xi

DAFTAR ISI

LEMBAR PENGESAHAN .................................................................................. ii

LEMBAR PERNYATAAN ................................................................................. iii

HALAMAN PERNYATAAN PERSETUJUAN PUBLIKASI TUGAS

AKHIR UNTUK KEPENTINGAN AKADEMIS ............................................. iv

LEMBAR PERSEMBAHAN ................................................................................ v

ABSTRAK ........................................................................................................... vii

ABSTRACT ......................................................................................................... viii

KATA PENGANTAR .......................................................................................... ix

DAFTAR ISI ......................................................................................................... xi

DAFTAR TABEL............................................................................................... xiv

DAFTAR GAMBAR ............................................................................................ xv

DAFTAR LAMPIRAN ..................................................................................... xvii

BAB I PENDAHULUAN ....................................................................................... 1

1.1 Latar Belakang .......................................................................................... 1

1.2 Rumusan Masalah ..................................................................................... 6

1.3 Tujuan dan Sasaran ................................................................................... 6

1.4 Manfaat Penelitian .................................................................................... 7

1.5 Ruang Lingkup Penelitian......................................................................... 7

1.5.1 Ruang Lingkup Materi .................................................................... 7

1.5.2 Ruang Lingkup Wilayah ................................................................. 8

1.6 Metode Penelitian .................................................................................. 10

1.6.1 Pendekatan Penelitian ................................................................... 10

1.6.2 Metode Pengumpulan Data ........................................................... 10

1.6.3 Metode Pengambilan Sampel ....................................................... 12

1.6.4 Metode Analisis ............................................................................ 13

1.6.5 Desain Penelitian .......................................................................... 18

1.7 Kerangka Berfikir ................................................................................... 19

1.8 Sistematika Penulisan ............................................................................. 20

BAB II TINJAUAN LITERATUR ..................................................................... 21

2.1 Pengertian Perumahan ............................................................................ 21

2.1.1 Tipe Perumahan Berdasarkan Konstruksi ..................................... 22

2.1.2 Penggolongan Sarana Hunian ....................................................... 22

2.1.3 Fungsi Rumah ............................................................................... 23

2.2 Pengertian Bencana ................................................................................ 23

2.2.1 Jenis – Jenis Bencana ................................................................... 25

2.2.2 Faktor Penyebab Bencana ............................................................. 26

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2.3 Banjir ...................................................................................................... 27

2.3.1 Karakteristik Banjir ...................................................................... 28

2.3.2 Penyebab Banjir........................................................................... 29

2.3.3 Dampak dan Akibat Banjir ........................................................... 30

2.3.4 Pengendalian Banjir ...................................................................... 31

2.4 Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Keputusan Tetap Tinggalnya Masyarakat di

Kawasan Rawan Bencana ....................................................................... 33

2.9 Tinjauan Penelitian Terdahulu ................................................................ 39

BAB III GAMBARAN UMUM........................................................................... 43

3.1 Gambaran Umum Kota Bandar Lampung............................................... 43

3.1.1 Wilayah Administratif .................................................................. 43

3.1.2 Topografi ...................................................................................... 46

3.1.3 Klimatologi ................................................................................... 47

3.1.4 Hidrologi ...................................................................................... 49

3.1.5 Kependudukan .............................................................................. 51

3.2 Gambaran Umum Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ................................... 54

3.2.1 Wilayah Administrasi ................................................................... 55

3.2.2 Topografi ...................................................................................... 55

3.1.1 Hidrologi ...................................................................................... 56

3.2.3 Kependudukan .............................................................................. 56

3.3.3 Karakteristik Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ................................. 63

3.4 Gambaran Umum Masyarakat di Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ............ 66

3.4.1 Sejarah Bermukim ........................................................................ 66

3.4.2 Faktor Sosial ................................................................................. 68

3.4.3 Faktor Ekonomi ............................................................................ 70

3.4.4 Faktor Fisik Lingkungan............................................................... 73

3.4.5 Kejadian Banjir di Rumah Responden .......................................... 75

3.4.6 Upaya Antisipasi Responden terhadap Banjir ............................... 78

BAB IV FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KEPUTUSAN

MASYARAKAT BERMUKIM DI KAWASAN RAWAN

BENCANA BANJIR DI KELURAHAN KALIBALAU

KENCANA ........................................................................................... 82

4.1 Karakteristik Banjir Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ................................ 82

4.2 Identifikasi Faktor-Faktor Apa Saja Yang Mempengaruhi Masyakarat

Bermukim Di Kawasan Rawan Banjir .................................................... 86

4.2.1 Identifikasi Faktor ........................................................................ 86

4.2.2 Proses Verifikasi Faktor ............................................................... 88

4.2.3 Penetapan Faktor – Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Keputusan

Masyarakat Tetap Bermukim di Kawasan Rawan Banjir ............. 92

4.3 Faktor Yang Paling Mempengaruhi Masyarakat Tetap Bermukim di

Kawasan Rawan Bencana Banjir ............................................................ 93

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4.3.1 Uji Signifikansi Korelasi .............................................................. 94

4.3.2 Uji Regresi Logistik Biner ............................................................ 95

BAB V PENUTUP ............................................................................................. 108

5.1 Temuan Studi ........................................................................................ 108

5.2 Kesimpulan ........................................................................................... 109

5.3 Rekomendasi ........................................................................................ 111

5.4 Keterbatasan Studi ................................................................................ 112

5.5 Saran Studi Lanjutan ............................................................................. 112

DAFTAR PUSTAKA ......................................................................................... 113

LAMPIRAN ........................................................................................................ 117

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7 DAFTAR TABEL

TABEL I.1 : Data Kejadian Bencana Banjir Tahun 2014-2018 ................ 3

TABEL II.1 : Proporsi Sampel di Setiap Lokasi Banjir ............................. 13

TABEL II.2 : Tipe Rumah Berdasarkan Konstruksi ................................... 22

TABEL II.3 : Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Keputusan Masyarakat Tetap

Bermukim ............................................................................. 37

TABEL II.4 : Keterkaitan dengan Penelitian Terdahulu ............................ 40

TABEL III. 1 : Luas Wilayah Kota Bandar Lampung menurut Kecamatan

Tahun 2017 ........................................................................... 44

TABEL III. 2 : Kemiringan Kota Bandar Lampung ..................................... 47

TABEL III. 3 : Zonasi Kawasan Resapan Air Kota Bandar Lampung ......... 51

TABEL III. 4 : Jumlah Penduduk Kota Bandar Lampung ............................ 51

TABEL III. 5 : Kepadatan Penduduk Kota Bandar Lampung Menurut

Kecamatan Tahun 2017 ........................................................ 53

TABEL III. 6 : Kemiringan Kota Bandar Lampung ..................................... 56

TABEL III. 7 : Pesebaran penduduk Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ............ 56

TABEL III. 8 : Sarana Kesehatan, Pendidikan, Perdagangan dan Jasa di

Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana .............................................. 64

TABEL III. 9 : Keikutsertaan Responden dalam Kegiatan Masyarakat ....... 69

TABEL III. 10 : Bentuk Antisipasi Terhadap Banjir yang Dilakukan

Responden ............................................................................ 80

TABEL IV. 1 : Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Tetap Bermukimnya

Masyarakat di Kawasan Rawan Banjir ............................... 86

TABEL IV. 2 : Faktor dan Sub Faktor Tetap Bermukimnya Masyarakat

di Kawasan Rawan Banjir .................................................... 87

TABEL IV. 3 : Penjelasan Faktor Yang Digunakan ..................................... 89

TABEL IV. 4 : Hasil Penentuan Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Keputusan

Masyarakat terhadap Keinginan Tetap Bermukim di

Kawasan Rawan Banjir ........................................................ 92

TABEL IV. 5 : Hasil Uji Signifikansi Korelasi............................................. 94

TABEL IV. 6 : HASIL ANALISIS DEPENDENT VARIABLE

ENCODING.......................................................................... 96

TABEL IV. 7 : HASIL ANALISIS ITERATION HISTORYA,B,C ................... 97

TABEL IV. 8 : HASIL ANALISIS OMNIBUS TEST.................................. 98

TABEL IV. 9 : HASIL ANALISIS HOSMER AND LEMESHOW TEST..... 99

TABEL IV. 10 : HASIL ANALISIS PSEUDO R SQUARE ........................... 100

TABEL IV. 11 : HASIL ANALISIS VARIABLE IN THE EQUATION ......... 101

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8 DAFTAR GAMBAR

GAMBAR 1.1 : Kecamatan Terdampak Bencana di Kota Bandar Lampung 2

GAMBAR 1.2 : Peta Rawan Bencana Banjir Kota Bandar Lampung ............ 5

GAMBAR 1.3 : Peta Deliniasi Wilayah Studi ................................................ 9

GAMBAR 2.1 : Proses Terjadinya Bencana .................................................. 25

GAMBAR 3. 1 : Peta Administrasi Kota Bandar Lampung ............................ 45

GAMBAR 3. 2 : Curah Hujan Kota Bandar Lampung Tahun 2017 ................ 47

GAMBAR 3. 3 : Peta Topografi Kota Bandar Lampung ................................ 48

GAMBAR 3. 4 : Kepadatan Penduduk Kota Bandar Lampung Menurut

Kecamatan Tahun 2017 ........................................................ 54

GAMBAR 3. 5 : Jumlah Penduduk Berdasarkan Usia Kelurahan Kalibalau

Kencana ................................................................................ 58

GAMBAR 3. 6 : Peta Administrasi Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ................ 59

GAMBAR 3. 7 : Peta Kemiringan Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana .................. 60

GAMBAR 3. 8 : Peta Jenis Air Tanah Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ............ 61

GAMBAR 3. 9 : Peta Kepadatan Penduduk Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana ... 62

GAMBAR 3. 10 : Kondisi Jalan dan Sungai di Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana 63

GAMBAR 3. 11 : Trayek Angkutan Umum Yang Melewati Kelurahan

Kalibalau Kencana ............................................................... 65

GAMBAR 3. 12 : Jangka Waktu Tinggal Responden ....................................... 66

GAMBAR 3. 13 : Presentase Kepemilikan Lahan Responden .......................... 67

GAMBAR 3. 14 : Presentase Kepemilikan Rumah Responden ........................ 67

GAMBAR 3. 15 : Persentase Tingkat Pendidikan Responden .......................... 68

GAMBAR 3. 16 : Persentase Ikatan Sosial Responden ..................................... 69

GAMBAR 3. 17 : Frekuensi Pertemuan Kegiatan Masyarakat ......................... 70

GAMBAR 3. 18 : Persentase Pekerjaan Responden .......................................... 71

GAMBAR 3. 19 : Persentase Tingkat Pendapatan Responden ......................... 71

GAMBAR 3. 20 : Persentase Pengeluaran Responden ...................................... 72

GAMBAR 3. 21 : Persentase Lokasi Pekerjaan Responden .............................. 72

GAMBAR 3. 22 : Persentase Jenis Rumah Responden ..................................... 73

GAMBAR 3. 23 : Presentase Bentuk Rumah Responden ................................. 74

GAMBAR 3. 24 : Presentase Resapan Air di Rumah Responden ..................... 74

GAMBAR 3. 25 : Presentase Jarak Rumah Responden dengan Sungai ............ 75

GAMBAR 3. 26 : Presentase Lokasi Rumah Responden .................................. 76

GAMBAR 3. 27 : Presentase Frekuensi Kejadian Banjir di Rumah

Responden ............................................................................ 76

GAMBAR 3. 28 : Presentase Tinggi Banjir di Rumah Responden ................... 77

GAMBAR 3. 29 : Presentase Lama Banjir di Rumah Responden..................... 77

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GAMBAR 3. 30 : Presentase Responden yang Memiliki Dana Perbaikan

Rumah .................................................................................. 78

GAMBAR 3. 31 : Presentase Kegiatan Responden Membersihkan Selokan .... 79

GAMBAR 3. 32 : Presentase Responden Melakukan Upaya Antisipasi

Terhadap Banjir .................................................................... 79

GAMBAR 3. 33 : Upaya Masyarakat untuk Mengantisipasi Banjir di

Kelurahan Kalibalau Kencana .............................................. 80

GAMBAR 3. 34 : Presentase Pengetahuan Responden Terhadap Program

Pemerintah dalam Menangani Banjir ................................... 81

GAMBAR 3. 35 : Presentase Keinginan Responden Untuk Tetap Bermukim . 81

GAMBAR 4.1 : Persebaran Lokasi Bencana Banjir Kelurahan Kalibalau

Kencana ................................................................................ 85

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9 DAFTAR LAMPIRAN

LAMPIRAN A : PERANGKAT SURVEI ................................................... 118

LAMPIRAN B : HASIL INPUT KUESIONER ........................................... 122

LAMPIRAN C : OUTPUT SPSS ................................................................. 127

TABEL C. 1 : Correlation ......................................................................... 127

TABEL C. 2 : Case Processing Summary ................................................ 131

TABEL C. 3 : Dependent Variable Encoding .......................................... 131

TABEL C. 4 : Iteration History Beginning Block .................................... 131

TABEL C. 5 : Classification Table Beginning Block ............................... 132

TABEL C. 6 : Variables In The Equation Beginning Block ..................... 132

TABEL C. 7 : Variables Not In The Equation .......................................... 132

TABEL C. 8 : Iteration History Method = Backward Stepwise ............... 133

TABEL C. 9 : Omnibus Test of Model Coefficients Method = Backward

Stepwise ............................................................................. 133

TABEL C. 10 : Model Summary Method = Backward Stepwise................ 134

TABEL C. 11 : Hosmer and Lemeshow Test Method = Backward

Stepwise ............................................................................. 134

TABEL C. 12 : Contingency Table For Hosmer and Lemeshow Test

Method = Backward Stepwise ........................................... 134

TABEL C. 13 : Classification Table Method = Backward Stepwise.......... 135

TABEL C. 14 : Variable In The Equation Method = Backward Stepwise . 135

TABEL C. 15 : Correlation Matrix ............................................................. 136

TABEL C. 16 : Model If Term Removed Method = Backward Stepwise ... 136

TABEL C. 17 : Variable Not In The Equation Method = Backward

Stepwise ............................................................................. 136

LAMPIRAN D : Chi Square Tabel ............................................................... 139

LAMPIRAN E : KARAKTERISTIK KELURAHAN KALIBALAU

KENCANA ....................................................................... 140

LAMPIRAN F :DATA KEJADIAN BENCANA BANJIR TAHUN 2014-

2018 ................................................................................... 141

LAMPIRAN G : PETA DELINIASI BANJIR KELURAHAN

KALIBALAU KENCANA ............................................... 142

LAMPIRAN H : PETA SEBARAN ANTISIPASI BENCANA BANJIR ... 143

LAMPIRAN I : UPAYA ANTISIPASI YANG DILAKUKAN

MASYARAKAT ............................................................... 144

LAMPIRAN J : PETA SEBARAN KEINGINAN TETAP BERMUKIM . 145