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    Binomial ModelsDr. San-Lin Chung

    Department of FinanceNational Taiwan University

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    In this lecture, I will cover the following topics:

    1. Brief Review of Binomial Model

    2. Extensions of the binomial models in the

    literature

    3. Fast and accurate binomial option models

    4. Binomial models for pricing exotic options5. Binomial models for other distributions or

    processes

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    1. Brief Review of Binomial Trees

    Binomial trees are frequently used to

    approximate the movements in the price

    of a stock or other asset In each small interval of time the stock

    price is assumed to move up by a

    proportional amount u or to move down

    by a proportional amount d

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    The main idea of binomial option pricing theoryis pricing by arbitrage. If one can formulate a

    portfolio to replicate the payoff of an option,

    then the option price should equal to the price

    of the replicating portfolio if the market has noarbitrage opportunity.

    Binomial model is a complete market model, i.e.

    options can be replicated using stock and risk-free bond (two states next period, two assets).

    On the other hand, trinomial model is not a

    complete market model.

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    Generalization (Figure 10.2, page 202)

    A derivative lasts for time Tand is

    dependent on a stock

    S0 u

    u

    S0d

    d

    S0

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    Generalization

    (continued)

    Consider the portfolio that is long ( shares and short

    1 derivative

    The portfolio is riskless when S0u(

    u=

    S0d(

    d or

    ( !

    u df

    u d0 0

    S0 u( u

    S0d( d

    S0

    f

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    Generalization(continued)

    Substituting for( we obtain

    = [p u

    + (1 p )d

    ]erT

    where

    p e du d

    rT

    !

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    Risk-Neutral Valuation

    = [p u + (1 p )d]e-rT

    The variablesp and (1 p ) can be interpreted as the

    risk-neutral probabilities of up and down movements

    The value of a derivative is its expected payoff in arisk-neutral world discounted at the risk-free rate

    S0u

    u

    S0d

    d

    S0

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    Irrelevance of Stocks Expected

    Return

    When we are valuing an option in terms

    of the underlying stock the expected

    return on the stock is irrelevant

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    Tree Parameters for a

    Nondividend Paying Stock

    We choose the tree parametersp, u, and d

    so that the tree gives correct values for themean & standard deviation of the stock

    price changes in a risk-neutral world

    erHt=pu + (1p )d

    W2Ht=pu 2 + (1p )d2 [pu + (1p )d]2

    A further condition often imposed is u = 1/ d

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    2. Tree Parameters for a

    Nondividend Paying Stock(Equations 18.4 to 18.7)

    When Htis small, a solution to the equations is

    tr

    t

    t

    ea

    du

    dap

    ed

    eu

    H

    HW

    HW

    !

    !

    !

    !

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    The Complete Tree

    (Figure 18.2)

    S0

    S0u

    S0dS0 S0

    S0u2

    S0d2

    S0u

    2

    S0u3 S0u

    4

    S0d2

    S0u

    S0d

    S0d4

    S0d3

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    Backwards Induction

    We know the value of the option

    at the final nodes

    We work back through the tree

    using risk-neutral valuation to

    calculate the value of the option

    at each node, testing for earlyexercise when appropriate

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    Example: Put Option

    S0 = 50; X= 50; r=10%; W = 40%;

    T=

    5 months=

    0.4167;Ht=1 month =0.0833

    The parameters imply

    u = 1.1224; d= 0.8909;a = 1.0084;p = 0.5076

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    Example (continued)

    Figure 18.3 89.00.00

    9.35

    0.00

    0. 0 0. 0

    0.00 0.00

    6 .99 6 .99

    0.6 0.0056.12 56.12 56.12

    2.16 1.30 0.00

    50.00 50.00 50.00

    . 9 3. 2.66

    .55 44.55 44.55

    6.96 6.38 5.45

    39.69 39.69

    10.36 10.31

    35.36 35.36

    14.64 14.64

    31.50

    18.50

    28.0

    21.93

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    Trees and Dividend Yields

    When a stock price pays continuous dividends atrate q we construct the tree in the same way butset a =e(r q )Ht

    As with Black-Scholes: For options on stock indices, q equals the

    dividend yield on the index

    For options on a foreign currency, q equals

    the foreign risk-free rate For options on futures contracts q = r

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    Binomial Tree for Dividend

    Paying Stock

    Procedure:

    Draw the tree for the stock price lessthe present value of the dividends

    Create a new tree by adding

    the present value of the dividends at

    each node

    This ensures that the tree recombines and

    makes assumptions similar to those when the

    Black-Scholes model is used

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    There have been many extensions of the CRRmodel. The extensions can be classified into fivedirections.

    The first direction consists in modifying the lattice toimprove the accuracy and computational efficiency.

    Boyle (1 88)

    Breen (1 1)

    Broadie and Detemple (1 6)

    Figlewski and Gao (1 )

    Heston and Zhou (2000)

    II. Literature Review (1/5)

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    The third direction of extensions consists in showingthe convergence property of the binomial OPM.

    Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (1 79)

    Amin and Khanna (1994)

    He (1990)

    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990)

    II. Literature Review (3/5)

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    The fourth direction of the literature generalizes the

    binomial model to price options under stochastic

    volatility and/or stochastic interest rates.Stochastic interest rate: Black, Derman, and Toy

    (1990), Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990), Hull and

    White (1994), and others.

    Stochastic volatility: Amin (1991) and Ho, Stapleton,and Subrahmanyam (1995) Ritchken and Trevor

    (1999)

    II. Literature Review (4/5)

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    The fifth extension of the CRR model focus on

    adjusting the standard multiplicative-binomial

    model to price exotic options, especiallypath-dependent options.

    Asian options: Hull and White (1993) and Daiand Lyuu (2002).

    Barrier options: Boyle and Lau(1994),Ritchken (1995), Boyle and Tian (1999), and

    others.

    II. Literature Review (5/5)

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    3. Alternative Binomial Tree

    3.1 Jarrow and Rudd (1982)Instead of setting u = 1/dwe can set

    each of the 2 probabilities to 0.5 and

    ttr

    ttr

    ed

    eu

    HWHW

    HWHW

    !

    !

    )2/(

    )2/(

    2

    2

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    3.2 Trinomial Tree (Page 409)

    11

    1

    1

    11

    1

    1

    2

    322

    2

    2

    !

    !

    !

    !

    !

    !

    (

    (

    uu

    MuMMup

    PPp

    uu

    MMMup

    ed

    meu

    d

    dum

    u

    t

    t

    PW

    PW

    S S

    Sd

    Su

    pu

    pm

    pd

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    3.3 Adaptive Mesh Model

    This is a way of grafting a high resolution

    tree on to a low resolution tree

    We need high resolution in the region ofthe tree close to the strike price and option

    maturity

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    3.4 BBS and BBSR

    The Binomial Black & Scholes (BBS) method is

    proposed by Broadie and Detemple (1996). The

    BBS method is identical to the CRR method, except

    that atthetimestep just before option maturity the

    Black and Scholesformula replaces at all the nodes.

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    3.5 Tian (1999)(1/3)Thesecond method was putforward by Tian(1999) termed

    flexible binomial model. To constructtheso-called

    flexible binomial model, thefollowing specification is

    proposed:

    where is an arbitrary constant, called the tilt

    parameter. It is an extra degree offreedom overthe

    standard binomial model. In orderto have nonnegative

    probability, thetilt parameter mustsatisfy the inequality (8)

    after jumps, u and d, are redefined.

    7,,22

    dudepedeu

    tr

    tttt

    !!!(

    (((( PWWPWW

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    3.6 Heston and Zhou (2000)

    Heston and Zhou (2000) show thatthe accuracy or rate ofconvergence ofbinomial method depend, crucially on the

    smoothness ofthe payofffunction. They have given an

    approachthat isto smooththe payofffunction. Intuitively,

    ifthe payofffunction atsingular points can besmoothing,

    the binomial recursion might be more accurate.Hencethey

    letG(x) bethesmoothed one;

    whereg(x) isthe actual payofffunction.

    (

    ( (!x

    xx

    dyyxgXG2

    1

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    3.7 Leisen and Reimer (1996)

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    3.7 Leisen and Reimer (1996)

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    3.8 WAND (2002, JFM)

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    3.8 WAND (2002, JFM)

    WAND (2002) showed thatthe binomial option pricing errors

    are related to the node positioning and they defined a ratio for

    node positioning.

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    3.8 WAND (2002, JFM)

    The relationship between theerrors and node positioning.

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    Theorem 1. In the GCRR model, the three parameters are as

    follows:

    where is a stretch parameter which determines the shape of

    the binomial tree. Moreover, when , i.e., the number of time

    steps n grows to infinity, the GCRR binomial prices will converge

    to the Black-Scholes formulae for European options.

    Obviously the CRR model is a special case ofour GCRR

    model when .

    We can easily allocatethestrike price at one ofthefinal nodes.

    1

    ,

    ,

    ,

    t

    t

    r t

    u e

    d e

    e dp u d

    PW

    WP

    (

    (

    (

    !

    !

    !

    RP0p(t

    1!P

    3.9 GCRR model

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    4. Binomial models for exotic

    options

    Topics:

    1. Path dependent options using trees

    Lookback options Barrier options

    2. Options where there are two stochastic

    variables (exchange option, maximumoption, etc.)

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    Path Dependence:

    The Traditional View

    Backwards induction works well for

    American options. It cannot be used forpath-dependent options

    Monte Carlo simulation works well for

    path-dependent options; it cannot be

    used for American options

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    Extension of Backwards

    Induction Backwards induction can be used for some

    path-dependent options

    We will first illustrate the methodology usinglookback options and then show how it can

    be used for Asian options

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    Lookback Example (Page 462)

    Consider an American lookback put on a stock where

    S = 50, W = 40%, r =10%, Ht =1 month & the life of

    the option is 3 months

    Payoff is Smax-ST

    We can value the deal by considering all possible

    values of the maximum stock price at each node

    (This example is presented to illustrate the methodology. A more efficient

    ways of handling American lookbacks is in Section 20.6.)

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    Example: An American Lookback Put

    Option (Figure 20.2, page 463)

    S0 = 50, W = 40%, r =10%, Ht =1 month,

    56.12

    56.12

    4.68

    44.55

    50.00

    6.38

    62.99

    62.99

    3.36

    50.00

    56.12 50.00

    6.12 2.66

    36.69

    50.00

    10.31

    70.70

    70.70

    0.00

    62.99 56.126.87 0.00

    56.12

    56.12 50.00

    11.57 5.45

    44.55

    35.36

    50.00

    14.64

    50.00

    5.47A

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    Why the Approach WorksThis approach works for lookback options because

    The payoff depends on just 1 function of the path followed

    by the stock price. (We will refer to this as a path

    function) The value of the path function at a node can be calculated

    from the stock price at the node & from the value of the

    function at the immediately preceding node

    The number of different values of the path function at anode does not grow too fast as we increase the number of

    time steps on the tree

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    Extensions of the

    Approach

    The approach can be extended so thatthere are no limits on the number of

    alternative values of the path function at anode

    The basic idea is that it is not necessary toconsider every possible value of the path

    function It is sufficient to consider a relatively small

    number of representative values of thefunction at each node

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    Working Forward

    First work forwards through the treecalculating the max and min values of

    the path function at each node

    Next choose representative values ofthe path function that span the range

    between the min and the max

    Simplest approach: choose the min, the

    max, and N equally spaced values

    between the min and max

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    Backwards Induction

    We work backwards through the tree in the

    usual way carrying out calculations for each

    of the alternative values of the path functionthat are considered at a node

    When we require the value of the derivative

    at a node for a value of the path functionthat is not explicitly considered at that node,

    we use linear or quadratic interpolation

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    Part of Tree to Calculate Value of

    an Option on the Arithmetic

    Average (continued)

    Consider Node X when the average of 5

    observations is 51.44

    Node Y: If this is reached, the average becomes51.98. The option price is interpolated as 8.247

    Node Z: If this is reached, the average becomes

    50.49. The option price is interpolated as 4.182

    Node X: value is(0.50568.247 + 0.49444.182)e0.10.05 =6.206

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    A More Efficient Approach for

    Lookbacks (Section 20.6, page 465)

    y !

    y

    y

    efine

    here is the MAX stock price

    onstr ct a tree for ( )

    se the tree to a e the ookback

    option in "stock price nits" rather

    than o ars

    Y tF t

    S t

    F t

    Y t

    ( )( )

    ( )

    ( )

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    True Barrier vs Tree Barrier for a

    Knockout Option: The Binomial Tree Case

    Barrier assumed by tree

    True barrier

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    True Barrier vs Tree Barrier for a Knockout

    Option: The Trinomial Tree Case

    Barrier assumed by tree

    True barrier

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    BumpingUp Against the Barrierwith the

    BinomialMethod,JD,Boyle andLau (1994)

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    2 2

    2, 1,2,3,

    log

    m T F m m

    S

    H

    W! !

    L

    m F(m)1 21.38

    2 85.52

    3 192.42

    4 342.08

    5 534.51

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    On PricingBarrierOptions,

    JD, Ritchken (1995)

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    2

    2

    2

    with probability

    0 with probability

    with probability

    where 1 and , , and are

    1

    2 2

    11

    1

    2 2

    u

    a

    m

    d

    u m d

    u

    m

    d

    t P

    t P

    t P

    P P P

    tP

    P

    tP

    PW

    \

    PW

    P

    QP PW

    P

    QP PW

    (

    !

    (u

    (!

    !

    (!

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    ComplexBarrier

    OptionsCheuk and Vorst (1996)

    Time varying barrier

    Double barriers

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    log*

    log*

    log*

    t i

    t i

    i

    u i u i e

    d i d i e

    m i m i e

    PW L

    PW L

    L

    LL

    L

    (

    ( ! !! !

    ! !

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    Alternative Solutions

    to the Problem Ensure that nodes always lie on the

    barriers

    Adjust for the fact that nodes do notlie on the barriers

    Use adaptive mesh

    In all cases a trinomial tree is

    preferable to a binomial tree

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    Multi-Asset Case

    Reference: Boyle, P. P., J. Evnine, and S. Gibbs, 1989, Numerical Evaluation of Multivariate

    Contingent Claims, The Review of Financial Studies, 2, 241-250.

    Chen, R. R., S. L. Chung, and T. T. Yang, 2002, Option Pricing in a Multi-Asset,

    Complete Market Economy, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 37, 649-666.

    Ho, T. S., R. C. Stapleton, and M. G. Subrahmanyam, 1995, Multivariate Binomial

    Approximations for Asset Prices with Nonstationary Variance and Covariance

    Characteristics, The Review of Financial Studies, 8, 1125-1152.

    Kamrad, B., and P. Ritchken, 1991, Multinomial Approximating Models for Options

    with kState Variables, Management Science, 37, 1640-1652.

    Madan, D. B., F. Milne, and H. Shefrin, 1989, The Multinomial Option Pricing Model

    and Its Brownian and Poisson Limits, The Review of Financial Studies, 2, 251-265.

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    Modeling Two Correlated Variables

    Consider a two-asset case:

    Under the first approach: Transform variables so that they are notcorrelated & build the tree in the transformed variables

    11 1

    1

    2

    2 2

    2

    1 2

    ( ) ,

    ( ) ,

    cov( , ) .

    tt

    t

    tt

    t

    t t

    dSr q dt dZ

    S

    dSr q dt dZ

    S

    dZ dZ d t

    W

    W

    V

    !

    !

    !

    2

    1 1 1 1 1

    2

    2 2 2 2 2

    ln / 2

    ln / 2

    t t

    t t

    d S r q dt dZ

    d S r q dt dZ

    W WW W

    !

    !

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    Modeling Two Correlated Variables

    Take the correlation into account by adjusting the probabilities

    21 1 1 1

    22 2 2 2

    1( )

    21 1

    1( )

    22 2

    r q t tZ

    t t t

    r q t tZ

    t t t

    S S e

    S S e

    W W

    W W

    ( (

    (

    ( (

    (

    !

    !

    2 2

    1 1 2 2

    1 2

    2 2

    1 1 2 2

    1 2

    1 2

    2 2

    1 1 2 2

    1 2

    1 1

    1 2 2(1,1) 14

    1 11 2 2(1, 1) 14

    ( , )1 1

    1 2 2( 1,1) 14

    r q r qp t

    r q r q

    p t

    Z Z

    r q r q

    p t

    W WV

    W W

    W W

    VW W

    W W

    VW W

    ! (

    -

    ! ( -

    !

    ! (

    2 2

    1 1 2 2

    1 2

    1 11 2 2( 1, 1) 14

    r q r q

    p t

    W W

    VW W

    -

    ! ( -

    Multi Asset tree model under complete

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    Multi-Asset tree model under complete

    market economy

    Chen, R. R., S. L. Chung, and T. T. Yang, 2002, Option Pricing in aMulti-Asset, Complete-Market Economy, JournalofFinancialandQuantitative Analysis, Vol. 37, No. 4, 649-666.

    With two uncorrelated Brownian motions with equal variances, thethree points,A, B, and C, are best to be equally apart from eachother. This can be achieved most easily by choosing 3 points,

    located 120 degrees from each other, on the circumference of acircle, as shown in Exhibit 2.

    x axis

    axis

    A

    C B

    C

    B

    A

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    Multi Asset tree model under complete

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    Multi-Asset tree model under complete

    market economy

    Proposition 2The rotation of the axes is defined as follows:

    where J is the rotationangle ofthe x-axiscounterclockwise andy-axis

    clockwise. Afterrotation, we have:

    the meansandthe variancesof the rotatedellipse remainunchangedand

    the correlationisafunctionofthe rotationdegree J:

    *22

    *

    *

    tan1

    1

    tan1

    tan

    tan1

    tan

    tan1

    1

    22

    22

    X=!

    -

    v

    -

    !

    -

    j

    j

    j

    j

    y

    x

    y

    x

    JJ

    J

    J

    J

    J

    2

    sin 1 VJ

    !

    Multi Asset tree model under complete

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    Multi-Asset tree model under complete

    market economy

    Finally, for any given time, t, the next period stock prices are:

    -

    -

    ((v

    -

    !

    -

    ((

    ((

    ((

    33

    22

    11

    2,22,1

    ,3,2,3,1

    ,2,2,2,1

    ,1,2,1,1

    )(ln)(ln

    1

    11

    lnln

    lnln

    lnln

    2

    2

    2

    1

    yrxr

    yrxryrxr

    trStrS

    SS

    SS

    SS

    yx

    yx

    yx

    tt

    tttt

    tttt

    tttt

    WW

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    5. Binomial models for

    other processes

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    Time-varying volatility

    processes

    how to construct a recombined

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    how to construct a recombinedbinomial/trinomial tree under time-

    varying volatility?1. Amin (1991) suggested changing the number of steps

    (or dt) such that the tree is recombined.

    2. Ho, Stapleton, and Subrahmanyam (1995) suggested

    using two steps to match the conditional and

    unconditional volatility and unconditional mean.

    3. Using the trinomial tree of Boyle (1988) or Ritchken

    (1995). See next page.

    Ref : Amin (1995, pp.39-40) has a very nice discussion onthis issue.

    Amin, 1995, Option Pricing Trees, Journal of Derivatives,

    34-46.

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    Amin (1991)(1/2)

    Assume that the underlying asset price follows

    dS=rSdt+ W(t)Sdz

    then the annual variance of the asset price over the period

    [0, T] is

    Let Nbe the number of time steps desired, then .

    The time step for each period is denoted as h((t),

    h(2(t), , h(n(t). Amin let

    !T

    TdttV 0

    2

    W

    N

    Tt!(

    ttnh

    tnthttht

    (!(

    (!!((!(( 222 22 WWW .

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    Following Boyle (1988), the asset price, at any given time,

    can move into three possible states, up, down, or middle, in

    the next period. IfSdenotes the asset price at time t, then at

    time t+ dt, the prices will be Su, Sd, orSm. The parameters

    are defined as follows

    andwhere P u 1, the dispersion parameter, is chosen freely as

    long as the resulting probabilities are positive. Let Wi

    dt

    dt

    ed

    eu

    PW

    PW

    !

    !

    1m !

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    represent the instantaneous volatility at time ti, then we can

    set

    In this case the tree is recombining and the probability ofeach branch is of course time varying.

    jieedtdt jjii ,! WPWP

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    To guarantee that the resulting probabilities are positive, we

    must carefully choose dtand P. Roughly speaking, dtmust

    be small enough such that

    ForP, as discussed in Boyle (1988), its values must be larger

    than 1. Denote the maximum and minimum of the

    instantaneous volatility for the period from time 0 to TasWmax and Wmin. Then

    PW

    W

    )5.0( 2v

    rdt

    dtdtee minminmaxmax

    WPWP !

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    We can arbitrarily set Pmax as 1.1 and then all otherPi will be

    larger than 1 automatically.

    Ref :

    Boyle, P. (1988), A Lattice Framework for Option Pricing with

    Two State Variables, JournalofFinancialandQuantitative

    Analysis, 23, 1-12.

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    Stochastic volatility

    stochastic interest rate

    processes

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    Reference:1. Hilliard, J. E., and A. Schwartz, Pricing Options on Traded

    Assets under Stochastic Interest Rates and Volatility: A Binomial

    Approach, Journal of Financial Engineering, 6, 281-305.2. Hilliard, J. E., A. L. Schwartz, and A. L. Tucker, 1996, Bivariate

    Binomial Options Pricing with Generalized Interest Rate

    Processes, Journal of Financial Research, 14, 585-602.

    3. Nelson, D. B., and K. Ramaswamy, 1990, Simple Binomial

    Processes as Diffusion Approximations in Financial Models,

    Review of Financial Studies, 3, 393-430.4. Ritchken, P., and R. Trevor, 1999, Pricing Option under

    Generalized GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Processes, Journal

    of Finance, 54, 377-402.

    5. Hillard, J. E., and A. Schwartz, 2005, Pricing European and

    American Derivatives under a Jump-Diffusion Process: A Bivariate

    Tree Approach, Jour

    nalofFinancialandQuantitative Analysis, 40,671-691.

    6. Camara, A., and S. L. Chung, 2006, Option Pricing for the

    Transformed-Binomial Class, JournalofFutures Markets, Vol. 26,

    No. 8, 759-788.

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    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990) proposed a general treemethod to approximate diffusion processes.

    Generally a binomial ortrinomial tree is not recombinedbecausethe volatility is not a constant. Nelson andRamaswamy (1990) suggested a transformation ofthevariablesuchthatthetransformed variablehas a constantvolatility.

    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990)

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    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990)

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    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990)For example, under the CEV model:

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    Nelson and Ramaswamy (1990)For example, under the CIR model:

    Hilliard-Schwartz: Stochastic

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    Hilliard-Schwartz: Stochastic

    VolatilityThe asset price and return volatility are assumed to follow:

    dS= msdt+f(S)h(V)dZsdV= mvdt+ bVdZv (1)

    UnderQ measuremsS(r- d).

    First ofall, makethefollowing transformation to obtain aunit variance variableY:

    b

    Yln

    !

    vv dZdtb

    bV

    mdY

    ! 5.0

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    Next, makethefollowing transformation to obtain a constant

    variance variableH:

    (4)

    where

    hhh

    hVVSS

    dZdtm

    dtmbVdZHdZSVHdH

    W

    U

    !

    !

    svsvvvssvvsshVbVSHVbHVSHmHmHm VU ! 222 5.05.0

    ? A 5.0225.01 bHbHSVh

    ! VW

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    Then make anothertransformation to obtain a unit variance

    variable Q.

    (5)

    where

    hq dZdtmdQ

    !

    25.0 hhhh

    hq Q

    mm W

    W!

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    Binomial treeforYand trinomial treeforQ

    T/n =h : 0 1 2

    Y0, 0

    Y1, -1

    Y1, 1

    Y2, -2

    Y2, 2

    Y2, 0

    Q1, -1

    Q1, 0

    Q1, 1

    Q2, -2

    Q2, -1

    Q2, 0

    Q2, 1

    Q2, 2

    Q0, 0

    O ti P i i d GARCH

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    Option Pricing underGARCH

    Ritchken, P., and R. Trevor, 1999, Pricing Option underGeneralized

    GARCH and Stochastic Volatility Processes, Journal of Finance, 54,

    377-402.

    GARCH model:

    The main idea is to keep the spanning of the tree flexible, i.e. the size

    of up or down movements can be adjusted to match the conditional

    variance.

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    Option Pricing for the

    Transformed-Binomial Class

    Antnio Cmara1 and San-Lin Chung2

    January 2004

    1 School of Management, University of Michigan-Flint, 3118 William S. White

    Building, Flint, MI 48502-1950. Tel: (810) 762-3268, Fax: (810) 762-3282,

    Email: [email protected]

    2 Department of Finance, The Management School, National Taiwan University,

    Taipei 106, Taiwan. Tel:886-2-23676909, Fax:886-2-23660764, Email:

    [email protected].

    Ab t t

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    This paper generalizes the seminal Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (1979) binomial option pricing model(OPM) to all members of the class of transformed-binomial pricing processes. Our investigationaddresses issues related with asset pricing

    modeling, hedging strategies, and option pricing.We derive explicit formulae for (1) replicating orhedging portfolios; (2) risk-neutral transformed-binomial probabilities; (3) limiting transformed-normal distributions; and (4) the value of contingent

    claims. We also study the properties of thetransformed-binomial class of asset pricing rocesses.We illustrate the results of the paper with severalexamples.

    Abstract

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    multiplicative-binomial option pricingmodel: Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (1979),Rendlemen and Bartter (1979), and Sharpe(1978)

    pricing by arbitrage: According to this rule,when there are no arbitrage opportunities, if

    a portfolio of stocks and bonds replicates thepayoffs of an option then the option musthave the same current price as its replicatingportfolio.

    I. Introduction (1/7)

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    Multiplicative-binomial (hereafter, M-binomial) model:

    This M-binomial model assumes that u = 2 and d=0.5.

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    The SL-binomial model with a lower bound E at

    maturity:

    For example, ifr=1.25 and E =10 then this SL-

    binomial model assumes that u = 2.1429 and d=

    0.3571.

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    The following SU-binomial model:

    In this SU-binomial model, it is assumed that u =1.4107 and d=0.7106.

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    The following SB-binomial model with a threshold F:

    For example, ifF =300 then this SB-binomial model

    assumes that u = 2.5 and d=0.4545.

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    The SL-binomialmodel

    Following Johnson (1949), the transformation for the

    SL-binomial is defined as the following in this article:

    , ,ln t i ti k i k g S S rE (!

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    The SU-binomialmodel

    The transformation for the SU-binomial model is

    defined as:

    1, , , ,sinh ln 1i k i k i k i k g S S S S ! !

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    The SB-binomialmodel

    The third example considered in this paper is the SB-

    binomial model, corresponding to the SB-normal model

    of Johnson (1949). The transformation for the SB-

    binomial model is as follows:

    ,

    ,

    ,

    lni k

    i k

    i k

    Sg S

    SF

    !

    Figure 1: The convergence ofthe S_L binomial priceto its closed form

    solution

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    solution

    13.3

    13.35

    13.4

    13.45

    13.5

    13.55

    13.6

    20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

    number oftimes teps

    p

    rice

    S_L b inomial

    price

    closed-form

    This figure shows the convergence pattern resulting from option pricecalculations with the SL-binomial model. We use the following selection of

    parameters: S=100, K=100, r=0.1, E = 20, t=1.0, W =0.25.

    Figure 2: The convergence of the S_U binomial price to its closed form

    solution

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    solution

    23.75

    23.8

    23.85

    23.9

    23.95

    24

    24.05

    24.1

    24.15

    24.2

    24.25

    24.3

    20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

    number of time steps

    price

    S_U binomial

    price

    closed-form

    This figure shows the convergence pattern resulting from option price

    calculations with the SU-binomial model. We use the following selection of

    parameters: S=100, K=100, r=0.1, t=1.0, W =0.25.

    Figure 3: The convergence ofthe S_B binomial price

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    12.08

    12.1

    12.12

    12.14

    12.16

    12.18

    12.2

    12.22

    12.24

    20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200

    number oftimes teps

    p

    rice

    S_B b inomial

    price

    This figure shows the convergence pattern resulting fromoption price calculations with the S

    B-binomial model. We

    use the following selection of parameters: S=100, K=100, r=0.1, F =

    300, t=1.0, W =0.25.