gbep’s economic indicators in vietnam · trung tâm nghiên cứu và phát triển hệ thống...
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Trung tâm Nghiên cứu và Phát triển Hệ thống Nông nghiệp
Centre for Agrarian Systems Research & Development
GBEP’s Economic Indicators in VIETNAM
For cassava-based ethanol and biogasCASRAD’s team:
Dao The Anh, Nguyen Ngoc Mai, Bui Quang Duan,
Nguyen Thi Dieu Linh
Ha noi, 15 November 2017
FAO Project
Building Capacity for enhancing bioenergy sustainability through the
use of GBEP indicators’(GCP/GLO/554/GER)
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INDICATORS 17 – PRODUCTIVITY (Ethanol and Biogas)
(17.1) Productivity of bioenergy feedstocks by
feedstock or by farm/plantation
(17.2) Processing efficiencies by technology and
feedstock
(17.3) Amount of bioenergy end product by mass,
volume or energy content per hectare per year
(17.4) Production cost per unit of bioenergy
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Indicator 17.1: Productivity of fresh cassava
The cassava productivity is 19.8 ton/ha
Production over 10.9 million tons of fresh cassava, equivalent
4.5 million tons of dry cassava chips,
1 million tons of dried cassava chips imported from
Cambodia, the total output of dry chips in Vietnam is about 5.5
million tons.
In 2016, the export volume of cassava is 3.7 million tons (dry
cassava chips and cassava starch). China remained the main
export market, 87% market share
About 1.8 million tons (about 33%) of dry cassava chips are
consumed domestically mainly for processing animal feeds.
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17.2. Processing efficiencies by technology and
feedstock (cassava - ethanol)
The starch content of fresh cassava is 25-35%, so 1 kg of dry
cassava chips could be produced from 2.3 - 2.4 kg of fresh cassava.
Ethanol production technology: 2.5 tons of dry chips for produce
1000 l of ethanol.
1 liter of ethanol = 21.1 MJ and 2.5 tons of dried cassava chips can
produce 1000 l of ethanol = 21100 MJ.
The processing efficiency of ethanol is 8440 MJ/ton of dried
cassava chips (equal to 3.52 MJ/ton of fresh cassava).
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17.3 Energy amount of bioenergy ethanol
Average yield of fresh cassava 19.18 tons / ha, equal to
7.99 tons/ha of dried cassava chips (2,4 kg of fresh
cassava = 1 kg of dried cassava chips)
2.5 tons of dried cassava chips can produce 1000 l of
ethanol = 21100 MJ.
7.99 tons/ha of dried cassava chips can produce an
amount of bioenergy end product of 67450 MJ.
And 1 hectare of cassava can produce an energy
amount 67450 MJ/ha per year.
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17.4. Production cost per unit of bioenergy
The cost of dried cassava chips accounts for 78% of ethanol production
cost.
The price of dried cassava chips is 180 USD/ton (FOB price in Quy Nhon
on 5/5/2017), and ethanol production cost is about 576.92 USD/1000 l of
ethanol (equal to 0,576 USD/l).
The production cost per unit of bioenergy is 0,027 USD/MJ.
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17.1. Productivity of biogas feedstocks (tons/year)
At industrial level (Biogas from
cassava starch production)
All country, having 102
cassava starch factories,
average capacity is 36,750
tons of cassava starch/plant/
year
Productivity 19.61 m3
wastewater/1 ton of starch
Biogas at household & farm
levels
All country, having
27,750 millions of pig.
One pig 50 kg produce 2.6
kg fresh manure/day (5.2%
of pig weight) or 0.949 ton
fresh manure/year (SNV,
2011)
Total fresh manure is 84
millions of ton/year.
INDICATORS 17 - BIOGAS
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17.2.Processing efficiencies by technology and
feedstock for Biogas
a. At household & farm levels
Processing efficiency of biogas is 1.165 MJ / kg
of pig manure on a wet base
b. At industrial scale (Biogas from cassava
starch production)
Processing efficiency of biogas is 43.62 MJ / m3
of wastewater
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17.3. Amount of bioenergy end product by biogas
Type QuantityNumber of Plants
(90% in use)
Biogas Produced in
GJ/plant/y
Total biogas
production (GJ/y)
SBP (10 m3) 450,000 405,000 24.00 9,720,000.0
MBP 500 m3 14,370 12,933 1,286.85 16,642,880.2
LBP 2000 m3 1,000 900 5,147.41 4,632,673.5
Content Value Unit
Total wastewater volume 720,750 m3/plant/year
Processing efficiency of biogas 43.62 MJ/ m3 of wastewater
Biogas output recovered for use 31,439,115 MJ/plant/year
Number of cassava starch factories in
the country102 plant
Total biogas production taking back
for using in the country3,206,789,730 MJ/year
Table 2: Biogas at household /farm levels
Table 3: At industrial level (Biogas from cassava starch production)
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17.4. Production cost per unit of bioenergy
Biogas at household & farm levels
Production cost per unit of bioenergy household level is
0.015627 USD/MJ
Production cost per unit of bioenergy at farm level is
0.015835 USD/MJ
The labor costs is 60 % of the total biogas production costs (at
both levels), and the depreciation costs of the plant is 22-26%.
Biogas at industrial scale from cassava starch production
Production costs per unit of bioenergy of cassava starch
processing factories is 0.0027395 USD/MJ
At the industrial level, the depreciation cost and the cost of
electricity used to operate the biogas plant are 72.5 – 86.6%
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17.4. Production cost per unit of bioenergy
No. Fuel Unit
Conversion
coefficient of
energy unit (MJ)
Fuel price in
2016
(VND / kg)
Fuel price in
2016
(USD / kg)
Production
cost per
energy unit
(USD/MJ)
1 LPG Kg 45.638 21,833 0.966 0.021168
2 DO oil Kg 42.707 12,380 0.547 0.012827
3 Wood Kg 15.6 500 0.022 0.001482
4 Rice husk Kg 11.72 1,650 0.073 0.006229
5 Sawdust firewood Kg 17.58 2,300 0.102 0.005789
6Biogas at household
level0.015627
7 Biogas at farm level 0.015835
8Biogas at cassava starch
factory0.002739
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Table 4: Production cost per energy unit of energy
sources
Production cost per energy unit of fuel is arranged as follows: Biogas from
cassava starch factory < Sawdust firewood < Rice husk < DO oil < Biogas at
household level < Biogas at farm level < LPG < Wood.
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INDICATORS 19 – GROSS VALUE ADDED
(Ethanol and Biogas)
19.1 Gross value added per unit of
bioenergy produced
19.2 Percentage of gross domestic
product
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19.1. Gross value added per unit of bioenergy produced
The cost of ethanol production is $ 0.576 per liter (excluding
ethanol distribution costs) and the cost of ethanol production is $
0.68 per liter (including ethanol distribution costs).
The average selling price of E5 RON 92 gasoline is 17,025
VND/liter for 2017 (equal to 0,75 USD/liter).
The cost of ethanol production is $ 0.68 per liter. Thus, the
added value is 0.07 USD / liter.
Gross value added per unit of bioenergy produced is
0.0033 USD/ MJ
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INDICATOR 19 - GROSS VALUE ADDED ETHANOL
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19.2. Percentage of gross domestic product
Total GDP (PPP) of Vietnam in 2016 is $ 595 billion.
Total national consumption of ethanol was 29,500 m3, thus 29.5 Ml. The
total added value is 0.07 USD/l. The ethanol production industry's GDP is
estimated at $ 2.065 million per year.
The contribution to GDP of ethanol production industry in 2016 was
0.000347%.
In 2018, E5 Mogas 92 will be used for replacing conventional Mogas 92.
The ethanol demand would increase up to 267.85 M liters.
The ethanol production industry's GDP would increase up to $ 18.75 million
per year.
The contribution to GDP of ethanol production industry in 2018 will be
0.00315%.
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19.1. Gross value added per unit of bioenergy BIOGAS
+ Biogas at household level
A biogas plant 10.49 m3 will generate value added from saving
fossil fuel, fertilizers, fish feed of USD 79.05
The value added per unit of bioenergy is USD 0.00116 /MJ
The value added in the whole country is estimated equal to
USD 11,296,450.0
+ At industrial scale (Biogas from cassava starch production)
The investment in wastewater treatment system to recover biogas
of the cassava starch factory produce a value added of USD 0.010149
per MJ
With 102 cassava starch factories, the value added of the country
reached USD 32,545,709.0
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19.2. Total added value and Percentage of gross
domestic product - BIOGAS
• Total added value from biogas: 43.84 million
USD
• Viet Nam GDP in 2016 is 595 billions USD
• Percentage of Gross domestic product is
0.0074%.
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INDICATOR 21 - TRAINING AND REQUALIFICATION OF THE
WORKFORCE (only for Biogas)
(21.1) Share of trained workers in the
bioenergy sector out of total bioenergy
workforce
(21.2) share of re-qualified workers out of
the total number of jobs lost in the
bioenergy sector (no data)
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• In the total of 450 000 biogas digesters, 55 % supported
by projects
• In the project, 94% of households using biogas are trained
& 83% household were guided at the biogas plant (BUS,
2014)
• The SNV project training (2010):
• 1020 technicians and 1607 masons, 220 team leaders.
• 2,000,000 workdays and 1,800 mason works.
• 100% of households are satisfied with the technology of
the building workers (SNV, 2010).
Sub Indicator 21.1: Share of trained workers in the
bioenergy sector out of total bioenergy workforce
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INDICATOR 20: CHANGE IN CONSUMPTION OF FOSSIL
FUELS AND TRADITIONAL USE OF BIOMASS for Biogas
20.1:
20.1a: Substitution of fossil fuels with domestic bioenergy
measured by energy content,
20.1b: Annual savings of convertible currency from
reduced purchases of fossil fuels.
20.2: Substitution of traditional use of biomass with modern
domestic bioenergy measured by energy content.
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Indicator 20.1a: Energy savings through the use of biogas instead of
fossil fuels
Type GJ/y
Efossilsub_i livestock production 7,076,416.9
Efossilsub_i cassava processing 5,354,793.0
Total 12,431,209.9
Indicator 20.1b Changing the use
of fossil fuels by biofuels saving
in 2015 = 44.22 million USD
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Indicator 20.2
Substitution of traditional use of biomass
with modern domestic bioenergy
measured by energy content
Type Total bioenergy
(GJ)
Wood and residues
(ton)
Livestock 7,317,932.9 457,371
Cassava starch
processing plants 5,354,793 724,674
Total 12,672,725.9 1,182,045
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Conclusion and Recommendation(Indicators 17 and 19 – ethanol)
Indicator 17
To reduce the cost of ethanol production, the factories need to apply
bioenergy processing technology of developed countries (such as
USA, India…).
It is necessary to study to improve the cassava variety and invest to
increase the productivity of cassava to reduce the cost of dried
cassava chips.
Indicator 19
To increase the added value per unit of bioenergy, it is necessary to
find ways to reduce the cost of ethanol production (as reduce the
cost of inputs and improve the technology to increase the efficiency
of bioenergy production).
In order to increase the GDP contribution of the bioenergy industry,
there should be a policy to increase bioenergy consumption.
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Conclusion and Recommendation(Indicators 17 and 19 – biogas)
Indicators 17
Using biogas to replace fossil fuels is necessary and effective. However, the
cost of building biogas digester is still high, the payback period is long and
biogas surplus at farm level is constraint.
Therefore, the government should have policies to help farmers, livestock
farms and cassava starch factories to access capital to build biogas digester.
Indicators 19
Vietnam has potential for biogas, but main constraint is distribution of gas.
Waste water and digestive derived from biogas production are not used
thoroughly.
In order to increase the GDP contribution of the bio-energy industry,
Vietnam should have a policy to exploit the potential of biogas at farms level
to produce electricity.
The government should have propaganda policies about effective use of
wastewater, biogas waste.
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Conclusion and Recommendation
(Indicators 20 and 21 – biogas)
Need to build the official statistic on biogas
digesters in livestock and on labor force working
in biogas
Need assessment of labor forces training for biogas
and develop public extension for biogas training
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