Foreign Policy & Trade Foreign Policy & Trade Policy: Case Study - Policy: Case Study - Russian Trade after Russian Trade after

GeorgiaGeorgia

Presented by:Presented by:

Dimitar MinchevDimitar Minchev

Beginning of the conflictBeginning of the conflictShort overview of the timelineShort overview of the timeline

August 8 – Georgia launches an attack on August 8 – Georgia launches an attack on South OssetiaSouth Ossetia

August 9 – Russian military begins to repel August 9 – Russian military begins to repel the Georgian assault in order to “prevent the Georgian assault in order to “prevent genocide”genocide”

August 15 – the US Secretary of State August 15 – the US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice arrives at TbilisiCondoleezza Rice arrives at Tbilisi

September 5 US vice-president R. Cheney September 5 US vice-president R. Cheney visits Georgiavisits Georgia

September 13 – Russian forces begin to September 13 – Russian forces begin to withdraw form Georgiawithdraw form Georgia

Events preceding the conflictEvents preceding the conflict

In February 2008 Kosovo declared its In February 2008 Kosovo declared its independence with the support of the independence with the support of the US and the EUUS and the EU

US moved to install missiles to US moved to install missiles to defend itself from “rogue states”defend itself from “rogue states”

Russia strongly opposed both eventsRussia strongly opposed both events

Events preceding the conflict-cont.Events preceding the conflict-cont.

US withdrew its support for Russia’s US withdrew its support for Russia’s bid to become a WTO memberbid to become a WTO member

US pledged its support for Georgia’s US pledged its support for Georgia’s and Ukraine’s bid for NATO and Ukraine’s bid for NATO membershipmembership

US trained Georgian soldiers and US trained Georgian soldiers and supplied equipment for their mission supplied equipment for their mission in Iraqin Iraq

US response to the Russian US response to the Russian invasion in Georgiainvasion in Georgia

The US Secretary of state visited The US Secretary of state visited Georgia, pledging US support for the Georgia, pledging US support for the countrycountry

The US vice-president visited Tbilisi The US vice-president visited Tbilisi and pledged 1 billion dollars in aid for and pledged 1 billion dollars in aid for the recovery of the countrythe recovery of the country

US sent humanitarian aid aboard two US sent humanitarian aid aboard two navy ships and a coast guard frigatenavy ships and a coast guard frigate

US response to the Russian US response to the Russian invasion in Georgia-cont.invasion in Georgia-cont.

NATO conducted 18 days exercises NATO conducted 18 days exercises in the Black Sea during the conflictin the Black Sea during the conflict

President Bush canceled the civilian President Bush canceled the civilian nuclear deal with Russia nuclear deal with Russia

Russia’s response to the US Russia’s response to the US actionsactions

August 26, 2008 - recognition of August 26, 2008 - recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia, but only South Ossetia and Abkhazia, but only Nicaragua joins the recognitionNicaragua joins the recognition

Igor Shechin – Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shechin – Deputy Prime Minister and Chairman of state owned and Chairman of state owned Rosneft gives a speech on the OPEC Rosneft gives a speech on the OPEC meeting in Viennameeting in Vienna

Russia’s response to the US Russia’s response to the US actionsactions

Russia bars 19 US poultry producers Russia bars 19 US poultry producers form exporting into the countryform exporting into the country

Russia implements new stricter Russia implements new stricter import measures at border import measures at border checkpoints with Turkeycheckpoints with Turkey

Russia sent two strategic bombers Russia sent two strategic bombers TU-160 to VenezuelaTU-160 to Venezuela

Russia’s response to the US Russia’s response to the US actionsactions

Russia announced that it will send a Russia announced that it will send a nuclear powered missile destroyer to nuclear powered missile destroyer to the Caribbean Sea along with three the Caribbean Sea along with three navy ships on Military exercises with navy ships on Military exercises with VenezuelaVenezuela

Russia announced a 27% increase in Russia announced a 27% increase in its military spending for 2009its military spending for 2009

US national interests in GeorgiaUS national interests in Georgia

US backs the 1 million barrels per US backs the 1 million barrels per day pipeline in Georgia which allows day pipeline in Georgia which allows it to use oil from the Caspian Sea it to use oil from the Caspian Sea region while avoiding Russia or Iranregion while avoiding Russia or Iran

Georgia had the third biggest Georgia had the third biggest contingent in Iraq prior to the start of contingent in Iraq prior to the start of the conflict and was active the conflict and was active participant in the war on terrorparticipant in the war on terror

What are the ways for the US to What are the ways for the US to change its energy policychange its energy policy

Use more natural gas for Use more natural gas for transportationtransportation• Its cheaper than oilIts cheaper than oil• It emits less greenhouse gasesIt emits less greenhouse gases• Its abundant in North AmericaIts abundant in North America

Invest in new energy technologiesInvest in new energy technologies• Electric carElectric car• Hydrogen fuel cellHydrogen fuel cell

What are the ways for the US to What are the ways for the US to change its energy policy-cont.change its energy policy-cont.

Provide tax rebates and cash Provide tax rebates and cash incentives for homeowners to switch incentives for homeowners to switch to alternative power generationto alternative power generation

Look to the long term future - ITERLook to the long term future - ITER

Thank you for your time!Thank you for your time!

ResourcesResources South Ossetia – information about the region South Ossetia – information about the region http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Ossetia Analysis: Why the Russia – Georgia conflict Matters to the West?Analysis: Why the Russia – Georgia conflict Matters to the West? http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article4486297.ece Polish government approves US missile dealPolish government approves US missile deal http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2008-08-19-missile-deal_N.htm Russia Condemns US missile dealRussia Condemns US missile deal http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7573409.stm#goback Russia makes new threats over US-Poland missile dealRussia makes new threats over US-Poland missile deal http://abcnews.go.com/International/story?id=5617271&page=1 Opinion: US, EU must take Russia seriouslyOpinion: US, EU must take Russia seriously http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,2144,3580354,00.html Russian chicken ban more bad news for US producersRussian chicken ban more bad news for US producers http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/food/2008-08-28-chicken-russia_N.htm Russia-Georgia war ordeal for Turkey’s economyRussia-Georgia war ordeal for Turkey’s economy http://www.turkishdailynews.com.tr/article.php?enewsid=112315 Russia denies punishing Turkey over GeorgiaRussia denies punishing Turkey over Georgia http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2008-09-02-Turkey-Russia_N.htm Bush cancels civilian nuclear deal with RussiaBush cancels civilian nuclear deal with Russia http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2008-09-08-bush-russia_N.htm Russia to conduct military exercise with VenezuelaRussia to conduct military exercise with Venezuela http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2008-09-08-bush-russia_N.htm Two Russian Blackjack bombers land in VenezuelaTwo Russian Blackjack bombers land in Venezuela http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,420522,00.html

Resources – cont.Resources – cont. Russia says to send nuclear warship to the CaribbeanRussia says to send nuclear warship to the Caribbean http://www.reuters.com/article/topNews/idUSL871354420080908?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandCha

nnel=0 Russia defense spending to grow 27% in 09 - PutinRussia defense spending to grow 27% in 09 - Putin http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080916/wl_nm/russia_defence_dc

Visiting Georgia Dick Cheney assails RussiaVisiting Georgia Dick Cheney assails Russia http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-georgia5-2008sep05,0,2485941.story Georgia’s oil pipeline is key to US supportGeorgia’s oil pipeline is key to US support http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/08/09/MNDG127U55.DTLhttp://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/08/09/MNDG127U55.DTL Georgia-Oil and Gas politicsGeorgia-Oil and Gas politics http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/georgia/oil-politics.htmhttp://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/georgia/oil-politics.htm OPEC plans closer links with Russia to control half of the world’s oil supplyOPEC plans closer links with Russia to control half of the world’s oil supply http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/

article4727088.ecearticle4727088.ece Russia warns US and EU over Kosovo independenceRussia warns US and EU over Kosovo independence http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL287999020080128http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSL287999020080128 Russia, US trade barbs over Iraq, Kosovo at UNRussia, US trade barbs over Iraq, Kosovo at UN http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N28360832.htmhttp://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N28360832.htm McCan and Obama use conflict in Georgia to prove foreign policy mettleMcCan and Obama use conflict in Georgia to prove foreign policy mettle http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/11/johnmccain.barackobamahttp://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/11/johnmccain.barackobama What is ITER?What is ITER? http://www.iter.org/http://www.iter.org/