den regionale datahub - gate 21 · survey finds today. four out of five workers in the capital say...
TRANSCRIPT
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Den Regionale DatahubOpstartsmøde mobilitetssporet
27.6.2018
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Program for dagen8.30 Kaffe, te og morgenbrød
9.00 Velkommen - ved Lise Søderberg, Projektleder Gate 21
9.10 Den Regionale Datahub og mobilitetssporet - Ved Lise Søderberg, Projektleder Gate 21
9.20 Intro til processen (design thinking) - Ved Troels Behrenthz Andersen, Konsulent, Teknologisk Institut
9.30 Åbne mobilitetsdata – erfaringer fra ind- og udland - Ved Frans La Cour, Chefkonsulent, Københavns kommune
9.40 Indspark udefra: TDC, Location insight services - Ved Dennis Alan Larting, TDC
10.00 Indspark udefra: How data analysis can help the municipalities to better understand movement of people by vehicle, on foot and by public transport - Ved Stephen Leece, Managing Director, Citi Logik
10.20 Pause
10.30 Gruppearbejde Hvilke mobilitetsudfordringer er der i kommunerne?
12.30 Frokost
13.15 Gruppearbejde (fortsat)Hvilke mobilitetsudfordringer er der i kommunerne?
14.35 Næste skridt i mobilitetssporet - ved Lise Søderberg, Projektleder, Gate 21
14.50 –15.00 Farvel og tak
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Deltagelse i mobilitetssporet
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Projektets overordnede mål
Vision:
At skabe værdi for borgere, kommuner, regioner og virksomheder i Greater Copenhagen ved øget brug af data på tværs
Mission:
Vi udvikler en model for Den Regionale Datahub, der fremmer datasamarbejde på tværs af forvaltninger, kommuner og sektorer - til fordel for grøn vækst og øget livskvalitet
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4 + 2 + 1 spor
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Hvad skal projektet munde ud i?• Overblik over udfordringer i kommunen,
hvor data er svaret
• Afklaring af gevinster de enkelte løsninger kan give
• Hvordan en model for en teknisk platform kan se ud
• Et forslag til en fremtidig forretnings- og samarbejdsmodel for en hub
… efterfølgende kan der tages stilling til implementeringen af en fælles regional datahub.
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Hvad siger projektaftalen- specielt om mobilitet?
Strategisk fokus i projektet er i udgangspunktet på mobilitetsudfordringer i forbindelse med anlæg og drift af letbanen…..
Udgangspunktet på mobilitet er bredt (pendlere og kommunens borgere) og der tages udgangspunkt i understøttelse af det udvidede stationsnærhedsprincip. Herudover vil der være fokus på optimalt samspil mellem Letbane og øvrige mobilitetsformer og initiativer
Formålet vil være i første omgang at bidrage til at løse konkrete mobilitets- og trængselsproblemstillinger i forbindelse med etableringen af letbanen
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Mobilitetsudfordringer – lokale < > på tværs…
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Datakombinationer = løsning på udfordringerne
Kommunale data
Nye data Dataanalyse Løsning
Kommunale data
Dataanalyse Løsning
Nye data Løsning
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Eksempler på data …
GeodataKommunale data
Nye data
Trafiktællinger
Trafiksignaler, hvor?
Trafiksignaler, skift hvor ofte?
IOT data
Data fra mobiltelefoner
Eksterne webservices
(vejr, ulykker realtid ….)
Gravearbejde, hvor?
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DESIGN THINKING
Gate 21
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DESIGN THINKING
Gate 21
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Program
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DESIGN THINKING
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• Systematisk metode til at løse problemer
• Brugeren er altid i fokus
• Vi skal nå længere end det ”åbenlyse”
• Metode til at arbejde med ”wicked problems”
Hvad er design thinking?
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DOUBLE DIAMOND
GENERELT
PROBLEM
SPECIFIKT
PROBLEM
SPECIFIK
SOLUTION
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DOUBLE DIAMOND
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DOUBLE DIAMOND
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DOUBLE DIAMOND
GENERELT
PROBLEM
SPECIFIKT
PROBLEM
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“If I had one hour to solve a problem,
I'd spend 55 minutes thinking about
the problem and 5 minutes thinking
about the solutions”
ALBERT EINSTEIN
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Vi parkerer de gode løsninger…
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Vores fælles hjerne…
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EKSPERT OPLÆGNU:
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Fælles brainstorm
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Erfaringer med mobilitetsdata
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Mobilitetsdata
Data om den kollektive trafik, herunder
positionsdata fra busser og toge
Data om antallet af passagerer
Realtidsmålinger af trafikdensiteten
Data om transportinfrastrukturen,
herunder vejnettet og jernbanenettet
Data om cyklister og gående
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Anvendelser
Dataprocessering: Forædling eller berigelse af data med henblik på videresalg
Produktudvikling: Udvikling af nye produkter og services på baggrund af data
Udvikling af data infrastruktur: Udvikling af underliggende data infrastruktur
Forretningsanalyser: Brug af data som datagrundlag for forretnings-beslutninger
Planlægning og dokumentation: Offentligemyndigheders dataanvendelse
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Forventede effekter
Luftkvalitet
Trængsel, parkering
Adfærdspåvirkning
Flexibilitet – multimodal
Beslutningsstøtte om mobilitet
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Danske aktører
”Letbanen” (2025)
Movia, Metroselskabet, DSB
Rejseplanen, Rejsekortet
Navigation: Google, Apple, Inrix, TomTom, Nokia, Microsoft, Strava
Vejdirektoratet m.m.
Københavns trafikmodel, Transportministeriets trafikmodel
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Nationale erfaringer
Business Region Aarhus
(2016 - …)
City Data Exchange
Dele data der er
indrapporteret centralt
Konkrete use cases
Ledelse og ressourcer til fremskaffelse og distribution
Fællesskaber
Dialog med aftagere Standarder
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Datahub
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Presentation to Wigan CCInsight into the way people move on foot, in a vehicle
or by public transport
Vodafone & Citi Logik have created a big data capability focused on predictive analytics
to drive value from the existing mobile network. Derived data sets help our customers:
City Planners, Transport Planners, Infrastructure Operators and Consulting Engineers
to understand people & vehicle movements
Stephen Leece, Managing Director
Stephen Leece, Managing Director
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Presentation to Wigan CCInsight into the way people move on foot, in a vehicle
or by public transport
Vodafone & Citi Logik have created a big data capability focused on predictive analytics
to drive value from the existing mobile network. Derived data sets help our customers:
City Planners, Transport Planners, Infrastructure Operators and Consulting Engineers
to understand people & vehicle movements
Stephen Leece, Managing Director
Stephen Leece, Managing Director
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Citi Logik was established in 2011 to analyse movement by vehicle, on foot
and by public transport - better, faster and cheaper than current out-dated
transport techniques.
Big data derived from the mobile phone network offers the opportunity to
create comprehensive and high value understandings and pictures of people
movements, from the 3/4G infrastructure that is already in place.
This capability is genuinely disruptive, capturing anonymized and aggregated
information from millions of ever-moving sensors (mobile phones), facilitating
analysis across transport modes, across every minute of every day, for every
major road, rail route and pedestrian walkway.
EXPLOITING THE 3/4/5G/IoT NETWORKS
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LONG TERM SUPPORT FROM UK plc
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✔
✔
✔
✔
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✔
✔
✔
✔
✓ Improve journey time reliability ✓ Reduce congestion ✓ Create economic activity
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In a recent Deloitte report (2017), it was reported :
➢ In the UK, smartphone penetration is now 85 per cent of adults; expect this to reach 90 per cent by 2020, if not earlier.
➢91% of the 41 million 16-75 year olds who have a smartphone in the UK use their device every day.
➢17% of 16-24 year olds look at their smartphones at least 100 times daily; 12% of 16-19 year olds claim 200 views or more daily.
➢Eleven per cent of 16-75 year olds use their phones while crossing the road; more than half (53 per cent) do so while walking.
➢Video is increasingly likely to be streamed into cars, buses and trains for passengers’ consumption
http://www.deloitte.co.uk/mobileuk/assets/img/download/global-mobile-consumer-survey-2017_uk-cut.pdf - page=23
EMERGENCE OF SMART PHONE BASED SOCIETIES
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WHY IS IT SO DIFFICULT TO DEVELOP SMART CITIES AS A MARKETPLACE?
70-80% of mobility information owned by commercial entities
Platform companies are taking a predatory position
Improving traffic flow and reducing pollution is not their priority
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WHY IS IT SO DIFFICULT TO DEVELOP SMART CITIES AS A MARKETPLACE?
70-80% of mobility information owned by commercial entities
Platform companies are taking a predatory position
Improving traffic flow and reducing pollution is not their priority
34%
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‘CREATING LOCAL VALUE THROUGH COLLABORATION’
Locally generated 3/4/5G data
App Based Data
Blue Tooth
GPS (Traffic Master, INRIX, HERE)
Global Platforms (Google Waze/Facebook)
GARTNER INDEX
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Encrypted & Stored
Algorithms
Aggregation
Transport Assessment
Integrated Design
Client Solution
Raw Data
Integration/Complexity
Mee
tin
g R
equ
irem
en
ts
High
High
• Networks• Data Capture• Real-Time
• Keys/Privacy• Cloud Storage
• Trip O-D’s• Modal Breakdown• Route Mapping
• Big Data• Analytics• Multi-Feeds
• Policy Driven• Smart Cities• Clear Benefits• Client Management
Analysis of National ProjectsKick-start Regional Programmes
Create Connected CityEnhance Transport Agency
Data Broker
• Evidence Based• Project Mngm’t• Core Processes• Key Outputs
3/4/5G/IoT Network Operator
• Scheme Based• Challenge Driven• Human Factors• Urban/Built • Business Case• Outcome Focussed
Low
THE CONNECTED TRANSPORT VALUE CHAIN
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http://www.vodafone.com/content/dam/vodafone-images/sustainability/drf/pdf/vodafone_drf_customer_privacy.pdf
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Example of individual journeys
EXAMPLE JOURNEY
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A LOCAL 3/4G NETWORK (1200 MASTS)
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SPATIAL RESOLUTION: DEPENDENT ON THE MAST DENSITY OF THE LOCALITY
Citi Logik is able to operate Census level (LSOA) and to analyse Origin Destination, Traffic Flow and Demographics:
✓URBAN AREA (1:15,000). Mast density supports analysis of large buildings e.g. rail stations, secondary roads and also determine pedestrian movements
✓RURAL AREA (1:200,000). Mast density supports analysis of primary roads and flows into and out of geo fences BUT dependant on the location and orientation of the masts
Project awards include: regional analysis of traffic movements, optimal location of bridges, passenger flows to/from airport, analysis of metro stations, pedestrian movement in a city centre
Central London 1:15,000
Caernarfon at 1:200,000
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WORKING WITH NATIONAL DATA SETS (CENSUS)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
Epso
m a
nd E
wel
l
King
ston
upo
n Th
ames
Ham
mer
smith
and
Ful
ham
Kens
ingt
on a
nd C
hels
ea
Craw
ley
Lew
isha
m
Islin
gton
Tand
ridg
e
Tow
er H
amle
ts
Reig
ate
and
Bans
tead
Cam
den
Mer
ton
Sout
hwar
k
Wan
dsw
orth
City
of L
ondo
n
Brom
ley
Sutt
on
Lam
beth
Wes
tmin
ster
Croy
don
Cens
us C
omm
utin
g Fl
ow in
to e
ach
LA
Thou
sand
s
Perc
enta
ge d
iffer
ence
bet
wee
n M
obile
Pho
ne d
ata
and
adju
sted
Cen
sus
flow
s) Top 20 Census commuting flows (smallest to largest) from Resident LA of
% difference
Census Flow
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REGENERATING WALES
Mobile data is a much richer and more comprehensive data set
than derived by traditional survey techniques. It represents the
actual journey paths of Vodafone customers encompassing
home zone, workplace zone and their modes of travel or journey
pathsSensor Network
Example: Raw Data Size 9 TB
Total number of data files 4 million
Number of transactions 40 billion
Unique IDs 3 million
Geo Events 20 billion
Events per mobile 47 per day
Regional Data – 8 weeks of collection v geo fence
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Within City Centre more than 676 location points were used as derived form cell towers.
Information on origin, destination, time of the day, mode, access location to the city centre were recorded
Mode Share for Trips that originated outside
the city Centre
LIVERPOOL CITY CENTRE
Amey commissioned Citi Logik to undertake an assessment of travel patterns from and to Liverpool City Centre. Focus included understanding main access to City Centre by the main mode of transport but also how users reach their final destination from the various car parks and rail stations in and around the City Centre.
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Post processing of the data allowed us to split trips into various legs to specifically understand pedestrian trips between the travellers final destination and motorised (rail/road) point of access to the city centre.
Slow Mode Journeys in Liverpool City Centre
LIVERPOOL CITY CENTRE
Over a 2 weeks period about 250,000
trips a day were observed travelling
from/to the city centre (about 750,000
trips per day after expansion to full UK
population)
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ORIGIN DESTINATION ANALYSIS OF A KEY
ROAD
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ANALYSIS OF ‘JOURNEY TIME RELIABILITY’ AND FEEDER ROUTES
LONDON MARYLEBONE ROAD
‘The data looked at how vehicles and pedestrians interacted with the Marylebone Road. Citi Logik
collected data for eight weeks, aggregating a total of 1.2 billion anonymous journeys into, around and
out of a pre-defined geographical area in London to give a picture of how people travel.’ Eddie
Copeland, Policy Exchange
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London commuters suffer more stress than in any major European city’ 93% say they add half an hour to their commute to allow for delays
Vauxhall Fire: 5th May 2016 Change in Travel Patterns at Victoria Tube
Stressed London commuters are late for work more often than those in any other major European city, a major
survey finds today. Four out of five workers in the capital say they are delayed by hold ups on their daily
journey at least once a month, while 47 per cent admit to being late two or three times a month. The findings
come after today issued a major apology to commuters caught in hours of travel chaos at Waterloo station last
night. Disruption was so severe there were more delays this morning because trains were out of place.
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LONDON HEATHROW
Study: To develop the full transport model by mode for the airport and the
surrounding area with Motts and AECOM representing the clients interests
0K 1K 2K 3K 4K 5K 6K 7K 8K 9K 10K
Raw Trips(o)
1K
2K
3K
4K
5K
6K
7K
8K
9K
10K
Raw
Tri
ps(
d)
Y = 0.97*X + 9
R2 = 0.97
Geo Fence
Data Integrity
Activity Levels
Zoning Model
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MOVEMENT AROUND A METRO STATION
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Actual demand around a health care facility
HOSPITAL ANALYSIS OF JOURNEY TIME (SYNTHETIC &
ACTUAL)
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CITI ANALYTICS
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FUTURE CITIES CATAPULT - URBAN INNOVATION CENTRE
Citi Logik is a resident innovator within the Urban Innovation Centre in London
Citi Logik supported by Vodafone, the Future Cities Catapult and QinetiQ won the ‘first of a kind’ a competition run by Innovate UK on 1st
April 2017
Over the period April 2017 – March 2018 we we built a real time 3/4G analytics suitable for UK Cities Citi Analytics (formerly Citi Watch)
Citi Analytics was awarded a further £900k of grant monies for Rail Watch / Pollution Watch and is the first Innovate UK sponsored company to secure £1m of long-terms loans
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Commercial in Confidence
• Cell density also varies by area –
Typically more density within
urban areas.
• Density also affected by cell
technology - 2G large coverage to
4G small coverage
For data privacy and security
reasons, we will aggregate trip end
points outside the geofence
boundaries to borough/district level.
WORCESTER CITY – 3/4G NETWORK COVERAGE
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Note: Only one icon shown per cell location, some sites contain more than 1 cell
Corridor 1• The cell-to-corridor allocation
process utilises the snap-2-road methodology
• It takes into consideration various characteristics of the cells to allocate the cell location to a corridor segment
• The process is repeated for all corridor segments
• A cell cannot be allocated to more than one segment per corridor
ALLOCATION OF THE NETWORK TO ROAD NETWORKS
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TECHNICAL ARCHITECTURE
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• Model calibrated using MIDAS data• MIDAS data = red line• Current CitiWatch data = blue line; • New calibration methodology = green line
COMPARISON OF LEGACY, 3/4G AND PREDICTIVE CAPABILITIES
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• Differs from traditional approaches in that:• Requires no historical data to be trained, and minimal computational resources to run• Easy to integrate into CitiWatch and deploy to new locations
• Central Idea:• Given observations in a previous window, can define a function to estimate
observations at time 𝑡 + 1 from those observed at time 𝑡• The estimates for 𝑡 + 1 are refined using expected values (i.e. the baselines) to give
more accurate estimates (essentially a weighted average)
PREDICTION ENGINE
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WHAT DOES OUR PRODUCT LOOK LIKE TODAY
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AND IN THE FUTURE
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DISCOVERFASE 1:
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DISCOVERFormål
• Vidensindsamling• Hvem er berørt?• Påvirkninger• Kontekst• Udforsk hvad der giver værdi for brugerne• Kvantitet!
Output• Mulige retninger/tematikker for projektet• Nøgleindsigter• Kontekstforståelse• Empati
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Bra
inst
orm
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Fælles brainstorm
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Jobs
to b
edone
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“People don’t want to buy a quarter inch
drill. They want a quarter inch hole” Theodore Levitt
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An excuse for an informal chat
To help me not feeling awkward during breaks with colleages
Helping me feel awake
Free wifi
A morning ritual
Why do you buy a cup of coffee?
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FUNCTIONAL
A desired
goal
A ”job to be done” is…
The progress a customer is trying to achieve under specific cirtumstances…
EMOTIONAL
A desired
feeling
SOCIAL
A desired
perception
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FUNCTIONAL
EMOTIONAL SOCIAL
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Foru
dsæ
tnin
ger
& a
nta
gels
er
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Hvilke kritiske antagelser og forudsætninger skal undersøges for at fastslå, hvordan ”jobbet” skal udføres?
ANTAGELSESØVELSE
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Inte
rvie
w
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Udarbejd interviews der kan skabe indsigt og teste jeres forudsætninger & antagelser.
INTERVIEW
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Spørg ind til forudsætninger &
antagelser – og byg videre på dem!
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DEFINEFASE 2:
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DefineFormål
• Afgrænse problemfelt
• Se potentiale
• Specificere værdi for brugeren
• Definere problemstilling
• Kvalitet!
Output• Specifik problemstilling
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Gru
pperin
g a
f in
dsig
ter –
find
tem
aer!
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Gruppér jeres indsigterGruppér jeres indsigter og efter temaer, ligheder, afhængighed, geografi, osv.
Illustrér forbindelser og forhold mellem problemerne.
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Hvord
an k
an
vi…
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Hvordan kan vi…Formuler mulige problemstillinger og start dem med "hvordan kan vi ..."
Spørgsmålene skal hjælpe med at gøre problemet mere specifikt.
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Forbered 2-3 HMW pitchesFokus:• Hvem er målgruppen• Hvad er potentialet inden for (1-5):
• Samfund• Vækst• Drift• Innovation
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Findes der lign. problemer andre
steder? Hvordan er de løst?
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Next steps … mobilitet
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Mobilitetssporet – overordnet tidsplan
OpstartsmødeKvalificering af udfordringer
MarkedsdialogPrioritering af udfordringer
Udbud/
konkurrence
Udvikling af prototyper
Test og evaluering
Juni 2018 Juli/Aug 2018 Aug/Sept 2018 Sept. 2018 Nov/Dec 2018Sept/ Okt 2018 Jan 2019
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Efter mødet får I nogle spørgsmål tilsendt ….
Efter dette møde – udsendelse af papir
• Hvad har i af data, der kan bruges til den udfordring?
• Kan de data stilles til rådighed for offentligheden/ andre kommuner?
• Har i et sted, hvor prototypen gerne skal udvikles?
• Etc.
Gerne tilbagemelding hen over sommeren
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Udefra ind … perspektivet….
Borgerinvolvering …. / Virksomhedsinvolvering ….
Hvordan ser de på udfordringen? Hvilket behov har de?
Vil de være med/interviewes/ evt. inddrages hvis vi udvikler en prototype?
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Værktøjskasse – din toolbox
Idéer til indhold:
• Kan data deles? … med andre kommuner?… med offentligheden?
• Hvordan kan man tilgå data?
• Opendata.dk – hvordan uploader jeg data?
• Metadata – “vare”beskrivelse hvordan?
• Dataregistrering – hvad findes i x-fagsystem?
• Andre ønsker…..
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Spørgsmål og kontakt
Lise Søderberg
Projektleder Den Regionale Datahub
Gate 21
Tlf. 2125 1426