dth opportunities and challenges in … by dth as gap -filler and premium service increase in rise...
TRANSCRIPT
In 2011 the population of Sub-Saharan Africa was some 877 million with around 181 million households, 60 million TV households
SSA population is growing at 2.7% per annum (cf Latin America – 1.2% and Asia 1.2%)
SSA population will be 976m in 2015
Africa’s consumers booming – growing from 35 % in 2000, to 52 % with disposable income in 2020 (McKinsey)
Africa’s population heavily dispersed still and NOT concentrating – despite massive urbanisation
By 2040, SSA will have 1.4 billion population but only 240 million will be in cities (80% RURAL) – and NB - RURAL does not necessarily mean “poor and poverty stricken”
An environment only favourable to satellite coverage with some 1.16b people still classed as rural
AFRICA - SOME INTERESTING, THOUGHT PROVOKING FACTS ….
4
Growth in African Consumers Household revenues
AFRICA’S BURGEONING MIDDLE CLASS CONSUMERS
5
Poor
Basic Needs
Merging Consumers
Middle class
Rich
100%
80%
60%
40%
10%
0%
2000 2008 2020
Ref: McKinsey
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
17 26 37 53 83 136
201 283
379 458
552 620
735 804
860 906
2.06% 3.13% 4.43% 6.22%
9.47%
15.30%
22.20%
30.59%
40.23%
47.79%
56.53%
62.62%
72.62%
78.11% 82.06%
84.88%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Connections (Millions)
Penetration
Eutelsat: 51% market share in the number of satellite TV channels broadcast over SSA
TV EVOLUTION WILL FOLLOW CELLULAR EVOLUTION
6
Mln
Source: Dataxis
Exponential Growth in Africa’s Mobile Market More than 120 million African homes will receive Digital TV in 2018
Current Internet Penetration
Mobile Penetration
Rural Population In 2040
Mobile usage by technology
Out of 1,400 Million population
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SUB SAHARAN A.-MANY POTENTIAL DIGITAL CONSUMERS
Source : World Bank, ITU, GSMA
80%
13%
78%
2G 2.5G 3G
Opportunities exist as well as challenges
DIGITAL TV LANDSCAPE IN AFRICA
Africa’s Digital TV Ecosystem – 2014
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DTT rollout DTH
Mobility
Local Content
International Content
Leapfrog - SHD, 4K …
Show me the market!
Africa is NOT a homogenous place
At least 7 sub continents - with vastly different tastes
North Africa, West Africa – Francophone, West Africa – English, East Africa, Central Africa, Portuguese West and East Africa, Southern Africa
Further enhanced by tribal and religious differences
Pearls of wisdom-
The market doesn’t know what they want until its shown to them! Content is still king
The market wants to see everything but its willingness to pay follows a diminishing return model
The market compares and values picture quality
The market doesn’t like to switch (dishes)
SHOW ME THE MARKET (MONEY)
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KEY VIDEO NEIGHBOURHOODS IN AFRICA
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> 2.5 million homes
EUTELSAT 36B at 36° East
> 1 million homes
EUTELSAT 16A at 16° East
< 1m growing
EUTELSAT 7B at 7° East
+- 5 million subs
IS7 at 68.5° East
<1m subs
SES 5 – Sub-Saharan
Successful DTH platforms
AFRICAN DTH – BUSINESS MODELS FOR SUCCESS
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ViewAfrica
Key content RECIPE – SPORT, movies, music, education, news, religion
Content makes up over 50% of the total costs each month
Carefully analyses and balance viewer preferences with local content (pictures from home), vs. outside content. The Village and Community TV is very popular
Subsidise STB’s, dish installation, etc. - with highly efficient distribution in country
Customer care – post sale, revenue collection is key
Advertising model – only works where reliable AUDIENCE MEASUREMENT can be achieved
Successful DTH operators are all well funded – don’t try to do this on a shoestring
Population – 1.1 billion 2.5 % Households - 239 million 3.3 % TV households – 117 million 6.3 % Satellite PayTv Subs – 10.5 million 11 % DTT Subs – 2.6 million 6.3 % Digital FTA households – 38.2 million 7 %
AFRICA TV FIGURES AND FORECASTS 2014 - Q1
12 Source: Dataxis 2014
Annual growth %
AFRICA - TV EVOLUTION
Competition for the African mass TV eyeballs
For the next 2-4 years – dominated by switchover to DTT
Underpinned by DTH as gap-filler and premium service
Increase in rise of Free to Air (free to view) platforms
Will there be a credible triple play entrant? Possibly from Airtel? Etisalat? MTN?
13
EUTELSAT INNOVATION: “SMART LNB” Narrowband return link, independent, low-cost & simple
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Low cost equipment / Reduced OPEX thanks to high spectrum efficiency
Ku-band Steerable (West Africa) Downlink Coverage Ku-band Africa Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT AFRICAN COVERAGE
15
%
Ku-band Western Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT E21B at 21.5° East EUTELSAT 36A at 36° East EUTELSAT 36A at 36° East
Ku-band Southern Africa Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT 36B at 36° East
Ku-band Sub Saharan Africa Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT 36B at 36° East
Ku-band Africa Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT 70B at 70.5° East
EUTELSAT AFRICAN COVERAGE
51 %
16
Predicted Steerable Ku-band Downlink Coverage Predicted C-band Downlink Coverage
%
Predicted Ku-band Downlink Coverage
EUTELSAT 3B at 3° East EUTELSAT 3B at 3° East EUTELSAT 3B at 3° East
We’re ready to support you in today’s & tomorrow’s challenges THANK YOU
19 Rodney Benn / Regional VP – Africa / [email protected]
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