energetika, okoliš i održivi · pdf file19.11.2010 2 nuklearne elektrane, pregled...
TRANSCRIPT
19.11.2010
1
Energetika, okoliš i održivi razvojEnergetika, okoliš i održivi razvoj
- nuklearni dio (1 od 3)- nuklearni dio (1 od 3)
Prof. dr. sc. Nikola Čavlina
1. D. Feretić, Ž. Tomšić, D. Škanata, N. Čavlina, D. Subašić: Elektrane i okoliš, Element, Zagreb, 2000.
Literatura:
‐ poglavlje 9poglavlje 9Sigurnost nuklearnih elektrana i njihov utjecaj na okoliš‐ poglavlje 12Kruti i tekući otpad iz elektrana (12.2. Radioaktivni otpad)
‐ dodatno:
2EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
2
Nuklearne elektrane, pregled stanjaNuklearne elektrane, pregled stanja
Gorivni ciklusGorivni ciklus
3EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
4
440 nuklearnih energetskih reaktora, u 30 zemalja ukupna instalirana snaga 376,000 MWe preko14,000 reaktor godina pogonskog iskustva proizvode ~ 14% svjetskih potreba za električnom energijom
(updated September 2010)
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
3
Gorivo korišteno za proizvodnju električne energije u 2006.
5EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Energija iz fosilnih goriva
CO2
• Gustoća energije: 2.9 x 107 J/kg
• Potrošnja goriva u postrojenju 1000-MWe : 7,300,000 kg/dan
Kisik( O2)
Ugljen(2 CH)
izgaranje
160 eV
vodena para52
6EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
4
Nuklearna fisija
Fisijski proizvodi
t fisija l č
• Gustoća energije: 8 2 x 1013 J/kg
neutron235
U
neutron
neutron
fisija
235U,
239Pu, etc.
200 MeV
fisija
fisija
lančana reakcija
• Gustoća energije: 8.2 x 10 J/kg
• Potrošnja goriva u postrojenju 1000-MWe : 3.2 kg/dan
7EOOR nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Nuclear Power Reactors: World Map
8EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
6
Nuclear Power Plants in Operation in Europe
Source: ENS
11EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
EU‐27 Ovisnost o uvozu energenata i diverzifikacija
12EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
7
Emisije stakleničkih plinova tijekom cijelog životnog ciklusa elektrane
Fosilne tehnologije Ne‐fosilne tehnologije
13EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Study by NEA and the IEA, The Projected Costs of Generating Electricity: 2010 Update
Source: R.Cameron:Projected costs of electricity generation, ENC 2010, Barcelona
14
19.11.2010
8
90
100
Costs of Generating ElectricitySensitivity on fuel costs ‐ example
30
40
50
60
70
80
Pro
izv
od
na
cij
en
el.
e.
eu
ro/M
Wh
150 300
440
Uranium price $/kg
220 Natural gas price $/1000m3
30
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95
Coal price $/t
15EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Evolution of Nuclear Power
16EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
9
First Man Made Nuclear Reactor
Chicago Pile‐1 (CP‐1) was the world's first artificial nuclear reactor.
The first artificial, self‐sustaining, nuclear chain reaction was initiated within CP 1 onreaction was initiated within CP‐1, on December 2, 1942. The pile went critical at 3:20 p.m. Fermi shut it down 33 minutes later.
The reactor was a pile of uranium and graphite blocks, assembled under the supervision of Enrico Fermi.
It contained critical mass of the fissile material, together with control rods, and was built as a part of Manhattan Project research done by h f h ll lthe University of Chicago Metallurgical Laboratory.
The pile consisted of:– Uranium pellets as a neutron–producing
"core" separated from one another by
– Graphite blocks to slow the neutrons.
– Cd coated rods for control of the reaction.
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Development of Commercial Nuclear Power
"Atoms for Peace" :– Title of a speech by Dwight D. Eisenhower to the UN General Assembly in 1953.
Th U i d S h l h d "A f P "– The United States then launched an "Atoms for Peace" program that supplied equipment and information to schools, hospitals, and research institutions within the U.S. and throughout the world.
The Atomic Energy Act signed on August 1, 1946, transfers the control of atomic energy from military to civilian hands.
United Nations' "First Geneva Conference“ in 1955.
EURATOM In 1957 was launched alongside the European Economic Community (ECC).
In 1957 the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is established. IAEA Headquarters in Vienna, Austria
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
10
Trgovački brodovi na nuklearni pogon
Russian Ice-breaker Krasin Heading For Antarctic To Rescue U.S. Polar Station McMurdo
Erazmo Tićac
Development of Commercial Nuclear Power
–The Shippingport Atomic Power Station in Shippingport, Pennsylvania was the first commercial reactor in the USA, opened in 1957.
–Westinghouse in USA designed and built the first fully commercial PWR (250MWe) Yankee Rowe 1960‐1992.
–The Boiling Water Reactor (BWR) was developed by Argonne National Lab (ANL). The first one was built and designed by GE: Dresden‐1 (250MWe)
Yankee Rowe, First commercial PWR.
designed by GE: Dresden 1 (250MWe).Comercial operation in 1960.
–Canada using natural uranium fuel and heavy water as moderator developed the CANDU design in 1962.
Dresden‐1, First commercial BWR.
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
11
Nuclear Accidents: Three Mile Island (1979)
http://www.ohiocitizen.org/campaigns/electric/2004/ph_three_mile_island500.jpg
http://www.inl.gov/threemileisland/inl.shtml
Fuel TypeAverage Capacity
Factors (%)
Nuclear Power Plants Capacity Factor
Fuel Type Factors (%)
Nuclear 91.8
Coal (Steam Turbine)
71.8
Gas (Combined Cycle)
43.3
Gas (Steam Turbine) 16.0
Oil (Steam Turbine) 19 6Oil (Steam Turbine) 19.6
Hydro 27.8
Wind 30.4
Solar 19.8
* Source: Global Energy Decisions / Energy Information Administration
22EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
12
Temički reaktori , gen III i III+
23EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Generation IV Systems
24EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
13
Hydrogen Production
25EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Nuklearne elektrane u Francuskoj
!
26EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
14
Finland as example: why new NPPs?
OL3 construction site in May 2010
Why OL3 ?
OL3 meets growing demand for electricity
reduce carbon dioxide emissions in Finland reduce carbon dioxide emissions in Finland
support the competitiveness of Finnish industry by offering a reliable electricity supply at a reasonable price
reduce dependence on electricity imports
Source: TVO
27
Finland: Electric Power Capacity
28
28EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
15
Olkiluoto 3Primjer: Finska
29EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Odlaganje radiaktivnog otpada i istrošenog goriva
Olkiluoto NPP Loviisa NPP
Primjer: Finska
spent nuclear fuel
The final disposal repository for operating waste in Olkiluoto, in operation from 1992
In Loviisa, final disposal of operating waststarted in 1998.
30EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
16
Pridobivanje dozvola i izgradnja nove nuklearne elektrane
Construction
Primjer: Finska
?
Construction license applied Jan 2004
Competitive bidding Plant sitePlant supplier
31
EIA report 1999EIA process
DiP Application Nov 2000Government Jan 2002Parliament May 2002
applied Jan 2004 granted Feb 2005
source: www.tvo.fi
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Nuklearne elektrane u izgradnji (61)
32EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
17
Countries Considering Nuclear Power
Operating (30) Considering (43) Expressing interest (25)
33
Source: IAEA, B.Tyobeka: Global Status of Nuclear Power, Int. Conf. HND, 2010
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3 34
19.11.2010
18
“scaling” 1 : 1000
Hrvatska svijet
Stanovništvo 5 milijuna 7 milijardi
Potrošnja energije 17 TWh 17.000 TWh
Proizvodnja iz nukl.el. 2.5 TWh 2.500 TWh
Broj nuklearnih el. 0.5* 440
35
oj u ea e 0 5 0
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
EES Hrvatske
Total Power Product. Nuclear Power(including Nuclear)
Hungary 35.377 GWh(e) 12.787 GWh(e)Slovakia 32.805 GWh(e) 17.953 GWh(e)Czech Republic 76.348 GWh(e) 18.738 GWh(e)
36EEOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
19
Regionalna elektroenergetska bilanca
-7,5 TWh
-0,5 TWh
+4,0 TWh (Ukraine)+10,0 TWh (Slovakia)
+2,0 TWh+2,5 TWh+37,5 TWh
(France, Switzerland)+3,0 TWh
+1,0 TWh
-3,0 TWh-3,0 TWh
-1,5 TWh
0,0 TWh
-40,0 TWh 0,0 TWh
-2,0 TWh
(France, Switzerland)
-1,5 TWh
37
Neto izvoznik
Neto uvoznik
Najveći uvoznik
-4,0 TWh
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Slovakia , in 2007, 28.1 billion kWh gross was produced, 55% of this from nuclear power
66%
19.11.2010
20
Czech Republic, in 2007, electricity generation was 88.2 billion kWh, of which 62% (54.9 billion kWh) was from coal, 30% (26.2 billion kWh) from nuclear, with net exports of 16.2 billion kWh
Hungary , in 2008, electricity generation was 40.0 billion kWh, of which nuclear 14.8 billion kWhthe price of a kilowatt‐hour of electricity from Paks was 3.58 Euro cents/kWh
19.11.2010
21
Strategy of Energy Development in Croatia Power plants: Installed capacities and new capacities
coal‐fired power plants and gas‐fired power plants, with installed capacity of 1200 MW each, are expected to be built before the year 2020
decision to build nuclear power plant will be made by the end of the year 2012
….41EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
. . .
Republika Hrvatska pokreće hrvatski nuklearni energetski program
U Programu provedbe Strategije Vlada Republike Hrvatske razradit će program pripremnih aktivnosti kako bi se do kraja 2012. godine moglo
42
p g p p j g gpristupiti donošenju odluke o izgradnji nuklearne elektrane
Donošenje odluke o izgradnji nuklearne elektrana očekuje se najkasnije 2012.godine
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
22
Nuklearna opcija je sadržana u energetskom
planu
43
2012. g. ?Ref.: IAEA Nuclear Energy Series No. NG‐G‐3.1Milestones in the Development of a NationalInfrastructure For Nuclear Power
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
1974. • investitori Savske elektrane Ljubljana i
Elektroprivreda Zagreb u sklopili ugovor oElektroprivreda Zagreb u sklopili ugovor o nabavi opreme i gradnji s Westinghouseom
• položen je kamen temeljac za nuklearnu elektranu Krško
44
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
23
Procjena potrebnog broja kadrova za nuklearni program
45
Ref.: Sara Scott, Los Alamos National Laboratory: Modeling Human Resource Development for New Nuclear Power Programs, International Conference on Human Resource Development for Introducing and Expanding Nuclear Power Programs, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, March 14 to 18, 2010
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Razmatranja i podloge za odluku o realizaciji nuklearnog programa:
1. Nacionalno stajalište2. Nuklearna sigurnost 3. Upravljanje nuklearnim programom4. Financiranje programa 5 Zakonski okvir5. Zakonski okvir6. Pitanje proliferacije7. Regulatorni okvir 8. Zaštita od zračenja 9. Elektroenergetska mreža 10. Kadrovi za nuklearni program11. Zaštita okoliša 12. Komunikacija s javnošću 13. Lokacija i infrastruktura14. Krizno planiranje
46
14. Krizno planiranje15. Sigurnost i fizička zaštita 16. Nuklearni gorivni ciklus17. Zbrinjavanje radioaktivnog otpada18. Uključivanje lokalne industrije 19. Politika nabave opreme i usluga
do 2012.g. !!!
EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
24
“Nuclear power is not a solution for climate change”Greens tabled an amendment calling for a phase-out plan for nuclear
European Parliament vote tracker
47
U 2008. godini:hidroelektrane 5890 GWhtermoelektrane 4978 GWhTE Plomin 2 1514 GWh Nukl.el. Krško (1/2) 2985 GWh
48EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
u e š o ( / ) 985 G
HE38%
TE32%
Plomin 210%
NEK20%
19.11.2010
25
TE Plomin II• snaga 210MW • gorivo: ugljen
49
Faktori emisija postojećih proizvodnih jedinica HEP-a
CO2 SOx NOx Česticeg/kWh g/kWh g/kWh g/kWh
Plomin 2 1091 08 7 99 1 61 0 19Plomin 2 1091,08 7,99 1,61 0,19PTE Osijek 593,38 0,05 2,68 0,02TE Rijeka 763,20 4,28 1,86 0,81novi blok TETO Zagreb 280,87 0,02 0,90 0,02NE Krško 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
Primjer ‐ Plomin 2 godišnja proizvodnja el.en. 1500 GWh
CO2 1091 g/kWh x 1500 106 kWh = 1.636.500 tona
50EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
19.11.2010
26
Nukl. el. Krško godišnja proizvodnja el. en.
51EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3
Usporedba elektrana Krško i Angra‐1(31.12.2009.)
= 67.038.000 MWh
~ 3 milijarde €
52EOOR – nuklearni dio 1 od 3