creating value in an era of exponential change learning series

44
Brian Vellmure inno vantage http://www.brianvellmure.com @BrianVellmure Creating Value in an era of Exponential Change

Upload: higher-logic

Post on 23-Jan-2018

848 views

Category:

Education


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Brian Vellmure innovantage

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

Creating Value in an era of Exponential Change

Story of disabled creating songs with their minds?

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

“I’ve seen more technological

change in the last eight months

than I have in [the last]

19 years combined”

– Jeremy Bailenson Founding Director, Stanford University Virtual Human Interaction Lab

Super human senses

Unlimited memory

Awareness of the world’s knowledge

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

Instant access to 1000’s of expert AIs

Ability to visualize as easily as you can see

Mind to mind communication

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH CURVES

BIOTECHNOLOGY

BIOINFORMATICS

COMPUTATIONAL SYSTEMS

NETWORKS AND SENSORS

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

ROBOTICS

DIGITAL MANUFACTURING

MEDICINE

NANOMATERIALS

NANOTECHNOLOGY

@BRIANVELLMURE HTTP://WWW.BRIANVELLMURE.COMBRIAN VELLMURE

IMAGE CREDIT: http://www.mkomo.com/cost-per-gigabyte-update

COSTS DECLINING EXPONENTIALLY

Every Industry Effected

Every Industry Affected

@BrianVellmure http://www.brianvellmure.comIMAGE CREDIT: http://www.flickr.com/photos/katherinenaomi/3456906437/sizes/z/in/photostream/

WE’RE BECOMING SMARTER ABOUT THE TINY DETAILS OF OUR WORLD

DE-COUPLING CAPABILITIES LEADING TO MORE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIPS AND

MODELS

This ties to previous slide - this is a really important point that ties to what happens when hierarchies get overwhelmed. It’s safe to say that at some point all of them will likely be overwhelmed

SCALING UP COMPLEXITY

SHORTER CYCLE TIMES

Founded 200955 Employees$19,000,000,000 Market Cap$345,454,545 value/employee

Founded 1902159,000 Employees$3,000,000,000 Market Cap$16,667 value/employee

THE NEW SCARCITIES

attention

loyalty

insight

relevancy

intelligent recommendations

privacy

IN A WORLD OF INCREASED ACCESS

THE NEW SCARCITIES ARE:

THINGS THAT

COMMAND A PREMIUM

COMMAND A

PREMIUM

COMMAND A

PREMIUM

CONTEXT

COMMAND A

PREMIUM

EXPERIENCE

What this means for organizations

IMAGE CREDIT: effectiveui.com

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR ORGANIZATIONS?

WE’RE ALL NODES IN A NETWORK

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

INDUSTRY FRAGMENTATION AND

CONSOLIDATION HAPPENING AT THE

SAME TIME

PLATFORM

AGGREGATOR

INTERMEDIARY

LARGE COMPANIES SMALLER PLAYERS

NICHE

SPECIALIZED

FOCUSED

HIGHLY TARGETED

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR

INDIVIDUALS?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_computer

CREATIVE ENDEAVORS

SOCIAL INTERACTIONS

PHYSICAL DEXTERITY /

MOBILITY

Source: Erik Brynjolfsson & Andrew McAfee, http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-34175290

Where Humans beat Machines

We ask hard questions We tolerate ambiguity We have soft skills  We innovate 

Exponential Technology is affecting everyone in every industry.

It’s pace will continue to advance.

Cycle times are getting shorter

Industries, Organizations, Jobs, and Roles will be displaced

New Opportunities will open up

SUMMARY (SITUATION)

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

Think Networks (not hierarchies)

Be the platform or a niche provider that scales

Focus on new scarcities - align efforts around producing them

Speed, Continuous learning, Creativity, Innovation are key

Trust, Context, and Experience are key differentiators

SUMMARY (ACTION)

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

Human capabilities (creative and social) help to create the greatest differentiated value

Leverage emerging tech and automation help to leverage and distribute units of value.

SUMMARY (ACTION)

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure

Thank you. Let’s Discuss.Brian Vellmure innovantage

http://www.brianvellmure.com@BrianVellmure