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Russia: Graders

Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

March 2013

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 29 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Graders Market. March 2013 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian graders market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian graders market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.

The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.



Why People Choose Us

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completed over 1000 industry studies which are updated on a regular basis.

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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

complete picture of the market of interest.

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian graders market and build a

forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.



Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of graders

4. Characteristics of the raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of graders

6. Characteristics of the Russian graders market in 2008 - 2011. Forecast for 2012

- 2017

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian graders market in 2005 – 2010. Forecast for

2011 - 2017

6.2. Structure of the graders market: production, exports, imports, consumption

6.3. Level of concentration of production and characteristics of competition on the

market

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of graders in 2008 - 2011. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of graders in 2005 - April 2012

7.2. Structure of the production of graders by regions of the Russian Federation

7.3. Manufacturing capacities and their level of loading

7.4. Main manufacturers of graders and their corresponding market shares

7.4.1. OJSC "BRYANSKIY ARSENAL"

7.4.2. CJSC "DORMASH"

7.4.3. CJSC "CHELYABINSKIE CONSTRUCTION-ROAD MACHINES"

7.5. Investment projects in the industry

8. Characteristics of the prices of graders

8.1. Dynamics of the manufacturers’ prices of graders in 2008 - April 2012

8.2. Comparison of manufacturers’ prices of graders by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation

9. Characteristics of the imports of graders to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of graders

9.2. Manufacturing countries, importing graders to the territory of the Russian

Federation

9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the graders, imported to the Russian

Federation

9.4. Russian companies, recipients of the imports of graders

9.5. Structure of the imports of graders by regions of the Russian Federation

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of graders

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of graders

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of graders

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying graders for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of graders

11. Factors, influencing the development of the graders market

11.1. State of the construction industry




11.2. State of the forestry industry

12. Characteristics of the consumption of graders

12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of graders in 2008 - 2011. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

12.2. Volume and structure of the consumption of graders by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation in 2008 - 2011. Forecast for 2012 - 2017

12.3. Structure of the consumption of graders by industries in 2008 - 2011. Forecast

for 2012 - 2017

12.4. Balance between production and consumption of graders in 2008 - 2011

13. Forecast for the development of the graders market in 2012 - 2017

13.1. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of graders in 2011 - 2017

13.2. Evaluation of the development of the graders market after Russia’s accession to

the WTO

Appendix 1. Financial and economic indicators of the industry

• Revenue (net) from sales of production, in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Commercial and management expenses in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Cost of goods sold in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Gross profit from sales of production in 2006 - 2010, in billions of RUR

• Investments in the industry in 2006 - 2010, in thousands of RUR

• Average number of employees in the industry in 2006 - 2010

Appendix 2. Profiles of the leading manufacturers

• Contact data

• Registration data

• Company management

• Daughter companies

• Main shareholders

• Balance sheet of the company

• Profit and loss statement of the company

• Main financial indicators of the company




Data, presented in Tables

• Dynamics of the graders market in 2007 - 2016

• Production of graders in 2008 - April 2012, in units

• Volume of production of graders by types in January - April 2012, in units

• Production of graders by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in 2005 - April 2012,

in units

• Average manufacturers’ prices of graders in the Russian Federation in January 2007 - April

2012

• Volume of the imports of graders by manufacturing countries in 2011, in units

• Volume of the imports of graders by manufacturing companies in 2011, in units

• Volume of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by importing companies in

2011, in units

• Volume of the imports of graders by recipient regions of the Russian Federation in 2011,

in units

• Volume of the Russian exports of graders by recipient countries in 2011, in units

• Volume of the Russian exports of graders by manufacturing companies in 2011, in units

• Volume of the Russian exports of graders by sending regions in 2011, in units

• Forecast for the volumes of consumption of graders until 2017 by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation




Data, presented in Figures

• Volume of supply on the graders market in 2007 - 2016

• Production of graders in 2009 - April 2012, in units

• Production of graders in January 2008 - April 2012, in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

• Production of graders in 2008 - 2011, in units

• Structure of the production of graders in January - April 2012 by types, in units

• Structure of the production of graders by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

January - April 2012

• Structure of the production of graders by Federal Districts of the Russian Federation in

2008 - 2011

• Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of graders in the Russian Federation in


• Indexes of the average manufacturers’ prices of graders in the Russian Federation in


• Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of graders in the Russian Federation in

January 2009 -April 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

• Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of graders by Federal Districts of the

Russian Federation, in April 2012

• Dynamics of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation in January - April 2012, in

units

• Structure of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by manufacturing countries

in 2011

• Structure of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by manufacturing companies

in 2011

• Structure of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by importing companies

• Structure of the imports of graders by recipient regions of the Russian Federation in 2011

• Dynamics of the Russian exports of graders in 2011, in units

• Structure of the Russian exports of graders by recipient countries in 2011

• Structure of the Russian exports of graders by manufacturing companies in 2011

• Structure of the Russian exports of graders by sending regions in 2011

• Dynamics of the consumption of graders in the Russian Federation in 2008 - 2017, in

units




Executive Summary*

…

The volume of supply on the Russian graders market in 2012 was almost … units, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the graders market was …%.

The volume of production of graders in 2012 was … units, which is …% higher than the

volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all graders manufactured in the Russian Federation in 2012

belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of graders in Russia amounted to … units in physical terms and

to … thousand USD in value terms.

In 2012, the volume of the Russian exports of graders was … units, which was equal to …

thousand USD in value terms.

…

*The information provided from this point on in this demo version is for illustrative purposes

only, so that you can get a general overview of how our reports look like. If you need more

information, you can contact us at: [email protected].

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market

mailto:[email protected]




6. Characteristics of the Russian

graders market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian graders market in

2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian graders market in 2012 was almost … units, which is

…% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the volume of

imported products on the graders market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the graders market in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

for 2013 -2017, in thousands of units (base scenario)




6.2. Structure of the graders market in Russia: production,

exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of graders in 2012 was about … units, which was …% of the total

market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is presented below.

Table 6. Volume and dynamics of the graders market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of units

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of

production In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of exports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6. Volume and dynamics of the graders market in 2008 - 2012 and

forecast until 2017, in thousands of units

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Production Consumption

Exports Imports




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of graders in Russia in

2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of graders production in 2007 - 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 8 Graders production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of units

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 9 Graders production in 2011 - 2012, in thousands of units and in %, to the

previous year




7.6 The main manufacturers of graders and their corresponding

market shares

The main manufacturers of graders in Russia in 2011 were Company A, Company B, and

Company C. They produced …, …, and … units, respectively. They were followed by

Company D (… units, equal to …% of the total production) and Company E (… units - …%).

Table 16. Characteristics of the largest manufacturers of pig iron in Russia in 2010

- 2011, in thousands of units

Manufacturer Region

Production

of graders,

in units

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




8. Characteristics of graders prices 8.1. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of graders

Manufacturers’ prices of graders have been fluctuating a lot in the last 5 years – from … RUR/ton in 2007, through … RUR/ton in 2009 to

… RUR/ton in December 2012. In 2012, the prices were lower in …, when they were equal to … RUR/ton. They reached their highest

value in …, when they were … RUR/ton, which was …% more, compared to the analogical period of the previous year.

Table 20. Average manufacturers’ prices1 of graders in Russia in January 2007 – November 2012

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical period of the

previous year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

In RUR/ ton

In % to analogical

period of the previous

year

In % to December of the previous

year

In % to the

previous

month

January … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

February … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

March … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

April … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

May … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

June … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

July … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

August … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

September … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

October … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

November … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

December … … … … … …% …% …% … …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”) 1 Manufacturers’ prices – subject to registration, as a rule, are the actual prices of produced and shipped in the current month production for the domestic market (excluding value added tax, excise duty and other taxes not included in the cost).




9. Characteristics of the imports of

graders to the Russian market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian imports of

graders

…

The volume of Russian imports of graders in 2011 was … units. The largest amount of

graders was imported in …, when were imported … units.

Table 22. Dynamics of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in units

Month Quantity, in thousands of units In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)





Fig. 18. Dynamics of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in units

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported

graders on the territory of the Russian Federation

Country A was the leader in terms of imports of graders (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The country imported … units of graders in 2011. The second

place was taken by Country B, which in 2011 imported … units of graders (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Country C with a share of …%.





Fig. 20. Structure of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011 in physical terms

Table 24. Volume of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing countries in 2011, in units

Country of origin Net weight, in units Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the graders, imported

to the Russian Federation

Company A was the leader in terms of imports of graders (in physical terms) in 2011, with a

share of …% of the total. The company imported … units of graders in 2011. The second

place was taken by Company B, which in 2011 imported … units of graders (a share of …%,

respectively). In the third place was Company C with a share of …%.

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS




Fig. 22. Structure of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011 in physical terms

Table 26. Volume of the imports of graders in the Russian Federation by

manufacturing companies in 2011, in units

Manufacturing company Net weight, in units Share, in %

Company A … …%

Company B … …%

Company C … …%

Company D … …%

Company E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Company A

Company B

Company C

Company D

Company E

OTHERS




10. Characteristics of the Russian

exports of graders 10.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian exports of

graders

…

The volume of Russian exports of graders in 2011 was … units. The largest amount of

graders was exported in …, when were exported … units.

Table 31. Dynamics of the exports of graders in the Russian Federation in

January-December 2011, in units

Month Quantity, in thousands of units In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …






Fig. 27. Dynamics of the exports of graders in the Russian Federation in January-

December 2011, in units

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of graders

In 2011, the main recipient country of the Russian exports of graders was Country A. Its

share in physical terms was …%. It was then followed by Country B (…%) and Country C

(…%). To Country D and Country E were exported …% and …%, respectively. The combined

share of the other countries is …%.





Fig. 29. Structure of the Russian exports of graders by recipient countries in 2011

in physical terms

Table 33. Volume of the Russian exports of graders by recipient countries in 2011,

in units

Recipient country Net weight, in units Share, in %

Country A … …%

Country B … …%

Country C … …%

Country D … …%

Country E … …%

OTHERS … …%

TOTAL … …%


…

25.0%

20.8%

16.7%

12.5%

8.3%

16.7%

Country A

Country B

Country C

Country D

Country E

OTHERS



12. Characteristics of consumption

of graders 12.1. Volume and dynamics of consumption of graders in

2008 - 2012. Forecast for 2013 - 2017

The volume of consumption of graders in 2012 was … units, which was …% more, compared

to 2011. In 2011 was noted the largest drop in the consumption of graders in recent years -

a decline of …% to … thousand units. Another decline in recent years was observed in 2009,

when the growth rate was …%, compared to 2008. At the end of 2012, the consumption of

graders almost reached the level in 2010, but the growth is not yet possible to reach the

pre-crisis levels of 2007 - 2008.

According to forecasts, the favorable development of the consuming industries can help

consumption of graders increase in the next few years with rates of …-…% annually. Thus,

by 2017, the consumption can reach … million units. The demand for graders in the country

will be met, as before, by the Russian manufacturers, who account for over …% of the

market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 40. Dynamics of consumption of graders in the Russian Federation in

2008 – 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of units




12.2. Structure of consumption of graders by industries

Currently, the largest shares in the consumption of graders are taken by Industry A (…%)

and Industry B (…%). Industry C accounts for about … of the market, while Industry D

consumes about …% of the graders in Russia.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 42. Structure of consumption of graders by industries in 2012

35%

37%

10%

8%

10% Industry A Industry B

Industry C Industry D

Others




12.3. Balance between production and consumption of graders

In the forecasted balance between production and consumption are used estimates of the

consumption of graders and projections for increase in production.

Throughout the forecast horizon, 2013 – 2017, there is a positive balance, calculated as the

difference between production and consumption. The surplus on the market, as before, will

be exported, mainly to the countries of the Customs Union, where most purchases are in

made in Kazakhstan.

Table 1. Balance between production and consumption on the

graders market in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in

thousands of units

Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Production … … … … … … … … … …

Consumption … … … … … … … … … …

Balance

(Production-

Consumption)

… … … … … … … … … …

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Source: Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 47. Balance between production and consumption on the graders market

in Russia in 2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in thousands of units

20082009

20102011

20122013F

2014F2015F

2016F2017F

Consumption

Production




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