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  • Therapy,

  • (Therapy) systemic review,

  • ()????(intention-to-treat analysis)?(blind)??

  • Data collectionEnd pointsData MonitoringStatistical analysis

  • Entry, Randomization, and Follow-up of Patients in the Hypertension in the Very Elderly TrialBeckett NS et al. N Engl J Med 2008;358:1887-1898

  • Baseline Characteristics of the PatientsBeckett NS et al. N Engl J Med 2008;358:1887-1898

  • ()

  • () (9595% CI)

  • 5.3 (relative risk reduction, RRR) (relative benefit increase, RBI) (relative risk increase, RRI)

    RRR

    ARR

    (NNT)

    CRE

    EER

    CEREER/CER

    CEREER

    1/ARR

    MRC

    5.7%

    4.3%

    5.7%-4.3%/5.7%25%

    5.7%-4.3%1.4%

    1/1.4%72

    0.000057%

    0.000043%

    0.000057%-0.000043%/0.000057%25%

    0.000057%-0.000043%0.000014%

    1/0.000014%7142857

  • RRR(ARR)ARRRRRRRR NNT (Number Needed to Treat), NNH

  • NNT (number need to treat)NNTNNT=1/ARR=1/CER-EERNNTNNH (number need to harm) =1/ARI ()

  • Treatment EffectsOccurrence of diabetic retinopathy at 5 years among insulin-dependent diabetic in the DCCT trialUsual insulin regimen (CER: control event rate): 38%Intensive insulin regimen (EER: experimental event rate): 13%Risk Reduction (calculation): NNT Absolute risk reduction (ARR) = CER-EER= 38%-13% = 25%Relative risk reduction (RRR) = CER-EER/CER = 25%/38% =66%Number needed to treat (NNT) = 1/ARR = 1/25% = 4 patients NNT: The number of patients that need to be treated to prevent one bad outcome or get one good outcome.

  • HarmThe proportion of patients with at least one episode of symptomatic hypoglycemiaUsual insulin regimen (CER: control event rate): 23%Intensive insulin regimen (EER: experimental event rate): 57%Risk Increase(calculation): NNH Absolute risk increase (ARI) =EER - CER = 57%-23% = 34% Relative risk increase (RRI) =EER-CER/CER = 57%-23%/ 23% = 148%Number needed to harm (NNH) = 1/ARI = 1/0.34 = 3 patients () NNH: The number of patients that need to be treated to cause one bad outcome (being harmed).

  • NNT

    Event rate

    NNT

    CER

    EER

    110-129 mmHg

    Death, stroke, MI

    13 %

    1.4 %

    1.5 years

    8

    90-109 mmHg

    Death, stroke, MI

    5.5 %

    4.7 %

    5.5 years

    128

    ()

    Death or major stroke

    18 %

    8 %

    2 years

    10

    Donepezil (vs. placebo)

    No functional decline

    44 %

    59 %

    1 year

    7

    7()

    Death or MI

    16 %

    12 %

    24 months

    24

    Oral acetylcysteine (vs. placebo)

    Contrast media-induced reduction in renal function

    12 %

    4 %

    8 months

    12

  • Figure 1. Entry, Randomization, and Follow-up of Patients in the Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial. Of the 461 patients who did not meet the protocol criteria, 229 did not meet the criteria on the basis of blood pressure, 18 on the basis of age, 61 on the basis of serum potassium level, 20 on the basis of serum creatinine level, 26 because they were receiving other antihypertensive treatment, and 107 for other reasons. The other administrative reasons for the censoring of data were death or retirement of a local investigator and change in national legislation as to where patients in clinical trials could be seen.Table 1. Baseline Characteristics of the Patients.


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