ghg
DESCRIPTION
GHG. In Order of Appearance:. Harold Ward William Space Nicholas Bianco. VEIA. (of Brown University). October 30, 2003. Figure 4d: Contribution of Options to GHG Savings vs. Baseline in 2020 in Scenario: Consensus & Non-Consensus. Fuel Efficiency Profile: Model Year 2001. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
GHG
VE
IA
Harold WardWilliam SpaceNicholas Bianco
In Order of Appearance:
October 30, 2003
(of Brown University)
Figure 4d: Contribution of Options to GHG Savings vs. Baseline in 2020 in Scenario: Consensus & Non-
Consensus
State Incentives for Fuel Economy9%
VMT-based Insurance8%
Renewable Portfolio Standard7%
Industrial Energy Efficiency7%
Fossil Energy Efficiency6%
Urban & Suburban Forestry5%
Upgrade Building Codes5%
Pay as You Throw4%
Non Industrial CHP3%
Elec Eff in Non-Res Facilities3%
Convert Cropland to Forestry3%
Compact Appliances3%
Transit Oriented Development5%
Resource Management Contracting5%
Increase Gas Tax3%
Open Space Protection4%
Industrial CHP4%
All Others5%
Fleet Fuel GHG Content3%
Bottle Bill1%Efficient Heating
2%
Fuel Switch Oil to Gas1%Building Shell Retrofits
1%
Tax Credits for Energy Efficiency1%
Fuel Efficiency Profile: Model Year 2001
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 34 35 36 37 38 48 64
Fuel Efficiency (mpg)
Vehicles Belonging
Average price: $23,836 - range: $9,390 - $170,779
Average Fuel efficiency: 22.45 mpgAtiyah Curmally and Kathleen Esposito
Registrations as of October 2002
Vehicle Sale Distribution By Class
9 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 34 35 36 37 38 48
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
Vehicles Belonging
Fuel Efficiency
Vans
Station Wagons
Minivans
Large Cars
Pickup Trucks
SUVs
Midsize Cars
Small Cars
Data analysis and display by Atiyah Curmally and Kathleen Esposito
Model Year 2001, Registrations as of October 2002
-$3,000
-$2,000
-$1,000
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
2 4 6 8 10 12consumption in gallons per 100 miles
credit or surcharge amount
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
EPA Fuel Economy Rating (MPG)
Credit/Surcharge Amount ($)
EconomyNew Cars2 yrs old4 yrs old6 yrs old8 yrs old
Fuel Economy Based Feebate
-6000
-5000
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-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
2 4 6 8consumption (GP100M)
feebate amount ($)
Fuel Consumption Based Feebate
-6000
-5000
-4000
-3000
-2000
-1000
0
1000
2000
3000
10 20 30 40 50
EPA Combined Economy (MPG)
Feeb
ate
Am
ou
nt
($)
Comparison: MPG versus GP100MRI Fleet Data for Model Year 2001 (collected by Atiyah Curmally and Kathleen Esposito)
MPG GP100M10 = 1015 = 6.720 = 5.025 = 4.030 = 3.335 = 2.940 = 2.545 = 2.250 = 2.0
GP100M MPG2 = 503 = 334 = 255 = 206 = 177 = 148 = 139 = 11
10 = 10
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Miles per Gallon
Number of Cars
0
2000
4000
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8000
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2
Gallons per 100 Miles
Nmber of Cars
Feebate Calculator
Input bold green numbers ONLY
zero point(MPG) = 22 Read bold purple outputs
rate ($/GP100M) = $1,000 comb is weighted, harmonic average of city, hwy
revenue per purchase = $135.84 click in the cell below "consumption" for units options
net revenue collected = $7,632,164 GP100M means gallons per 100 miles
click at bottom for graph and more comparisons
EPA MPG consumption
examples ('03) city hwy comb gp100m feebate
Navigator 2WD 12 17 14 7.23 -$2,685Odyssey 18 25 21 4.86 -$310Taurus 2-V 20 28 23 4.36 $188Focus M-5/2-V 27 36 30 3.29 $1,258Prius 52 45 49 2.06 $2,488
fleet description (MY 2001 - details are below): other example 30 40 34 2.96 $1,587number of cars = 56,183 other example 20 30 24 4.25 $295average GP100M = 4.68 other example 10 20 13 7.75 -$3,205average MPG = 21.4
-8000
-6000
-4000
-2000
0
2000
4000
2 4 6 8consumption (GP100M)
feebate amount ($)
Feebate Amount ComparisonsHow Much Should the Feebate Be? Some Comparisons. Which are Helpful?
Enter Feebate Rate in $ per GP100M -> $1,000 22 MPG=$0
Nissan Pontiac Chevrolet GMCSentra Grand Am Trailblazer Yukon XL
MSRP $15,680 $22,100 $31,400 $43,084Fuel Economy (city/hwy) 28/36 20/29 15/21 13/17Combined Fuel Economy 31 23 17 15
Advertised Rebate* $1,500 $4,500 $2,000 $4,000Annual Fuel Cost (EPA) $751 $1,011 $1,367 $1,551Gas Tax (12,000 mi., RI) $180 $242 $328 $371Gas Tax (120,000, RI) $1,796 $2,421 $3,275 $3,712
Feebate Amount $1,320 $198 -$1,337 -$2,121Feebate (% of MSRP) 8% 1% 4% 5%Feebate/gal (120,000 mi.) +$0.34 +$0.04 -$0.19 -$0.27
*in Providence Journal (10/18) gas tax is $0.464/gal, including $0.184 (federal) and $0.28 (RI)
What Does it Take to Influence Consumer Behavior?
Opinion Survey Results
What does this mean for the Feebate Bill?: Opinion Poll Results
Regulation to make personal vehicles more efficient 455 48 145 1548
24
11
6
11
15
14
9
44
7
100 99
percent percent
Preferred Strategy for GHG Emission: Public Opinion Poll Results