framework of study implementation structure and role sharing · 2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣...

2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣 1 2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣 2

・Climate change (Global warming, abnormal weather, sea level rise, etc. )

・Natural disaster (earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption...)

・Eco-system deterioration

・Aging and population decrease・Urban sprawl and hollowing out of

industry・Deterioration of infrastructure and

housing・Motorization and reduction of

communities

Hazard Vulnerability

Natural Change Social Change

Human activitiesconditions

Natural conditions

well‐ organized land use and infrastructure

Re-design for resilient land and Society

Background

Framework of study

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(1) (2)

Progressive Integrated D

atabase on DIA

S

Platform

GovernmentGovernment Specialist Citizen

Community CompanyNPO

Extension from Japan to Asia User’s Request

Implementation Plan (Smart shrink?)

A. Archive

B. Analysis and

Design

C. Utilization and

Development

D. Capacity Building

(3)

(4)

(5)

Planning infomation

・Climate change (Global warming, abnormal weather, sea level rise, etc. )・Natural disaster (earthquake, tsunami, volcanic eruption...)・Eco-system deterioration

・Aging and population decrease・Urban sprawl and hollowing out of industry・Deterioration of infrastructure and housing・Motorization and reduction of communities

Hazard Vulnerability

Natural Change Social Change

Human activitiesconditions

Natural conditions

well‐ organized land use and infrastructure

Re-design for resilient land and Society

implementation structure and role sharing


Natural information archiving and analysis• Active fault map [Suzuki (Nagoya)]• Disaster annals map [Mizoguchi (Nagoya)]• Tsunami Archives [Sato (Tokyo)]

Social information archiving and analysis• QOL evaluation in normal situation [H. Kato (Nagoya)]• Environmental load evaluation in normal situation

[Shibahara (Nagoya)]

Planning information archiving and visualization• Visualization of disaster risk [T. Kato (Tokyo)]• Visualization of environmental system [Tanikawa (Nagoya)]• Visualization of regional landscape [Kawazoe (Tokyo)]• Visualization of Smart-Shrink [Hayashi (Nagoya)]

Human resource cultivation for redesigning land and society• Researchers, international human resource cultivation and international network

construction [All]• Build leaders for redesign [All]

Utilizing System and developing for Asia• Monitoring nature, disaster and land-use [Kumagai (Tokyo)]• Motorization and suburbanization in mega-cities [Hayashi (Nagoya)]• Urbanization and social weakening in mega-cities [Mizoguchi (Nagoya)] ・・・・

Constructing a redesign methodology for resilient land and society・・・collaborate with DIAS

(1) (2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

A. Archive

B. Analysis and

Design

C. Utilization and

Development

D. Capacity Building

Scheme of study


FutureFutureScenarios

Scenario x

PresentPresentBackward Human

activities QOL

E.L. Cost

National land and urban areas

Evacuation planning

natural condition

the potential fortsunami flooding

fault

Progressive Integrated DatabaseArchive

Building stocks

Infrastructure

Visualization

Analysis/Modeling

Planning information

History of

Disasters

Record of the

Tohoku earthqua

ke

Vulnerability

Hazard

Adaptation / Mitigation

Low data Additional value

Micro to Macro

Scenario 1

Sudden disaster

Long-termclimate change

？

Implementation

Scenario 2Scenario 3Scenario 4Scenario 5Scenario5

(1) Natural information archive and analyze


Active fault map (Suzuki)

釜石市箱崎白浜

Tsunami Archives (Sato)

Disaster annals map (Mizuguchi)

DIAS

根尾谷断層

尾府名古屋図（宝永6年）

Pictures, other detailed data

4D-GIS-DB Integration

Specialists of

prevention

Specialists of disaster-

preventionGovernmentaGovernmenta

l engineer

Regional community

System improvement

System diffusion and technical

transfer

Scientists

Tsunami Modeler

Urban Planner

Designer

Shared platform

System evolution

Researcher and specialist cultivation

Disaster annals map


Old document information digitized to GIS dataAnalyze the relationship of number of deaths and natural disasters, famine and infection from the register of deaths

Disaster records are archived and digitized to GIS data

「尾府名古屋図」宝永６年(1709)

Disaster record collection and utilization for disaster-prevention

Active fault map


Regarding international contributions from geographic disaster information

Mapping of Mongolian Active fault

ca. 600km

Gobi‐Altay fault belt

1957年Gobi-Altay地震の地震断層

活断層

ALTAY

ULAN BATOR

Mapping of Japanese active faults

An example of the 1957 surface rupture

Tsunami Archives


Photo, other information 4D-GIS-DB integration

Tsunami traceT.P.+14.1m

Shirahama Hakozaki Kamaishi Data collection

Tsunami data

Archives/DIAS

Scientist

Tsunami modeler

Urban planner

DesignerSpecialists of

prevention

Specialists of disaster-

prevention

Governmental Engineer

Governmental Engineer

Regional CommunitySystem

evolution

Integrated DB Platform including evolution system

Shared platform

System diffusion and technical

transfer

System improvement

Researcher and specialist cultivation

Post-disaster situation of sea embankment

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Difference of clash level by construction method

(2) Social information archive and analyze

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Land use

Population

Transport network

Infrastructure

Disaster hazard

•Earthquake•Tsunami

•Flood

Clime and Crust Data

OUT

Industry

Archive Analyze Visualization

DIAS

Social and Economic

Data

OUT

IN

Analyze and survey

result archive

Norm

al time

Emergency

QOL, Cost evaluation (H. Kato)

Evacuation behavior analysis (Hato)

Environmental road evaluation (Shibahara)Environmental road evaluation (Shibahara)

QOL evacuation system at disaster

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Cultural life

Social life

1

2

3

4

Restoration data or scenarios

House

Life line

Road and facilities

Access to bathing

Access to medical care

Secure of foods

Infrastructure situations after disaster

Satisfiability of QOL components

QOLReal data or sim

ulation

Determination of QOL stage at disaster

situation

1234

Stage

Stage

Stage

Stage

Changes of QOL stage after the Tohoku earthquake

2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣 13

・QOL indexes are recovered from coast to inner areas after roads and facilities re-open・Areas of QOL stage 2 are bigger than flooding areas from tsunami at 3/31 and 4/11

Cultural life

Social life

1

2

3

4

Stage

Stage

Stage

Stage

(3) Planning information archive and visualization

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Smart-Shrink and Regional landscape: Population, Land-use and Environment (Hayashi / Kawazoe)

Aging ratio

Urban sprawl Compact city

Landscape and CFD analysis (wind and temperature)

Derivation by climate data

Population Distribution

SmartShrink

Visualization technology construction of environmental system and disaster risk

Social information sharing and utilizing technology during planning

Platform for evaluation natural disaster hazard

2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣 15

Statistics on Business

（500m mesh）

Tel point（point）

Estimation of damage potential

The Housing and Land Survey

(Municipalities)Population Census

（500m mesh）Risk of Building

Break out risk

Fire risk

Casualty risk

Deprived refuge life

Water supply・・・

Estimation of situation

of urban area

Number of buildings

Purpose classifications

Population

Zenrinmap（each house）

Rea

din

ess

Evaluation of disaster situation from

anticipated damage

timing

Visu

aliza

tion

flood disasterTsunami risk

NIED50年5%超過最大速度30年6%超過最大速度

fire spread cluster database

Disaster risk and readiness are evaluated interestedly to establish discussion with correct evaluation of natural disaster risk

Image of platform for evaluation natural disaster hazard

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①Establishment of evaluation method which has possibility of application for any scale, ②Introduction of understandable navigation method for all

耐火造準耐火造防火造

Evaluation of lost stock by Tohoku earthquake

2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣 17

Hachinohe

Kesennuma

Ishinomaki

Natori

Iwaki

1.Culcrate construction scale

3.Evaluating in disaster areas

2. Multiply basic unit

W

RC

S

×

×

×

Material stocks of attacked by earthquake are defeminized.Therefore constriction material and waste management is supported.

谷川

182012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣

(4) System utilization and development for Asia

Motorization A and concurrent Urban sprawlNecessity of urban sprawl control measure

Analysis of motorization and suburbanization in mega-cities

(Hayashi)

construction of Water Environment society In Tsunami and flood-prone zone in 21st century

Monitoring and benchmarking of urban land use condition (Shibasaki)

Urban mapping from satellite image

Mapping and archive of person trip data in Asian

cities

Manila

Mobility mapping from mobile phones

Analysis of urbanization and social weakening in mega-cities

(Mizoguchi)・Climate change・Natural disaster・Eco-system deterioration・Dwindling birthrate and an aging population・Hollowing out of industry・Deteriorationof infrastructure

and housing・ Reduction of community…

Ho Chi Minh

Natural disaster records in Bangladesh

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Price indexes before and after flood (87.7-9)

chili pepper（８７）

Onion(87)Rice(87)Rice(85)Salt(87)Salt(85)

Archiving newspaper articles of natural disaster since the birth of the Bangladesh (1971)In 1987, number of deaths caused by digestive disorder are bigger than caused by flood attackprice boost occurred at the peak of flood, therefor poor people could not forage foods. Poor people drank contaminated water. Thus they caught bloody flux, typhoid and so on.

Newspaper articles of flood in 1987（from Bangladesh Observer）

溝口

(Taka/kg)

Targets of Project

Short termEvolutional DIAS： Archive and

analyze nature and society

•Revival planning of Great East Japan Earthquake support based on scientific basis

20

○ Targets

○ Result

New land and social design methodology creation with sharing of natural, social and planning information

→ Social utility value of DIAS

Mid- and long term•Resilient land and society design considering disaster risk and low carbon emission•Expanding to all of Japan and Asia through human resource cultivation

2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣

framework of study implementation structure and role sharing · 2012/10/7 名古屋大学 林良嗣...

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framework of study implementation structure and role sharing · 2012/10/7 名古屋大学林良嗣...