Download - 2001
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year
0
10
20
30
40
50M
illi
on
s
Number of people living with HIV
Estimated number of people living with HIV, 2001–2005
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 1
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Year
Projected new adult infections and total adult deaths
in sub-Saharan Africa, in millions, by the year 2020:
Impact of three scenarios compared to baseline
Source: Salomon JA. et al, Integrating HIV Prevention and Treatment: From Slogans to Impact. PLoS Medicine. January 2005, Vol 2, Issue 1.
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Year
Mill
ions
New HIV infections
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
YearM
illio
ns
AIDS deaths
Treatment-centered
Prevention-centered
Baseline
Comprehensive response
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 2
HIV prevalence among 15–24 year-old men and women, selected countries in sub-Saharan
Africa, 2001–2005
Sources: Demographic and Health Surveys. ORC Macro (Ghana, Burkina Faso, Mali, United Republic of Tanzania, Cameroon, Lesotho, Kenya, Zambia); Department of Health, Uganda HIV/AIDS sero-behavioural survey 2004/2005 (Uganda); Ministry of Health and Child Welfare, Zimbabwe National Family Planning Council, National AIDS Council , and CDC, The Zimbabwe Young Adult Survey 2001-2002 (Zimbabwe); Pettifor AE, et al. HIV and sexual behaviour among young South African: a national survey of 15-24 year olds (South Africa).
0
5
10
15
20
Gha
na 2
003
Bur
kina
Fas
o 20
03
Mal
i 200
1
Tanza
nia
2003
Camer
oon
2004
Uga
nda
2004
/05
Ken
ya 2
003
Zam
bia
2002
Sout
h Afr
ica
2002
Leso
tho
2004
Zim
babw
e 20
01/0
2
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 3
Women Men
Percentage of young people aged 15–24 years who correctly identified major ways
of preventing the sexual transmission of HIV*, 2003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
%
Source: Demographic and Health Surveys. ORC Macro (Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mozambique and Nigeria); Tanzania HIV/AIDS Indicator Survey 2003-04, TACAIDS, NBS, and ORC Macro (UR Tanzania).
*Using condoms and limiting sex to one faithful, uninfected partner, who reject the two most common local misconceptions about HIV transmission, and who know that a healthy looking person can transmit HIV.
Burkina Faso Cameroon Ghana Kenya MadagascarMozambique Nigeria UR Tanzania
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 4
Female Male
Sources: Ministry of Health (Mozambique); Department of Health (South Africa); Ministry of Health and Child Welfare (Zimbabwe); Ministry of Health (Kenya); Ministry of Health (United Republic of Tanzania); Ghana Health Service (Ghana); Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - GAP - Côte d'Ivoire (Côte d'Ivoire); Conseil National de Lutte Contre le SIDA (Senegal); Adapted from Asamoah-Odei, et al. HIV prevalence and trends in sub-Saharan Africa: no decline and large subregional differences. Lancet, 2004 (Botswana, Ethiopia, Uganda and Nigeria).
HIV prevalence in pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in sub-Saharan
Africa, 1997/98–2004
0
10
20
30
40
1997-1998 1999-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
% H
IV p
reva
lenc
e
0
10
20
30
40
1997-1998 1999-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
% H
IV p
reva
lenc
e
West Africa
GhanaSenegal
Cote d'IvoireNigeria
0
10
20
30
40
1997-1998 1999-2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
% H
IV p
reva
lenc
e
Southern Africa
Zimbabwe
Mozambique
South Africa*
UR Tanzania
Eastern Africa
Ethiopia
Uganda Kenya
*data by province
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 5
Botswana
Sources: National HIV and Syphilis Antenatal Sero-Prevalence Survey in South Africa 2004 (South Africa); 2004 ANC Draft Report (Zimbabwe).
HIV prevalence among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in South Africa
and Zimbabwe, by age group, 2000–2004
South Africa
Zimbabwe
<2020 - 2425 - 2930 - 3435 - 3940+
Age group
15 - 1920 - 2425 - 2930 - 3435 - 3940 - 44
Age group
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 6
Distribution of male and female deaths by age group in South Africa, 1997 and
2002
Source: Statistics South Africa, 2005
Age group
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0 – 4
5 – 9
10 –
14
15 –
19
20 –
24
25 –
29
30 –
35
36 –
39
40 –
44
45 –
49
50 –
54
55 –
59
60 –
64
65 –
69
70 –
74
75 –
79
80 –
85
85 –
89
90+
No.
of
death
s*
*all causes
1997 Male 1997 Female
2002 Male 2002 Female
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 7
Trend in HIV prevalence in selected sitesin each province in Mozambique, 2000–2004
Source: Ministry of Health, Report on the Update of the HIV Epidemiological Surveillance Data - 2004 Round
0
10
20
30
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
C.S. Ponta-Gea
C.S. 24 de Julho
H.R. Cuamba
H.R. Montepuez
C.S. 25 Setembro
C.S. Maxixe
C.S. Xai-Xai
C.S. 10 de Junho
H.R. Catandica
C.S. E. Mondlane
C.S. No. 3 (Tete)
North CentreSouth
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 8
Data from select antenatal clinic sentinel surveillance sites with a declining
trend in HIV prevalence, Kenya 1997–2004
0
10
20
30
40
50
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Year
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
Source: Ministry of Health - National AIDS/STD Control Programme (NASCOP), HIV Sentinel Surveillance 2004
Busia Kitui
Nairobi Thika
Meru Nyeri
Garissa
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 9
Modes of transmission for HIV among HIV/AIDS cases,
China (2003 estimates)
Injecting drug users 43.9%
Heterosexual transmission 19.8%
Men having sex with men 11.1%
Mother-to-child transmission 19.8%
Blood and blood products 0.6%
Former commercial blood and plasma donation 24.1%
Source: State Council AIDS Working Committee & UN Theme Group (2004)
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 10
Projected impact* of injecting drug use on number of HIV infections in Jakarta,
IndonesiaCumulative number of HIV infections
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
Source: MAP Report 2005. Drug Injection and HIV/AIDS in Asia
Sexual infections resulting from a chain of infection originating with IDU
HIV infections if nothing changes
HIV infections in IDUs if nothing changes
HIV infections if there were no IDU epidemic
110,000
36,000
2,000
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
* assuming no interventions
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 11
Percentage of street-based sex workers who inject drugs,
who have sex with injectors, and percentage of male injectors who report buying sex, three cities, Viet
Nam 2000
Source: MAP Reportt 2005. Sex work and HIV/AIDS in Asia.
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Hanoi
Haiphong
Ho Chi Minh City
Percent
Sex worker injects drugs herself
Sex worker reports sex with male drug injector
Male injector reports buying sex from sex worker
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 12
Percentage of male injecting drug users who buy sex –
report of consistent condom use during commercial sex,
various cities
* Sichuan : condom use at last commercial sex** Bangkok : includes non-injecting drug users
Source: MAP Report 2005. Sex work and HIV/AIDS in Asia.
Unprotected commercial sexBought sex with a condom
Central Bangladesh
Sichuan, China*
Delhi, India
Surabaya, Indonesia
Katmandhu Valley, Nepal
Bangkok, Thailand**
Hanoi, Vietnam
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Percent
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 13
HIV prevalence among pregnant women attending antenatal care clinics, Thailand
1990–2004
Source: Thailand Ministry of Public Health, Department of Disease Control, Bureau of Epidemiology
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
199019911992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004
Year
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
Bangkok
Central
North
Northeast
South
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 14
Source: Department of Health, AIDS Prevention and Control Project
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
1992199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004
Year
% H
IV P
reva
len
ce
ANC Blood donors Military recruits
HIV prevalence among sentinel surveillance groups, Myanmar 1992–2003
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 15
Nu
mb
er
of
reg
iste
red
H
IV c
ase
s
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10 000
12 000
1987-1994
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Year
Newly registered HIV cases
Children born to HIV-positive mothers
Annual number of newly registered HIV cases and children born HIV-seropositive, Ukraine 1987–2004
Source: Ukrainian AIDS Centre
2004
14 000
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 16
HIV prevalence at consistent selected antenatal clinic surveillance sites, Haiti 1993–2004
Source: Ministére de la Santé Publique et de la Population, Analyse secondaire des études de sero surveillance par méthode sentinelle de la prévalence du VIH chez les femmes enceintes en Haϊti entre 1993 et 2004
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1993 1996 2000 2004
Year
% H
IV p
reva
len
ce
All women Urban women Semi-urban, rural women
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 17
Reported number of HIV and AIDS cases, Cuba 1986–2003*
Source: Caribbean Technical Expert Group (2004). Strengthening the Caribbean regional response to the HIV/AIDS epidemic: Report of the Caribbean Technical Expert Group on HIV Prevention and Gender. Draft working document. October. Jamaica
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
198619871988 198919901991199219931994 199519961997199819992000 200120022003
Year
Number of Cases
*Extrapolations from reported cumulative number of cases as of end 2003 for the years 2002 & 2003 and years with no report
HIV Cases AIDS Cases
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 18
Comparison of AIDS-related hospitalizations to Comparison of AIDS-related hospitalizations to number of patients on ARV therapy, Brazil 1998number of patients on ARV therapy, Brazil 1998–2004–2004
Source: DATASUS, SIH; National STD/AIDS Program
Hospitalization rateper year per patienton ARV therapy
Number of AIDS hospitalization and number of patients on ARV therapy
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20040%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Hospitalized HIV patients
Patients on ARV therapy
Rate of hospitalization of patients on ARV treatment
Year
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 19
Note: adjusted for reporting delays
Estimated number of annual AIDS cases, annual AIDS deaths, and persons living with AIDS,
United States of America 1985–2003
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Year of diagnosis or death
Number of AIDS cases and deaths (in thousands)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Number of persons living with AIDS (in thousands)
AIDS cases
AIDS deaths
Persons living with AIDS
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention
AIDS epidemic update, December 2005. Fig 20