ge- goldman sachs fourth annual alternative energy conference
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TRANSCRIPT
"Results are preliminary and unaudited. This document contains “forward-looking statements”- that is, statements related to future, not past, events. In this context, forward-looking statements often address our expected future business and financial performance and financial condition, and often contain words such as “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” believe,”“seek,” “see,” or “will.” Forward-looking statements by their nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. For us, particular uncertainties that could cause our actual results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements include: the severity and duration of current economic and financial conditions, including volatility in interest and exchange rates, commodity and equity prices and the value of financial assets; the impact of U.S. and foreign government programs to restore liquidity and stimulate national and global economies; the impact of conditions in the financial and credit markets on the availability and cost of GE Capital’s funding and on our ability to reduce GE Capital’s asset levels and commercial paper exposure as planned; the impact of conditions in the housing market and unemployment rates on the level of commercial and consumer credit defaults; our ability to maintain our current credit rating and the impact on our funding costs and competitive position if we do not do so; the soundness of other financial institutions with which GE Capital does business; the adequacy of our cash flow and earnings and other conditions which may affect our ability to maintain our quarterly dividend at the current level; the level of demand and financial performance of the major industries we serve, including, without limitation, air and rail transportation, energy generation, network television, real estate and healthcare; the impact of regulation and regulatory, investigative and legal proceedings and legal compliance risks; strategic actions, including acquisitions and dispositions and our success in integrating acquired businesses; and numerous other matters of national, regional and global scale, including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature. These uncertainties may cause our actual future results to be materially different than those expressed in our forward-looking statements. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements.”
“In this document, “GE” refers to the Industrial businesses of the Company including GECS on an equity basis. “GE (ex. GECS)” and/or “Industrial” refer to GE excluding Financial Services.”
Goldman SachsSteve FludderMay 21, 2009
2 / / February 2009
Agenda
• Why ecomagination?
• What is it?
• Our Progress
• Driving Innovation
3 / / February 2009
The Challenge
CO2 emissions ↓ 50%
Decoupling needed
Technology is key
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
IEA Reference Scenario
50% reduction path
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Global Energy Related Emissions (Gt CO2/ yr)
2005
4 / / February 2009
d
The Opportunity
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2005
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Carbon Capture& Sequestration1
Nuclear1
Renewables & Biofuels1
Energy Efficiency1
14%
9%
23%
54%
Global Energy Related Emissions (Gt CO2/ yr)
1. Source: International Energy Agency – World Energy Outlook 2008
IEA Reference Scenario
50% reduction path
5 / / February 2009
Business Strategy
Driving Innovation and Growth of
Profitable Environmental Solutions
6 / / February 2009
1. Grow revenues to $25B
2. Double R&D to $1.5B
3. Reduce GHG 1% absolute
4. Reduce water 20% absolute
5. Inform & Engage public… Transparency & Leadership
by 2010
by 2012
ongoing
Reducing our own footprint
↓ $6.5MM, 59k tons CO2
Lighting @ 46 plants
• > $100 MM savings
• 5,000+ projects6.5 6.75 7 7.25 7.5 7.75
'07
'04 GHG Emissions (MM MT / yr)
20 30 40 50 60 70
'07
'04 GHG Intensity (MT / $MM Rev)
250 300 350 400 450 500 550
'07
'04 Energy Intensity (MM Btu / $MM Rev)
7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10
'07
'06 Fresh Water Use (Billion Gallons)
’12 Commitment
8 / / February 2009
Revenues ($B)
Innovative technologies…now
'05 '06 '07 '08
1012
14
17
…
’10goal
25
• 80 certified products
• Across the company
20% CAGR
Energy Infrastructure: $10.5B
Consumer & Industrial: $1.9B
Capital: $9MM
Technology Infrastructure: $5.1B
9 / / February 2009
Carbon Capture& Sequestration
Nuclear
Renewables & Biofuels
Energy Efficiency
1. Source: International Energy Agency – World Energy Outlook 2008
d
14%
9%
23%
54%
Wind
Thin FilmSolar
Carbon Capture
Energy Storage
Hybrid evo
OLEDs
GEnx
Advanced Desalination
Innovative technologies…for tomorrow
Carbon Reduction Scenario1
WasteHeat
Recovery
IGCC
$1.5B/Yr
14%
9%
23%
54%
Energy Smart Miami• $200M smart grid initiative
• Proposal for economic stimulus funds
• Estimate for 800-1,000 “green collar” jobs
• Public/private alliance� GE� City of Miami� FPL� Cisco� Silver Spring Networks
• ~1M Customers involved� Smart Meters� Demand Management� Distribution Automation � Substation Intelligence� Distributed Generation� Enterprise Systems
“It’s time for action. With projects like Energy Smart Miami, we can stimulate the economy today and build a brighter, cleaner tomorrow. It’s truly a win-win for Miami and for America.” Carol Browner
Assistant to the President for Energy and Climate Change
11 / / February 2009
Locomotives
.
Up to 40% less NOx
3% fuel efficiency gain
12 cylinders / 4,400hp
�� less NOx
�� fuel efficiency
Batteries = 2,000hp equivalent
Evolution Platform
3,000+ Delivered
Hybrid Evolution
Innovation: 2010+
Evolution ES44C4
Innovation: 2009
Up to 70% less NOx
Up to 17% fuel savings
New AC Motor Technology
Battery Technology Manufacturing• $100M battery technology investment to accelerate technology deployment
• Estimate for 350 manufacturing jobs + supply chain
• High Energy Sodium Batteries
� Hybrid Locomotive - 2010
� Mining – Off highway vehicles
� Utilities – storage & smart grid leveling
• Compliments GE investiment in A123
� Lithium ion technology
� Plug-in electric passenger cars
“Hybrid locomotives, and the battery technology on bard, could be an important part of how we ship goods by rail in the future….and further enhance rails reputation…” Matthew K. Rose
President & CEO, Burlington Northern Santa Fee Corporation
13 / / February 2009
Product evolution
• 2.5 MW program initiation in 2003
• First 2.5 MW unit installed in 2004
• One million operating hours on 2.5/2.3 MW fleet
• First 2.5xl technology demonstrator installed July 2006
• First full production 2.5xl unit installed October 2007
• 2.5xl serial production commenced August 2008
2.5MW… The next evolution
14 / / February 2009
Grid Operability 50/60hz Reliability
2.5MW … The next industry workhorse
$160MM
47
97
100
‘07
39Cap Fact. (%)
_Customer Value ($MM/GW)
90Reliability (%)
88Rotor Size (m)
‘04GE 2.5 MW
Pitch ControlAvailability & loads
Gearbox & Drivetrain
Reliability & efficiency
Blades
Utilizing GE Technology
Increasing wind capture
100m class II/III
+7 Pts
+8 Pts
Fleet size ~200MW ~1GW (’10)
85 m
100 m
Creating the next industry workhorse
Logistics differentiation
Power Electronics
15 / / February 2009
GEnx aircraft engine … entering service in 2010
Pound for pound, GE’s most fuel efficient and lowest emissions jet engine
Boeing 787 vs 767:
• 30% quieter*
• 15% more fuel efficient*and 15% lower CO2*
• 3x NOx margin to regulations
• 35% longer time on wing*
*compared to GE engine it replaces
16 / / February 2009
LEDs … Transforming Lighting
•> 40% less energy
•10+ yr service life
•RoHS compliant, no Hg
Features
Professional Systems
Parking Lot &Roadway
Replacement Lamps
Cove
•Up to 80% less energy
•50,000 hr service life
•RoHS compliant, no Hg
Features
•Up to 75% less energy
•20,000 hr life
•RoHs compliant, no Hg
Features
> 80% less energy
•25,000 hr life
•RoHs compliant, no Hg
Features
PAR20 / R63
Innovation A-line
17 / / February 2009
Development Stage
Proof of Concept
Pilot Stage
Early Sales
Growth Stage
GE Energy Financial Services – VC / Growth Portfolio*
*Excludes 1 undisclosed
investment
Transportation
Oil & Gas
Energy Storage
Renewables
Energy Efficiency & Smart Grid
18 / / February 2009
Southwest Windpower
Market Projections for Small WindApplications
•World’s largest producer of small wind generators
•130,000 units
•Compact, all-inclusive wind generator (controls and inverter built in)
•Designed to provide cleaner electricity at low wind levels
•Designed for long life, with five year limited warranty
•Skystream product rated at 2.4 kW
Off-Grid Applications•Rural villages, remote homes & cabins• Telecom towers & utility poles• Island electrification• Sailboats•Water pumping
Grid-Tie Applications•Utility-connected homes•Commercial & retail• Street / parking lot light retrofits•Corporate / commercial GHG reduction
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
($M
M)
Upside Case
Base Case
40% CAGR
83% CAGR
Source: AWEA Small Wind Study 2007, PV Solar Growth Reports, small wind historical sales data
19 / Title or job number / February 2009
Please visit ecomagination.com