forecast to plan - oracle · 2003-05-12 · inventory optimizationinventory optimization ......
TRANSCRIPT
MyungKoo Park
Principal Consultante-SCM ConsultingOracle Korea
1. Why Forecast to Plan ?
2. What is Forecast to Plan ?
3. Value Proposition
4. Demo
Agenda - Forecast to Plan
MRPI MRP II APS APS II
Planning Evolution
1970’S1970’S 1980’s1980’s 1990’s1990’s 2000’s2000’s•자재소요계획 •무한계획•자재소요계획 •무한계획
•자재소요계획 •자원소요계획 •무한계획(Infinite)
•자재소요계획 •자원소요계획 •무한계획(Infinite)
•자재소요계획 •자원소요계획 •유한계획(Finite)•최적화계획•시뮬레이션
•총괄 최적화 계획 •Collaboration Planning•통합된 Planning and Execution•통합화된 성과 관리•신속한 ROI 성취
Manual Processes (Long Time)
Disagreement
No Collaboration
Evasion of Responsibility
Missed Promises
Planning now…
Paperprocessing
Legacysystems
MRP APS
Reduce Plan Cycle time
Intelligent
Collaboration
Constraint Based Planning
Optimization
Reduce Plan Cycle time
Intelligent
Collaboration
Constraint Based Planning
Optimization
Planning tomorrow…
1. Why Forecast to Plan ?
2. What is Forecast to Plan ?
3. Value Proposition
4. Demo
Agenda - Forecast to Plan
Advanced Supply Chain Planning Advanced Supply Chain Planning
• 통합생산계획 구현(Holistic Planning)
• 다양한 생산방식의 Planning기능 지원
• 통합된 성과관리(KPI)
• 향상된 시뮬레이션 기능
• 전사차원의 최적화계획
• 집중 또는 분산구조의 계획서버
• Internet기반의 Collaborative계획
• 통합생산계획 구현(Holistic Planning)
• 다양한 생산방식의 Planning기능 지원
• 통합된 성과관리(KPI)
• 향상된 시뮬레이션 기능
• 전사차원의 최적화계획
• 집중 또는 분산구조의 계획서버
• Internet기반의 Collaborative계획
Manufacturing SchedulingManufacturing Scheduling
• 단기 생산일정의 유한계획 및 일정조정
• 자재 및 자원을 고려한 스케쥴링
• 드래그 & 드롭 기능 가시적인 공정관리
• 단기 생산일정의 유한계획 및 일정조정
• 자재 및 자원을 고려한 스케쥴링
• 드래그 & 드롭 기능 가시적인 공정관리
Global OrderPromising
DemandPlanning
AdvancedSupply Chain
Planning
APSInternet-basedcollaboration
ManufacturingScheduling
Inventory OptimizationInventory Optimization
• 전략적 재고 투자에 대한 의사결정
• 재고 계획에 대한 최적의 해를 제시
• 통계적 최적화 기법
• 전략적 재고 투자에 대한 의사결정
• 재고 계획에 대한 최적의 해를 제시
• 통계적 최적화 기법
22
33Demand PlanningDemand Planning
• Internet기반구조
•다양한 Scenario 구현
•통계적 수요예측
•다차원분석 기능
•• InternetInternet기반구조기반구조
••다양한다양한 Scenario Scenario 구현구현
••통계적통계적 수요예측수요예측
••다차원분석다차원분석 기능기능
Global Order Promising Global Order Promising
• 다단계 공급망에 대한
가용성 check
• 정확한 ATP/CTP/CTD
수행
•• 다단계다단계 공급망에공급망에 대한대한
가용성가용성 check check
•• 정확한정확한 ATP/CTP/CTD ATP/CTP/CTD
수행수행
11
44
55
Key Components
Process Image
MarketingForecast
SalesForecast
Mfg.Forecast
ConsensusForecast
ConsensusForecast
ProcessAutomation
Portal
Customer ForecastCustomer Forecast
t = hours
Supplier CapacitySupplier Capacity
Tier 2
Single Plan
Portal
Tier 1
AccuratePromise Dates
CollaborativeForecasting
Faster Planning CyclesBetter Plans
SupplierVisibility
TimeTime
Pla
nn
ing
lev
elP
lan
nin
g l
evel
Minutes Hours/Days Weeks/Months Quarters Years
Supply Chain Intelligence
CollaborationProcureProcure
ManufactureManufacture
FulfillFulfill
ServiceService
DesignDesign
PlanPlanMarketMarket
SellSell
Finance AssetsFinance Assets
Projects HRProjects HR
Demand PlanningDemand Planning
Supply Chain and Manufacturing Planning
Supply Chain and Manufacturing Planning
Inventory OptimizationInventory Optimization
Order PromisingOrder Promising
Supply Chain Event Management
Supply Chain Event Management
ManufacturingScheduling
ManufacturingScheduling
Complete e-Business Solution
Proven Engine
ERPERPOrder Management
Inventory WIP Financial
MESMES
Global ATPGlobal ATPSCP PlanningSCP Planning Inventory OptimizeInventory OptimizeDemand PlanningDemand Planning
Solvers OLAP Oacle8i MBP GENEVA
Purchasing
SchedulingScheduling
ERPERP
Consensus Forecast
Portal
고객 수요예측
마케팅마케팅수요예측수요예측
영업영업수요예측수요예측
생산생산수요예측수요예측
합의된 통합수요예측
OLAP
35 45 55 65 75 85 90 95 97 99 100
서비스 수준
재고비용
재고투자비용 감소
With Oracle With Oracle
Without OracleWithout Oracle
서비스 수준의 향상
Inventory Optimization
One plan
SuppliersSuppliers
ConsumersConsumers
Virtual enterpriseVirtual enterprise
InternetInternet
Manufacturer 1Manufacturer 1
InternetInternet
LogisticsLogistics
Manufacturer 2Manufacturer 2
Holistic Planning
1 2 3 4 51 2 3 4 5
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Machine constraintMachine constraint
Labor constraintLabor constraint
1 2 3 4 51 2 3 4 5
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Dem
and
Dem
and Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
1 2 3 4 5
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Dem
and
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Constraint Based Planning & Optimize
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Dem
and
1 2 3 4 5
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Dem
and
Pro
du
ction
Constraint Based PlanningConstraint Based Planning
Maximum Inventory-TurnsMaximum Inventory-Turns
Pro
du
ction
Pro
du
ction
Pro
du
ction
Pro
du
ction
Pro
du
ction
MPS/MRPMPS/MRP
Maximum On-Time DeliveryMaximum On-Time Delivery
Access from any place,anywhere, anytime
Global Cross Instance view– Scalable and reliable
– Database-centric architecture
– Multi-threaded
– 24x7 support
– No ATP data is lost
Promise orders more accurately !
Global Order Promising
Promise Orders Based On:– Material availability
– Manufacturing capacity
– Supplier capacity
– Transportation capacity
Manufacturing scheduling
Oracle Manufacturing Scheduling is an internet based shop floorscheduling solution.
You can manually control the rescheduling or let the system optimizethe schedule based on resource and component constraint.
Oracle Manufacturing Scheduling is an internet based shop floorscheduling solution.
You can manually control the rescheduling or let the system optimizethe schedule based on resource and component constraint.
Improve asset utilization– Schedule around your
constraints
– Sequence production
– Optimize setups
React to short term scheduledisruptions– Machine breakdowns
– Absenteeism
1. Why Forecast to Plan ?
2. What is Forecast to Plan ?
3. Value Proposition
4. Demo
Agenda - Forecast to Plan
Oracle APS enables your company to
Rapidly drive to accurate consensus forecastRapidly drive to accurate consensus forecast
Reduce inventory while increasing delivery performanceReduce inventory while increasing delivery performance
Reduce supply chain planning cycle timesReduce supply chain planning cycle times
Increase promise date accuracyIncrease promise date accuracy
Identify and resolve exceptions across all supply chain tiersIdentify and resolve exceptions across all supply chain tiers
Customers
High-Tech: Hitachi, Sony, Panasonic, Ciena, ACT
Semi-Conductor: Agere, Xilinx, Agilent, Sony-Semi
Automotive: Eaton, Lean Chain, Dana, American Axle
Telecom: BellSouth, Echostar, JDS Uniphase
Discrete Mfg: Alcoa, Hitachi, NCR, Pella, Haworth, Honeywell
A&D: GE AE, Boeing, AeroXchange, Embraer, Rafael
Consumer : Foster’s, Odwalla, Minute Maid, Groupo Bimbo
Process: Boral, Zamil Steel, MRF
Distribution: UPS, Expanets, FEMSA, AAM
more than 250 !
1. Why Forecast to Plan ?
2. What is Forecast to Plan ?
3. Value Proposition
4. Demo
Agenda - Forecast to Plan