dekarbonizáció atomerőművek nélkül? – nálunk és más országokban
DESCRIPTION
Dekarbonizáció atomerőművek nélkül? – nálunk és más országokban. Kérdések. Miért kell a dekarbonizáció? Mit jelent a dekarbonizáció? Hogyan kell elkészíteni a dekarbonizációs forgatókönyveket? Európai forgatókönyvek – attomal-atom nélkül Hazai forgatókönyvek / hazai lehetőségek Tanulságok. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Dekarbonizci atomermvek nlkl nlunk s ms orszgokban
Dekarbonizci atomermvek nlkl? nlunk s ms orszgokban KrdsekMirt kell a dekarbonizci?Mit jelent a dekarbonizci?Hogyan kell elkszteni a dekarbonizcis forgatknyveket?Eurpai forgatknyvek attomal-atom nlklHazai forgatknyvek / hazai lehetsgekTanulsgok1. Ceterum censeo
Mit jelent a dekarbonizci?A veszlyes mrtk ghajlatvltozs elkerlse (2 C)Az antropogn eredet veghzhats gz kibocstsokat globlis mrtkben a felre kell(ene) cskkenteni 2050-reA fejlett ipari orszgok veghzhats gz kibocstsainak az 1990-es szinthez kpest 80-90%-al kell(ene) cskkenni 2050-re2050-re az egy fre jut ves veghzhats gz kibocstsokat kb. 1 f/tonna szintre kell(ene) cskkenteni
Lehet, hogy mindez kevs s ksn jn de mg ez is irrelisan radiklisnak tnik
Hogyan kell elkszteni a dekarbonizcis forgatknyveket? 1.Nzpontok: kiinduls a jelenbl, kiinduls a jvblAggreglt 2050-es dekarbonizcis cl meghatrozsaSzektorlis dekarbonizcis clok meghatrozsa potencil felmrs alapjnSzektorlis forgatknyvek kidolgozsa opcikkal (vannak vlaszthat s nem vlaszthat elemek)
Hogyan kell elkszteni a dekarbonizcis forgatknyveket? - 2.Opcik kltsgeinek, hatsainak felmrse s elemzse, MegvalsthatsgKltsgBeruhzsi kltsgFenntartsi kltsg Energia/termk bekerlsi kltsgTrsadalmi kltsgKltsgek idbeni tervezse kltsgvetsi ciklusokTrsadalmi vita s dnts az opcikrl s a vgleges preferlt tvonal meghatrozsa
2020-as clok flrevezet voltaStrukturlis vltozsokkal jr kibocsts cskkentsHatkonysgon alapul kibocsts cskkents20502050Korai strukturlis vltozsokKsi strukturlis vltozsokStrukturlis vltozsokkal jr kibocsts cskkentsHatkonysgon alapul kibocsts cskkents20102010Strukturlis vltozsokkal jr kibocsts cskkents
Kslekeds a kibocsts cskkentsben jval magasabb kltsgeket jelent a jvben
Ha azonnal cseleksznk akkor a GDP 2 %-a a kltsgTz ves ksedelem duplzza a kltsgeket, ha nem cseleksznk, akkor viszont a GDP 20 %-ig emelkednekSzoksos zletmenetA kezdpont ksleltetse nveli a cskkents ves arnytves globlis kibocstsok (GT CO2e)5,7 % egyenl az USA teljes elektromos ram szektorval8Eurpai forgatknyvekEurpai Bizottsg 2050-es forgatknyveiIEA World Energy Outlook 2010Eurelectric Power ChoicesGreenpeace, EREC - energy revolutionEREC RE-ThinkingSEI Europes Share of the Climate ChallengeECF Roadmap 2050
MegjulkNuklerisFldgzOlajSzilrdEU 2050-es dekarbonizcis titerv European Climate Foundation
az elektromos ram jvbeli kltsgei a dekarbonizlsi forgatknyvek mellett hasonlak a jelenlegi karbon-intenzv infrastruktrhoz kthet rakhoz dekarbonizlt ermvi szektor megbzhatsga, rendszer stabilitsa szempontjbl a tanulmny szintn a jelenlegi szektorhoz hasonl megbzhatsgot tallt A tke kltsgek eloszlsa tekintetben jelent nagy eltrst a jelenlegi karbon intenzv technolgia megjtsval szemben az, hogy az energia infrastruktrra vonatkoz tkebefektetst az elkvetkez 15 vben 50-100%-al meg kell nvelni az infrastruktra fenntartsnak folyamatosan cskken kltsge jellemzi 2020-tl 2015 eltti cselekvs elfelttele, hogy a 80%-os dekarbonizcis cl 2050-re megvalsthat legyenEU energiaigny alakulsa 2050-ig
Energia kereslet 2005Energia kereslet 2050pletekIparhatkonysgEnergia termels belertve e. hatkonysgE.JrmpletIparzemanyag vlt.Energia szksglet a dekarboniztl titervekhezram igny a klnbz forgatknyvek szerint szektorok
Elektromos ram ellltsa a forgatknyvek szerintImport
Ms megjulk
Geotermlis
Napenergia
Biomassza
Szl
Vz
Ms nem-megjul
Gz +CCS
Gz CCS
Szilrd + CCS
Szilrd CCS
NuklerisForgatknyvek kltsgei
az elektromos ram jvbeli kltsgei a dekarbonizlsi forgatknyvek mellett hasonlak a jelenlegi karbon-intenzv infrastruktrhoz kthet kltsgekhez dekarbonizlt ermvi szektor megbzhatsga, rendszer stabilitsa szempontjbl a jelenlegi szektorhoz hasonl megbzhatsg tke kltsgek eloszlsa tekintetben nagy eltrst jelent a jelenlegi karbon intenzv technolgia megjtsval szemben: az energia infrastruktrra vonatkoz tkebefektetst az elkvetkez 15 vben 50-100%-al meg kell nvelni a megnvekedett beruhzst ignyl peridust az infrastruktra fenntartsnak folyamatosan cskken kltsge jellemzi 2020-tl 2015 eltti cselekvs elfelttele, hogy a 80%-os dekarbonizcis cl 2050-re megvalsthat legyen egysges eurpai rendszerek szksgesekTansgok az unis forgatknyvek kapcsnMivel egysges rendszert vizsglnak nagyobb flexibilitssal rendelkeznek mint az orszg szint forgatknyvekNagy a bizonytalansg a teljes elektromos ram igny mennyisge kapcsnA kzlekedsi eredet ram igny egyrtelmen nvekszikNukleris opcik a forgatknyvek tbbsgben jelen vannak EREC s GP (Ecofys) fejlesztett nukleris mentes forgatknyveketHazai forgatknyvekNFFT klmatrvny httrtanulmnyEnergia forradalom GreenpeaceEnergiastratgia 2030/HDU tervezetA jelenlegi risi energiahatkonysgi potencil kiaknzsa ltal primerenergia-ignyek a jelenlegi 1085 PJ/vrl (2010) 796 PJ/v-re cskkenthetek 2050-re2050-re az ram krlbell 78%-ban megjulkbl fog szrmazni. 2050-re a primerenergia-ignyek 75%-t a megjul energiaforrsok fogjk kielgteni.A htermel szektorban a megjulk rszesedse 2050-re 93%-ra emelkedik aA kapcsolt h- s villamosenergia-termel (CHP) ermvek hasznlatnak terjedse A kzlekedsi szektor villamostsnak arnya a vgs energiafelhasznlsban 2050-re elri a 65%-otA megjul energiaforrsokkal meghajtott elektromos jrmvek 2020-tl kezdve egyre nagyobb teret hdtanakEnergy revolution (GP-Ecofys)Energiastratgia 2030A stratgia a primer energia-felhasznls 6%-os nvekedsvel szmol 2030-ig. A megadott forgatknyvek tlnyomrszt az atomenergia tovbbi bvlst irnyozzk elAz ramtermelsre vonatkoz forgatknyvek mindegyike alapnak tekinti a jelenleg mkd paksi reaktorok 20 ves lettartam-hosszabbtstAz egyik forgatknyv mg a sznenergia tovbbi bvtsvel, pontosabban egy j, 440MW-os lignittzels blokkal is szmol a Mtrai ErmbenA megjul alap elektromos energia tern legoptimistbb forgatknyv szerint is csak 35%-os rszarnyt tudunk elrni Magyarorszgon 2050-reHazai napenergia potencil nagyobb mrtk kzvetlen ramtermelsre val felhasznlsra csak 2016 utn lt lehetsget magas rak miattCCS tern ambicizus a tervHtermels tern tervez jelents megjul alap fejlesztst - biomasszaHDU tervezet: dekarbonizcis potencil 2030-2050
A HDU kb. 70%-os cskkentsi szintet mutat 2050-re 1990-hez viszonytvaA nuklerishozzjruls 5,4 MtCCS hozzjruls 1.5 MtMegjulk 10,1 MtLb-jegyzetram termels karbon lb-nyoma (letciklus)Sznerm 960 gCO2e/kWhGz erm 443 gCO2e/kWhNukleris erm 66 gCO2e/kWh Fotovoltaikus erm 32 gCO2e/kWhSzlerm 10 gCO2e/kWhNukleris ramtermels karbon-lbnyom sszetevi:Ftelem elllts 38 %Erm pts 12 %Mkds 17 %Tzelanyag s hulladk kezels 14 %Erm felszmols 19 %
A 2050-ig tart kibocsts cskkents vonatkozsban ksztettnk egy illusztratv forgatknyvet, hogy milyen cskkentsek lehetnek szksgesek egyes veghzhats gzt kibocst szektorokban. A kibocsts cskkents szektorok kztti elosztsa nulla sszeg jtk, mivel ha egy szektor kevesebbet cskkent, akkor ms szektoroknak kell mlyebb cskkentseket vgrehajtani.A forgatknyv szakrti becslsen alapul a szektorok kibocsts cskkentsi potencilja szempontjbl, de a szektorok nagysgi arnyait figyelembe veszi az ssz-kibocstson bell.
A legnagyobb kibocsts cskkentsi szksglet/potencil hrom szektorra koncentrldik:Ermvi szektor a termelsen bell nagyobb igny a villamos ramra Kzlekeds kolaj cscs miatt nem fosszilis zemanyag korai bevezethetsg miatt vlheten villamos hajtspletek fldgz kitettsg megszntetse ersebb knyszer, mint a kibocsts-cskkentsi clok24 A din a szektorlis kibocsts cskkentsi arnyok megjelentse a 2007-es s 2050-es kibocstsi szintek sszehasonltsval.Alapveten a legnagyobb cskkentsi szksglet s lehetsg az ermvi szektorban, a kzlekedsben s az pletekhez tartoz kibocstsok kapcsn kpzelhet el. Az pletekhez tartoz kibocstsok megjelennek a lakossgi kibocstsok radiklis cskkentsnl (tbb mint 4 milli laks!), a mezgazdasg energiafogyasztsnl valamint az egyb fogyasztk energiafelhasznlsnl.Amennyiben a kibocsts-cskkentsi lpsek ezekre a szektorokra (pletek, kzlekeds s ermvi szektor) koncentrlnak mr most, akkor azzal a nagy szektorlis kibocsts cskkentsek megvalsthatak.Az ermvi szektorban vltozs vrhat a teljes felhasznlt energia igny (figyelembe vve, h. a lakossg 8,9 mill krl lesz 2050-re)A fldhasznlat, fldhasznlat vltozs s erdszet hatst konstansnak vettk, mivel az erdllomny kibocsts elnyel szerepnek megtartshoz is nagy erfesztsek szksgesek (tarvgs teljes tilalma mindenhol lland zrt erdkorona), tekintettel az elkerlhetetlen klmavltozs negatv hatsaira
HDU tervezet: dekarbonizcis potencil 2030-2050
A HDU kb. 70%-os cskkentsi szintet mutat 2050-re 1990-hez viszonytvaA nuklerishozzjruls 5,4 MtCCS hozzjruls 1.5 Mt
Lehetsges kibocstsi plyk Magyarorszg szmra
30A vizsglat sorn hrom kibocstsi plyt modelleztnk, amelyek szempontjbl a 2050-es kibocstsi cl (80%) valamint az orszg szmra biztostott kibocstsi kltsgvets keretei voltak adottak. A plyk meghatrozsa szempontjbl figyelembe lett vve, hogy a kibocsts hatsa lassan bontakozik ki s a kibocsts cskkents utols, 2049-hez kzelt szakaszban az egysgnyi kibocsts cskkentsi intzkedsek kltsgei megemelkednek, ezrt cskken hatkonysg tendencival kell szmolni itt. Szmtsaink alapjn az EU vrhat 30%-os cskkentsi vllalsa 34% cskkentsi szintet r el 2020-ra 1990-hez kpest. A plyk esetben ez egy meghatroz pont volt nem volt megengedett ennl magasabb kibocsts 2020-ban.
A grafikonon hrom kibocsts cskkentsi plya lthat: 1, gazdasgi s kibocstsi nvekedssel indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl2, stagnl/cskken kibocstsokkal indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl3, 2020-ra 40 %-os cskkentst megvalst plya amely hazai cskkentsre pt
A grafikon ezen tl tartalmazza a KvVM ltal az ENSz ghajlatvltozsi Keretegyezmny irnyba 2009. decemberben leadott 5. Nemzeti Kommunikci 2020-as prognzisnak adatait is, kt plya vonatkozsban. A hivatalos prognzis a 2025-ig elrejelzst nyjt HUNMIT modellre plt, a meglv technolgiai potencilok figyelembevtelvel.
Lehetsges kibocstsi plyk Magyarorszg szmra
31A vizsglat sorn hrom kibocstsi plyt modelleztnk, amelyek szempontjbl a 2050-es kibocstsi cl (80%) valamint az orszg szmra biztostott kibocstsi kltsgvets keretei voltak adottak. A plyk meghatrozsa szempontjbl figyelembe lett vve, hogy a kibocsts hatsa lassan bontakozik ki s a kibocsts cskkents utols, 2049-hez kzelt szakaszban az egysgnyi kibocsts cskkentsi intzkedsek kltsgei megemelkednek, ezrt cskken hatkonysg tendencival kell szmolni itt. Szmtsaink alapjn az EU vrhat 30%-os cskkentsi vllalsa 34% cskkentsi szintet r el 2020-ra 1990-hez kpest. A plyk esetben ez egy meghatroz pont volt nem volt megengedett ennl magasabb kibocsts 2020-ban.
A grafikonon hrom kibocsts cskkentsi plya lthat: 1, gazdasgi s kibocstsi nvekedssel indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl2, stagnl/cskken kibocstsokkal indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl3, 2020-ra 40 %-os cskkentst megvalst plya amely hazai cskkentsre pt
A grafikon ezen tl tartalmazza a KvVM ltal az ENSz ghajlatvltozsi Keretegyezmny irnyba 2009. decemberben leadott 5. Nemzeti Kommunikci 2020-as prognzisnak adatait is, kt plya vonatkozsban. A hivatalos prognzis a 2025-ig elrejelzst nyjt HUNMIT modellre plt, a meglv technolgiai potencilok figyelembevtelvel.
Lehetsges kibocstsi plyk Magyarorszg szmra
32A vizsglat sorn hrom kibocstsi plyt modelleztnk, amelyek szempontjbl a 2050-es kibocstsi cl (80%) valamint az orszg szmra biztostott kibocstsi kltsgvets keretei voltak adottak. A plyk meghatrozsa szempontjbl figyelembe lett vve, hogy a kibocsts hatsa lassan bontakozik ki s a kibocsts cskkents utols, 2049-hez kzelt szakaszban az egysgnyi kibocsts cskkentsi intzkedsek kltsgei megemelkednek, ezrt cskken hatkonysg tendencival kell szmolni itt. Szmtsaink alapjn az EU vrhat 30%-os cskkentsi vllalsa 34% cskkentsi szintet r el 2020-ra 1990-hez kpest. A plyk esetben ez egy meghatroz pont volt nem volt megengedett ennl magasabb kibocsts 2020-ban.
A grafikonon hrom kibocsts cskkentsi plya lthat: 1, gazdasgi s kibocstsi nvekedssel indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl2, stagnl/cskken kibocstsokkal indtott plya amely megengedi a jelents kvtavsrlst a fejld orszgoktl3, 2020-ra 40 %-os cskkentst megvalst plya amely hazai cskkentsre pt
A grafikon ezen tl tartalmazza a KvVM ltal az ENSz ghajlatvltozsi Keretegyezmny irnyba 2009. decemberben leadott 5. Nemzeti Kommunikci 2020-as prognzisnak adatait is, kt plya vonatkozsban. A hivatalos prognzis a 2025-ig elrejelzst nyjt HUNMIT modellre plt, a meglv technolgiai potencilok figyelembevtelvel.
Lehetsges kibocstsi plyk Magyarorszg szmra
33Melyik ujjamat harapjam meg?Teljes villanyenergia igny mennyi?Megjul arny?Nukleris arny? CCS igen/nem s ha igen, akkor mennyi?Mennyit tud cskkenteni az energiahatkonysg a teljes villany igny tern?A megjulkkal mennyire kompenzlhat a nukleris kapacits kiiktatsa? A CCS technolgia hasznlata s kockzatai mennyire elfogadhatak, relisak?Regionlis egyttmkds lehetsgei s hasznlataTanulsgokA dekarbonizci elkerlhetetlenAz energia szektor nagymrtk dekarbonizcija elkerlhetetlenA dekarbonizci sorn nincsen fekete-fehr dntsi lehetsg, kompromisszumokat kell ktniMagyarorszg tekintetben kulcskrds a megjul alap ramtermels krdse a nukleris krds ellenpontjakntA nukleris krds mellett hasonl dilemmt jelent a CCS technolgia hasznlata
Ksznm a figyelmket!
Feiler [email protected]@klimapolitika.comMunka1Trtnelmi, memlkTradicionlis tbblaksos (1960 eltti)Tbblaksos, ipari technolgia 1992 elttiCsaldi hz 1992 elttiCsaldi hz 1992-2010Tbblaksos hz 1993-201Passzv hzFtsi energiaigny kWh/m2/v20720723043014412115
Munka10000000
Energiaigny kWh/m2/v
Munka2Szektor200720502050magyarzatCO2 ekv. milli tCskkents %CO2 ekv. milli t.ermvek18,396803,679CCS? + technikai potencil a kibocsts cskkentsre 95 %-ot meghaladipar energiafogyaszts10,081158,569CCS a nagyobb kibocstknl? + emiatti energiaigny nvekedse + megjulkra tlls + olajfinomts megsznik?ipar technolgia5,395602,180CCS a nagyobb kibocstknl?: msz, vasipar, mszkfelhasznls az ermvekben, tejsznhab parton megszntetse, marad az altatgz, ht- s klmaberendezsekben CO2, tbbi F-gz felhasznlsa marad, meglv direkt gets rszben elektromos, cement: geopolimer alapkzlekeds kzti12,64195632megjul, elektromos autk, zemanyagcells autkkzlekeds vast, hajzs1941000mezgazdasg energiafogyaszts1,0979555pletek passzvv alaktsa, gpek fleg megjul energia felhasznlsvalmezgazdasg technolgia9,477177,880Sertsllomny -40%, mtrgya-felhasznlsbl ered kibocsts felezselakossg energiafogyaszts8,45095422tlagos plet minimum passzv hzz alaktva (esetenknt 0 kibocstsv) 45 % hatsfok nvekeds, tzels 90 %-a villamoshulladk4,13695207getsnl CCS?, lerakknl metn visszanyers, ami energiatermelsre fordtdik, hasonlkpp a szennyvzkezelsbenegyb fogyasztk energiafelhasznls3,91395196tlagos plet minimum passzv plett alaktva (esetenknt 0 kibocstsv) fkpp pletekhez kapcsold kibocstsokenergia technolgia (fugitv)2,16595108hazai kolaj s fldgz kitermels megsznik az ezzel kapcsolatos kibocstsokkal, fldalatti gztrolsra nem lesz szksg, marad: lignit bnyszat kb. 0 kibocstssal, gzhlzat szivrgsa megsznik a lakossgi felhasznls hinybanLULUCF-4,1380-4,138Marad konstans erdsts ellenre klmavltozs miatt nvekv mrtkben kibocst is a LULUCF szektorsszesen71,80619,790
Munka3
Diagram3117794.612377892117794.612377892117794.612377892112599.932807178112599.932807178112599.932807178112592.522287168112592.522287168112592.522287168106641.812500808106641.812500808106641.812500808103992.296353551103992.296353551103992.29635355196081.763527418396081.763527418396081.763527418387519.406000753987519.406000753987519.406000753977190.916198474777190.916198474777190.916198474775498.988117226775498.988117226775498.988117226774469.242016689574469.242016689574469.242016689572779.166094204472779.166094204472779.166094204478879.356850433278879.356850433278879.356850433276793.37152353376793.37152353376793.37152353375479.894487744575479.894487744575479.894487744577466.140911759477466.140911759477466.140911759476658.837945864876658.837945864876658.837945864877296.798640867477296.798640867477296.798640867476049.954734608576049.954734608576049.954734608577280.833213653377280.833213653377280.833213653377175.952068736477175.952068736477175.952068736475857.675372920575857.675372920575857.6753729205757667576625714.57476114.150389461876114.150389461876114.150389461826159.15873363.708875958273363.708875958273363.708875958227492.26769098.363805245169098.363805245169098.363805245127236.6167716.396529140267716.3965291402200922401.26973318.3266334.429253035320106964870109.4575310.71466334.4292530353201176442.97666334.4292530353201276811.2566334.4292530353201368062.89476507.16866334.4292530353201467002.601675617.8569047.989920156271766284.8765818.172474225.90468536.912201664521.472409.42667875.2653201763123.80927024267067.2201861636.65667792.69866117.4711201960070.927665126.0865031.438420205328863879.0758437.342462302.19463815.0665202156746.3559376.57662474.9248202255008.131256400.2561018.1875202353232.59853419.72859452.6336202451429.393650477.0157786.6469202549607.892447609.58456029.216202647777.244850.42654189.9343202745946.15324222852279202844123.3239766.25850307.2161202942316.999637484.6448285.9904203040535.222435398.07446227.3355203138785.7533516.97644143.8688203237076.075231847.2542048.8125203335413.42230390.28839955.9936203433804.745629142.969999999937879.8439203532256.732428097.66435835.4203630775.827242.225999999933838.3033203729368.097226559.999999999931904.8203828039.50426029.817999999930051.7411203926795.63162562628296.5824204025641.822425318.35426657.3845204124583.1525072.17625152.8128204223624.419224848.2523802.1375204322770.16624602.84822625.2336204422024.657624287.729999999921642.5809204521391.892423850.143999999920875.264204620875.623232.825999999920344.9723204720479.24122237420074204820206.00821207.37819953.6850434685204920058.823619833.370086937119833.3700869371205019833.3700869371
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
CO2Cnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob GtC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199072,470.790.07250.07252.1618.0865032687.010,374,8235,290,4520.196199168,859.660.06890.14136.610,354,842199262,578.150.06260.20396.110,337,236199363,338.310.06330.26726.110,310,179199462,145.010.06210.32946.010,276,968199561,501.840.06150.39091.9714.89283987566.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199662,781.770.06280.45376.110,212,300199761,067.350.06110.51476.010,174,442199860,476.260.06050.57526.010,135,358199960,380.210.06040.63566.010,091,789200058,491.750.05850.69411.8112.01519335445.810,043,2246,115,3670.164200159,889.410.05990.75405.910,200,298200258,496.390.05850.81255.710,174,853200361,640.230.06160.87416.110,142,362200459,897.930.05990.93405.910,116,742200561,098.910.06110.99511.7110.26758619396.110,097,5496,512,2760.155200659,757.460.05981.05495.910,076,5816,461,584,000200757,751.800.05781.11265.710,066,15820080.05781.170420090.05781.22816000.20520100.05781.28591.598.350134934510,016,7096,908,6880.145201120122013201420151.506.62119443129,924,3957,302,1860.136201620172018201920201.415.15403213969,839,6797,674,8330.128202120222023202420251.343.89822636179,743,1378,011,5330.122202620272028202920301.272.77197445139,613,4658,308,8950.116203120322033203420351.211.75489689979,458,5728,570,5700.110203620372038203920401.160.84894582919,294,4748,801,1960.106204120422043204420451.120.06689287939,131,1788,996,3440.1012046204720482049205011001.08-0.59693920928,968,2239,149,9840.098total fossil CO21990-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091100Gt1990-2009WGBU500Gt2010-2050maradk600Gt
&C&A&CPage &PSource: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.
CO2eqCnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob Gt2010-es bzissalC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199094,999.900.095002.941632.53471806119.210,374,8235,290,4520.196199186,306.770.086308.310,354,842199276,135.840.076107.410,337,236199373,513.580.073507.110,310,179199472,436.570.072407.010,276,968199571,226.820.071202.6929.03210094717.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199678,500.850.078507.710,212,300199776,430.710.076407.510,174,442199873,999.340.074007.310,135,358199977,448.510.077407.710,091,789200077,188.220.07720.07720.07718821592.4625.87607205027.710,043,2246,115,3670.164200177,173.590.07720.15440.15436180857.610,200,298200276,245.200.07620.23060.2306070047.510,174,853200376,744.260.07670.30740.30735126867.610,142,362200475,703.400.07570.38310.38305467217.510,116,742200575,766.480.07580.45880.45882114892.3323.95940207067.510,097,5496,512,2760.155200674,755.850.07480.53360.53357700357.410,076,5816,461,584,000200771,805.970.07180.60540.60538297247.110,066,15820080.07180.67720.677188941320090.07180.749000.74899491020.00020100.07180.82080.82080087922.1721.856457341910,016,7096,908,6880.14520110.892606848120120.96441281720131.036218785920141.108024754820151.17983072382.0419.96025982459,924,3957,302,1860.13620161.251636692720171.323442661620181.395248630520191.467054599420201.53886056841.9218.35116483859,839,6797,674,8330.12820212.319859449920222.319859449920232.319859449920242.319859449920252.31985944991.8216.9738729119,743,1378,011,5330.12220262.319859449920272.319859449920282.319859449920292.319859449920302.31985944991.7415.73866784049,613,4658,308,8950.11620312.319859449920322.319859449920332.319859449920342.319859449920352.31985944991.6614.62319861259,458,5728,570,5700.11020362.319859449920372.319859449920382.319859449920392.319859449920402.31985944991.5813.6296061979,294,4748,801,1960.10620412.319859449920422.319859449920432.319859449920442.319859449920452.31985944991.5212.77189775719,131,1788,996,3440.10120462.319859449920472.319859449920482.319859449920492.3198594499205015002.1748070691.4712.04384681738,968,2239,149,9840.098total CO2eq2000-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091500Gt1990-2009Gt2010-2050Gthttp://unfccc.int/di/servlet/GraphBeanServlet?id=graphDetailedByGas_img&random=graphDetailedByGas12629791322103EF49AA82DE0562F367742860AE80724.diprod01
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2eq00000000000.07718821590.15436180850.2306070040.30735126860.38305467210.45882114890.53357700350.60538297240.67718894130.74899491020.82080087920.89260684810.9644128171.03621878591.10802475481.17983072381.25163669271.32344266161.39524863051.46705459941.53886056842.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.174807069
5 ves bontsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. FellendlsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./v40%201073,31866,33468933.730164395201575,61869,04865,818.17202065,12665,03158,437.34202550,47757,78749,607.89203037,48548,28640,535.22203529,14337,88032,256.73204025,62628,29725,641.82204524,28821,64321,391.89205019,83319,83319,833.3799165.85201020152020202520302035204020452050EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. Fellendls73,318.3275,617.8565,126.0850,477.0137,484.6429,142.9725,626.0024,287.7319,833.37%73.9476.2565.6750.9037.8029.3925.8424.4920.00EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)68,933.7369,047.9965,031.4457,786.6548,285.9937,879.8428,296.5821,642.5819,833.37%69.5169.6365.5858.2748.6938.2028.5321.8220.002020-ra 40 % cskkents + gazdasgi vlsg68,933.7365,818.1758,437.3449,607.8940,535.2232,256.7325,641.8221,391.8919,833.37%69.5166.3758.9350.0340.8832.5325.8621.5720.00
&C&A&CPage &P
2020_40199099166.85200575,857.68Kibocstsok1985117,794.611986112,599.931987112,592.522005200519901988106,641.81EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya-3025714.57418000.2018EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya CER-ekkel-4525714.57414143.01571989103,992.30Nem ETS kibocstsok 30% plya250,143.1051145.9634003789199096,081.76199187,519.41199277,190.92199375,498.99199474,469.24199572,779.17199678,879.36199776,793.37199875,479.89199977,466.14200076,658.8477.30200177,296.8077.95200276,049.9576.69200377,280.8377.93200477,175.9577.82200575,857.6876.49200676,114.1576.75200773,363.7173.98200869,098.3669.68200970,369.8570.96201068,933.7369.51201168,933.7369.51201268,933.7369.51201368,062.8968.63201467,002.6067.57201565,818.1766.37201664,521.4065.06201763,123.8163.65201861,636.6662.15201960,070.9360.58202058,437.3458.93
CO2 eq. alap scenrikeddigi kibocstsokkummulatv kibocstsok2005-s npessgi bzison2010-es npessgi bzison2015-s npessgi bzisonEU 20%-os 2020EU 30%-os 2020EU 80%-os 2050kumm. EU 80%-os 2051idelis plya 1.kumm. Idelis plyaGazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyakumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)kumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazd. Vlsg)idelis plyakumm. Idelis plya40 % scenidelis plya 3.kumm. Idelis plyamegvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikkETS kibocstsNem ETS kibocsts2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhatt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.90-es bzis99165.851985115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969117,795117,79521712.8488504732117,795117,7951986111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234112,600112,60016518.1692797601112,600112,6001987111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369112,593112,59316510.7587597499112,593112,5931988105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539106,642106,64210560.0489733898106,642106,6421989102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987103,992103,9927910.5328261328103,992103,992199095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00094,999.9096,08296,08273212.358689505896,08296,082199186,307181,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,307181,30786,30787,51987,51987,51987,519199276,136257,44376,13676,13676,13676,13676,13676,136257,44376,13677,19177,19177,19177,191199373,514330,95673,51473,51473,51473,51473,51473,514330,95673,51475,49975,49975,49975,499199472,437403,39372,43772,43772,43772,43772,43772,437403,39372,43774,46974,46974,46974,469199571,227474,61971,22771,22771,22771,22771,22771,227474,61971,22772,77972,77972,77972,779199678,501553,12078,50178,50178,50178,50178,50178,501553,12078,50178,87978,87978,87978,879199776,431629,55176,43176,43176,43176,43176,43176,431629,55176,43176,79376,79376,79376,793199873,999703,55073,99973,99973,99973,99973,99973,999703,55073,99975,48075,48075,48075479.894487744575,480199977,449780,99977,44977,44977,44977,44977,44977,449780,99977,44977,46677,46677,46677,46677,466200077,188858,18777,18877,18877,18877,18877,18877,188858,18777,18877,18876,65976,65976,65976,65976,65976,65977188.21588885970200177,174935,36177,17477,17477,17477,17477,17477,174935,36177,174154,36277,297153,95677,297153,95677,297153,95677173.59261229040200276,2451,011,60676,24576,24576,24576,24576,24576,2451,011,60676,245230,60776,050230,00676,050230,00676,050230,00676245.19548235820200376,7441,088,35076,74476,74476,74476,74476,74476,7441,088,35076,744307,35177,281307,28677,281307,28677,281307,28676744.26462262080200475,7031,164,05475,70375,70375,70375,70375,70375,7031,164,05475,703383,0552000-200777,176384,46277,176384,46277,176384,46275703.40351536960200575,7661,239,82075,76675,76675,76675,76675,76675,7661,239,82075,766458,8212008-204975,858460,32075,858460,32075,858460,32075766.47680242580757667576625,714.57200674,7561,314,57674,75674,75674,75674,75674,75674,7561,314,57674,756533,57776,114536,43476,114536,43476,114536,43474755.8545493438026,159.16200771,8061,386,38271,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,386,38271,806605,3832000-es per f alapon73,364609,79873,364609,79873,364609,79871805.9689212448027,492.27200871,8061,458,18871,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,458,18871,806677,1892,463,43969,098678,89669,098678,89669,098678,89671805.9689212448091.069299922627,236.61200971,8061,529,99471,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,529,994171,806748,995933,44667,716746,61367,716.4746,61367,716746,61370369.8495428199022,401.27201071,80671,80671,80672,33471,27172,3341,602,328271,559.8820,55573,318819,93166,334.4812,94766,334812,94768933.73016439506964870109.45201171,80671,80671,80672,86270,73572,8621,675,190371,163.7891,7181858056.4254372175,311895,24266,334.4879,28266,334879,28268933.7301643950201271,80671,80671,80673,39070,20073,3901,748,580470,622.2962,34125.876072050276,443971,68566,334.4945,61666,334945,61668933.7301643950201371,80671,80671,80673,91869,66473,9181,822,499569,943.11,032,28476,8111,048,49666,334.41,011,95066,3341,011,95068933.73016439568,06368,06368,062.89201471,80671,80671,80674,44669,12974,4461,896,945669,134.11,095,69676,5071,125,00366,334.41,078,28566,3341,078,28567,003135,06567,002.60201571,80671,80671,80674,97468,59474,9741,971,919768,203.01,157,68375,6181,200,62169,048.01,147,33369,048.01,147,33365,818.2200,88465,818.176271766284.87201671,80671,80671,80675,50368,05875,5032,047,422867,157.61,221,09574,2261,274,84768,536.91,215,87068,536.91,215,87064,521.4265,40564,521.40201771,80671,80671,80676,03167,52376,0312,123,453966,005.41,283,08272,4091,347,25667,875.31,283,74567,875.31,283,74563,123.8328,52963,123.81201871,80671,80671,80676,55966,98876,5592,200,0111064,754.41,347,83670,2421,417,49867,067.21,350,81267,067.21,350,81261,636.7390,16661,636.66201971,80671,806-137,59977,08766,45277,0872,277,0981163,412.31,411,24867,7931,485,29166,117.51,416,93066,117.51,416,93060,070.9450,23660,070.93202071,80671,806077,61565,91777,6152,354,7131261,986.71,473,23565,1261,550,41765,031.41,481,96165,031.41,481,96159500.110260811258,437.3508,67458,437.3477.135328863879.07202171,806-145,052075,6612,430,3741360,485.51,533,72062,3021,612,71963,815.11,545,77662,302.21,544,26356,746.4565,42056,746.35202271,8060073,7072,504,0811458,916.31,592,63759,3771,672,09662,474.91,608,25159,376.61,603,64055,008.1620,42855,008.132023-137,6600071,7532,575,8351557,287.01,649,92456,4001,728,49661,018.21,669,26956,400.31,660,04053,232.6673,66153,232.60202400069,8002,645,6341655,605.31,705,52953,4201,781,91659,452.61,728,72253,419.71,713,46051,429.4725,09051,429.39202500067,8462,713,4801753,878.91,759,40850,4771,832,39347.464525892557,786.61,786,50939.856800314150,477.01,763,93749583.425217342749,607.9774,69849,607.89202600065,8922,779,3721852,115.51,811,52447,6101,880,00256,029.21,842,53847,609.61,811,54647,777.2822,47547,777.20202700063,9382,843,3101950,323.01,861,84744,8501,924,85354,189.91,896,72844,850.41,856,39745,946.2868,42245,946.15202800061,9842,905,2952048,509.01,910,35642,2281,967,08152,279.01,949,00742,228.01,898,62544,123.3912,54544,123.32202900060,0302,965,3252146,681.41,957,03739,7662,006,847-149,38150,307.21,999,31439,766.31,938,39142,317.0954,86242,317.00203000058,0773,023,4022244,847.72,001,88537,4852,044,33248,286.02,047,60037,484.61,975,87639666.740173874240,535.2995,39740,535.22203100056,1233,079,5242343,015.92,044,90135,3982,079,73046,227.32,093,82735,398.12,011,27438,785.81,034,18338,785.75203200054,1693,133,6932441,193.62,086,09433,5172,113,24744,143.92,137,97133,517.02,044,79137,076.11,071,25937,076.08203300052,2153,185,9082539,388.62,125,48331,8472,145,09442,048.82,180,02031,847.32,076,63835,413.41,106,67235,413.42203400050,2613,236,1702637,608.52,163,09130,3902,175,48439,956.02,219,97630,390.32,107,02833,804.71,140,47733,804.75203500048,3073,284,4772735,861.32,198,95329,1432,204,62737,879.82,257,85629,143.02,136,17132725.060643446232,256.71,172,73432,256.73203600046,3543,330,8312834,154.62,233,10728,0982,232,72535,835.42,293,69128,392.92,164,56430,775.81,203,51030,775.80203700044,4003,375,2312932,496.12,265,60327,2422,259,96733,838.32,327,52927,559.62,192,12429,368.11,232,87829,368.10203800042,4463,417,6763030,893.72,296,49726,5602,286,52731,904.82,359,43426,726.22,218,85028,039.51,260,91728,039.50203900040,4923,458,1693129,354.92,325,85226,0302,312,55730,051.72,389,48625,892.82,244,74326,795.61,287,71326,795.63204000038,5383,496,7073227,887.72,353,74025,6262,338,18328,296.62,417,78325,059.42,269,80224791.712608671325,641.81,313,35525,641.82204100036,5843,533,2913326,499.72,380,23925,3182,363,50126,657.42,444,44024,226.02,294,02824,583.21,337,93824,583.15204200034,6313,567,9223425,198.72,405,43825,0722,388,57425,152.82,469,59323,392.72,317,42123,624.41,361,56223,624.42204300032,6773,600,5993523,992.52,429,43124,8482,413,42223,802.12,493,39522,559.32,339,98022,770.21,384,33222,770.17204400030,7233,631,3223622,888.72,452,31924,6032,438,02522,625.22,516,02021,725.92,361,70622,024.71,406,35722,024.66204500028,7693,660,0913721,895.12,474,21424,2882,462,31221,642.62,537,66321,642.62,383,34922312.541347804221,391.91,427,74921,391.89204600026,8153,686,9063821,019.52,495,23423,8502,486,16220,875.32,558,53820,875.32,404,22420,8761,448,62520,875.60204700024,8613,711,7683920,269.52,515,50323,2332,509,39520,345.02,578,88320,345.02,424,56920,4791,469,10420,479.24204800022,9083,734,6754019,653.12,535,15622,3742,531,76920,074.02,598,95720,074.02,444,64320,2061,489,31020,206.01204900020,9543,755,6294119,177.82,554,334Hinyz mennyisg:21,2072,552,977Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,618,911Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,464,59720,0591,509,369Hinyz mennyisg:20,058.82205000019,0003,774,6294219,0002,573,334109,89519,8332,572,81089,53719,8332,638,744155,47119,833.42,484,4301,509,369-954,07119,833.37kummulatv kibocstsi clok:2,325,8112,174,8072,038,649y = 1,2908x3 - 84,298x2 + 0,8424x + 71885y = -0,188x4 + 18,656x3 - 587,63x2 + 4588,3x + 66346y = 0,0252x4 - 0,1651x3 - 81,024x2 + 689,47x + 68188y = 0,0252x4 - 0,0603x3 - 82,061x2 + 513,98x + 68700-289.1855200389vi hiny 2020 utntl:modell:modell:modell:modell:-31802.35986105752009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpest2009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpestgazd. Vlsg az elejn20052006200720082009 becslt2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhat2025-ig -25% 2007-2009-hez kpes2015-ig +5% 2007/2008-hoz kpest2010-2014: 4%-os cskkens 2008-hoz kpest2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpestETS kibocsts25714.626159.227492.327236.622401.320300.018000.218000.216714.52035-ig -50% 2007-2009-hez kpes2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpestETS alloklt mennyisg30236.230236.230236.224044.02025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2045-ig -78% 1990-hez kpestnem ETS kibocsts50142.449954.845870.741852.441187.755110.041852.455110.041852.42050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpestteljes kibocsts75857.076114.073363.069089.064089.075410.059852.673110.258566.92040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)2040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)1990-es bzis9916585099165.859916585099,165,8502050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2050-ig -80% 1990-es bzishoz kpest LULUCF-felbzis adat:99166.8504346854
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2 eq. alap scenrik000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
00
MBD09029880.unknown
MBD090296B8.unknown
Diagram3117794.612377892117794.612377892117794.612377892112599.932807178112599.932807178112599.932807178112592.522287168112592.522287168112592.522287168106641.812500808106641.812500808106641.812500808103992.296353551103992.296353551103992.29635355196081.763527418396081.763527418396081.763527418387519.406000753987519.406000753987519.406000753977190.916198474777190.916198474777190.916198474775498.988117226775498.988117226775498.988117226774469.242016689574469.242016689574469.242016689572779.166094204472779.166094204472779.166094204478879.356850433278879.356850433278879.356850433276793.37152353376793.37152353376793.37152353375479.894487744575479.894487744575479.894487744577466.140911759477466.140911759477466.140911759476658.837945864876658.837945864876658.837945864877296.798640867477296.798640867477296.798640867476049.954734608576049.954734608576049.954734608577280.833213653377280.833213653377280.833213653377175.952068736477175.952068736477175.952068736475857.675372920575857.675372920575857.6753729205757667576625714.57476114.150389461876114.150389461876114.150389461826159.15873363.708875958273363.708875958273363.708875958227492.26769098.363805245169098.363805245169098.363805245127236.6167716.396529140267716.3965291402200922401.26973318.3266334.429253035320106964870109.4575310.71466334.4292530353201176442.97666334.4292530353201276811.2566334.4292530353201368062.89476507.16866334.4292530353201467002.601675617.8569047.989920156271766284.8765818.172474225.90468536.912201664521.472409.42667875.2653201763123.80927024267067.2201861636.65667792.69866117.4711201960070.927665126.0865031.438420205328863879.0758437.342462302.19463815.0665202156746.3559376.57662474.9248202255008.131256400.2561018.1875202353232.59853419.72859452.6336202451429.393650477.0157786.6469202549607.892447609.58456029.216202647777.244850.42654189.9343202745946.15324222852279202844123.3239766.25850307.2161202942316.999637484.6448285.9904203040535.222435398.07446227.3355203138785.7533516.97644143.8688203237076.075231847.2542048.8125203335413.42230390.28839955.9936203433804.745629142.969999999937879.8439203532256.732428097.66435835.4203630775.827242.225999999933838.3033203729368.097226559.999999999931904.8203828039.50426029.817999999930051.7411203926795.63162562628296.5824204025641.822425318.35426657.3845204124583.1525072.17625152.8128204223624.419224848.2523802.1375204322770.16624602.84822625.2336204422024.657624287.729999999921642.5809204521391.892423850.143999999920875.264204620875.623232.825999999920344.9723204720479.24122237420074204820206.00821207.37819953.6850434685204920058.823619833.370086937119833.3700869371205019833.3700869371
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
CO2Cnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob GtC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199072,470.790.07250.07252.1618.0865032687.010,374,8235,290,4520.196199168,859.660.06890.14136.610,354,842199262,578.150.06260.20396.110,337,236199363,338.310.06330.26726.110,310,179199462,145.010.06210.32946.010,276,968199561,501.840.06150.39091.9714.89283987566.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199662,781.770.06280.45376.110,212,300199761,067.350.06110.51476.010,174,442199860,476.260.06050.57526.010,135,358199960,380.210.06040.63566.010,091,789200058,491.750.05850.69411.8112.01519335445.810,043,2246,115,3670.164200159,889.410.05990.75405.910,200,298200258,496.390.05850.81255.710,174,853200361,640.230.06160.87416.110,142,362200459,897.930.05990.93405.910,116,742200561,098.910.06110.99511.7110.26758619396.110,097,5496,512,2760.155200659,757.460.05981.05495.910,076,5816,461,584,000200757,751.800.05781.11265.710,066,15820080.05781.170420090.05781.22816000.20520100.05781.28591.598.350134934510,016,7096,908,6880.145201120122013201420151.506.62119443129,924,3957,302,1860.136201620172018201920201.415.15403213969,839,6797,674,8330.128202120222023202420251.343.89822636179,743,1378,011,5330.122202620272028202920301.272.77197445139,613,4658,308,8950.116203120322033203420351.211.75489689979,458,5728,570,5700.110203620372038203920401.160.84894582919,294,4748,801,1960.106204120422043204420451.120.06689287939,131,1788,996,3440.1012046204720482049205011001.08-0.59693920928,968,2239,149,9840.098total fossil CO21990-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091100Gt1990-2009WGBU500Gt2010-2050maradk600Gt
&C&A&CPage &PSource: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.
CO2eqCnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob Gt2010-es bzissalC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199094,999.900.095002.941632.53471806119.210,374,8235,290,4520.196199186,306.770.086308.310,354,842199276,135.840.076107.410,337,236199373,513.580.073507.110,310,179199472,436.570.072407.010,276,968199571,226.820.071202.6929.03210094717.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199678,500.850.078507.710,212,300199776,430.710.076407.510,174,442199873,999.340.074007.310,135,358199977,448.510.077407.710,091,789200077,188.220.07720.07720.07718821592.4625.87607205027.710,043,2246,115,3670.164200177,173.590.07720.15440.15436180857.610,200,298200276,245.200.07620.23060.2306070047.510,174,853200376,744.260.07670.30740.30735126867.610,142,362200475,703.400.07570.38310.38305467217.510,116,742200575,766.480.07580.45880.45882114892.3323.95940207067.510,097,5496,512,2760.155200674,755.850.07480.53360.53357700357.410,076,5816,461,584,000200771,805.970.07180.60540.60538297247.110,066,15820080.07180.67720.677188941320090.07180.749000.74899491020.00020100.07180.82080.82080087922.1721.856457341910,016,7096,908,6880.14520110.892606848120120.96441281720131.036218785920141.108024754820151.17983072382.0419.96025982459,924,3957,302,1860.13620161.251636692720171.323442661620181.395248630520191.467054599420201.53886056841.9218.35116483859,839,6797,674,8330.12820212.319859449920222.319859449920232.319859449920242.319859449920252.31985944991.8216.9738729119,743,1378,011,5330.12220262.319859449920272.319859449920282.319859449920292.319859449920302.31985944991.7415.73866784049,613,4658,308,8950.11620312.319859449920322.319859449920332.319859449920342.319859449920352.31985944991.6614.62319861259,458,5728,570,5700.11020362.319859449920372.319859449920382.319859449920392.319859449920402.31985944991.5813.6296061979,294,4748,801,1960.10620412.319859449920422.319859449920432.319859449920442.319859449920452.31985944991.5212.77189775719,131,1788,996,3440.10120462.319859449920472.319859449920482.319859449920492.3198594499205015002.1748070691.4712.04384681738,968,2239,149,9840.098total CO2eq2000-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091500Gt1990-2009Gt2010-2050Gthttp://unfccc.int/di/servlet/GraphBeanServlet?id=graphDetailedByGas_img&random=graphDetailedByGas12629791322103EF49AA82DE0562F367742860AE80724.diprod01
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2eq00000000000.07718821590.15436180850.2306070040.30735126860.38305467210.45882114890.53357700350.60538297240.67718894130.74899491020.82080087920.89260684810.9644128171.03621878591.10802475481.17983072381.25163669271.32344266161.39524863051.46705459941.53886056842.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.174807069
5 ves bontsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. FellendlsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./v40%201073,31866,33468933.730164395201575,61869,04865,818.17202065,12665,03158,437.34202550,47757,78749,607.89203037,48548,28640,535.22203529,14337,88032,256.73204025,62628,29725,641.82204524,28821,64321,391.89205019,83319,83319,833.3799165.85201020152020202520302035204020452050EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. Fellendls73,318.3275,617.8565,126.0850,477.0137,484.6429,142.9725,626.0024,287.7319,833.37%73.9476.2565.6750.9037.8029.3925.8424.4920.00EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)68,933.7369,047.9965,031.4457,786.6548,285.9937,879.8428,296.5821,642.5819,833.37%69.5169.6365.5858.2748.6938.2028.5321.8220.002020-ra 40 % cskkents + gazdasgi vlsg68,933.7365,818.1758,437.3449,607.8940,535.2232,256.7325,641.8221,391.8919,833.37%69.5166.3758.9350.0340.8832.5325.8621.5720.00
&C&A&CPage &P
2020_40199099166.85200575,857.68Kibocstsok1985117,794.611986112,599.931987112,592.522005200519901988106,641.81EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya-3025714.57418000.2018EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya CER-ekkel-4525714.57414143.01571989103,992.30Nem ETS kibocstsok 30% plya250,143.1051145.9634003789199096,081.76199187,519.41199277,190.92199375,498.99199474,469.24199572,779.17199678,879.36199776,793.37199875,479.89199977,466.14200076,658.8477.30200177,296.8077.95200276,049.9576.69200377,280.8377.93200477,175.9577.82200575,857.6876.49200676,114.1576.75200773,363.7173.98200869,098.3669.68200970,369.8570.96201068,933.7369.51201168,933.7369.51201268,933.7369.51201368,062.8968.63201467,002.6067.57201565,818.1766.37201664,521.4065.06201763,123.8163.65201861,636.6662.15201960,070.9360.58202058,437.3458.93
CO2 eq. alap scenrikeddigi kibocstsokkummulatv kibocstsok2005-s npessgi bzison2010-es npessgi bzison2015-s npessgi bzisonEU 20%-os 2020EU 30%-os 2020EU 80%-os 2050kumm. EU 80%-os 2051idelis plya 1.kumm. Idelis plyaGazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyakumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)kumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazd. Vlsg)idelis plyakumm. Idelis plya40 % scenidelis plya 3.kumm. Idelis plyamegvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikkETS kibocstsNem ETS kibocsts2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhatt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.90-es bzis99165.851985115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969117,795117,79521712.8488504732117,795117,7951986111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234112,600112,60016518.1692797601112,600112,6001987111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369112,593112,59316510.7587597499112,593112,5931988105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539106,642106,64210560.0489733898106,642106,6421989102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987103,992103,9927910.5328261328103,992103,992199095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00094,999.9096,08296,08273212.358689505896,08296,082199186,307181,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,307181,30786,30787,51987,51987,51987,519199276,136257,44376,13676,13676,13676,13676,13676,136257,44376,13677,19177,19177,19177,191199373,514330,95673,51473,51473,51473,51473,51473,514330,95673,51475,49975,49975,49975,499199472,437403,39372,43772,43772,43772,43772,43772,437403,39372,43774,46974,46974,46974,469199571,227474,61971,22771,22771,22771,22771,22771,227474,61971,22772,77972,77972,77972,779199678,501553,12078,50178,50178,50178,50178,50178,501553,12078,50178,87978,87978,87978,879199776,431629,55176,43176,43176,43176,43176,43176,431629,55176,43176,79376,79376,79376,793199873,999703,55073,99973,99973,99973,99973,99973,999703,55073,99975,48075,48075,48075479.894487744575,480199977,449780,99977,44977,44977,44977,44977,44977,449780,99977,44977,46677,46677,46677,46677,466200077,188858,18777,18877,18877,18877,18877,18877,188858,18777,18877,18876,65976,65976,65976,65976,65976,65977188.21588885970200177,174935,36177,17477,17477,17477,17477,17477,174935,36177,174154,36277,297153,95677,297153,95677,297153,95677173.59261229040200276,2451,011,60676,24576,24576,24576,24576,24576,2451,011,60676,245230,60776,050230,00676,050230,00676,050230,00676245.19548235820200376,7441,088,35076,74476,74476,74476,74476,74476,7441,088,35076,744307,35177,281307,28677,281307,28677,281307,28676744.26462262080200475,7031,164,05475,70375,70375,70375,70375,70375,7031,164,05475,703383,0552000-200777,176384,46277,176384,46277,176384,46275703.40351536960200575,7661,239,82075,76675,76675,76675,76675,76675,7661,239,82075,766458,8212008-204975,858460,32075,858460,32075,858460,32075766.47680242580757667576625,714.57200674,7561,314,57674,75674,75674,75674,75674,75674,7561,314,57674,756533,57776,114536,43476,114536,43476,114536,43474755.8545493438026,159.16200771,8061,386,38271,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,386,38271,806605,3832000-es per f alapon73,364609,79873,364609,79873,364609,79871805.9689212448027,492.27200871,8061,458,18871,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,458,18871,806677,1892,463,43969,098678,89669,098678,89669,098678,89671805.9689212448091.069299922627,236.61200971,8061,529,99471,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,529,994171,806748,995933,44667,716746,61367,716.4746,61367,716746,61370369.8495428199022,401.27201071,80671,80671,80672,33471,27172,3341,602,328271,559.8820,55573,318819,93166,334.4812,94766,334812,94768933.73016439506964870109.45201171,80671,80671,80672,86270,73572,8621,675,190371,163.7891,7181858056.4254372175,311895,24266,334.4879,28266,334879,28268933.7301643950201271,80671,80671,80673,39070,20073,3901,748,580470,622.2962,34125.876072050276,443971,68566,334.4945,61666,334945,61668933.7301643950201371,80671,80671,80673,91869,66473,9181,822,499569,943.11,032,28476,8111,048,49666,334.41,011,95066,3341,011,95068933.73016439568,06368,06368,062.89201471,80671,80671,80674,44669,12974,4461,896,945669,134.11,095,69676,5071,125,00366,334.41,078,28566,3341,078,28567,003135,06567,002.60201571,80671,80671,80674,97468,59474,9741,971,919768,203.01,157,68375,6181,200,62169,048.01,147,33369,048.01,147,33365,818.2200,88465,818.176271766284.87201671,80671,80671,80675,50368,05875,5032,047,422867,157.61,221,09574,2261,274,84768,536.91,215,87068,536.91,215,87064,521.4265,40564,521.40201771,80671,80671,80676,03167,52376,0312,123,453966,005.41,283,08272,4091,347,25667,875.31,283,74567,875.31,283,74563,123.8328,52963,123.81201871,80671,80671,80676,55966,98876,5592,200,0111064,754.41,347,83670,2421,417,49867,067.21,350,81267,067.21,350,81261,636.7390,16661,636.66201971,80671,806-137,59977,08766,45277,0872,277,0981163,412.31,411,24867,7931,485,29166,117.51,416,93066,117.51,416,93060,070.9450,23660,070.93202071,80671,806077,61565,91777,6152,354,7131261,986.71,473,23565,1261,550,41765,031.41,481,96165,031.41,481,96159500.110260811258,437.3508,67458,437.3477.135328863879.07202171,806-145,052075,6612,430,3741360,485.51,533,72062,3021,612,71963,815.11,545,77662,302.21,544,26356,746.4565,42056,746.35202271,8060073,7072,504,0811458,916.31,592,63759,3771,672,09662,474.91,608,25159,376.61,603,64055,008.1620,42855,008.132023-137,6600071,7532,575,8351557,287.01,649,92456,4001,728,49661,018.21,669,26956,400.31,660,04053,232.6673,66153,232.60202400069,8002,645,6341655,605.31,705,52953,4201,781,91659,452.61,728,72253,419.71,713,46051,429.4725,09051,429.39202500067,8462,713,4801753,878.91,759,40850,4771,832,39347.464525892557,786.61,786,50939.856800314150,477.01,763,93749583.425217342749,607.9774,69849,607.89202600065,8922,779,3721852,115.51,811,52447,6101,880,00256,029.21,842,53847,609.61,811,54647,777.2822,47547,777.20202700063,9382,843,3101950,323.01,861,84744,8501,924,85354,189.91,896,72844,850.41,856,39745,946.2868,42245,946.15202800061,9842,905,2952048,509.01,910,35642,2281,967,08152,279.01,949,00742,228.01,898,62544,123.3912,54544,123.32202900060,0302,965,3252146,681.41,957,03739,7662,006,847-149,38150,307.21,999,31439,766.31,938,39142,317.0954,86242,317.00203000058,0773,023,4022244,847.72,001,88537,4852,044,33248,286.02,047,60037,484.61,975,87639666.740173874240,535.2995,39740,535.22203100056,1233,079,5242343,015.92,044,90135,3982,079,73046,227.32,093,82735,398.12,011,27438,785.81,034,18338,785.75203200054,1693,133,6932441,193.62,086,09433,5172,113,24744,143.92,137,97133,517.02,044,79137,076.11,071,25937,076.08203300052,2153,185,9082539,388.62,125,48331,8472,145,09442,048.82,180,02031,847.32,076,63835,413.41,106,67235,413.42203400050,2613,236,1702637,608.52,163,09130,3902,175,48439,956.02,219,97630,390.32,107,02833,804.71,140,47733,804.75203500048,3073,284,4772735,861.32,198,95329,1432,204,62737,879.82,257,85629,143.02,136,17132725.060643446232,256.71,172,73432,256.73203600046,3543,330,8312834,154.62,233,10728,0982,232,72535,835.42,293,69128,392.92,164,56430,775.81,203,51030,775.80203700044,4003,375,2312932,496.12,265,60327,2422,259,96733,838.32,327,52927,559.62,192,12429,368.11,232,87829,368.10203800042,4463,417,6763030,893.72,296,49726,5602,286,52731,904.82,359,43426,726.22,218,85028,039.51,260,91728,039.50203900040,4923,458,1693129,354.92,325,85226,0302,312,55730,051.72,389,48625,892.82,244,74326,795.61,287,71326,795.63204000038,5383,496,7073227,887.72,353,74025,6262,338,18328,296.62,417,78325,059.42,269,80224791.712608671325,641.81,313,35525,641.82204100036,5843,533,2913326,499.72,380,23925,3182,363,50126,657.42,444,44024,226.02,294,02824,583.21,337,93824,583.15204200034,6313,567,9223425,198.72,405,43825,0722,388,57425,152.82,469,59323,392.72,317,42123,624.41,361,56223,624.42204300032,6773,600,5993523,992.52,429,43124,8482,413,42223,802.12,493,39522,559.32,339,98022,770.21,384,33222,770.17204400030,7233,631,3223622,888.72,452,31924,6032,438,02522,625.22,516,02021,725.92,361,70622,024.71,406,35722,024.66204500028,7693,660,0913721,895.12,474,21424,2882,462,31221,642.62,537,66321,642.62,383,34922312.541347804221,391.91,427,74921,391.89204600026,8153,686,9063821,019.52,495,23423,8502,486,16220,875.32,558,53820,875.32,404,22420,8761,448,62520,875.60204700024,8613,711,7683920,269.52,515,50323,2332,509,39520,345.02,578,88320,345.02,424,56920,4791,469,10420,479.24204800022,9083,734,6754019,653.12,535,15622,3742,531,76920,074.02,598,95720,074.02,444,64320,2061,489,31020,206.01204900020,9543,755,6294119,177.82,554,334Hinyz mennyisg:21,2072,552,977Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,618,911Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,464,59720,0591,509,369Hinyz mennyisg:20,058.82205000019,0003,774,6294219,0002,573,334109,89519,8332,572,81089,53719,8332,638,744155,47119,833.42,484,4301,509,369-954,07119,833.37kummulatv kibocstsi clok:2,325,8112,174,8072,038,649y = 1,2908x3 - 84,298x2 + 0,8424x + 71885y = -0,188x4 + 18,656x3 - 587,63x2 + 4588,3x + 66346y = 0,0252x4 - 0,1651x3 - 81,024x2 + 689,47x + 68188y = 0,0252x4 - 0,0603x3 - 82,061x2 + 513,98x + 68700-289.1855200389vi hiny 2020 utntl:modell:modell:modell:modell:-31802.35986105752009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpest2009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpestgazd. Vlsg az elejn20052006200720082009 becslt2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhat2025-ig -25% 2007-2009-hez kpes2015-ig +5% 2007/2008-hoz kpest2010-2014: 4%-os cskkens 2008-hoz kpest2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpestETS kibocsts25714.626159.227492.327236.622401.320300.018000.218000.216714.52035-ig -50% 2007-2009-hez kpes2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpestETS alloklt mennyisg30236.230236.230236.224044.02025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2045-ig -78% 1990-hez kpestnem ETS kibocsts50142.449954.845870.741852.441187.755110.041852.455110.041852.42050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpestteljes kibocsts75857.076114.073363.069089.064089.075410.059852.673110.258566.92040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)2040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)1990-es bzis9916585099165.859916585099,165,8502050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2050-ig -80% 1990-es bzishoz kpest LULUCF-felbzis adat:99166.8504346854
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2 eq. alap scenrik000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
00
MBD09029880.unknown
MBD090296B8.unknown
Diagram3117794.612377892117794.612377892117794.612377892112599.932807178112599.932807178112599.932807178112592.522287168112592.522287168112592.522287168106641.812500808106641.812500808106641.812500808103992.296353551103992.296353551103992.29635355196081.763527418396081.763527418396081.763527418387519.406000753987519.406000753987519.406000753977190.916198474777190.916198474777190.916198474775498.988117226775498.988117226775498.988117226774469.242016689574469.242016689574469.242016689572779.166094204472779.166094204472779.166094204478879.356850433278879.356850433278879.356850433276793.37152353376793.37152353376793.37152353375479.894487744575479.894487744575479.894487744577466.140911759477466.140911759477466.140911759476658.837945864876658.837945864876658.837945864877296.798640867477296.798640867477296.798640867476049.954734608576049.954734608576049.954734608577280.833213653377280.833213653377280.833213653377175.952068736477175.952068736477175.952068736475857.675372920575857.675372920575857.6753729205757667576625714.57476114.150389461876114.150389461876114.150389461826159.15873363.708875958273363.708875958273363.708875958227492.26769098.363805245169098.363805245169098.363805245127236.6167716.396529140267716.3965291402200922401.26973318.3266334.429253035320106964870109.4575310.71466334.4292530353201176442.97666334.4292530353201276811.2566334.4292530353201368062.89476507.16866334.4292530353201467002.601675617.8569047.989920156271766284.8765818.172474225.90468536.912201664521.472409.42667875.2653201763123.80927024267067.2201861636.65667792.69866117.4711201960070.927665126.0865031.438420205328863879.0758437.342462302.19463815.0665202156746.3559376.57662474.9248202255008.131256400.2561018.1875202353232.59853419.72859452.6336202451429.393650477.0157786.6469202549607.892447609.58456029.216202647777.244850.42654189.9343202745946.15324222852279202844123.3239766.25850307.2161202942316.999637484.6448285.9904203040535.222435398.07446227.3355203138785.7533516.97644143.8688203237076.075231847.2542048.8125203335413.42230390.28839955.9936203433804.745629142.969999999937879.8439203532256.732428097.66435835.4203630775.827242.225999999933838.3033203729368.097226559.999999999931904.8203828039.50426029.817999999930051.7411203926795.63162562628296.5824204025641.822425318.35426657.3845204124583.1525072.17625152.8128204223624.419224848.2523802.1375204322770.16624602.84822625.2336204422024.657624287.729999999921642.5809204521391.892423850.143999999920875.264204620875.623232.825999999920344.9723204720479.24122237420074204820206.00821207.37819953.6850434685204920058.823619833.370086937119833.3700869371205019833.3700869371
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
CO2vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob GtC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199072,470.790.07250.07252.1618.0865032687.010,374,8235,290,4520.196199168,859.660.06890.14136.610,354,842199262,578.150.06260.20396.110,337,236199363,338.310.06330.26726.110,310,179199462,145.010.06210.32946.010,276,968199561,501.840.06150.39091.9714.89283987566.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199662,781.770.06280.45376.110,212,300199761,067.350.06110.51476.010,174,442199860,476.260.06050.57526.010,135,358199960,380.210.06040.63566.010,091,789200058,491.750.05850.69411.8112.01519335445.810,043,2246,115,3670.164200159,889.410.05990.75405.910,200,298200258,496.390.05850.81255.710,174,853200361,640.230.06160.87416.110,142,362200459,897.930.05990.93405.910,116,742200561,098.910.06110.99511.7110.26758619396.110,097,5496,512,2760.155200659,757.460.05981.05495.910,076,5816,461,584,000200757,751.800.05781.11265.710,066,15820080.05781.170420090.05781.22816000.20520100.05781.28591.598.350134934510,016,7096,908,6880.145201120122013201420151.506.62119443129,924,3957,302,1860.136201620172018201920201.415.15403213969,839,6797,674,8330.128202120222023202420251.343.89822636179,743,1378,011,5330.122202620272028202920301.272.77197445139,613,4658,308,8950.116203120322033203420351.211.75489689979,458,5728,570,5700.110203620372038203920401.160.84894582919,294,4748,801,1960.106204120422043204420451.120.06689287939,131,1788,996,3440.1012046204720482049205011001.08-0.59693920928,968,2239,149,9840.098total fossil CO21990-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091100Gt1990-2009WGBU500Gt2010-2050maradk600Gt
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2eqvE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob Gt2010-es bzissalC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199094,999.900.095002.941632.53471806119.210,374,8235,290,4520.196199186,306.770.086308.310,354,842199276,135.840.076107.410,337,236199373,513.580.073507.110,310,179199472,436.570.072407.010,276,968199571,226.820.071202.6929.03210094717.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199678,500.850.078507.710,212,300199776,430.710.076407.510,174,442199873,999.340.074007.310,135,358199977,448.510.077407.710,091,789200077,188.220.07720.07720.07718821592.4625.87607205027.710,043,2246,115,3670.164200177,173.590.07720.15440.15436180857.610,200,298200276,245.200.07620.23060.2306070047.510,174,853200376,744.260.07670.30740.30735126867.610,142,362200475,703.400.07570.38310.38305467217.510,116,742200575,766.480.07580.45880.45882114892.3323.95940207067.510,097,5496,512,2760.155200674,755.850.07480.53360.53357700357.410,076,5816,461,584,000200771,805.970.07180.60540.60538297247.110,066,15820080.07180.67720.677188941320090.07180.749000.74899491020.00020100.07180.82080.82080087922.1721.856457341910,016,7096,908,6880.14520110.892606848120120.96441281720131.036218785920141.108024754820151.17983072382.0419.96025982459,924,3957,302,1860.13620161.251636692720171.323442661620181.395248630520191.467054599420201.53886056841.9218.35116483859,839,6797,674,8330.12820212.319859449920222.319859449920232.319859449920242.319859449920252.31985944991.8216.9738729119,743,1378,011,5330.12220262.319859449920272.319859449920282.319859449920292.319859449920302.31985944991.7415.73866784049,613,4658,308,8950.11620312.319859449920322.319859449920332.319859449920342.319859449920352.31985944991.6614.62319861259,458,5728,570,5700.11020362.319859449920372.319859449920382.319859449920392.319859449920402.31985944991.5813.6296061979,294,4748,801,1960.10620412.319859449920422.319859449920432.319859449920442.319859449920452.31985944991.5212.77189775719,131,1788,996,3440.10120462.319859449920472.319859449920482.319859449920492.3198594499205015002.1748070691.4712.04384681738,968,2239,149,9840.098total CO2eq2000-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091500Gt1990-2009Gt2010-2050Gthttp://unfccc.int/di/servlet/GraphBeanServlet?id=graphDetailedByGas_img&random=graphDetailedByGas12629791322103EF49AA82DE0562F367742860AE80724.diprod01
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2eq00000000000.07718821590.15436180850.2306070040.30735126860.38305467210.45882114890.53357700350.60538297240.67718894130.74899491020.82080087920.89260684810.9644128171.03621878591.10802475481.17983072381.25163669271.32344266161.39524863051.46705459941.53886056842.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.174807069
5 ves bontsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. FellendlsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./v40%201073,31866,33468933.730164395201575,61869,04865,818.17202065,12665,03158,437.34202550,47757,78749,607.89203037,48548,28640,535.22203529,14337,88032,256.73204025,62628,29725,641.82204524,28821,64321,391.89205019,83319,83319,833.3799165.85201020152020202520302035204020452050EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. Fellendls73,318.3275,617.8565,126.0850,477.0137,484.6429,142.9725,626.0024,287.7319,833.37%73.9476.2565.6750.9037.8029.3925.8424.4920.00EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)68,933.7369,047.9965,031.4457,786.6548,285.9937,879.8428,296.5821,642.5819,833.37%69.5169.6365.5858.2748.6938.2028.5321.8220.002020-ra 40 % cskkents + gazdasgi vlsg68,933.7365,818.1758,437.3449,607.8940,535.2232,256.7325,641.8221,391.8919,833.37%69.5166.3758.9350.0340.8832.5325.8621.5720.00
&C&A&CPage &P
2020_40199099166.85200575,857.68Kibocstsok1985117,794.611986112,599.931987112,592.522005200519901988106,641.81EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya-3025714.57418000.2018EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya CER-ekkel-4525714.57414143.01571989103,992.30Nem ETS kibocstsok 30% plya250,143.1051145.9634003789199096,081.76199187,519.41199277,190.92199375,498.99199474,469.24199572,779.17199678,879.36199776,793.37199875,479.89199977,466.14200076,658.8477.30200177,296.8077.95200276,049.9576.69200377,280.8377.93200477,175.9577.82200575,857.6876.49200676,114.1576.75200773,363.7173.98200869,098.3669.68200970,369.8570.96201068,933.7369.51201168,933.7369.51201268,933.7369.51201368,062.8968.63201467,002.6067.57201565,818.1766.37201664,521.4065.06201763,123.8163.65201861,636.6662.15201960,070.9360.58202058,437.3458.93
CO2 eq. alap scenrikeddigi kibocstsokkummulatv kibocstsok2005-s npessgi bzison2010-es npessgi bzison2015-s npessgi bzisonEU 20%-os 2020EU 30%-os 2020EU 80%-os 2050kumm. EU 80%-os 2051idelis plya 1.kumm. Idelis plyaGazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyakumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)kumm. EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazd. Vlsg)idelis plyakumm. Idelis plya40 % scenidelis plya 3.kumm. Idelis plyamegvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikkETS kibocstsNem ETS kibocsts2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhatt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq.90-es bzis99165.851985115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969115,969117,795117,79521712.8488504732117,795117,7951986111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234111,234112,600112,60016518.1692797601112,600112,6001987111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369111,369112,593112,59316510.7587597499112,593112,5931988105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539105,539106,642106,64210560.0489733898106,642106,6421989102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987102,987103,992103,9927910.5328261328103,992103,992199095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00095,00094,999.9096,08296,08273212.358689505896,08296,082199186,307181,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,30786,307181,30786,30787,51987,51987,51987,519199276,136257,44376,13676,13676,13676,13676,13676,136257,44376,13677,19177,19177,19177,191199373,514330,95673,51473,51473,51473,51473,51473,514330,95673,51475,49975,49975,49975,499199472,437403,39372,43772,43772,43772,43772,43772,437403,39372,43774,46974,46974,46974,469199571,227474,61971,22771,22771,22771,22771,22771,227474,61971,22772,77972,77972,77972,779199678,501553,12078,50178,50178,50178,50178,50178,501553,12078,50178,87978,87978,87978,879199776,431629,55176,43176,43176,43176,43176,43176,431629,55176,43176,79376,79376,79376,793199873,999703,55073,99973,99973,99973,99973,99973,999703,55073,99975,48075,48075,48075479.894487744575,480199977,449780,99977,44977,44977,44977,44977,44977,449780,99977,44977,46677,46677,46677,46677,466200077,188858,18777,18877,18877,18877,18877,18877,188858,18777,18877,18876,65976,65976,65976,65976,65976,65977188.21588885970200177,174935,36177,17477,17477,17477,17477,17477,174935,36177,174154,36277,297153,95677,297153,95677,297153,95677173.59261229040200276,2451,011,60676,24576,24576,24576,24576,24576,2451,011,60676,245230,60776,050230,00676,050230,00676,050230,00676245.19548235820200376,7441,088,35076,74476,74476,74476,74476,74476,7441,088,35076,744307,35177,281307,28677,281307,28677,281307,28676744.26462262080200475,7031,164,05475,70375,70375,70375,70375,70375,7031,164,05475,703383,0552000-200777,176384,46277,176384,46277,176384,46275703.40351536960200575,7661,239,82075,76675,76675,76675,76675,76675,7661,239,82075,766458,8212008-204975,858460,32075,858460,32075,858460,32075766.47680242580757667576625,714.57200674,7561,314,57674,75674,75674,75674,75674,75674,7561,314,57674,756533,57776,114536,43476,114536,43476,114536,43474755.8545493438026,159.16200771,8061,386,38271,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,386,38271,806605,3832000-es per f alapon73,364609,79873,364609,79873,364609,79871805.9689212448027,492.27200871,8061,458,18871,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,458,18871,806677,1892,463,43969,098678,89669,098678,89669,098678,89671805.9689212448091.069299922627,236.61200971,8061,529,99471,80671,80671,80671,80671,80671,8061,529,994171,806748,995933,44667,716746,61367,716.4746,61367,716746,61370369.8495428199022,401.27201071,80671,80671,80672,33471,27172,3341,602,328271,559.8820,55573,318819,93166,334.4812,94766,334812,94768933.73016439506964870109.45201171,80671,80671,80672,86270,73572,8621,675,190371,163.7891,7181858056.4254372175,311895,24266,334.4879,28266,334879,28268933.7301643950201271,80671,80671,80673,39070,20073,3901,748,580470,622.2962,34125.876072050276,443971,68566,334.4945,61666,334945,61668933.7301643950201371,80671,80671,80673,91869,66473,9181,822,499569,943.11,032,28476,8111,048,49666,334.41,011,95066,3341,011,95068933.73016439568,06368,06368,062.89201471,80671,80671,80674,44669,12974,4461,896,945669,134.11,095,69676,5071,125,00366,334.41,078,28566,3341,078,28567,003135,06567,002.60201571,80671,80671,80674,97468,59474,9741,971,919768,203.01,157,68375,6181,200,62169,048.01,147,33369,048.01,147,33365,818.2200,88465,818.176271766284.87201671,80671,80671,80675,50368,05875,5032,047,422867,157.61,221,09574,2261,274,84768,536.91,215,87068,536.91,215,87064,521.4265,40564,521.40201771,80671,80671,80676,03167,52376,0312,123,453966,005.41,283,08272,4091,347,25667,875.31,283,74567,875.31,283,74563,123.8328,52963,123.81201871,80671,80671,80676,55966,98876,5592,200,0111064,754.41,347,83670,2421,417,49867,067.21,350,81267,067.21,350,81261,636.7390,16661,636.66201971,80671,806-137,59977,08766,45277,0872,277,0981163,412.31,411,24867,7931,485,29166,117.51,416,93066,117.51,416,93060,070.9450,23660,070.93202071,80671,806077,61565,91777,6152,354,7131261,986.71,473,23565,1261,550,41765,031.41,481,96165,031.41,481,96159500.110260811258,437.3508,67458,437.3477.135328863879.07202171,806-145,052075,6612,430,3741360,485.51,533,72062,3021,612,71963,815.11,545,77662,302.21,544,26356,746.4565,42056,746.35202271,8060073,7072,504,0811458,916.31,592,63759,3771,672,09662,474.91,608,25159,376.61,603,64055,008.1620,42855,008.132023-137,6600071,7532,575,8351557,287.01,649,92456,4001,728,49661,018.21,669,26956,400.31,660,04053,232.6673,66153,232.60202400069,8002,645,6341655,605.31,705,52953,4201,781,91659,452.61,728,72253,419.71,713,46051,429.4725,09051,429.39202500067,8462,713,4801753,878.91,759,40850,4771,832,39347.464525892557,786.61,786,50939.856800314150,477.01,763,93749583.425217342749,607.9774,69849,607.89202600065,8922,779,3721852,115.51,811,52447,6101,880,00256,029.21,842,53847,609.61,811,54647,777.2822,47547,777.20202700063,9382,843,3101950,323.01,861,84744,8501,924,85354,189.91,896,72844,850.41,856,39745,946.2868,42245,946.15202800061,9842,905,2952048,509.01,910,35642,2281,967,08152,279.01,949,00742,228.01,898,62544,123.3912,54544,123.32202900060,0302,965,3252146,681.41,957,03739,7662,006,847-149,38150,307.21,999,31439,766.31,938,39142,317.0954,86242,317.00203000058,0773,023,4022244,847.72,001,88537,4852,044,33248,286.02,047,60037,484.61,975,87639666.740173874240,535.2995,39740,535.22203100056,1233,079,5242343,015.92,044,90135,3982,079,73046,227.32,093,82735,398.12,011,27438,785.81,034,18338,785.75203200054,1693,133,6932441,193.62,086,09433,5172,113,24744,143.92,137,97133,517.02,044,79137,076.11,071,25937,076.08203300052,2153,185,9082539,388.62,125,48331,8472,145,09442,048.82,180,02031,847.32,076,63835,413.41,106,67235,413.42203400050,2613,236,1702637,608.52,163,09130,3902,175,48439,956.02,219,97630,390.32,107,02833,804.71,140,47733,804.75203500048,3073,284,4772735,861.32,198,95329,1432,204,62737,879.82,257,85629,143.02,136,17132725.060643446232,256.71,172,73432,256.73203600046,3543,330,8312834,154.62,233,10728,0982,232,72535,835.42,293,69128,392.92,164,56430,775.81,203,51030,775.80203700044,4003,375,2312932,496.12,265,60327,2422,259,96733,838.32,327,52927,559.62,192,12429,368.11,232,87829,368.10203800042,4463,417,6763030,893.72,296,49726,5602,286,52731,904.82,359,43426,726.22,218,85028,039.51,260,91728,039.50203900040,4923,458,1693129,354.92,325,85226,0302,312,55730,051.72,389,48625,892.82,244,74326,795.61,287,71326,795.63204000038,5383,496,7073227,887.72,353,74025,6262,338,18328,296.62,417,78325,059.42,269,80224791.712608671325,641.81,313,35525,641.82204100036,5843,533,2913326,499.72,380,23925,3182,363,50126,657.42,444,44024,226.02,294,02824,583.21,337,93824,583.15204200034,6313,567,9223425,198.72,405,43825,0722,388,57425,152.82,469,59323,392.72,317,42123,624.41,361,56223,624.42204300032,6773,600,5993523,992.52,429,43124,8482,413,42223,802.12,493,39522,559.32,339,98022,770.21,384,33222,770.17204400030,7233,631,3223622,888.72,452,31924,6032,438,02522,625.22,516,02021,725.92,361,70622,024.71,406,35722,024.66204500028,7693,660,0913721,895.12,474,21424,2882,462,31221,642.62,537,66321,642.62,383,34922312.541347804221,391.91,427,74921,391.89204600026,8153,686,9063821,019.52,495,23423,8502,486,16220,875.32,558,53820,875.32,404,22420,8761,448,62520,875.60204700024,8613,711,7683920,269.52,515,50323,2332,509,39520,345.02,578,88320,345.02,424,56920,4791,469,10420,479.24204800022,9083,734,6754019,653.12,535,15622,3742,531,76920,074.02,598,95720,074.02,444,64320,2061,489,31020,206.01204900020,9543,755,6294119,177.82,554,334Hinyz mennyisg:21,2072,552,977Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,618,911Hinyz mennyisg:19,953.72,464,59720,0591,509,369Hinyz mennyisg:20,058.82205000019,0003,774,6294219,0002,573,334109,89519,8332,572,81089,53719,8332,638,744155,47119,833.42,484,4301,509,369-954,07119,833.37kummulatv kibocstsi clok:2,325,8112,174,8072,038,649y = 1,2908x3 - 84,298x2 + 0,8424x + 71885y = -0,188x4 + 18,656x3 - 587,63x2 + 4588,3x + 66346y = 0,0252x4 - 0,1651x3 - 81,024x2 + 689,47x + 68188y = 0,0252x4 - 0,0603x3 - 82,061x2 + 513,98x + 68700-289.1855200389vi hiny 2020 utntl:modell:modell:modell:modell:-31802.35986105752009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpest2009-es 2%-os cskkenst tartalmaz 2008-hoz kpestgazd. Vlsg az elejn20052006200720082009 becslt2020 EU csomag nominlis2020 vrhat2020 mix (ETS hatsokkal, nem ETS nominlis)2020 - EU 30% forgatknyv vrhat2025-ig -25% 2007-2009-hez kpes2015-ig +5% 2007/2008-hoz kpest2010-2014: 4%-os cskkens 2008-hoz kpest2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpestETS kibocsts25714.626159.227492.327236.622401.320300.018000.218000.216714.52035-ig -50% 2007-2009-hez kpes2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpestETS alloklt mennyisg30236.230236.230236.224044.02025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2025-ig -40% 1990-hez kpes2045-ig -78% 1990-hez kpestnem ETS kibocsts50142.449954.845870.741852.441187.755110.041852.455110.041852.42050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2035-ig -65% 1990-hez kpes2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpestteljes kibocsts75857.076114.073363.069089.064089.075410.059852.673110.258566.92040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)2040-ig -72,5% 1990-hez kpest (maradk cskkentsi % fele)1990-es bzis9916585099165.859916585099,165,8502050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest2050-ig -80% 1990-hez kpest1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2020-ig kb. -30% 1990-hez kpes (EU -30%)1990-es bzis: LULUCF CO2 nlkl, 95-s f-gzzal2050-ig -80% 1990-es bzishoz kpest LULUCF-felbzis adat:99166.8504346854
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2 eq. alap scenrik
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
MBD09029880.unknown
MBD090296B8.unknown
Diagram3117794.612377892117794.612377892117794.612377892112599.932807178112599.932807178112599.932807178112592.522287168112592.522287168112592.522287168106641.812500808106641.812500808106641.812500808103992.296353551103992.296353551103992.29635355196081.763527418396081.763527418396081.763527418387519.406000753987519.406000753987519.406000753977190.916198474777190.916198474777190.916198474775498.988117226775498.988117226775498.988117226774469.242016689574469.242016689574469.242016689572779.166094204472779.166094204472779.166094204478879.356850433278879.356850433278879.356850433276793.37152353376793.37152353376793.37152353375479.894487744575479.894487744575479.894487744577466.140911759477466.140911759477466.140911759476658.837945864876658.837945864876658.837945864877296.798640867477296.798640867477296.798640867476049.954734608576049.954734608576049.954734608577280.833213653377280.833213653377280.833213653377175.952068736477175.952068736477175.952068736475857.675372920575857.675372920575857.6753729205757667576625714.57476114.150389461876114.150389461876114.150389461826159.15873363.708875958273363.708875958273363.708875958227492.26769098.363805245169098.363805245169098.363805245127236.6167716.396529140267716.3965291402200922401.26973318.3266334.429253035320106964870109.4575310.71466334.4292530353201176442.97666334.4292530353201276811.2566334.4292530353201368062.89476507.16866334.4292530353201467002.601675617.8569047.989920156271766284.8765818.172474225.90468536.912201664521.472409.42667875.2653201763123.80927024267067.2201861636.65667792.69866117.4711201960070.927665126.0865031.438420205328863879.0758437.342462302.19463815.0665202156746.3559376.57662474.9248202255008.131256400.2561018.1875202353232.59853419.72859452.6336202451429.393650477.0157786.6469202549607.892447609.58456029.216202647777.244850.42654189.9343202745946.15324222852279202844123.3239766.25850307.2161202942316.999637484.6448285.9904203040535.222435398.07446227.3355203138785.7533516.97644143.8688203237076.075231847.2542048.8125203335413.42230390.28839955.9936203433804.745629142.969999999937879.8439203532256.732428097.66435835.4203630775.827242.225999999933838.3033203729368.097226559.999999999931904.8203828039.50426029.817999999930051.7411203926795.63162562628296.5824204025641.822425318.35426657.3845204124583.1525072.17625152.8128204223624.419224848.2523802.1375204322770.16624602.84822625.2336204422024.657624287.729999999921642.5809204521391.892423850.143999999920875.264204620875.623232.825999999920344.9723204720479.24122237420074204820206.00821207.37819953.6850434685204920058.823619833.370086937119833.3700869371205019833.3700869371
Gazdasgi fellendlssel indtott plyaEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)megvalsult kibocstsnc5 j szakpolitikknc5 tervezett szakpolitikk40%-os plyaETS kibocsatas
CO2Cnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob GtC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199072,470.790.07250.07252.1618.0865032687.010,374,8235,290,4520.196199168,859.660.06890.14136.610,354,842199262,578.150.06260.20396.110,337,236199363,338.310.06330.26726.110,310,179199462,145.010.06210.32946.010,276,968199561,501.840.06150.39091.9714.89283987566.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199662,781.770.06280.45376.110,212,300199761,067.350.06110.51476.010,174,442199860,476.260.06050.57526.010,135,358199960,380.210.06040.63566.010,091,789200058,491.750.05850.69411.8112.01519335445.810,043,2246,115,3670.164200159,889.410.05990.75405.910,200,298200258,496.390.05850.81255.710,174,853200361,640.230.06160.87416.110,142,362200459,897.930.05990.93405.910,116,742200561,098.910.06110.99511.7110.26758619396.110,097,5496,512,2760.155200659,757.460.05981.05495.910,076,5816,461,584,000200757,751.800.05781.11265.710,066,15820080.05781.170420090.05781.22816000.20520100.05781.28591.598.350134934510,016,7096,908,6880.145201120122013201420151.506.62119443129,924,3957,302,1860.136201620172018201920201.415.15403213969,839,6797,674,8330.128202120222023202420251.343.89822636179,743,1378,011,5330.122202620272028202920301.272.77197445139,613,4658,308,8950.116203120322033203420351.211.75489689979,458,5728,570,5700.110203620372038203920401.160.84894582919,294,4748,801,1960.106204120422043204420451.120.06689287939,131,1788,996,3440.1012046204720482049205011001.08-0.59693920928,968,2239,149,9840.098total fossil CO21990-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091100Gt1990-2009WGBU500Gt2010-2050maradk600Gt
&C&A&CPage &PSource: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.
CO2eqCnat is the totalamount of CO2 that a specific country is allowed to emitin the time period T1 - T2Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp, Sunday,January03,2010; 1:29:28PM.vE HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gg = kt)E HU (excl. LULUCF, CO2 Gt)E HU cum.C glob Gt2010-es bzissalC HU f(Tm)maradk v 2007 utnE HU % a vilg sszeshezper cap. E HU t/fM HU (TM) f KSHM glob (TM) fM glob ENSZ ezer f (medium variant)M HU % a globlnak199094,999.900.095002.941632.53471806119.210,374,8235,290,4520.196199186,306.770.086308.310,354,842199276,135.840.076107.410,337,236199373,513.580.073507.110,310,179199472,436.570.072407.010,276,968199571,226.820.071202.6929.03210094717.010,245,6775,713,0730.179199678,500.850.078507.710,212,300199776,430.710.076407.510,174,442199873,999.340.074007.310,135,358199977,448.510.077407.710,091,789200077,188.220.07720.07720.07718821592.4625.87607205027.710,043,2246,115,3670.164200177,173.590.07720.15440.15436180857.610,200,298200276,245.200.07620.23060.2306070047.510,174,853200376,744.260.07670.30740.30735126867.610,142,362200475,703.400.07570.38310.38305467217.510,116,742200575,766.480.07580.45880.45882114892.3323.95940207067.510,097,5496,512,2760.155200674,755.850.07480.53360.53357700357.410,076,5816,461,584,000200771,805.970.07180.60540.60538297247.110,066,15820080.07180.67720.677188941320090.07180.749000.74899491020.00020100.07180.82080.82080087922.1721.856457341910,016,7096,908,6880.14520110.892606848120120.96441281720131.036218785920141.108024754820151.17983072382.0419.96025982459,924,3957,302,1860.13620161.251636692720171.323442661620181.395248630520191.467054599420201.53886056841.9218.35116483859,839,6797,674,8330.12820212.319859449920222.319859449920232.319859449920242.319859449920252.31985944991.8216.9738729119,743,1378,011,5330.12220262.319859449920272.319859449920282.319859449920292.319859449920302.31985944991.7415.73866784049,613,4658,308,8950.11620312.319859449920322.319859449920332.319859449920342.319859449920352.31985944991.6614.62319861259,458,5728,570,5700.11020362.319859449920372.319859449920382.319859449920392.319859449920402.31985944991.5813.6296061979,294,4748,801,1960.10620412.319859449920422.319859449920432.319859449920442.319859449920452.31985944991.5212.77189775719,131,1788,996,3440.10120462.319859449920472.319859449920482.319859449920492.3198594499205015002.1748070691.4712.04384681738,968,2239,149,9840.098total CO2eq2000-2050Meinhausen et al. 20091500Gt1990-2009Gt2010-2050Gthttp://unfccc.int/di/servlet/GraphBeanServlet?id=graphDetailedByGas_img&random=graphDetailedByGas12629791322103EF49AA82DE0562F367742860AE80724.diprod01
&C&A&CPage &P
CO2eq00000000000.07718821590.15436180850.2306070040.30735126860.38305467210.45882114890.53357700350.60538297240.67718894130.74899491020.82080087920.89260684810.9644128171.03621878591.10802475481.17983072381.25163669271.32344266161.39524863051.46705459941.53886056842.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.31985944992.174807069
5 ves bontsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. FellendlsEU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)t CO2 eq./vt CO2 eq./v40%201073,31866,33468933.730164395201575,61869,04865,818.17202065,12665,03158,437.34202550,47757,78749,607.89203037,48548,28640,535.22203529,14337,88032,256.73204025,62628,29725,641.82204524,28821,64321,391.89205019,83319,83319,833.3799165.85201020152020202520302035204020452050EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya + gazd. Fellendls73,318.3275,617.8565,126.0850,477.0137,484.6429,142.9725,626.0024,287.7319,833.37%73.9476.2565.6750.9037.8029.3925.8424.4920.00EU -30% (2020); EU -80% (2050) plya (+gazdasgi vlsg)68,933.7369,047.9965,031.4457,786.6548,285.9937,879.8428,296.5821,642.5819,833.37%69.5169.6365.5858.2748.6938.2028.5321.8220.002020-ra 40 % cskkents + gazdasgi vlsg68,933.7365,818.1758,437.3449,607.8940,535.2232,256.7325,641.8221,391.8919,833.37%69.5166.3758.9350.0340.8832.5325.8621.5720.00
&C&A&CPage &P
2020_40199099166.85200575,857.68Kibocstsok1985117,794.611986112,599.931987112,592.522005200519901988106,641.81EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya-3025714.57418000.2018EU ETS kibocstsok 30% plya CER-ekkel-4525714.57414143.01571989103,992.30Nem ETS kibocstsok 30% plya250,143.1051145.9634003789199096,081.76199187,519.41199277,190.92199375,498.99199474,469.24199572,779.17199678,879.36199776,793.37199875,479.89199977,466.14200076,658.8477.30200177,296.8077.95200276,049.9576.69200377,280.8377.93200477,175.9577.82200575,857.6876.49200676,114.1576.75200773,363.7173.98200869,098.3669.68200970,369.8570.96201068,933.7369.51201168,933.7369.51201268,933.7369.51201368,062.8968.63201467,002.6067.57201565,818.1766.37201664,521.4065.06201763,123.8163.65201861,636.6662.15201960,070.9360.58202058,437.3458.93
CO2 eq. alap scenrikeddigi kibocstsok