© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 1
Lynda GrattonProfessor of Management PracticeLondon Business School
Council for Designing 100-year Life SocietySeptember 2017
@lyndagratton
資料4-1
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 2
Oldest age at which 50% of babies born in 2007 are expected to live:
The Japanese gift
104
104
102
104
107
103
104
Canada
France
Germany
Italy
Japan
UK
US
Years
Source: Human Mortality Database, University of California, Berkeleyand Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany
1
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Employment rates of 55 - 64-year-olds:
2
© HOT SPOTS MOVEMENT 2017 ® SLIDE 4SOURCE: AUTOR, LEVY & MURNANE, MIT, 2003
Tasks
Routine
Analytical
Record KeepingCalculation
Repetitive Customer Services
Manual
Picking And SortingRepetitive Assembly
Non-routine
Analytical
Forming HypothesesMedical Diagnoses
Persuading / Selling
Manual
Janitorial ServicesTruck Driving
Substantial substitution
Strong complement
No substitution/complement
In a changing job context
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© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 5
In a changing job context
SOURCE: FUTURE OF JOBS REPORT, WEF 2016
Social skills
Content skills
Cognitive abilities
Process skills
Emotional intelligence
Teaching others
Active learning
Creativity
Active listening
Critical thinking
4
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 6
1 Multistage rather than three stage lives
2 Family structures are shifting
Lifelong learning becomes crucial3
Some implications
5
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 7
Education
Exploration Employment in an organisation
Transition Self-employment
Portfolio (mix of paid and unpaid work)
Retirement
Source: Lynda Gratton & Andrew Scott. (2017). The Corporate Implications of Longer Lives. MIT Sloan Management Review
Retirement
Education
Work
1. A multistage life
The three-stage model The multistage life
6
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 8
And new stages emerge
Explorer
Independent producer
Portfolio stage
Transitions
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 11 7
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 9
Neither parent, nor grandparent
Never married mother
With grandparents only
Single father
Formerly married mother
Cohabiting parent
Married parents, neither employed
Married parents, mother only employed
Married parents, both employed
Married parents, father only employed
Source: Cohen, P. (2014) Family diversity is the new norm. Brief Reports. Council on Contemporary Families.
2. Families are shifting…U.S. work-family living arrangements of children1960 & 2012
8
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 10Source: OECD.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Gap between male and female participant rates 2014
9
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 11
A third of young men aged 18-32 anticipate doing
an equal share of childcare, as compared with 22%of men aged 33-48 and 16% of men aged 49-67
Source: 2013 Life and Leadership after HBS study; n: 25,000 HBS graduates
And a differentrelationship with work
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 11 11 10
© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 12
3. Lifelong learning
Individuals
Corporations
Educators Government
Anticipate
Motivate
Support
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© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 13
Individuals
Corporations
Educators Government
MIT MicromastersLinkedIn + Lynda.com
AT&TWestpac
Singapore Skills FutureDenmark Anticipation
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© PROFESSOR LYNDA GRATTON 2017 ® SLIDE 14
Thank you
Council for Designing 100-year Life SocietySeptember 2017
@lyndagratton