first energy annualanalystmtg2-01-07
TRANSCRIPT
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Safe Harbor StatementSafe Harbor Statement
Safe Harbor Statement
These presentations include forward-looking statements based on information currently available to management. Such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. These statements typically contain, but are not limited to, the terms“anticipate,” “potential,” “expect,” “believe,” “estimate” and similar words. Actual results may differ materially due to the speed and nature of increased competition and deregulation in the electric utility industry, economic or weather conditions affecting future sales and margins, changes in markets for energy services, changing energy and commodity market prices, replacement power costs being higher than anticipated or inadequately hedged, the continued ability of our regulated utilities to collect transition and other charges or to recover increased transmission costs, maintenance costs being higher than anticipated, legislative and regulatory changes (including revised environmental requirements), and the legal and regulatory changes resulting from the implementation of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (including, but not limited to, the repeal of the Public Utility Holding Company Act of 1935), the uncertainty of the timing and amounts of the capital expenditures needed to, among other things, implement the Air Quality Compliance Plan (including that such amounts could be higher than anticipated) or levels of emission reductions related to the Consent Decree resolving the New Source Review litigation, adverse regulatory or legal decisions and outcomes (including, but not limited to, the revocation of necessary licenses or operating permits, fines or other enforcement actions and remedies) of governmental investigations and oversight, including by the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the various state public utility commissions as disclosed in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, generally, and heightened scrutiny at the Perry Nuclear Power Plant in particular, the timing and outcome of various proceedings before the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio (including, but not limited to, the successful resolution of the issues remanded to the PUCO by the Ohio Supreme Court regarding the Rate Stabilization Plan) and the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission, including the transition rate plan filings for Met-Ed and Penelec, the continuing availability and operation of generating units, the ability of generating units to continue to operate at, or near full capacity, the inability to accomplish or realize anticipated benefits from strategic goals (including employee workforce initiatives), the anticipated benefits from voluntary pension plan contributions, the ability to improve electric commodity margins and to experience growth in the distribution business, the ability to access the public securities and other capital markets and the cost of such capital, the outcome, cost and other effects of present and potential legal and administrative proceedings and claims related to the August 14, 2003 regional power outage, the successful structuring and completion of a potential sale and leaseback transaction for Bruce Mansfield Unit 1 currently under consideration by management, the successful implementation of the newly-approved share repurchase program announced today, the risks and other factors discussed from time to time in our Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005, and other similar factors. We expressly disclaim any current intention to update any forward-looking statements contained herein as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Today’s AgendaToday’s AgendaPerformance Overview – Tony AlexanderRegulatory Update – Leila VespoliOperations Overview – Dick GriggFossil Operations – Charlie LaskyEnvironmental Compliance – Guy PipitoneNuclear Operations – Gary Leidich– Break –Energy Delivery & Customer Service – Chuck JonesCommodity Operations – Ali JamshidiFinancial Outlook – Rich MarshClosing Remarks – Tony AlexanderPanel Q & A
Performance Overview – Tony AlexanderRegulatory Update – Leila VespoliOperations Overview – Dick GriggFossil Operations – Charlie LaskyEnvironmental Compliance – Guy PipitoneNuclear Operations – Gary Leidich– Break –Energy Delivery & Customer Service – Chuck JonesCommodity Operations – Ali JamshidiFinancial Outlook – Rich MarshClosing Remarks – Tony AlexanderPanel Q & A
Today’s Agenda
Performance Overview
Tony AlexanderPresident & CEO
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering Strong Results
Performance Overview
Our focus continues to be on the fundamentals…
Improve operating performanceStrengthen financial performanceEnhance shareholder valueEnsure a safe working environment for employees
2
We’re in the best financial position I’ve seenin my 34 years with the company…
…and delivering top-decile performancein key measures across our operations
We delivered on these goals
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering Improved Operating PerformanceT&D Reliability:
Distribution SAIDI* improved 20% across operating companies… more than 40% in some areas
Transmission Outage Frequency per circuit is at 0.35— top-decile performance in our industry
Performance Overview
3
* SAIDI (System Average Interruption Duration Index)
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering Improved Operating Performance
Performance Overview
4
Fossil GenerationNuclear Generation
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006
(million MWh)
RecordOutput
Record Generation
82807768
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering Strong Financial Results
2006 Non-GAAP Earnings Guidance:*Original (July ’05) $3.40 – $3.60** Final (Oct ’06) $3.75 – $3.85***
Preliminary Unaudited 2006Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share $3.87 – $3.89***
Performance Overview
5
* Three adjustments were made to the original guidance.** Also reflected GAAP earnings guidance.*** See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliations in the Financial Outlook Appendix.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering Enhanced Shareholder Value
Four dividend increases over past 2 years
Two programs to repurchase up to 26.5 million shares
2006 total shareholder return of 27.2%
3-year annualized TSR of 24.0%– Ranks 8/63 in EEI Index
Performance Overview
6
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering World-Class Safety Results
Overall OSHA rate of 0.97 in 2006 – best ever for FirstEnergy, and one of best in industry
Performance Overview
7
2003 2004 2005 2006
1.591.44
1.23
0.97
OSHA Incident Rate *
* Per 100 employees.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Building Long-Term Shareholder ValueEnhance financial strength and flexibility
Continue to deliver consistent and predictable financial results
– 2007 Non-GAAP Earnings Guidance: $4.05 – $4.25*– Compelling long-term earnings growth potential
– Transition to market-based generation rates– Phase out of transition cost amortization
8Performance Overview
* See GAAP to Non-GAAP reconciliation in the Financial Outlook Appendix.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Strategic Vision: 2007 and Beyond
Strategic Goals:
Manage transition to competitive markets —Ohio/Pennsylvania
Realize full potential of asset base
Control commodity costs and risks
Enhance financial strength and flexibility
Performance Overview
9
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Performance Overview
10
Regulatory Update
Leila VespoliSr. Vice President & General Counsel
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Regulatory Objectives
Manage transition to market-based ratesGeneration
DeliveryFull and timely recovery of costsTransmission: Recover volatile RTO costsDistribution: Maximize long-run equity return Transition: Full and timely stranded cost recovery
2Regulatory Update
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FERC Strategy
Principles for Wholesale Power MarketsOperational excellenceLeader in regulatory complianceSupport development of electricity marketsEncourage infrastructure developmentTimely cost recovery
Active engagement and advocacyat FERC, PJM and MISO
3Regulatory Update
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Regulatory StrategyManaging the Transition to Competitive Markets
Completed projects:– $182M in transition bonds issued– BPU approved framework for full recovery of
deferred costs — $110M annual increase [“NGC case”]
BGS auction process as a model forsuccessful transition to markets
Jersey Central Power & Light
4
New Jersey
Regulatory Update
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Regulatory Update
Regulatory StrategyManaging the Transition to Competitive Markets
Successful transition to market-based generation ratesRFP process for 900 MW from Jan. 2007 – May 2008Average retail price of $85/MWh replaced $55/MWh
Penn Power
5
Pennsylvania
Met-Ed and PenelecGranted deferral of PJM transmission charges starting Jan. 2006PUC Order on transition rate plan issued Jan. 11, 2007NUG accounting case to be heard in Feb. 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Regulatory Update
Regulatory StrategyManaging the Transition to Competitive Markets
Overall: $109M increase effective Jan. 12, 2007Transmission recovery granted in full ($193M increase)– Ongoing costs recoverable using a reconcilable rider – 10-year recovery of 2006 deferral with carrying charges
Generation increase of $219M and NUG deferral of $92M deniedDistribution decrease of $84M; ROE set at 10.1%Restated FES Partial Requirements Agreementeffective Jan. 1, 2007
Summary: Met-Ed and PenelecTransition Plan Decision
6
Pennsylvania
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Regulatory Strategy Managing the Transition to Competitive Markets
Regulatory Update
Ohio Senate Bill 3 – Ohio Restructuring Legislation(July 1999)
Generation Asset Transfer completed (4Q 2005)Rate Certainty Plan approved (Jan. 2006)– Stable transition for customers/companies through 2008– Provides for synchronization of the following in 2009:
– Distribution rate increase, including recovery ofRCP deferrals
– Market-based generation rates– Elimination/Reduction of transition cost recovery
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Regulatory StrategyManaging the Transition to Competitive Markets
Regulatory Update
Ohio
Average Unbundled FirstEnergy Ohio Rates
* Represents Non-Shopping Customers.
8
Illustrative Market Price Impact – 2009
Dist Dist
RTC
Trans
0.00
15.00
30.00
45.00
60.00
75.00
90.00
12/31/2008* 01/01/2009
Break-evenRetail Priceapprox. $61/ MWh
($ / MWh) $88.00 $88.00
GenGen
RSC
TransRTC
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Regulatory Strategy Managing the Transition to Competitive Markets
Regulatory Update
OhioRate shock experienced in other states not likelyfor FirstEnergy
Termination/reduction of transition cost recovery(average of $15/MWh in 2008) will substantially mitigate any price increases to customers
9
Well positioned to participate in development of the post-2008 market structure in Ohio
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
appendix
App-1Regulatory Update
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Retail Regulatory Structure
1 CEI fixed through April 2009.2 NUG recovery thru 2020.
Ohio Edison Stable ratesthru 2008“g + RSC”
RTC thru2008 – OE, TE2010 – CEI
Fixed ratesthru 20081
Pass thruMISO costs
Penn Power Market in2007
POLR ratesthru 2010
GenerationGeneration TransmissionTransmission DistributionDistribution Transition CostTransition Cost
Norestriction
JCP&L BGS Supply MTC thru 2018No restriction
Met-Ed
Penelec
Toledo Edison
CEI
CTC endedJan. 2006
CTC thru 20102
CTC thru 20092
App-2Regulatory Update
Pass thruPJM costs
Norestriction
InGeneration
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Transition Case Detail – Pennsylvania
App-3Regulatory Update
Revenue Increase (Decrease)Distribution $ (21) $ (84)Transmission 193 193Generation 219 0Total Rate Increase $ 391 $ 109Deferral RequestCTC $ 1 $ 0NUG Cost Recovery 92 0Total Deferral $ 93 $ 0
RequestedRequested GrantedGranted($ millions)($ millions)
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Revenue Increase (Decrease)Distribution $ (39) $ (75)Transmission 133 133Generation 131 0Total Rate Increase $ 225 $ 58Deferral RequestCTC $ 1 $ 0NUG Cost Recovery 43 0Total Deferral $ 44 $ 0
Transition Case Detail – Met-Ed
RequestedRequested GrantedGranted($ millions)($ millions)
App-4Regulatory Update
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Revenue Increase (Decrease)Distribution $ 18 $ (9)Transmission 60 60Generation 88 0Total Rate Increase $ 166 $ 51Deferral RequestCTC $ 0 $ 0NUG Cost Recovery 49 0Total Deferral $ 49 $ 0
Transition Case Detail – Penelec
RequestedRequested GrantedGranted($ millions)($ millions)
App-5Regulatory Update
7
Dick GriggExecutive Vice President & COO
Operations Overview
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Operations Strategy: Leveraging assets and maximizing opportunities is our focus across all business units.
DRIVING PERFORMANCE & DELIVERING RESULTS
Operations Overview
The key to our success will be:
Commodity OperationsCommodity Operations
Environmental Compliance
Environmental Compliance
FossilFossilEnergy DeliveryEnergy Delivery
NuclearNuclear
2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Akron
Toledo
Reading
Beaver Valley1,712 MW
Davis-Besse898 MW
Perry1,258 MW
R. E. Burger413 MW
W. H. Sammis2,233 MW
Bruce Mansfield2,460 MW
Eastlake1,262 MW
Ashtabula244 MW
Seneca443 MW
Edgewater48 MW
Richland432 MW
Stryker18 MW
Yards Creek200 MW
York Haven19 MW
Mad River60 MW
West Lorain545 MW
Lake Shore249 MW
Sumpter340 MW
Erie
Ohio
Pennsylvania
NewJersey
Harrisburg
MorristownNewark
Allenhurst
Trenton
Bay Shore648 MW
Columbus
New Castle
Cleveland
Johnstown
Forked River86 MW
Michigan
Baseload Load Following Peaking Units
Plant Load Strategy
Towanda
MW MWMW
FirstEnergy Generation Sources
West Lorain 545Seneca 443Richland 432Sumpter 340Yards Creek 200Burger 3 & EMDs 101Forked River 86Mad River 60Other 129
Total Peaking Units 2,336
Mansfield 1-3 2,460Beaver Valley 1,2 1,712Perry 1,258Sammis 6,7 1,200Davis-Besse 898Eastlake 5 597Bay Shore 1 136York Haven 19
Total Baseload 8,280
Sammis 1-5 1,020Eastlake 1-4 636Bay Shore 2-4 495Burger 4 -5 312Lake Shore 245Ashtabula 244
Total Load Following 2,952
3
OVEC 463Wind 30
Total 493
Other MW
FirstEnergy Power Plants
C Coal 7,439 MWN Nuclear 3,868 H Hydro 662 G Gas & O Oil 1,599
Other 493Total 14,061MW
Operations Overview
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Coal53%Coal53%
Nuclear28%
Nuclear28%
CTs11%CTs11%Hydro
5%Hydro
5%
14,061 MWNet Capacity14,061 MW
Net Capacity
Diverse Generation Portfolio
Hydro / CTs2%
Hydro / CTs2%Nuclear
35%Nuclear
35%
2006 ActualGeneration Output82.0 million MWh *
2006 ActualGeneration Output82.0 million MWh *
Coal63%Coal63%
4
Other3%
Other3%
* Excluding Wind and OVEC Generation
Operations Overview
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Diverse Generation Portfolio
Hydro / CTs2%
Hydro / CTs2%Nuclear
38%Nuclear
38%
2007 ProjectedGeneration Output82.7 million MWh
2007 ProjectedGeneration Output82.7 million MWh
Coal60%Coal60%
5
* Excluding Wind and OVEC Generation
Operations Overview
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Drive continuous improvement– Increased reliability– Outage execution– Excellence standards
WELL-POSITIONED TO SUCCEEDIN A COMPETITIVE GENERATION MARKET
Operations Overview
Operations StrategyGeneration
6
Explore opportunities to mine existing assets forcost-effective capacity additions
Effectively implement environmental compliance strategy
– Benchmark analysis– Controlling costs
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Manage commodity value chain
Effectively deploy generation to capture market opportunities
Enhance fuel supply/logistics
Efficiently manage purchased power requirements
Employ strict risk management controls and oversight– Volume and price risks– Generation availability risks– Transmission congestion risks
COMMODITY OPERATIONS IS MAXIMIZING MARGINSBY MITIGATING RISKS AND MINIMIZING SUPPLY COSTS
Operations Overview
Operations StrategyCommodity Operations
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Continued focus on enhancing reliability and customer service– Targeted reinvestment in T & D infrastructure – Leveraging technology
Implement “Energy Delivery Excellence Program”– Top-to-bottom review of entire operations– Identify operational, organizational, and technological
opportunities for improvement – Enhance construction budgeting, planning, scheduling
and oversight process
Achieve timely rate recovery of regulated capital spend
ENERGY DELIVERY IS WORKING THE PLANAND ACHIEVING RESULTS
Operations Overview
Operations StrategyEnergy Delivery
8
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Unwavering commitment to safety
Underlying all of our strategies is the recruitment and retention of a talented workforce
To address an aging workforce, partnered with colleges across OH, PA and NJ to recruit and develop new talent:
– Energy Delivery implemented a Power Systems Institute(PSI) Program offering degrees in line and substation work
– Fossil Group initiated a 2-year Power Plant Technology program in 2003
– Nuclear Group started a 2-year associate’s degree programin nuclear engineering technology
Operations Overview
Operations StrategyEmployees
9
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
There are numerous opportunities to leverage our assets and build upon our strengths. Our team will discuss how we plan to execute and capture these opportunities.
Operations Overview
Operations Strategy
BUILDING LONG-TERM SHAREHOLDER VALUE
10
Fossil Operations
Charlie LaskyVice President, Fossil Operations
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
AgendaAgenda
Fossil Operations Overview
2006 Results
Fossil Excellence Standards
Fossil Operations Overview
2006 Results
Fossil Excellence Standards
Fossil Operations
2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Standard Operating SystemsStandard Operating Systems
Drive Consistent Performance in Critical MetricsDrive Consistent Performance in Critical Metrics
Fossil ExcellenceFossil Excellence
Fossil Operations
3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fossil continues top quartile safety performance
Unwavering commitment to SafetyContinue drive towardsconsistent top decile performanceFocus Safety training on personal performance improvementsDrive personal employee engagement in SafetyinitiativesStandardize fleet-wide performance metricsthat drive accountability and engagement
Top quartile and decile performanceis based on EEI’s Annual Safety Surveys.
OSHA Incident Rate
1.02
1.40
2.12
1.71
2.16
1.55
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
2005 Industry PerformanceTop 10% = 1.17 or betterTop 25% = 1.80 or better
Top Quartile
Fossil Operations
4
Top Decile
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Fossil Operations
Maximizing fleet utilization key to driving improved generation margin.
Fossil Generation
35
40
45
50
55
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E
2006 record generation output with over 52.98 million MWh from Fossil FleetMansfield Plant record generation output with over 18.63 million MWhSteady growth of baseload generation with step improvement in load following generationSustained generation levels demonstrate strong linkage between plants and market dispatch
(million MWH)
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Baseload units demonstrate consistent improvement.
88.6%
85.9%84.5%
79.6%
76.0%
82.2%
68%
70%
72%
74%
76%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E
Top Decile
Top Quartile
82.7%
90.7%
88.8%
91.4%
84.3%84.2%
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E
Top decile base load capacity factor in 2006 compared to Navigant benchmark databaseIncreased capacity factors and reliability initiatives drive baseload units towards top decilein 2006 Equivalent Availability
Top Decile
Top Quartile
•Top performance came from Navigant benchmarking study •Top performance came from Navigant benchmarking study
Baseload Capacity FactorBaseload Capacity Factor Baseload Eq. AvailabilityBaseload Eq. Availability
Fossil Operations
6
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006 generation reflects sustaining generation increase of close to 5M MWH over 2004Maximize operational flexibility for regulation, minimum loads and system rampingDispatch strategies focused on maximizing utilization in profitable markets
*Excludes the peaking units.
0
5
10
15
20M NMWh
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%Capacity Factor
Load Following 15.2 18.2 16.6 14.4 19.5 19.1 19.8Capacity Factor 54% 64% 59% 51% 69% 69% 70%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E
Focus on total fleet output has positive impact on load following utilization.
Fossil Operations
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Delivering value by driving down incremental costs and increasing generation output2006 incremental operating costs are 34% below 2001 inflated levels2007 Incremental costs reflect impact of scheduled outage cycle for units and emissions
Non-Fuel O&M Expense
$357.9 $357.8$443.8 $396.4 $374.4 $355.1 $425.5
-
200
400
600
800
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E-
3
6
9
12($ millions) ($/NMWh)
$/Net MWh $9.01 $7.50 $9.47 $8.53 $7.27 $6.70 $8.26
3% Inflated $9.09 $9.35 $9.63 $9.92 $10.27 $10.59
2006 Fossil incremental Non-Fuel Costs declined 29% since 2003.
Fossil Operations
8
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Bay Shore Plant pilots Fossil Excellence (FEx) to driveself-critical culture.
Successfully engaged multiple frontline personnel in defining plant vision and leading improvement initiatives
– 23 led initiatives and over 70 participated (out of ~200 employees at Plant)
Trained and building FEx skills in more than 70 frontline employees
Engaged& MotivatedWorkforce
Integrate plant diagnostic and annual Business Plan development to define a 18- to 24-month roadmap for Bay Shore to achieve significant performance improvementsSet up performance dialogs to enable continuous improvement
ContinuousImprovement
Culture
Developed key elements of the FEx Standards– Continuous improvement approach including employee engagement – FEx tools demonstrated successfully; equipment strategy, standard operating
responses, planning and scheduling, SMED
Develop standard approach on embedding one common operating system at all FirstEnergy Fossil plants
CommonOperating System
Pilot at Bay Shore set clear path to achieve top level performanceDemonstrated significant improvement in key management areas
Industry-leadingPerformance
9Fossil Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Generation StrategyCommitted to grow generation through base load up-rates
50100
130 130
49
92149
0
100
200
300
2005 2006 2007E 2008E
(Cumulative MW)
NuclearFossil
Fossil Operations
10
149
222
279
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Generation strategy focused at growing earnings through potential opportunities linked to our existing asset base.
63%18%
16%
2%1%
Incremental Projects
CoalGasNuclear
OilOpportunistic Fuel
Potential enhancementsto sustain or improve capacity and generation outputLeverage and grow a diverse gen-eration base to maximize earnings potential and meet load growthCreate a strategy that supports incremental generation growth while minimizing environmental regulatory and capital recovery risksAuxiliary services markets and capacity revenues will impact gen-eration asset decisions in the future Technology enhancements will shape future fleet design and diversity
Fossil Operations
11
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Grouping of Incremental Projects Low cost capacity improvement “quick hits”
Twelve projects supporting 197 MW of capacity improvements at anestimated capital cost of $12M ($61/kW)Projects focused largely around strengthening peak summer generation capacity from combustion turbines and continued operation of Burger Unit 3
Fossil Operations
12
Cumulative MW
0
50
100
150
200
2007 2008 2009 2010
CAPEX $M 6 6 0 0Cumulative MW 175 197 197 197
Quick Hits
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Strategic OperationComprehensive environmental compliance and economic analysis for
Fossil Fleet ready for implementation– Clean Air Interstate Rule and Clean Air Mercury Rule – effective March 2005– New Source Review – effective July 1, 2005– Clean Water Act, Section 316(b) Phase II – effective July 9, 2004
Air Quality Control Group focused to address environmental compliance implementation plans across the fleet with $1.8 billion investment through 2010
Environmental considerations impactday-to-day as well as strategic decisions.Tactical Operation
Managed compliance with environmental operating standards to achieve 100% compliance
Optimized emission rates to maximize contribution to generation margin
Long-Term OperationActively partner with government agencies, EPRI, and equipment manufacturersto R&D new control technologies and system efficiency improvements to addresspotential future emissions regulations
Fossil Operations
13
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
In Summary … Focus on Consistent Execution
Fossil Operationscontinues to drive bottom-line contribution for FirstEnergy…
$EPS
$EPS
Unwavering commitment to achieve top decile in safetyDrive for enhanced operational margin through higher capacity utilization, improved reliability, and thorough equipment maintenanceExecute long-term environmental compliance plan to ensure reliable operation of fleetDrive continuous improvementin competitive operation through increased reliability, Fossil Excellence Standards and benchmark analysisFocus on building the next generation of our workforce
Fossil ExcellenceFossil Excellence
Fossil Operations
14
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
appendix
App-1Fossil Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
EmployeeEngagementEmployee
Engagement
ContinuousImprovementContinuous
Improvement
Pred. MaintenanceRCA/BTF/Water Chem.Outage ExecutionEquipment ReliabilityOper. ProceduresHeat RateSubstation Maint.Alarms ResponseProtective Devices
ReliabilityInitiatives
AwarenessAccountabilityPreventionBenchmarking
Safety
Bill of MaterialsStagingReverse AuctionsStockingCentral WarehouseContract Models
MaterialsManagement
PM ComplianceOperating RoundsEquip. PerformanceEnvironmentalOutage SupportWork Prioritization
TacticalOperations
Generation Margin Business PlansSPOT SystemBudget ReportsCommitment ReportsAsset Utilization“8760” ToolFuel StrategiesBase load StrategyOperating Availability
Business PlanPerformance
Workforce ManualTech. Rotation ProgramCoop ProgramCore Skills TrainingForeman’s AcademyTalent Talks360 Development
WorkforceDevelopment
PM ComplianceSchedule ComplianceBacklog ManagementOutage PlansMaterial StagingPlanning
Maintenance
Title VNPDESCEMSSPCC
Environmental
Fossil Excellence
Fossil Operations
App-2
Environmental Compliance
Guy PipitoneSr. Vice President,Operations Strategy & Development
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Our Current Fleet Is Well Positioned
Non-Emitting 4,530 33%Coal Controlled(SO2/NOx – full control)Natural Gas Peaking 1,269 10%
8,368 62%
Capacity (MW) Fleet %
Excellent emission rate vs. competitorsExcellent mix of nuclear, coal and natural gasNSR Consent Decree in place since March 2005
Fleet Emission Control StatusFleet Emission Control Status
2
2,569 19%
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Construction Overview
Sammis Plant (2,220 MW)– SO2 control (scrubbers) all units– NOx control (SCRs) Units 6 & 7 (1,200 MW)– NOx control (SNCR) Units 1–5 (1,020 MW)
Mansfield Plant (2,460 MW)– SO2 control (scrubber) upgrades all units
– complete 2007
NOx Controls (SNCR)– Eastlake Unit 5 (600 MW)– Burger Units 4 & 5 (300 MW)
Bay Shore Plant– NOx and SO2 control Unit 4 (215 MW)
Environmental Compliance
3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
AQCS Expenditures
Environmental Compliance
4
54136
380
563496
178
0
200
400
600
2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
Confident in our cost estimate ($1.8B)– Early SCR engineering (contracted in 1999)– Detailed project development in 2005– Early commitment by “premier” suppliers and subcontractors– Deeply experienced and highly qualified project teams
($ millions) Capital Expenditures
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Project Management
Contracts contain incentives and liquidated damages provisions
Premier contractors whose project personnel were selected prior to award
Highly detailed schedule (16,000 activities)– Fully integrated– Real-time access– Continuously analyzed and updated
Cost control and monitoring– Scope containment– Performance measurement and trending– Targeted cost-reduction initiatives
Environmental Compliance
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Managing the Construction Process
Material supply– Shops fully loaded– Long lead times– Mitigation strategy includes expediting,
close interaction, and frequent updates
On-site craft labor availability– In competition with many other projects– Levelized labor usage– Desirable site conditions– Close relationships with local unions– Labor availability is a consent decree
“force majeure” provision
Environmental Compliance
6
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Longer-term Environmental Considerations
CO2 control– Approx. 40% fleet output nuclear– Heavily involved in CO2 capture and sequestration R&D
Mercury control– Excellent reduction through “co-benefits”– Based on current rules and plans, will be in compliance
until 2015
Environmental Compliance
7
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Nuclear OperationsNuclear OperationsGary LeidichPresident & Chief Nuclear Officer
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
TopicsTopics
Fulfilling Our Vision– Safety– Reliability– Outage Execution– Regulatory Status
Looking Forward– Power Uprates– License Renewal– Fuel Management– Production Costs
Summary
Fulfilling Our Vision– Safety– Reliability– Outage Execution– Regulatory Status
Looking Forward– Power Uprates– License Renewal– Fuel Management– Production Costs
Summary
2Nuclear Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fulfilling Our Vision
Nuclear Operations
Continue to focus on:
Safe and event-free plant operationsReliable plant operationsImprovement in outage execution
3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Best Personal Safety Record in the U.S.
Fleet OSHA Incident Rate
2005 NuclearIndustry Best = 0.26
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
Fleet 0.33 0.36 0.32 0.41 0.03 0.30 0.30 0.302002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E
Top Quartile = 0.39
Top Decile = 0.32
4
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
0
25
50
75
100
Beaver Valley Davis-Besse Perry
2004 Actual 2005 Actual 2006 Actual
Improving Safety Culture Assessment Scores– In 2006, aligned with Institute of Nuclear Power
Operators Safety Culture Principles
Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Strong Safety Culture
Safety Culture Performance Index Principles
Everyone is personally responsible for nuclear safety
Leaders demonstrate commitment to safety
Trust permeates the organization
Decision-making reflects safety first
Nuclear technology is recognized as special and unique
A questioning attitude is cultivated
Organizational learning is embraced
Nuclear safety undergoes constant examination
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006 Safety Conscious Work Environment Survey
Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Strong Safety Culture
Survey Questions
6
Workers accepting responsibility for identifying problems and adverse conditions 98% positive
Raising a nuclear safety or quality concern 97% positive
Accepting personal responsibility for identification of errors or mistakes regardless of the consequence 96% positive
Not being subjected to retaliation for raising nuclear safety, quality or compliance concerns while working here within the last 6 months
96% positive
Not aware of instances that occurred on site within the last6 months in which workers have been subjected to retaliation for raising nuclear safety, quality, or compliance concerns
95% positive
Responses (average/site)
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Strong Safety Culture
Currently, three open Office of Investigations issuesNRC Allegations are well below industry average
Average NRC Allegations (per site)
0
5
10
15
Fleet 15.0 10.0 14.6 8.0 2.7Industry 6.3 5.4 6.2 6.9 5.9
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Improving Reliability
2006 Nuclear Fleet PerformanceAchieve top decile
– OSHA Rate– Fuel costs– Corrective Maintenance backlog
Recognized for on-line dose control Summer Capacity Factor = 97.6%
CapacityFactor (%)
Forced Loss Rate (%)
Net Generation (million MWh)
Beaver Valley Unit 1 80.4 1.16 5.8Beaver Valley Unit 2 87.7 1.75 6.3Davis-Besse 83.1 1.76 6.4Perry 96.8 3.44 10.5 *
Fleet 88.0 2.27 29.02002 – 2005 Avg 79.0 3.15 26.0
* Record generation
8
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Strong Plant Reliability
2006 Capability Factor with Planned Outages
Reliability improvements during 2006 outages
BV1 – New steam generators and reactor vessel head, main generator rewindBV2 – Weld overlay on pressurizer nozzles, enlarged containment sumpDB – Replaced two reactor coolant pumps, replaced low pressure turbine rotors and diaphragms
9
0
25
50
75
100
Beaver Valley 1 Beaver Valley 2 Davis-Besse Perry
99 94 94 97%
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Elective Maintenance
Elective Maintenance
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
Jan '04 Jun '04 Jan '05 Jun '05 Oct '05 Dec '05 Dec '06 Dec '07 Dec '08 Dec '09
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Jan '04 Jun '04 Jan '05 Jun '05 Oct '05 Dec'05
Dec'06
Dec'07
Dec'08
Dec'09
Beaver Valley 1 Beaver Valley 2 Davis-Besse Perry
Corrective MaintenanceCorrective
Maintenance Open Work
Orders
Open Work
Orders
Nuclear Operations
Top Quartile = 10
Fulfilling Our VisionReduced Maintenance Backlogs
Top Quartile = 250
10
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Safety: No FENOC OSHA Recordables,under stretch dose goal by 2 remDuration: 65 days vs. a target of 76 Costs: Under O&M budget by $7MSignificant Scope:– 3 new steam generators– New simplified reactor vessel closure head– Atmospheric containment conversion– Main unit generator rotor and stator rewind– Long-range plan motor, valve and breaker maintenance– Generator exciter replacement (emergent)
Enabled 3% power uprate in August 2006 and 5% in 2007
Safety: No FENOC OSHA Recordables,under stretch dose goal by 2 remDuration: 65 days vs. a target of 76 Costs: Under O&M budget by $7MSignificant Scope:– 3 new steam generators– New simplified reactor vessel closure head– Atmospheric containment conversion– Main unit generator rotor and stator rewind– Long-range plan motor, valve and breaker maintenance– Generator exciter replacement (emergent)
Enabled 3% power uprate in August 2006 and 5% in 2007
Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Outage Execution – Beaver Valley 1 Steam Generatorand Reactor Head Replacement OutageWorld Class Performance
11
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Fulfilling Our Vision Future Outages Focus on Reliability
Refueling *25$30Beaver Valley2R14
Replace Low Pressure Turbines (2) *Reactor Coolant System Loop Stop Valves (2)Reactor Vessel Head Inspection
30$30Beaver Valley1R19
Refueling *10-year IVVI / Bioshield In-service InspectionRecirc Pump Motor Replacement
25$30Perry1R12
2009
Split Pins *Low Pressre-2 Turbine Inspection *Reactor Vessel Head InspectionMain Cond Tube Replacement, Expansion Joints *Replace High Pressure Turbine *Type A Containment Pressurization Test
30$30Beaver Valley2R13
Rewind Main Generator *31$30Davis-Besse 1R15
2008
Split Pins *Containment Sump Modifications*Reactor Vessel ISI *100% Eddy Current TestReactor Vessel Head InspectionPressurizer Overlay
28$32Beaver Valley1R18
Refueling *IVVI30$30Perry
1R11
2007
Scope Driving DurationItems with asterisk denote duration drivers
Outage Duration
(days)
OutageCosts
($ millions)PlantYear
12
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FleetFleet
Successfully completed the NRC Component DesignBasis Inspection with no findings or non-cited violations,an industry “first” for these types of inspectionsWhite NRC Finding in Emergency Preparedness
PerryPerry
Successful Independent Assessments — working withNRC Region III to modify Confirmatory Order
Additional inspections completeClose Confirmatory Action Letter and return toStandard Oversight
Davis-BesseDavis-Besse
Beaver ValleyBeaver Valley
Fulfilling Our VisionRegulatory Status
Third annual combined NRC Regional meeting heldJanuary 24, 2007
13Nuclear Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Looking Forward Growth Opportunities through Power Uprates
Implementing 170 new MW ahead of schedule
Beaver Valley Unit 1 25 MW in 2006 43 MW in 2007
Beaver Valley Unit 2 10 MW in 2006 45 MW in 2008
Davis-Besse 14 MW in 2006 12 MW in 2008
Perry 21 MW in 2011
Power UpratesPower Uprates
Nuclear Operations
14
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Looking Forward Increasing Generation
20,000
22,500
25,000
27,500
30,000
32,500
Fleet 24,455 21,093 29,907 28,758 28,982 31,215 32,001 31,296 32,197
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
GWhFleet Generation
2004 RecordFleet Generation
15
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
CurrentExpiration
Submit Request
(NRC Docket)
ApprovalExpected
NewExpiration
Beaver Valley Unit 1 2016 2007 2009 2036Beaver Valley Unit 2 2027 2007 2009 2047Davis-Besse 2017 2010 2012 2037Perry 2026 2013 2015 2046
Looking Forward Continued Safe Operations through License Renewal
Nuclear Operations
License Renewal Schedule
16
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Looking Forward Managing Uranium Prices
Uranium Pricing – Historical Year-End U3O8 Spot Prices
Note: Value for 2006 reflects UPIS U3O8 Spot Price Indicator as of end of Dec 2006.Conversion of Then-Current $ to Constant 2006 $ based on U.S. GNP-IPD.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009
($/lb U308)
2006 YE
Sources: 1973-1989: NUEXCO/TradeTech Exchange Value1990-2006: Uranium Price Information System (UPIS) U3O8 Spot Price Indicator, which reflects NAC’s judgment of the spot price
at the end of each month and excludes CIS/Russian-origin uranium.
Nuclear Operations
Range of Forecast
High Forecast
Then-Current $Constant 2006 $
Low Forecast
17
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Looking Forward Fuel Cost ManagementFENOC Fuel Cost Projections
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
2006 2007E 2008E 2009E
($/MWh)
4.28 4.48 4.575.12
Current Fuel Contract Coverage (includes Letters of Intent)Uranium: 100% coverage through 2009; 69% coverage in 2010Enrichment: 100% coverage through 2010; 76% coverage in 2011Fabrication PY – life of unit contract
DB – 1 additional reload under contractBV1 – 5 additional reloads under contractBV2 – 5 additional reloads under contract
Negotiations for extension of DB fabrication contract are ongoing.
Disposal & OtherFabrication
EnrichmentUranium
Nuclear Operations
18
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Looking Forward Managing Our Used Fuel
Through 2006, 46 of 102 plants reached capacity in used fuel pools49 operating plants built on-site dry cask fuel storage, 46 are under constructionPlans for federal repository for long-term storage — Yucca Mountain Congressional proposals for interim storage and reprocessing
FENOC PlanBV Unit 1BV Unit 1
BV Unit 2BV Unit 2
Davis-BesseDavis-Besse
PerryPerry
Implement dry storage by end of 2014
Criticality analysis frees up storage spaceRerack before 2011 to provide capacity through 2025Dry storage could then be implemented
Continue with wet storage until 2021Return to dry storage in 2022
Spent fuel pool campaign in 2007 ($7M)Implement dry storage before 2011 ($26M)
Nuclear Operations
19
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Nuclear Operations
Looking Forward Cost-effective Operations
0
5
10
15
20
25
Fleet 24.88 20.88 16.73 18.94 20.43 17.57 17.16 19.29
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E 2009E
$/MWhFleet Production Costs
20
Production Costs includes O&M and Fuel.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Summary
Maintaining best in class in personal and nuclear safety
Focusing on Operational Excellence
Closing the gaps to top industry performance
Nuclear Operations
21
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Energy Delivery& Customer ServiceChuck JonesSr. Vice President,Energy Delivery & Customer Service
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Our future plans will help us build upon recent success.
Employee safety record that is top decile
Across the board improvement in customer satisfaction
Significant improvement in distribution reliability
Top decile transmission reliability performance
Solid financial results
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Four factors are driving our overall planning.
Aging Infrastructure
Aging Workforce
Reliability
Cost Recovery
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
While our plan is straightforward…
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
Optimize capital investment
Increase project management oversight
Fill 100% of vital positions
Transition “institutional memory”
Build regulatory “margin”
Deliver expected financial results
Timely recovery of regulatory spend
4
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Issues: Cost Recovery Rate ImplicationsFinancial Management
Issues: Aging Workforce“Institutional Memory”Orderly Transition
Issues: ReliabilityCapacity PlanningCapacity Compliance
… each aspect of our “plan” has unique characteristics.
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
OperationsOperations
Issues: ReliabilityServiceTechnology
Customer ServiceCustomer Service
PeoplePeople
FinancialFinancial
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Our 2007 infrastructure capital is not significantly different than recent years — the difference is the acceleration of selected capital projects.
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
6
InfrastructureCapacityNew BusinessForcedOther
Total
2005264
97138122104725
200622010013210989
650
2007E184197131120
103735
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
We continue to “fine-tune” our management structure. Two recent changes were specifically targeted to asset management and financial oversight.
Asset Management
Financial Management
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
Develop long-term asset strategyAsset and circuit health analysis and trackingIntegrated investment planningAsset performance tracking and analysis
State and Operating Company controllersIncreased financial skills throughout ED&CS5-year financial planningCommitment tracking and management reportingRegulatory focus to ensure full recovery
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006YTD=152
2005YE = 191
0
50
100
150
200
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SAIDI (minutes)
Threshold2006 2005
175
The Transmission Outage Frequency (TOF) is a measure of the average number of transmission circuit outages per circuit in the 230–500kV voltage classes. Threshold, target, and maximum have been established as industry average, top quartile, and top decile as defined by the SGS benchmarking study.
Transmission Outage Frequency (TOF) Per Circuit
SAIDI represents the averagetotal duration of outage minutesper customer in a year adjustedfor major storms. The 2006 goal is 175 minutes.Note: Based on Commission criteria.
Distribution SAIDI (System Average Interruption Duration Index)
Everyone has a plan, but it is the results that define success.
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
(20% Improvement)
8
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Jan Feb Mar April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
Out
ages
per
Circ
uit
Threshold = 0.78Target = 0.42
Max = 0.36
YTD = 0.35
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Our Accelerated Reliability Improvement Plan (ARIP) is producing outstanding results.
Energy Delivery & Customer Service
Penn Power SAIDI
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SAID
I (m
inut
es)
Threshold 2006 2005
9
Penelec SAIDI
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SAID
I (m
inut
es)
Threshold 2006 2005
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Energy Delivery & Customer Service
We have a plan
We are working the plan
We are achieving results
Bottom-line:
10
Commodity OperationsAli JamshidiVice President,Commodity Operations
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Topics
Focus AreasManaging Commodity RisksAsset UtilizationFuel and Related CommoditiesPurchased PowerWholesale SalesSummary
Commodity Operations
2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FOCUS AREAS
Manage commodity risks to create earnings certainty
Maximize the utilization of FirstEnergynuclear and coal-fired generation production
Manage fuel requirements to balanceminimizing costs and maximizing reliabilityof the fuel portfolio
Manage the fulfillment of purchased powerrequirements to optimize overall margin
Meet retail obligations and maximizeprofitable wholesale opportunities
Commodity Operations maximizes power marginby mitigating risks and minimizing supply costs.
Commodity Operations
3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Commodity Operations’ objective is to provide FEwith a predictable and profitable commodity margin.
Commodity Operations
GenerationMargin
GenerationMargin
MWH
COST
FENOC
31M MWh
FENOC
31M MWh
MWH
COST
Fossil
51M MWh
Fossil
51M MWh
MWH
COST
Purchased Power34M MWh
Purchased Power34M MWh
MWH
REV
RegulatedSales
80M MWh
RegulatedSales
80M MWh
MWH
REV
CompetitiveSales
12M MWh
CompetitiveSales
12M MWh
MWH
REV
WholesaleSales
20M MWh
WholesaleSales
20M MWh
MWHLosses &Pumping4M MWh
Losses &Pumping4M MWh
+ Generation Revenue– Fuel– Purchased Power
Generation Margin
CommodityMargin
CommodityMargin
Excludes JCP&L.
+ Generation Margin– Transmission Expense– RTO expense
Commodity Margin
PJM / MISO Expenses
PJM / MISO Expenses
4
Value ChainValue Chain
Volume & Price Risks
Quality
Reliability
Optionality
Volume & Price Risks
Regulatory Risks
Retail vs. Wholesale
Optionality
Generation Volume & Price Risks
Generation Availability Risks
Transmission Congestion Risks
Optionality
Volume & Price Risks
Availability
Reliability
Optionality
Fuel SupplyFuel Supply
Generation Portfolio
Management
Generation Portfolio
Management
FuelLogistics
FuelLogisticsCustomerCustomer
Managing across the value chain maximizes earnings.
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Daily Corporate Margin (Weekday)
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90Average Daily CLE Temperature (F)
1.5 M$
8 M$ 1M$ per 1F
47% Prob50% 3% Prob
Average
1M$
Effectively managing commodity risk ensures earnings certainty.
Commodity Operations
6
($ millions)
Illustrative
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Strict risk controls and oversight of open positions minimize market risks.
Commodity Operations
7
Note: The red line represents the risk tolerance parameters determined by the Risk Policy Committee.
Electricity Position ($ millions)
-100
0
100
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D-100
0
100
On-Peak PJM Off-Peak PJM On-Peak MISO Off-Peak MISO Capacity Emission Allowances Net Net w/eFORs
2007 2008
Note: The thin red line represents the risk tolerance parameters determined by the Risk Policy Committee.
Illustrative
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Continued improvement of asset utilization creates value.
Commodity Operations
8
45.7 46.5 51.1 52.4
32.0
51.152.6
28.729.9
21.1
29.0 31.2
0
20
40
60
80
100
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007E 2008E
NuclearFossil & Hydro
Note: Excludes JCP&L.
(million MWh)
66.876.4
79.8 81.6 82.3 84.4
Improved asset utilization
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Commodity Operations
Balanced emission allowance position minimizes risks.
Based on projected generation:
Emission allowance positions are well coveredNOx positions are completely covered2007 and 2008 net SO2positions are covered
SO2 Position (tons)
-30,000
60,000
150,000
240,000
330,000
2007 2008
Needed Covered Position
NOx Position (tons)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
2007 2008
Needed Covered Position
9
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Procurement of coal supply will be vital to asset utilization and a “predictable” margin.
Aggressively working to secure longer-term fuel supply requirements
Actively testing alternate fuel blends at various plants to optimize plant economics
Engaged in fuel flexibility initiative to create more options
Commodity Operations
10
0
5,000
10,00
015
,000
20,00
025
,000
2008
2007
Total Covered TonsTotal Needed Tons
94%
99%
Securing Open Coal Commodity Positions
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Secured fuel transportation position will be vital to asset utilization and a “predictable” margin.
2007 transportation positions100% covered based on budgeted generation
2008 transportation positions will be closed shortly —agreements reached
Evaluating additional delivery options to increase both capabilities and flexibility
Commodity Operations
11
54%
Securing Open Fuel Transportation Positions
0
5,000
10,00
015
,000
20,00
025
,000
2008
2007
Total Open TonsTotal Covered TonsTotal Needed Tons
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fuel and Transportationoptions create leverage.
Commodity Operations
EastlakeBurgerAshtabulaSammisMansfieldBay ShoreLake Shore
TruckVesselBargeRailCoal Delivery Options
0
5
10
15
PRB 3 3 0 3 4 3 5NAAP 0 0 10 3 3 5 3CAAP 3 4 0 6 6 6 6
Lake Shore Bay Shore Mansfield Sammis Ashtabula Burger Eastlake
67
10
1213
14 14Planned & PotentialMine Sources
# of
Min
es
12
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fuel CostsGeneration and Fuel Expense
0
300
600
900
1,200
1,500
$12.00
$16.00
$20.00
Total Fuel 1209.0 1231.7 1356.0
Nuclear Fuel 120.4 140.2 146.8
Fossil Fuel (excl JCPL) 1088.6 1091.5 1209.2
$'s per MWh $14.83 $15.23 $16.15
2006 2007E 2008E
($ millions) ($/MWh)
FOSSIL FUEL (excludes JCP&L)
0
300
600
900
1,200
$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
Total Fossil Fuel 1,088.6 1,091.5 1,209.2
Other 1.4 1.5 1.5
Fuel Handling 20.8 22.9 24.6
Ash Disposal 14.9 13.1 13.8
Oil 11.2 11.8 12.0
Natural Gas 20.0 25.6 22.5
EmissionAllowances
57.3 34.8 45.9
Re-agents 52.8 58.6 62.5
Coal Transportation 254.6 358.8 402.2
Coal Commodity 655.6 564.4 624.2
Fuel per MWh $21.20 $21.02 $23.26
2006 2007E 2008E
($ millions) ($/MWh)
13Commodity Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fuel Costs
Total Coal Expense
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
($000)
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
($/MWh)
Total $910,187 $923,235 $1,026,382
Coal Only $655,581 $564,406 $624,160
Transportation $254,606 $358,828 $402,222
$/MWh Total $18.00 $18.38 $19.79
$/MWh Coal Only $12.97 $11.23 $12.04
$/MWh Transportation $5.04 $7.14 $7.76
2006 2007E 2008E
14Commodity Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Fuel Costs
15Commodity Operations
Close coordination of Commodity Operations and Fossil Operations provides the opportunity to manage fuel market changes
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Total 616,550 528,398 603,448
Coal Only 554,984 443,627 522,119
Transportation 61,566 84,771 81,329
$/MWh Delivered 17.42 16.87 18.36
2006 2007E 2008E
14.5 Mtons 12.4 M
tons
12.9 Mtons
Total ($000) $/MWh
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
Total 293,636 394,837 422,934
Coal Only 100,596 120,780 102,041
Transportation 193,040 274,057 320,893
$/MWh Delivered 19.37 20.86 23.18
2006 2007E 2008E
7.7 Mtons
10.7 Mtons
10.4 Mtons
Total ($000) $/MWh
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Purchased Power
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2007E Committed To BeCommitted
Spot
(million MWh)
16.6
10.3
4.4
2.7
34
Met-EdPenelec
To Be Committed and Spot Purchases, only 7.1 million MWh remain subject to market price exposure
16Commodity Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Wholesale Sales
14.6
2.40.6 3.0
20.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
2007E Committed To BeCommitted
Spot TransmissionLosses
(million MWh)
To Be Committed and Spot Sales, only 3.0 million MWh remain subject to market price exposure
17Commodity Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Penn Power Transition to Market
2006 Timeline2006 TimelineApr 5 RFP announced May 31 Bid #1 concludesJul 18 Bid #2 concludesAug 15 Bid #3 concludesSep 7–12 Supplemental
offers
SuccessesSuccessesTransitioned 5 million MWhto competitive marketCompeted in the bid processHedged shopping risksManaged a competitiveretail effortImplemented an integrated wholesale/retail strategyBalanced position
18Commodity Operations
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Summary
Commodity Operations
Effectively manage commodity risks
Improve asset utilization
Leverage added capacity
Manage across the value chain
Leverage presence in two RTOs
Leverage retail market competencies
Predictableand profitable commodity margin
19
Financial Outlook
Rich MarshSenior Vice President & CFO
Analyst MeetingNew York, NY • Feb. 1, 2007
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Financial ObjectivesMaintain Financial Strength and Flexibility
Strong and stable cash flowsBalanced capital structure Investment grade credit metrics
Deliver Consistent and Predictable Financial ResultsImproved generation marginsEfficiency enhancements and cost reductionsEffectively manage transition to competitive markets
Deploy Cash Effectively to Increase Shareholder ValueSustainable dividend growth Share repurchasesReinvestment in business
Financial Outlook
2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006 – Key AccomplishmentsPreliminary subject to audit
Consistent financial results– Preliminary unaudited 2006 earnings exceed revised guidance
Favorable cash flow– Unaudited net cash from operating activities approx. $2B – Unaudited cash generation (non-GAAP) of $506M*
(excluding changes in net collateral not included in guidance)
Enhanced capital structure– Replaced $1.0B of HoldCo debt with long-term utility debt
– Appropriately capitalizing utilities in regulatory context– Transferred $1.1B of tax-exempt pollution control debt from
utilities to unregulated Gencos
Enhanced long-term liquidity position– Renewed and upsized credit facility from $2.0B to $2.75B
Financial Outlook
3
* See reconciliation to GAAP on Slide #17.
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Increased shareholder value– Total shareholder return of 27.2%– Three year annualized TSR of 24.0% ranks 8/63 in EEI Index– Dividend increase of 4.7% effective March 1, 2006– Announced dividend increase of 11.1% effective March 1, 2007 – Accelerated repurchase of approx. 10.5 million shares
Regulatory developments– Ohio Rate Certainty Plan, including fuel and distribution deferrals– Deferral of incremental PJM transmission expenses– $182M of JCP&L securitization bonds– JCP&L Non-Utility Generation Charge
2006 – Key Accomplishments
Financial Outlook
4
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2007 Focal Points Continue to use cash to benefit shareholders– Net cash from operating activities expected to exceed $1.7B– Dividend increase / additional share repurchase program
Capture benefit of $785M of expiring tax capital loss carryforwardsContinued focus on capital structure management– Additional transfers of tax-exempt debt from operating companies
to Gencos– Utilize long-term debt issuances to meet maturities and
appropriately capitalize operating companies
Obtain investment-grade credit rating at FE SolutionsInvest efficiently in business to improve reliability, reduce risk,and generate future earnings– New business– T&D infrastructure enhancement– Capacity uprates and emerging asset “mining” opportunities
Financial Outlook
5
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Sale and Leaseback – Mansfield Unit 1Structure of potential transaction under developmentMansfield 1 is an attractive asset — oldest unitof a high-quality, fully-scrubbed facility– 54MW (6.5%) previously sold and leased back
Projected after-tax cash proceeds of $1.2B – Highly tax efficient
Low-cost source of financing Potential capital structure impact– Maximum debt leverage impact of 200 bp– Potential operating lease treatment would reduce
lease debt equivalent
Financial Outlook
6
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Sale and Leaseback – Mansfield Unit 1Conventional structure contemplatedNo strategic compromise — retain operating control of assetNo regulatory issues — can be completed quicklyTarget closing early in 2nd Qtr 2007NPV expected to exceed $500MCurrent use of proceeds assumptions– $900M Share repurchase– $193M Pension contribution (after-tax)– $107M Short-term debt paydown
Financial Outlook
7
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Share RepurchaseOn January 30, FE board approved second repurchase program for up to 16M shares – Supersedes program approved 6/20/06– Represents approx. 5% of outstanding shares– Approx. $900M at $58 stock price
Financed by proceeds from proposed Mansfield 1 saleand leasebackCoupled with Aug. 2006 program of approx. 10.5 million shares, total buy-backs would equal approx. 8% of original shares outstanding Projected earnings impact from both buy-backs isapprox. $0.18 per share in 2007 vs. 2006
Financial Outlook
8
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Pension Contribution
Financial Outlook
9
Previously contributed $1B to plan during 2004–2005Pension Protection Act of 2006 changed plan funding rules$300M contribution ($193M after-tax) made in JanuaryIncreases plan funding– Improves PBO funded ratio to 105%
Financial impact of contribution equates to 15% pre-taxcash return, 9% after-tax returnAccretive to annual earnings by approx. $0.05 per shareFAS 87/106 Cost: 2006 $ 94 M
2007F (89) M$ (183) M
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Long-Term Dividend Policy
Payout ratio target of approx. 50–60%Annual growth target of 4–5%Sustainable annual increases
Dividend Changes:
Change fromPrior Period
Change fromPrior Period
Payment Date
Payment Date
Quarterly Rate
Quarterly Rate
AnnualizedRate
AnnualizedRate
Financial Outlook
10
1Q 2007 50.00¢ 11.1% $2.001Q 2006 45.00¢ 4.65% $1.804Q 2005 43.00¢ 4.24% $1.721Q 2005 41.25¢ 10.00% $1.654Q 2004 37.50¢ – $1.50
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Cash Returned to Shareholders
2005 2006 2007E
Common Dividend $ 546 $ 586 $ 615
Share Repurchase – 600 900
Total $ 546 $ 1,186 $ 1,515
($ millions)
Financial Outlook
11
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Controlling Benefit CostsRetiree Health Care Design Change
Limit per capita outlay for Medicare eligible retirees to$250 per month beginning 2008
Retirees can use Company contribution to buy FE healthplan coverage or commercial market Medicare offerings
Annual cost savings of approx. $116M reflected in FAS 106 calculation beginning 2007
Financial Outlook
12
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FE Solutions (FES)Wholly-owned competitive subsidiary– Provides energy-related products & services to wholesale and
retail customers in MISO & PJM
Owned fossil and nuclear assets transferred at end of 2005 to Gencos pursuant to restructuring plans approved by Ohio and Pennsylvania regulatorsFocused on:– Transition to competitive markets– Realizing full potential of asset base– Mitigating commodity-related risks– Enhancing financial strength and flexibility
Financial Outlook
13
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FE Solutions (FES) Capitalized at approx. 57% debt – Genco-level tax-exempt debt with 4% average current cost
comprises approx. 44% of debt portfolio
Believe that investment grade credit rating is warranted– Stability of cash flows under contracts with utilities– Diversity and quality of assets; favorable operating performance
and cost– Disciplined risk management approach
SEC registrant providing full financials during 2007
Financial Outlook
14
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FE Solutions (FES)$1.4B of tax-exempt pollution control debt transferred from operating companies to Gencos – $700M remains to be transferred in 2007–2008
FES will likely issue taxable debt in futureInvestment grade rating will enable FES to guarantee– Mansfield 1 sale and leaseback performance and payment
obligations– Letters of credit supporting tax-exempt debt at the Gencos
(replacing FE guarantees)
Financial Outlook
15
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
$3.88(1)
($0.05)
$0.07
($0.05)$4.15(1)
$0.18
Midpoint 2006 Preliminary
Non-GAAP EPS
GenerationOutput &
MixWiresGrowth
T&D Infra-structure
Midpoint 2007 Non-GAAP
EPS Guidance
$0.06
$0.17
($0.19)
NetBenefitCosts
ME/PERate Case (“D”)
OH Trans-ition Cost
Amort.
2007 Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share Guidance
(1) See GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation in the Appendix. 2007 EPS guidance, excluding unusual items, is $4.05 – $4.25.On a GAAP basis, EPS is expected to be $4.10 – $4.30.
Net Share Repurchases Depr.
($0.10)
Financial Outlook
Penn Power
to Market
$0.12All
OtherNuclear Outage O&M
$0.08
16
($0.02)
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006 Cash Overview
17Financial Outlook
Reconciliation of 2006 Preliminary Unaudited Cash from Operating Activities (GAAP) toPreliminary Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) and Preliminary Cash Generation (Non-GAAP)
Net Cash from Operating Activities:Preliminary GAAP Net Income Range $ 1,255 – $1,262Adjustments:
Amortization of Regulatory Assets & Depreciation 1,460Deferrals (Reg Assets, Purch Power, Income Taxes) (900)BGS Collateral 60Other Collateral (137)Other, including changes in Working Capital 198
Net Cash from Operating Activities (GAAP) $ 1,939Other Items:
Capital Expenditures (1,153)Nuclear Fuel Fabrication (162)Common Stock Dividends (586)Other, Net 12
Free Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) $ 50Proceeds from Asset Sales 139JCP&L Securitization 180
Cash Generation (Non-GAAP)* $ 369* 2006 cash generation was $506M, excluding non-BGS collateral outflow of $137M that was not included
in 2006 cash generation guidance.
Unaudited
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Net Pension Contribution: $373M ($90M tax benefit realized in 2006)
Securitization/Asset Sales in 2006: $310M
Higher Dividends / Capital Expenditures: $215M
Wires Growth: $20M
Gen Output/Mix: $15M
Penn Power to Market: $40M
Nuclear Outage O&M: $25M
PA Rate Increase: $60M
JCP&L NUG Recovery: $100M
Net Collateral: $80M
Financial Outlook
2007 Cash Flow Drivers
18
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
($ millions)
20062006 20072007 20082008
Energy Delivery $ 650 $ 735 $ 875FENOC 229 145 155Fossil 116 102 80General 36 87 55
Subtotal $ 1,031 $ 1,069 $ 1,165AQCS 136 380 563
Total $ 1,167 $ 1,449 $ 1,728
EstimateEstimatePreliminaryPreliminary
Capital Expenditures
2007–2008 expected to be peak total capital spending years
Financial Outlook
19
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Volume
Fuel Costs &Supply Disruptions
Price
UnplannedGeneration Outages
EPS: (40)¢ (35¢) (30¢) (25¢) (20¢) (15¢) (10¢) (5¢) 0 5¢ 10¢ 15¢ 20¢ 25¢
Major Risks
20Financial Outlook
Probability Range: Low LowHigh
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Higher Ohio transition cost amortization
T&D infrastructure investment
Increased fuel and purchased power costs
Growth in delivery sales
Increased generation margin
Lower generation-related outage maintenance costs
Financial Outlook
2008 Earnings Drivers
21
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Conclusions 2007–2008 characterized by modest revenue growth
Capital spending peaks during 2007–2009 period– Driven by AQCS expenditures
Aggressive operating efficiencies / cost savingsto stimulate earnings growth
Upside potential in 2009 in Ohio– Transition cost amortization decreases by $238M– Distribution rate increases– POLR obligation shifts to market
Upside potential in 2011 in PA– POLR obligation shifts to market for Met-Ed
and Penelec
Financial Outlook
22
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
ConclusionsFE well-positioned to deliver continued value
Using strong cash flow to benefit shareholders andreinvest in business for future growth and reduced riskLow-cost, efficient generation assetsExperience in competitive generation markets and multiple RTOsDisciplined risk management approachWell-positioned to participate in OH debate regarding 2009
– Rate Plans allow orderly transition without customer rate shockExecutive compensation plans align management and shareholder interests
– EPS, cash generation and long-term stock performancekey incentives for senior management
Financial Outlook
23
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Financial Outlook
App-1
appendix
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
FirstEnergy Credit Ratings
Financial Outlook
Corporate Credit Rating (S&P) / Issuer Rating
(Moody's) / Issuer Default Rating (Fitch) Senior Secured
Senior Unsecured
S&P Moodys Fitch S&P Moodys Fitch S&P Moodys FitchFirstEnergy Corp. BBB Baa3 BBB- - - - BBB- Baa3 BBB-
Ohio Edison BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ BBB- Baa2 BBB
Cleveland Electric Illuminating Co. BBB Baa3 BB BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB- Baa3 BB+
Toledo Edison BBB Baa3 BB BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB- Baa3 BB+
Pennsylvania Power BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ BBB- Baa2 BBB
Jersey Central Power & Light BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ - - -
Metropolitan Edison BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ BBB Baa2 BBB
Pennsylvania Electric Co. BBB Baa2 BBB- BBB+ Baa1 BBB+ BBB Baa2 BBB
As of January 24, 2007
App-2
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Strong Liquidity Position
Substantial liquidity available– $1.6B available borrowing capacity as of January 26, 2007
Company Type Term Maturity Amount ($M)FE Corp. RCA* 5-year August 2011 $ 2,750FE Corp. Bank Lines Various Various 120OH & PA Utilities
Company Type Term Maturity Amount ($M)
Total $ 3,420
A/R Fin. 1-year 2007 550
* Revolving Credit Agreement.
Financial Outlook
App-3
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
Adjusted Total Debt / Total Capital Funds from Operations /Interest Coverage
Funds from Operations / Total Debt
Maintaining Financial Strength and FlexibilityMaintaining Financial Strength and Flexibility
3.53.53.73.0
2.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E
17%18%18%
14%
11%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E
58%56%58%60%67%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E*
FirstEnergy Credit Metrics
Financial Outlook
*Includes the equity reduction of approximately $409m from the implementation of FAS 158
App-4
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007
2006 Finance Plan – Execution SummaryTransferred $253M of tax-exempt bonds from operating companies to GencosIssued $200M JCP&L Senior Notes to fund maturing JCP&L debtIssued $600M of OE Senior Notes and redeemed early $400M of the $1B FE Corp. 5.5% Notes maturing Nov 15
Repurchased 10.6M shares of FE common stockIssued $182M JCP&L securitization bonds
Issued $300M of 6.15% TE Senior NotesRetired remaining $600M of FE Corp. 5.5% Notes on Nov 15Issued $300M of 5.95% CEI Senior NotesTransferred $878M of tax-exempt bonds from operating companies to Gencos
Q2
Q3
Q4
Capital Structure Management Update:
* FirstEnergy consolidated 2006 financing activity is not cumulative of each regulated utility’s financing activities.** Credit View reflects adjustments to debt levels made by credit rating agencies to impute sale/leaseback debt equivalents and exclude JCP&L securitization debt.
Financial Outlook
App-5
BalanceSheet
CreditView**
LT DebtRetired/
Transferred
LT DebtIssued
CommonStock
Repurchased
BalanceSheet
CreditView**
FirstEnergy (Consolidated)* 54% 56% 1,308$ 1,608$ 500$ 56% 58%Ohio Edison (Consolidated) 37% 46% 606$ 600$ 600$ 40% 49%Penn Power 41% 41% 115$ -$ -$ 24% 24%Cleveland Electric Illuminating 55% 56% 376$ 300$ 300$ 58% 59%Toledo Edison 27% 48% 203$ 300$ 225$ 50% 66%Pennsylvania Electric 36% 36% -$ -$ -$ 33% 33%Metropolitan Edison 39% 39% 100$ -$ -$ 41% 41%Jersey Central Power & Light 30% 25% 207$ 382$ -$ 32% 26%
YE 2005 Debt/Capitalization 2006 Financing Activity ($ millions) 2006E Debt/Capitalization
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Financial Outlook
Issued on October 25, 2006
2006 Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share GuidanceReconciliation GAAP to Non-GAAP
App-6
2006 EPSBasic EPS (GAAP basis) $3.70 – $3.80Excluding Unusual Items:
Non-Core Asset Sales / Impairments 0.03PPUC NUG Cost Reserve for Prior Years 0.02
Basic EPS (non-GAAP basis) $3.75 – $3.85
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Financial Outlook
Issued on January 31, 2007
Preliminary Unaudited 2006 Earnings Per Share Reconciliation GAAP to Non-GAAP
App-7
Preliminary Unaudited2006 EPS
Basic EPS (GAAP basis) $3.85 – $3.87Excluding Unusual Items:
PPUC NUG Cost Reservefor Prior Years 0.02
Basic EPS (non-GAAP basis) $3.87 – $3.89
Analyst Meeting • New York, NY • February 1, 2007 Financial Outlook
Issued on January 31, 2007
2007 Non-GAAP Earnings Per Share GuidanceReconciliation GAAP to Non-GAAP
App-8
2007 EPSBasic EPS (GAAP basis) $4.10 – $4.30Excluding Unusual Items:
Benefit from New Regulatory AssetAuthorized by PPUC (0.05)
Basic EPS (non-GAAP basis) $4.05 – $4.25