ifm-chap 12
TRANSCRIPT
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In the partial fulfillment of the subject International FinancialManagement
Under the Guidance ofProf. Sushil Mohanty
S. V. Institute of Mana ement Kadi
APresentation
onCase study Blades, Inc .
Team MembersRinku Patel
Meghna DaveRashmika Gothi
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Ben Holt, Blades (CFO) believes the sport productmarket in Asia has very high future growth potential,Blades has recently begun exporting to Jogs, Ltd.
Jogs has committed to purchase 2,00,000 pairs ofSpeedos annually for a fixed price of 80 pound per pair.
Blades expects to import from Thailand to manufacture80,000 pairs of Speedos, at a cost of approximately
3000 baht per pair of Speedos. The high level of consumer spending on leisure
products such as roller blades has declined and the Thairetailer may not renew its commitment with Blades in 2years which it affects negatively.
Cont .
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Ben Holt convinced that Southeast Asia will exhibithigh potential for growth when the impact of recentevents in Asia subsidies.
Holt is not considering all of the factors that mightdirectly or indirectly affect Blades and he is ignoringBlades future in Thailand even if the Thai importerrenews its commitment for another 3 years.
Blades has forecasted sales in US of 520,000 pairs ofSpeedos; exports to Thailand of 180,000 pairs ofSpeedos for 4,594 baht a pair; and exports to the UKof 200,000 pairs of Speedos for 80 pound per pair.
Cont.
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If the Thai customer renews its commitment foranother three years, the price Blades receives in bahtwould continue to be fixed.
Conversely, Blades cost of goods sold incurred inThailand would be subject to the high level ofinflation in Thailand.
In addition, the high inflation may cause the baht todepreciate, which would reduce the dollars receivedfrom baht-denominated sales to Thailand.
Answer
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Holt believes that the Thai importer will renew its
commitment in two years. Do you think his assessment
is correct? Why or why not? Also, assume that the Thai
economy returns to the high growth level that existed
prior to the recent unfavorable economic events. Under
this assumption, how likely is it that the Thai importer
will renew its commitment in two years?
Question 2
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Before renewing its commitment to purchase a fixednumber of products at a fixed price from Blades, theThai importer would have to assess the advantages anddisadvantages of such an arrangement.
If the Thai level of inflation continues to be high, theretailer has the advantage of incurring costsdenominated in baht that are not subject to the high
level of inflation. However, if consumers in Thailand continue to reduce
their spending on leisure products, the Thai firm maynot be able to sell all of the products it has purchased
from Blades.
Answer
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If the Thai economy returns to a high growth level, theThai customer will probably renew its commitment.
This is because it can be reasonably certain that it willsell all of the products it has committed itself topurchase from Blades. Furthermore, the costs it incursare still not subject to the high level of inflationprevailing in Thailand.
Cont..
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For each of the three possible values of the
Thai baht and the British pound, use aspreadsheet to estimate cash flows for the next
year. Briefly comment on the level of Blades
economic exposure. Ignore possible tax effects.
Question 3
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THB=$0.0220
BP=$1.530 THB=$0.0209
BP=$1.485 THB=$0.0198
BP=$1.500
Sales
(1) U.S. (520,000 units $120/pair) $6,24,00,000 $6,24,00,000 $6,24,00,000(2) Thai (180,000 units THB4,594
Exchange Rate) $1,81,92,240 $1,72,82,628 $1,63,73,016
(3) British (200,000 units 80 pounds Exchange Rate) $2,44,80,000 $2,37,60,000 $2,40,00,000
(4) Total $10,50,72,240 $10,34,42,628 $10,27,73,016Cost of materials:
(5) U.S. ([900,000 80,000] units $70) $5,74,00,000 $5,74,00,000 $5,74,00,000(6) Thai (80,000 units THB3,000
Exchange Rate) $52,80,000 $50,16,000 $47,52,000
(7) Total $6,26,80,000 $6,24,16,000 $6,21,52,000Operating Expenses:
(8) U.S.: Fixed $20,00,000 $20,00,000 $20,00,000
(9) U.S.: Variable (11% of U.S. sales) $68,64,000 $68,64,000 $68,64,000
(10) Total
$88,64,000 $88,64,000 $88,64,000(11) Net cash flow $3,35,28,240 $3,21,62,628 $3,17,57,016
Cont..
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Now repeat your analysis in question 3 but
assume that the British pound and the Thai baht
are perfectly correlated. For example, if the baht
depreciates by 5 percent, the pound will also
depreciate by 5 percent. Under this assumption, is
Blades subject to a greater degree of economic
exposure? Why or why not?
Question 4
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BP=$1.50 BP=$1.425 BP=$1.350 Sales
(1) U.S. (520,000 units $120/pair) $6,24,00,000 $6,24,00,000 $6,24,00,000(2) Thai (180,000 units THB4,594 Exchange
Rate) $1,81,92,240 $1,72,82,628 $1,63,73,016
(3) British (200,000 units 80 pounds ExchangeRate) $2,40,00,000 $2,28,00,000 $2,16,00,000
(4) Total
$10,45,92,240 $10,24,82,628 $10,03,73,016Cost of materials:
(5) U.S. ([900,000 80,000] units $70) $5,74,00,000 $5,74,00,000 $5,74,00,000(6) Thai (80,000 units THB3,000 Exchange
Rate) $52,80,000 $50,16,000 $47,52,000
(7) Total $6,26,80,000 $6,24,16,000 $6,21,52,000Operating Expenses:
(8) U.S.: Fixed $20,00,000 $20,00,000 $20,00,000
(9) U.S.: Variable (11% of U.S. sales) $68,64,000 $68,64,000 $68,64,000(10) Total $88,64,000 $88,64,000 $88,64,000(11) Net cash flows $3,30,48,240 $3,12,02,628 $2,93,57,016
Cont..
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Based on your answers to the previous threequestions, what actions could Blades take to
reduce its level of economic exposure toThailand?
Question 5
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There are several actions Blades could take. Theanalysis above illustrates that economic exposure canbe reduced by conducting its international business incountries whose currencies are not highly correlated.
Thus, Blades could be exporting to or importing fromother countries besides Thailand and the United
Kingdom. Another action Blades could take is to borrow in baht, which would reduce the number of baht that wouldhave to be converted to dollars, as the baht receivables
could be used to repay to baht-denominated loans.
Answer
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