UUniversity of Tokyo IInstitute of Social Science

PPanel Survey

Discussion Paper Series

Misaki Matano

April 2019

No.110

INSTITUTE OF SOCIAL SCIENCE UNIVERSITY OF TOKYO

1

No. 110

2019 4

JSPS 25000001, 18H05204

S 18103003, 22223005

2

)

1980 1

20 34

1980 3 1980

1990 1990

2015 46.5

1 20-34

2017

2 1

2

1950 1 2

3 18

1 1975-79 1980-84

2014

29.5

35.1

41.7 42.744.0

45.347.6 46.5

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

3

80 50 60

15 18

2

7

3 18

7

4 (

1

20.6 20.7 21.1

21.5 21.6 21.8

21.2 20.9

21.4 21.1

21.4

22.2 22.7

23.1

22.0 21.8

19.0

20.0

21.0

22.0

23.0

24.0

12.5 17.6 17.1 16.3 15.6 18.6 23.4

32.8

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

4

1

Mulder 2009

Stauber

and Walther 2002

Berngruber 2017

2003; 2009;

2018

Stone et al. 2014; Berngruber 2015

Stone et al.

2014

2017

6 7 1 2 4 5

231

5

231

Japanese Life Course Panel Surveys: JLPS 1 11 2007

2017 2007

1 20 40

t-

1 2 t

1 0

t-1 t-1 t-1

15 t-

t-1

JLPS 25 50 25 753 0

2 3 25 50 25 75 100

75 150 200 150 250 300 250350 400 350 450 500 450 600

700 600 850 1,000 850 1,2501,500 1,250 1,750 2,000 1,750 2,250

2,250 14

6

4

t-1

15 6

5

t- 1

0

t-1

t 1 0

t-1 t

t-1 t 1 0

t-1 t 1

0

1 20 34

4

1 11

1 5 4

4 1 11 10

4

4 5 1

1 11

7

4 11

.)

1 20 34

t-1

1

15

7.1

12.8

51.3

42.4

41.6

44.8

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

(n=1292)

(n=991)

8

1

B S.E. B S.E.

-.057 .023 * -.132 .020 ***

-.148 .094 .089 .052

ref.

-.189 .330 -.090 .218

.792 .471 .156 .483

ref.

-1.323 .209 *** -1.382 .202 ***

ref.

-.163 .341 -.150 .315

ref.

.043 .471 -.133 .468

15 ref.

-.084 .217 .108 .197

-.172 .648 .099 .480

-.431 .357 -.325 .281

-.527 .659 -.304 .519

.723 .476 -.561 .538

.227 1.093 1.624 .935

-2LL 961.140 1258.883

Nagelkerke R2 .106 .117

n 4348 6958

*** p

9

2010

2

B S.E. B S.E.

-.119 .019 *** -.165 .020 ***

1.652 .323 *** .830 .304 **

-.001 .001 * -.001 .001

1.897 .338 *** 1.050 .400 **

.827 .735 1.259 .532 *

.161 .635 1.424 .629

-2LL 1039.055 1245.119

Nagelkerke R2 .097 .083

n 4694 6952

*** p

10

Berngruber, Ann, 2015, “‘Generation Boomerang’ in Germany? Returning to the Parental Home in

Young Adulthood,” Journal of Youth Studies, 18(10): 1274-1293.

Berngruber, Ann, 2017, “Leaving the Parental Home as a Transition Marker to Adulthood,” Andy

Furlong ed., Handbook of Youth and Young Adulthood (second edition), NY: Routledge, 193-

198.

2003

33: 41-60

2017

No.103

2018 2015

SSM 2 (2015 SSM ) 45-59

Mulder, C. H., 2009, “Leaving the Parental Home in Young Adulthood,” Andy Furlong ed., Handbook

of Youth and Young Adulthood: New Perspectives and Agendas, NY: Routledge, 203-210.

Scabini et al. 2006

Stauber, B. and A. Walther, 2002, “Introduction: Young Adults in Europe – Transitions, Policies and

Social Change,” A. Walther, B. Stauber, A. Biggart, M. du Bois-Raymond, A. Furlong, A. Lopez

Blasco, S. Morch and J. Machado Pais eds., Misleading Trajectories: Integration Policies for

Young Adults in Europe? An EGRIS Publication, Opladen: Leske + Budrich, 11-26.

Stone, Juliet, Ann Berrington and Jane Falkingham, 2014, “Gender, Turning Points, and Boomerangs:

Returning Home in Young Adulthood in Great Britain,” Demography, 51: 257-276.

2009

65(2): 28-44

11

2010 “ ” “ ”

42(1): 35-76

S 2006 2009 2010 2014 C 2013

2016 2015 2017 A 2015 2018B 2016 2020 2018 2024

2004 2006

2006

2008

http://csrda.iss.u-tokyo.ac.jp/panel/