量的比較のための諸国の発展の測定

• Gross National Income (GNI) 国民所得

• Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 国内総生産

• PPP method instead of exchange rates as conversion factors (see figure 2.2)購買力平価 図2.2を参照

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Figure 2.2 Income Per Capita in Selected Countries選択した国の1人当たり所得

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Table 2.2 A Comparison of Per Capita GNI, 2005 1人当たりGNIの比較 2005

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Some Basic Indicators of Development発展計りの基本指標

• Health 健康

• Life Expectancy 平均寿命

• Education 教育

• HDI as a holistic measure of living levels人的発展指数

– HDI also varies for groups within countries– HDI also varies by region in a country – HDI also reflects rural-urban differences

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Table 2.3 Commonality and Diversity: Some Basic Indicators共通性と多様性:基本指標

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Figure 2.3 Human Development Disparities within Selected Countries選択した国の中の人的資本の差

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Figure 2.3 Human Development Disparities within Selected Countries (continued)選択した国の中の人的資本の差(つづく)

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Table 2.4 Human Development for 23 Selected Countries (2004 Data)選択した国の人的発展

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Table 2.4 Human Development for 23 Selected Countries (2004 Data) (continued)選択した国の人的発展(つづく)

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Table 2.5 Human Development Index Variations for Similar Incomes (2004 Data)所得の近づく国でも人的発展は異なる

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10 Characteristics of the Developing World: Diversity within Commonality途上国の特徴:共通点の中の差

• 1. Lower levels of living and productivity• 2. Lower levels of human capital (health,

education, skills)• 3. Higher Levels of Inequality and Absolute

Poverty– Absolute Poverty– World Poverty

• 4. Higher Population Growth Rates– Crude Birth rates

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Figure 2.4 Shares of Global Income, 2005 グローバル所得の割合

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Table 2.6 The 12 Most and Least Populated Countries and Their Per Capita Income, 2005人口の多い国と少ない国および1人当たり所得 2005年

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Figure 2.5 Under-5 Mortality Rates, 1990 and 20055歳以下の子供も死亡率 1990-2005年

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Table 2.7 Primary School Enrollment and Pupil-Teacher Ratios小学校の入学率と小学校の生徒-教師比率

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Figure 2.6 Correlation between Under-5 Mortality and Mother’s Education5歳以下子供の死亡率と母親の教育レベルの相関関係

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Figure 2.7 People Living in Poverty, 1981-2002世界の貧困人口 1981-2002年

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Table 2.8 Crude Birth Rates Around the World, 2005 世界各国の粗出生率

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10 Characteristics of the Developing World: Diversity within Commonality途上国の特徴:共通点の中の異

• 5. Greater Social Fractionalization大きな社会極細性

• 6. larger Rural Populations but Rapid Rural-to-Urban Migration 大規模な農村人口と速い農村-都市移民(労働移動)

• 7. Lower levels of Industrialization and Manufactured Exports 低いレベルの工業化と製造品の輸出

• 8. Adverse Geography 不利な地理条件

– Resource endowments

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Table 2.9 The Urban Population in Developed Countries and Developing Regions 途上特と先進国の都市人口

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Table 2.10 Share of the Population Employed in the Industrial Sector in Selected Countries, 2000-2005 (%) 工業部門に就職している人口の割合

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10 Characteristics of the Developing World: Diversity within Commonality途上国の特徴:共通点の中の異

• 9. Underdeveloped Financial and Other markets未発達的金融市場および市場

– Imperfect markets 不完全市場

– Incomplete information 不完全情報

• 10. Colonial Legacy and external dependence植民地の遺産と外部への依存性

– Institutions 制度

– Private property 私的財産

– Personal taxation 個人税の制度

– Taxes in cash rather than in kind 申告より現金で支払い税金

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Low Income Countries Today And Developed Countries Then今の低所得国、そして先進国

• Eight differences 八つの違い

– Physical and human resource endowments 物資的人的資本の量的賦存

– Per capita incomes and levels of GDP 1人当たりの所得とレベル

– Climate 気候

– Population size, distribution, and growth 人口サイズ、分布および成長

– Historic role of international migration国際移民の歴史的役割

– International trade benefits 国際貿易の利益

– Scientific/technological research 科学・技術研究

– Efficacy of domestic institutions 国内制度の有効性

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Convergence? 収斂?

• Evidence of unconditional convergence is hard to find 無条件収斂は難しい

• Per capita income convergence?1人当たり所得の収斂

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Figure 2.8 Convergence among OECD Countries but Divergence in the World as a Whole OECD諸国の中は収斂が、その他の国は?

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Figure 2.9 Per Capita GDP Growth in 125 Developing Countries, 1995-2005125カ国の1人当たりGDPの散布図

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Figure 2.10 Growth Convergence and Absolute Income Convergence成長率の収斂と絶対所得の収斂

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Long-Run causes of Comparative Development 比較発展の長期的要因

• Schematic Representation 想像

– Geography 地理

– Institutional quality- colonial and post-colonial制度の質ー植民地と植民地後

– Colonial legacy 植民地の遺産- pre colonial comparative advantage 植民地前の比較優位

– Evolution and timing of European development欧州発展の進化とタイミング

– Inequality- human capital 不平等ー人的資本

– Type of colonial regime 植民地政権の種類

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Figure 2.11 Schematic Representation of Leading Theories of Comparative Development 図の説明:比較発展の主な理論

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Role of Institutions 制度の役割

• Acemoglu, Johnson, and Robinson’s “reversal of fortune” 運命の逆転 and extractive institutions 引き出す制度

• Bannerjee and Iyer’s , “property rights institutions”. 財産所有権の制度 Landlords versus cultivators 地主と耕作民

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Case Study: Pakistanケーススタディ:パキスタン

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Case Study: Bangladesh

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Concepts for Review 概念の復習

• Absolute poverty• Brain drain• Crude birthrate• Convergence• Death rate• Dependency burden• Developed world• Economic Institutions• Foreign exchange• Gross domestic product

(GDP)

• Gross national product (GNP)

• Human Development Index (HDI)

• Imperfect markets• Income gap• Income inequality• Incomplete information

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Concepts for Review (cont’d)

• Infant mortality rate• International poverty

line• Labor productivity• Least developed

countries (LLDCs)• Levels of living• Low income countries

(LICs)

• Malnutrition• Middle-income

countries (MICs)• Mixed economic

systems• Newly industrialized

countries (NICs)• Physical resources

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Concepts for Review (cont’d)

• Primary industrial sector• Production function• Purchasing power

equivalent• Purchasing power

parity (PPP)

• Resource endowment• Secondary industrial

sector• Tertiary industrial

sector• World Bank