development pattern of mazovia region - mbpr 11072014/development...assumptions of the study • the...

Development pattern of Mazovia region

Warsaw, 9th July 2014

Malwina Wysocka, Mazovian Office of Regional Planning

Regional benchmarking

• Comparative studies

• Comparison of development processes occurring in a region with those in regions considered as the best in a specified area (eg. creation of new jobs, regional marketing, attracting new investors, innovation)

• Search for practices applied in regions that resulted with its high development positions

• Adaptation of models of best practices to our region’s circumstances, and use of those practices to improve region’s development

• „we should learn from mistakes, but it’s better to learn from others’ mistakes, than from our own"

Assumptions of the study

• The development pattern is assumed as a desired state of economic and social development of the region. Reaching this state is possible through achieving development goals defined by the regional authorities in the key documents.

• Aims of the „Development Pattern of Mazovia region” study:

− Improving our knowledge of the socio-economic situation in Mazovia and its determinants in comparison with 14 reference regions;

− Identification of differences in the level of development of Mazovia and reference regions as well as opportunities to reduce those differences;

− Creation of a monitoring system aimed to follow the level of development of Mazovia in relation to reference regions.

Development pattern of Mazovia – part I

Ist part of the study:

− Selection of reference regions – i.e. similar to Mazovia in terms of demographic and economic structure and level of internal diversity

− Measurement of differences in the level of development of Mazovia and reference regions, concerning 9 thematic areas:

1. Social capital, 2. Intellectual capital, 3. Economic development, 4. Entrepreneurship, 5. Professional activity, 6. Innovativeness of the regional economy, 7. Competitiveness, 8. Condition of the environment, 9. Internal disparities.

Reference regions to Mazovia:

Higher level of development

Similar level of development

Lower level of development

Similar internal diversity

Mazovia region

Reference regions in the Ist part of the study

Conclusions from the Ist part of the study

− Big differences in the level of development of Mazovia and reference regions – e.g. in the fields of: social capital, level of economic development, level of entrepreneurship, investment expenditure, patent applications

− Many of those differences result from historical conditions, some have to be considered through the prism of cultural background

− It is recommended to:

o compare regions with administrative functions - its regional instruments can be observed and adapted to our needs

o compare differences in longer period of time – to observe trends and processes

Reference regions in the IInd part of the study

NUTS2 regions with administrative functions:

− Bratislavský Kraj (Slovakia)

− Emilia-Romagna (Italy)

− Kärnten (Austria)

− Province de Namur (Belgium)

− Małopolskie - Lesser Poland (Poland)

− Centru (Romania)

− Île-de-France (France)

− Berlin and Brandenburg (Germany)

− Stuttgart (Germany)

− Noord Holland (Netherlands)

− Comunidad de Madrid (Spain)

− Stockholm (Sweden)

− Akershus and Oslo (Norway)

• IInd part of the study:

− Analysis of development paths of Mazovia and 14 reference regions in 12 thematic areas (areas from Ist part of the study plus: poverty and social exclusion, quality of life and information society)

− Measurement of a distance between Mazovia and reference regions concerning the development level, using a synthetic indicator designed for this purpose

− Estimation of a time when Mazovia reaches the development level of reference regions (time of alignment),

− Elaborating procedures for monitoring differences in the level of development (the development distance and time of alignment) in Mazovia region and reference regions – automated Excel file.

Development pattern of Mazovia – part II

Development pattern of Mazovia – part II

t0 t1 t2

RR

Maz

Development

level

Time

Distance

t2 – t1 = time of alignment of

development levels of Maz and RR

Methodological assumptions

• The study is based on statistical data

⁻ On the basis of indicators available in the public statistics (Eurostat, national statistical offices)

⁻ Dependence on the availability of data in time and NUTS division

⁻ Shapes and positions of paths depend on the selection of indicators

• The use of synthetic indexes to depict 9 thematic areas:

⁻ Transformation of partial indexes into stimulants

⁻ Uniformization of partial indexes

⁻ Estimation of synthetic index

• The determination of distances and times of alignment:

⁻ On the basis of linear trend function of the synthetic index

Level of social capital Measured with indicators: • Share of population with tertiary

education • Share of lifelong learning participants • Number of students of post-secondary

and tertiary education

Time of alignment of development levels of Mazovia and reference regions:

* Some regions are not included in the tables as their path of development is parallel or divergent to Mazovia, so it is not possible to determine the point of intersection.

** A negative time means that the region is on the lower level of development than Mazovia and it will reach the Mazovia’s level after indicated number of years.

Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Kärnten 2062 -50

Lesser Poland 2060 -48

Centru 2059 -47

Berlin 2005 reached

Noord Holland 2001 reached

Comunidad de Madrid 2032 -20

Stockholm 2019 7

Akershus i Oslo 2025 13 0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bratislavský Kraj Emilia-Romagna Kärnten Province de Namur Małopolskie Centru Île-de-France Mazowieckie Berlin Brandenburg Stuttgart Noord Holland Comunidad de Madrid Stockholm Akershus i Oslo

Level of quality of life Measured with indicators: • Life expectancy at birth • Disposable income of households • Number of inhabitants per 1 hospital bed • Stock of vehicles per 1000 inhabitants • Fertility rate

Time of alignment of development levels of Mazovia and reference regions :


0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bratislavský Kraj Kärnten

Province de Namur Małopolskie Centru

Île-de-France Mazowieckie Berlin

Brandenburg Stuttgart Noord Holland

Comunidad de Madrid Stockholm Akershus i Oslo

Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Kärnten 2042 30

Province de Namur 2021 9

Małopolskie 2000 reached

Centru 2086 -74

Île-de-France 2038 26

Berlin 2018 6

Stuttgart 2024 12

Comunidad de Madrid 2032 20

Stockholm 2019 7

Akershus i Oslo 2021 9

Level of poverty and social exclusion

Measured with indicators: • At-risk-of-poverty rate • Population aged 25-64 with lower

secondary education attainment • Long-term unemployment (12 months

and more)



Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Bratislavský Kraj 2020 8

Emilia-Romagna 2013 -1

Centru 2002 reached

Île-de-France 2007 reached

Berlin 2003 reached

Stuttgart 2011 reached

Noord Holland 2014 -2

Comunidad de Madrid 2008 reached

Stockholm 2014 2


0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bratislavský Kraj Emilia-Romagna

Małopolskie Centru




Level of economic development

Measured with indicators: • GDP per capita (at current market prices) • Gross Value Added by economic sectors




Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Emilia-Romagna 2034 22

Kärnten 2022 10

Province de Namur 2007 reached

Centru 2016 -4

Île-de-France 2026 14

Berlin 2060 48

Brandenburg 2023 11

Stuttgart 2041 29

Noord Holland 2020 8

Stockholm 2036 24

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bratislavský Kraj Emilia-Romagna Kärnten





Level of entrepreneurship

Measured with indicators: • Number of economic entities per 10000

inhabitants • Gross fixed capital formation per capita • Number of persons employed in

enterprises per 10000 inhabitants




Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Bratislavský Kraj 2001 reached


Kärnten 2063 51

Małopolskie 2050 -38

Centru 2022 -10




Stockholm 2052 40

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012






Level of economic activity

Measured with indicators: • Rate of unemployment • Rate of employment • Unemployment rate of young (aged 15-

24)


Region Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment


Emilia-Romagna 2012 reached

Kärnten 2020 8

Province de Namur 2007 reached


Centru 2006 reached


Berlin 2005 reached

Stuttgart 2021 9



Stockholm 2012 reached


0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012






Level of innovativeness

Measured with indicators: • Share of personnel employed in R&D

in general number of employed (total and in business sector)

• Share of total intramural R&D expenditure in GDP (total and in business sector)

• Patent applications to the EPO per 1 million of inhabitants


* Some regions are not included in the tables as their path of development is parallel or divergent to Mazovia, , or because of lack in data..


Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**


Małopolskie 2046 -34

Noord Holland 2079 67 0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010


Małopolskie Centru



Comunidad de Madrid Stockholm

Level of competitiveness

Measured with indicators: • Number of students per 10000 inhabitants • Crude rate of net migration • Motorways density • Arrivals at tourist accommodation

establishments per 1000 inhabitants



Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**

Emilia-Romagna 2055 -43

Kärnten 2005 reached


Centru 2012 reached

Berlin 2010 reached

Brandenburg 2031 -19

Noord Holland 2017 -5


0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012






Level of development of information society

Measured with indicator: • Share of households with access to the

Internet at home


* Some regions are not included in the tables as itheir path of development is parallel or divergent to Mazovia, or because of lack in data.

Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment

Emilia-Romagna 2003 reached

Kärnten 2010 reached



Stockholm 2013 1


0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

0,9

1,0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012




Brandenburg Noord Holland


Condition of the environment Measured with indicators: • Share of population connected to wastewater

collection and treatment systems • Amount of waste generated per inhabitant • Coverage rate of municipal waste collection • Share of renewable energy in final energy

consumption



Region Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment**



Kärnten 2025 13


Małopolskie 2017 5

Centru 2015 -3

Île-de-France 2016 -4

Brandenburg 2027 15

Stuttgart 2019 7



Stockholm 2034 22

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012



Île-de-France Mazowieckie



Level of internal disparities

Measured with indicators: • Variation of GDP per capita


* Some regions are not included in the tables as their path of development is parallel or divergent to Mazovia, or because of lack in data.

Region* Year of

alignment

Time of

alignment



Centru 2035 23


0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

0,8

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Emilia-Romagna Kärnten


Île-de-France Mazowieckie


Akershus i Oslo

General level of development

Due to limited range of data, it was possible to determine the trend line and the point of intersection only for selected regions and a limited range of indicators (excl. social areas, innovativeness and information society).


Region Year of alignment Time of

alignment

Bratislavský Kraj divergent path of development

Kärnten 2043 31

Małopolskie divergent path of development

Centru parallel path of development

Stuttgart 2027 15


0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

0,7

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Bratislavský Kraj Kärnten

Małopolskie Centru

Mazowieckie



Conclusion

• Mazovia was mostly in the second half of the rankings for 15 analysed regions

• The lowest position of Mazovia in rankings of:

− Internal disparities (1st place, but in negative meaning),

− Economic development (12),

− Condition of the environment (11),

− Information society (11),

− Innovativeness (10),

− Professional activity (8),

− Deteriorating position in the level of entrepreneurship and competitiveness.

Conclusion (2)

• Despite Mazovia’s low position in rankings, the fast rate of growth and the positive trend suggest that it is possible to improve this position in the future

• According to the result of this research, Mazovia could catch up following regions in the level of development :

− Noord Holland - in 2025

− Stuttgart – in 2027

− Kärnten - in 2043

Further use of the research results

• With this study our team received a tool (automated Excel file) designed to monitor differences in the level of development in Mazovia region and reference regions: their paths, distances and times of alignment

• Data in the Excel tool updated annually

• All the elements of comparison - paths, distances and times of alignment - will be presented on a new regional website:

− in interactive form

− updated annually

− available for all: regional and local authorities, inhabitants, entrepreneurs, NGO’s etc.

What can we do with the research results?

• Choose the best region in every thematic area and initiate cooperation to exchange experiences and learn form each other

• Track changes in time of regions’ distances and times of alignment

• Observe how Mazovia improved its position over several years

Mazovian Office of Regional Planning

00-410 Warszawa | ul. Solec 22

tel. 022 5184901 | fax 022 5184949

[email protected]

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